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IMF: US budget cuts 'ill-designed' | IMF: US budget cuts 'ill-designed' |
(35 minutes later) | |
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has urged the US to repeal the huge federal budget cuts introduced this year, denouncing them as "excessively rapid and ill-designed". | The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has urged the US to repeal the huge federal budget cuts introduced this year, denouncing them as "excessively rapid and ill-designed". |
It said the deficit reduction programme would be a drag on growth this year. | It said the deficit reduction programme would be a drag on growth this year. |
It forecast growth of 1.9% for 2013, but said it could be as much as 1.75 percentage points higher without the rapid tightening of fiscal policy. | It forecast growth of 1.9% for 2013, but said it could be as much as 1.75 percentage points higher without the rapid tightening of fiscal policy. |
But the IMF added that the overall US economy was improving. | But the IMF added that the overall US economy was improving. |
While the recovery had been "tepid", it said the overall fundamentals had been gradually getting better. | |
It pointed to a rebound in house prices and construction activity, stronger household balance sheets, an improvement in the labour market, and strong corporate profitability. | |
'Slow down, but hurry up' | |
"The deficit reduction in 2013 has been excessively rapid and ill-designed," the IMF said, in its annual report on the world's biggest economy. | "The deficit reduction in 2013 has been excessively rapid and ill-designed," the IMF said, in its annual report on the world's biggest economy. |
Not only would spending cuts hurt in the short term, but "indiscriminate" reductions in education, science and infrastructure spending could reduce potential growth in the medium term, it said. | |
"These cuts should be replaced with a back-loaded mix of entitlement savings (related to healthcare and pensions) and new revenues, along the lines of the administration's budget proposal." | |
"The IMF's advice is to slow down, but hurry up: meaning slow the fiscal adjustment this year - which would help sustain growth and job creation - but hurry up with putting in place a medium-term road map to restore long-run fiscal sustainability," managing director Christine Lagarde said. | |
Smooth exit | |
The Fund's forecast for growth of 1.9% this year would mark a slowdown from the 2.2% growth the US recorded in 2012. | |
But it expects a pick-up to 2.7% in 2014. | |
It expressed support for the Federal Reserve's $85bn-a-month (£54bn) quantitative easing (QE) programme, and said it should continue with the programme until at least the end of 2013. | |
The Fed uses QE, a policy of buying bonds, to increase the money supply and improve liquidity in the financial system in the hope of sparking economic growth and supporting employment. | |
There has been recent concern about when the stimulus measures will be withdrawn, sending jitters through the world's financial markets. | |
"The Fed should continue its preparations for a smooth exit. The highly accommodative monetary policy stance has provided important support to the US and global economic recovery," the IMF said. | |
However, it warned that unwinding monetary policy accommodation was likely to present challenges and said a long period of low interest rates could have unintended consequences and "sow the seeds of future financial vulnerabilities". |
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