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Labour continues to hold 7% lead over Tories, with small gain for Ukip Labour continues to hold seven-point lead over Tories, with small gain for Ukip
(30 days later)
Labour has maintained a 7% lead over the Conservative party during the Christmas and New Year period but Ed Miliband's personal rating has dipped, according to the latest Opinium/Observer poll. Labour has maintained a seven-point lead over the Conservative party during the Christmas and New Year period but Ed Miliband's personal rating has dipped, according to the latest Opinium/Observer poll.
The survey also found that more people are optimistic than pessimistic about their prospects, and the prospects for their families, for 2014.The survey also found that more people are optimistic than pessimistic about their prospects, and the prospects for their families, for 2014.
Labour remains on 37%, the Conservatives 30% and the Liberal Democrats 8% since the last poll before Christmas while Ukip, maintaining its strong showing, is up 1% on 17%. Labour remains on 37%, the Conservatives 30% and the Liberal Democrats 8% since the last poll before Christmas while Ukip, maintaining its strong showing, is up one point on 17%.
While David Cameron's net approval rating is steady at -15%, Ed Miliband's has dropped by 5% to -27%.While David Cameron's net approval rating is steady at -15%, Ed Miliband's has dropped by 5% to -27%.
34% approve of the way Cameron is performing against 49% who disapprove. Just 21% approve of the way Miliband is leading Labour, against 48% who disapprove.34% approve of the way Cameron is performing against 49% who disapprove. Just 21% approve of the way Miliband is leading Labour, against 48% who disapprove.
Some 31% of likely voters think 2014 will be better for their family and themselves than 2013 was, while 26% say it will be worse and 40% say it will be about the same. 39% say they are generally optimistic about 2014, while 27% are generally pessimistic.Some 31% of likely voters think 2014 will be better for their family and themselves than 2013 was, while 26% say it will be worse and 40% say it will be about the same. 39% say they are generally optimistic about 2014, while 27% are generally pessimistic.
On particular issues, 69% say the cost of living will get worse in 2014, and 43% say the NHS will get worse.On particular issues, 69% say the cost of living will get worse in 2014, and 43% say the NHS will get worse.
Overall, Conservatives are the most positive and optimistic, with 49% saying 2014 will be better than 2013 for them and their family, and 58% feeling generally optimistic.Overall, Conservatives are the most positive and optimistic, with 49% saying 2014 will be better than 2013 for them and their family, and 58% feeling generally optimistic.
Labour voters are more mixed, with 26% saying 2014 will be better, and 31% that it will be worse. 38% of Labour voters are generally optimistic, while 30% are pessimistic.Labour voters are more mixed, with 26% saying 2014 will be better, and 31% that it will be worse. 38% of Labour voters are generally optimistic, while 30% are pessimistic.
Ukip voters are more negative. 41% say 2014 will be worse than 2013, and just 21% say it will be better. 45% are generally pessimistic against 21% who are optimistic.Ukip voters are more negative. 41% say 2014 will be worse than 2013, and just 21% say it will be better. 45% are generally pessimistic against 21% who are optimistic.
• Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,939 GB adults aged 18+ from 30th December 2013 to 2nd January 2014. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.• Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,939 GB adults aged 18+ from 30th December 2013 to 2nd January 2014. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.
Full tables and results are available here.Full tables and results are available here.
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