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Davos 2014: Osborne says criticism of Bank of England unfair Davos 2014: Osborne says criticism of Bank of England unfair
(about 2 hours later)
Criticism of the Bank of England's forward guidance policy has been unfair, Chancellor George Osborne has said.Criticism of the Bank of England's forward guidance policy has been unfair, Chancellor George Osborne has said.
"I completely reject that forward guidance is a failure," he told a panel on monetary policy in Davos."I completely reject that forward guidance is a failure," he told a panel on monetary policy in Davos.
He added that the Bank's clear communication had helped create "a very strong set of data in the UK".He added that the Bank's clear communication had helped create "a very strong set of data in the UK".
Figures on Wednesday showed the unemployment rate had fallen much faster than the Bank expected.Figures on Wednesday showed the unemployment rate had fallen much faster than the Bank expected.
Last year, Bank of England governor Mark Carney said that the Bank would not consider raising interest rates until the jobless rate had fallen to 7%.Last year, Bank of England governor Mark Carney said that the Bank would not consider raising interest rates until the jobless rate had fallen to 7%.
Chancellor Osborne stressed that the unemployment rate was still only at 7.1%, and quoted Mr Carney's comment from a BBC Newsnight interview on Thursday that there was no need for an immediate rise in interest rates.Chancellor Osborne stressed that the unemployment rate was still only at 7.1%, and quoted Mr Carney's comment from a BBC Newsnight interview on Thursday that there was no need for an immediate rise in interest rates.
The Bank of England had not been expecting the jobless rate to hit 7% for another two years.The Bank of England had not been expecting the jobless rate to hit 7% for another two years.
The Financial Times suggested on Friday that Mr Carney's BBC interview had shown that "his big idea for monetary policy has bitten the dust". In a separate speech, made in Davos on Friday, Mr Carney said that the UK's unemployment rate had fallen "faster" than the Bank had anticipated when it first set 7% as a trigger for a possible review of interest rates.
But Mr Osborne said the debate over forward guidance was only taking place because there was a recovery underway, highlighting the differences with the "gloomy debate" about the economy at Davos last year. Falling faster
However, he said that this would not lead to a hurried rate rise, and re-affirmed that the 7% unemployment marker "is merely the point at which the MPC begins to even think about adjusting policy".
He added that any review of forward guidance would come in February's Bank of England inflation report, and that "The MPC will consider a range of options to update our guidance". He did not suggest that forward guidance was to be abandoned.
But Mr Osborne said in his speech that the debate over forward guidance was only taking place because there was a recovery underway, highlighting the differences with the "gloomy debate" about the economy at Davos last year.
He added that the growth in the economy was evidence that monetary policy had worked and that he had expanded the range of tools available to the Bank of England.He added that the growth in the economy was evidence that monetary policy had worked and that he had expanded the range of tools available to the Bank of England.
On the sidelines after the discussion, a delegate describing himself as a market participant leapt to the defence of Mr Osborne and Mr Carney, saying it was perfectly clear that the 7% had been a threshold and not a trigger for the raising of interest rates.On the sidelines after the discussion, a delegate describing himself as a market participant leapt to the defence of Mr Osborne and Mr Carney, saying it was perfectly clear that the 7% had been a threshold and not a trigger for the raising of interest rates.
There was some disagreement during the session with former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, who is critical of the UK's austerity measures. Mr Carney, in his Friday speech, said that the UK's economic recovery "has some way to run before it would be appropriate to consider moving away from the emergency settling of monetary policy".
But Mr Summers said it would probably be a good idea for them to focus on the areas in which they agreed. "It is widely recognised that our 7% threshold is not a trigger for raising the bank rate. Last August, the MPC said that when the 7% unemployment threshold was reached, there should be no assumption of an immediate, automatic change to its policy stance," he said.
Mr Osborne agreed with the suggestion that there was an infrastructure deficit and also a deficit in spending on research in life sciences.