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Improving US jobs growth led to Federal Reserve taper | Improving US jobs growth led to Federal Reserve taper |
(35 minutes later) | |
Federal Reserve members mostly agreed about a reduction in the central bank's stimulus efforts in December, meeting minutes released Wednesday reveal. | |
The central bank announced a $10bn (£6.1bn) a month reduction in its bond buying programme at the end of its December meeting. | |
They decided to decrease stimulus efforts in "measured steps" to avoid surprising markets. | |
Better than expected jobs growth was one reason cited for the pullback. | Better than expected jobs growth was one reason cited for the pullback. |
Some members, however, worried that financial markets might misinterpret the move. | Some members, however, worried that financial markets might misinterpret the move. |
During the summer of 2013, comments made by outgoing chairman Ben Bernanke indicating a reduction in stimulus efforts caused market volatility and a steep increase in mortgage rates. | During the summer of 2013, comments made by outgoing chairman Ben Bernanke indicating a reduction in stimulus efforts caused market volatility and a steep increase in mortgage rates. |
However, by the time an easing of the programme, known as quantitative easing, was announced in December, investors were more relaxed about the move. | However, by the time an easing of the programme, known as quantitative easing, was announced in December, investors were more relaxed about the move. |
All three US indexes posted gains of more than 25% in 2013. | All three US indexes posted gains of more than 25% in 2013. |
Extra reassurance | |
In December, the Fed cut its purchases of mortgage bonds and US Treasury bonds from $85bn a month to $75bn a month in a move known as a "taper". | |
Most analysts expect that if US economic conditions continue to improve, the bank will continue to cut its purchases by $10bn after each policy meeting in 2014. | |
Fed members were eager to reassure markets that a reduction in bond buying did not indicate the bank was completely withdrawing its support of the US economy. | |
Some members pushed for a change in language that would show the central bank planned to keep short term interest rates low. | |
As a result, in its December statement, the Fed said it would keep the short-term rate low "well past" the time the unemployment rate falls below 6.5%, as long as inflation remained in check. | |
Some members advocated changing the unemployment threshold to 6%, but that measure was overruled. | |
The next US jobs report is scheduled to be released this Friday. | |
Difficult road ahead | |
Members also discussed the long road ahead to re-normalise monetary policy. | |
As a result of its extraordinary stimulus efforts, the Fed has purchased over $4 trillion worth of bonds since the 2008-2009 financial collapse - a move that has worried many US politicians. | |
Incoming head Janet Yellen, who is scheduled to take over from Mr Bernanke on 1 February, has to decide how and when the bank will sell those bonds and return to its traditional task of raising and lowering the short term interest rate. | |
The central bank has engaged in bond buying because the rate, known as the federal funds rate, has been at zero since 2008. | |
Markets were mixed on news of the minutes, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indexes trading lower while the tech-heavy Nasdaq rose. |
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