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British Nuclear Bet Assumes a Role for Government | |
(about 11 hours later) | |
LONDON — In a back-to-the-future bet on its energy policy, the British government announced a long-elusive $26 billion deal on Monday to build the first new nuclear power station in Britain since 1995. | |
But in many ways, it is a move that reaches even further back — beyond the deregulatory and privatization policies of Margaret Thatcher in the 1980s, to an earlier time when Britain and many other Western countries did not assume that their national energy needs would be served by market forces. | |
In reaching its nuclear deal with EDF Group, the big French state-controlled utility, and opening the door to financing from China, the British government signaled that whether in terms of environmental concerns, consumer prices or Britain’s long-term energy independence, the free market alone no longer served the national interest. | |
“This government is facing a looming energy crisis in this decade thanks to years of neglect and underinvestment,” Edward Davey, the British secretary of energy and climate change, said at a news conference in London on Monday. | |
Britain has been gripped by growing worries about its future power supplies, with supply falling and prices rising. Electric utilities have been reluctant to invest in new gas-fired plants to replace dirtier coal-burning ones because of many uncertainties — including a new energy bill winding its way through Parliament and the growth of subsidized wind and solar energy projects. | |
Mr. Davey said that Britain would need to replace about 60 percent of its generating capacity “in a relatively short time,” as Britain closes coal-fired plants to meet its climate-change objectives of cutting greenhouse gas emissions in half by 2025. | |
The country will also be gradually closing its mostly aging collection of nuclear plants, which now produce 19 percent of Britain’s power. Only one of Britain’s plants, Sizewell B, which was finished in 1995, has modern technology. | |
The twin reactors envisioned in Monday’s announcement are to be built at Hinkley Point, in southwest England, which is currently the locale of two 1970s-era reactors. They would advance the government’s goal of adding more low-carbon sources of energy, but the project will come with a huge price tag. It is the kind of long-term project, with an even longer horizon for paying for itself, that private investors alone would be unlikely to undertake. The overall costs of building the plants is estimated at £16 billion, or $26 billion, in 2012 terms. | |
Not that government involvement guarantees success. | |
To reduce the investment risk, Britain and EDF are bringing in two state-backed Chinese companies, the China General Nuclear Corporation and the China National Nuclear Corporation. EDF also says it is talking to other investors that may take as much as a 15 percent stake. | |
The Chinese companies will take a stake of 30 to 40 percent in Hinkley Point. According to EDF, which is working with the two Chinese companies on nuclear power stations in China, the companies will be “strategic and industrial partners” in the project and will be given the “opportunity to gain experience in the U.K. and will support their long-term objective of becoming leading developers in the U.K.” | |
But at the news conference, Henri Proglio, EDF’s chief executive, played down the role of the Chinese companies, saying that EDF was in charge along with the French reactor designer Areva, and that British companies would be assigned more important roles. | |
That EDF alone cannot finance the plant “highlights the complexities of modern nuclear power projects,” said Antony Froggatt, an industry analyst at Chatham House, a research institute in London. | |
Mr. Froggatt said that it would be “better to invest in other” alternative sources of energy like wind and solar power. | |
Consumers will also wait a long time to receive electricity from the new nuclear plants, which EDF says will provide power equivalent to 7 percent of British consumption and enough to power almost six million homes. If EDF makes its final investment decision in summer 2014, the first of the two Hinkley Point reactors will not begin producing power until 2023. | |
British consumers and taxpayers will pay much of the bill. EDF will be guaranteed a price per megawatt hour of £89.50 to £92.50 — about $144.50 to $149.40 — for 35 years. Those prices, to be fully indexed to inflation, would be almost double current wholesale power prices. | |
Analysts say that these terms may wind up being generous for EDF, which says it will make a return of about 10 percent from the project. Tom Burke, a former government adviser, said that the arrangement meant that “if wholesale prices fall, British consumers will lose out substantially.” | |
Vincent de Rivaz, chief executive of EDF Energy, the company’s British arm, said that any cost savings would be shared between investors and consumers. “We are highly incentivized to get it done on time and under budget,” he said. | |
The British government may have had little choice if it wanted to sign a deal at this time. Other potential suppliers like Hitachi of Japan are considered years behind EDF in their technology. | |
Nuclear power has its attractions. Unlike renewables like solar and wind it produces steady, reliable power for decades. But the upfront costs are huge and there is no payoff for a decade or more. | |
It is difficult to persuade a provider to build a nuclear plant without some form of guarantee, particularly now, when the emergence of shale gas in the United States and the growth of renewable energy in Europe are creating uncertainty about power prices. | |
“If you don’t have that insurance, you are not going to make the investment,” said Mark Hibbs, a nuclear industry analyst at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. | |
And while Hinkley Point will not begin providing power for 10 years, the high costs of the plant will inevitably stoke the debate about rising energy bills in Britain. Even as the deal was being struck, millions of Britons were learning of increases in energy charges, including more than three million customers of NPower, a utility that announced on Monday that it would increase electricity prices by 9.3 percent and gas prices by 11 percent. | |
“This is a terrible deal for billpayers,” said Caroline Lucas, a member of Parliament for the Greens, who called for an investigation by the National Audit Office, a spending watchdog. “At a time when the costs of renewable energy are falling, it’s reckless for the government to subsidize the nuclear industry in this way.” | |
This article has been revised to reflect the following correction: | This article has been revised to reflect the following correction: |
Correction: October 21, 2013 | Correction: October 21, 2013 |
An earlier version of this article misstated the percentage of the stake that two Chinese companies, China General Nuclear Corporation and China National Nuclear Corporation, will take in a planned nuclear station in Britain. The companies will have a stake of 30 percent to 40 percent in Hinkley Point, not 35 percent to 40 percent. | An earlier version of this article misstated the percentage of the stake that two Chinese companies, China General Nuclear Corporation and China National Nuclear Corporation, will take in a planned nuclear station in Britain. The companies will have a stake of 30 percent to 40 percent in Hinkley Point, not 35 percent to 40 percent. |