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Australian election exit polls suggest big win for Tony Abbott's Coalition Australian election exit polls suggest big win for Tony Abbott's Coalition
(12 days later)
Polling stations have closed across the eastern and central states of Australia, as two exit polls suggest the opposition will sweep to victory and oust Labor in the federal election.Polling stations have closed across the eastern and central states of Australia, as two exit polls suggest the opposition will sweep to victory and oust Labor in the federal election.
A Sky News/Newspoll survey suggests Tony Abbott’s Coalition will win 97 seats – a gain of 25 in the 150-seat House of Representatives – while Kevin Rudd's Labor will drop to 51, a 21-seat loss.A Sky News/Newspoll survey suggests Tony Abbott’s Coalition will win 97 seats – a gain of 25 in the 150-seat House of Representatives – while Kevin Rudd's Labor will drop to 51, a 21-seat loss.
A Ray Morgan Channel 10 exit poll predicts the Coalition will pick up 42.5% of the primary vote with Labor at 33.5%, while the Sky poll gives 45% of the primary vote to the Coalition and 36% to Labor.A Ray Morgan Channel 10 exit poll predicts the Coalition will pick up 42.5% of the primary vote with Labor at 33.5%, while the Sky poll gives 45% of the primary vote to the Coalition and 36% to Labor.
The Sky News poll predicts only two crossbench MPs will keep their seats, Andrew Wilkie in Tasmania and Bob Katter in Queensland, with Greens MP Adam Bandt predicted to lose his seat in Melbourne.The Sky News poll predicts only two crossbench MPs will keep their seats, Andrew Wilkie in Tasmania and Bob Katter in Queensland, with Greens MP Adam Bandt predicted to lose his seat in Melbourne.
The Sky News/Newspoll result suggests that the Coalition will pick up 14 seats in New South Wales - including key seats in western Sydney: Lindsay, Greenway and Reid. It suggests the Coalition will pick up seven in Queensland, with Wayne Swan losing his seat of Lilley – and it says prime minister Rudd’s seat of Griffith too close to call.The Sky News/Newspoll result suggests that the Coalition will pick up 14 seats in New South Wales - including key seats in western Sydney: Lindsay, Greenway and Reid. It suggests the Coalition will pick up seven in Queensland, with Wayne Swan losing his seat of Lilley – and it says prime minister Rudd’s seat of Griffith too close to call.
It also predicts the opposition will pick up three seats in Victoria, and one in Western Australia.It also predicts the opposition will pick up three seats in Victoria, and one in Western Australia.
The Morgan poll also puts the Palmer United party on 9% of primary votes in Queensland and 5% in New South Wales and Western Australia. It predicts an 11% primary vote for the Greens.The Morgan poll also puts the Palmer United party on 9% of primary votes in Queensland and 5% in New South Wales and Western Australia. It predicts an 11% primary vote for the Greens.
Senior Labor figures have already said the election has been lost by the party. The former defence minister Stephen Smith spoke five minutes after polls closed on the east coast. "The government will be defeated tonight," he told ABC news.Senior Labor figures have already said the election has been lost by the party. The former defence minister Stephen Smith spoke five minutes after polls closed on the east coast. "The government will be defeated tonight," he told ABC news.
Labor member and Speaker of the House of Representatives, Anna Burke said she had thought over the past two weeks that Labor would lose.Labor member and Speaker of the House of Representatives, Anna Burke said she had thought over the past two weeks that Labor would lose.
"The Liberal party will win this election," she told Fairfax radio. "It will just depend on the numbers that it falls to whether it is a landslide or it's a comfortable majority.""The Liberal party will win this election," she told Fairfax radio. "It will just depend on the numbers that it falls to whether it is a landslide or it's a comfortable majority."
The former Labor prime minister Bob Hawke told Sky News that impending defeat was the fault of the Labor party itself. It was a sad day for the party, he said. "Sad, because we had a very good period back there in the 1980s and 1990s."The former Labor prime minister Bob Hawke told Sky News that impending defeat was the fault of the Labor party itself. It was a sad day for the party, he said. "Sad, because we had a very good period back there in the 1980s and 1990s."
He added: "It's been disappointing to see the way in which the sort of standards and values which we established and which were embraced by the Australian people seem to have been, to some extent, lost.He added: "It's been disappointing to see the way in which the sort of standards and values which we established and which were embraced by the Australian people seem to have been, to some extent, lost.
"I really believe this is an election lost by the government rather than won by Tony Abbott.""I really believe this is an election lost by the government rather than won by Tony Abbott."
Some senior Labor members were not yet ready to concede. Health minister Tanya Plibersek told ABC news “I'm not conceding defeat yet.”Some senior Labor members were not yet ready to concede. Health minister Tanya Plibersek told ABC news “I'm not conceding defeat yet.”
• Follow all the results as they come in with Katharine Murphy's live blog• Follow all the results as they come in with Katharine Murphy's live blog
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