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UK economy growing at fastest rate since 2007 | UK economy growing at fastest rate since 2007 |
(about 1 hour later) | |
The UK economy grew by 1.9% in 2013, its strongest rate since 2007, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). | The UK economy grew by 1.9% in 2013, its strongest rate since 2007, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). |
But growth in gross domestic product (GDP) for the fourth quarter slipped to 0.7%, down from 0.8% in the previous quarter, it said. | |
And economic output is still 1.3% below its 2008 first quarter level, | And economic output is still 1.3% below its 2008 first quarter level, |
"We've seen growth in most parts of the economy," said Joe Grice, chief economist at the ONS. | "We've seen growth in most parts of the economy," said Joe Grice, chief economist at the ONS. |
Responding to the figures, Chancellor George Osborne said: "These numbers are a boost for the economic security of hard-working people. It is more evidence that our long-term economic plan is working. | Responding to the figures, Chancellor George Osborne said: "These numbers are a boost for the economic security of hard-working people. It is more evidence that our long-term economic plan is working. |
"But the job is not done, and it is clear that the biggest risk now to the recovery would be abandoning the plan that's delivering jobs and a brighter economic future." | "But the job is not done, and it is clear that the biggest risk now to the recovery would be abandoning the plan that's delivering jobs and a brighter economic future." |
Ed Balls, Labour's shadow chancellor, said: "Today's growth figures are welcome and long overdue after three damaging years of flatlining. | Ed Balls, Labour's shadow chancellor, said: "Today's growth figures are welcome and long overdue after three damaging years of flatlining. |
"But, for working people facing a cost-of-living crisis, this is still no recovery at all." | "But, for working people facing a cost-of-living crisis, this is still no recovery at all." |
'Bullish' | 'Bullish' |
The UK's service sector - which makes up more than three-quarters of economic output - rose by 0.8% in the fourth quarter, the ONS said, matching its performance in the previous quarter. And the manufacturing sector grew 0.9%. | The UK's service sector - which makes up more than three-quarters of economic output - rose by 0.8% in the fourth quarter, the ONS said, matching its performance in the previous quarter. And the manufacturing sector grew 0.9%. |
But industrial production growth fell slightly from 0.8% to 0.7%, dragged down by falling North Sea oil and gas output. | |
Construction - which accounts for less than 8% of gross domestic product (GDP) - fell by 0.3% in the quarter, despite the recent recovery in a housing market boosted by the government's Help to Buy scheme. | Construction - which accounts for less than 8% of gross domestic product (GDP) - fell by 0.3% in the quarter, despite the recent recovery in a housing market boosted by the government's Help to Buy scheme. |
John Longworth, director general of the British Chambers of Commerce, said: "These growth figures confirm what we've been hearing for some time. | John Longworth, director general of the British Chambers of Commerce, said: "These growth figures confirm what we've been hearing for some time. |
"Businesses across Britain are growing ever more bullish about their prospects. Our surveys now consistently show business confidence levels not seen for decades." | "Businesses across Britain are growing ever more bullish about their prospects. Our surveys now consistently show business confidence levels not seen for decades." |
Revisions | Revisions |
In December, the independent Office for Budget Responsibility revised its 2013 UK growth forecast from 0.6% to 1.4%. | In December, the independent Office for Budget Responsibility revised its 2013 UK growth forecast from 0.6% to 1.4%. |
It is currently forecasting growth of 2.4% for 2014, but if the economy continues recovering at its current pace, the OBR's revised forecast may also have to be revised. | It is currently forecasting growth of 2.4% for 2014, but if the economy continues recovering at its current pace, the OBR's revised forecast may also have to be revised. |
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) also increased its growth forecast for the UK economy from 1.9% to 2.4%. | The International Monetary Fund (IMF) also increased its growth forecast for the UK economy from 1.9% to 2.4%. |
ING Bank's James Knightley said: "Employment continues to rise robustly, housing activity is very firm, confidence is on the rise, credit growth is improving and the UK's key export market - the eurozone - is showing some encouraging signs. | ING Bank's James Knightley said: "Employment continues to rise robustly, housing activity is very firm, confidence is on the rise, credit growth is improving and the UK's key export market - the eurozone - is showing some encouraging signs. |
"Consequently, we believe that the economy can post GDP growth of 3% this year." | "Consequently, we believe that the economy can post GDP growth of 3% this year." |
The ONS figures are themselves preliminary estimates, based on early submissions and are subject to revision. | The ONS figures are themselves preliminary estimates, based on early submissions and are subject to revision. |
Targets | Targets |
Stronger GDP growth is leading to speculation that the Bank of England may be forced to raise its base interest rate - currently 0.5% - sooner than it had expected. | Stronger GDP growth is leading to speculation that the Bank of England may be forced to raise its base interest rate - currently 0.5% - sooner than it had expected. |
But governor Mark Carney has said the rate is unlikely to rise any time soon, despite the sharp drop in UK unemployment last week to a rate of 7.1%, close to the level at which it had said it would consider cutting interest rates. | But governor Mark Carney has said the rate is unlikely to rise any time soon, despite the sharp drop in UK unemployment last week to a rate of 7.1%, close to the level at which it had said it would consider cutting interest rates. |
Last week, however, the Bank said it would no longer use employment as a prompt for rate setting, but a wider range of measures. | Last week, however, the Bank said it would no longer use employment as a prompt for rate setting, but a wider range of measures. |
Inflation has fallen to the Bank's target rate of 2%. | Inflation has fallen to the Bank's target rate of 2%. |