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Comment: Osborne glee- but questions remain | Comment: Osborne glee- but questions remain |
(35 minutes later) | |
The IMF's upgrade for the UK economy will be greeted with glee in 11 Downing Street. | The IMF's upgrade for the UK economy will be greeted with glee in 11 Downing Street. |
It comes nine months after George Osborne was drawn into a spat | |
with the IMF’s chief economist, Olivier Blanchard. The Chancellor | |
dismissed him as “one voice, one person”. | |
The numbers are falling in Osborne’s favour: unemployment is | |
sliding, inflation is back to the 2 per cent target and next week’s | |
official estimates should show the economy growing at around 0.8 | |
per cent for the third quarter in a row. | |
But you don’t have to scratch beneath the surface to sense the | |
IMF’s reservations about the global recovery: its update, entitled “ | |
Is the Tide Rising?” raises a pointed question. The world faces two | |
risks — deflation and ending emergency monetary policy — which | |
could land us straight back in the mire. | |
At home, the questions for Osborne over whether businesses will | |
follow up a consumer revival with spending of their own haven’t | |
gone away. | |
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