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You can find the current article at its original source at http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/feb/11/victoria-looks-newcastle-clues-post-toyota-future
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Victoria looks to Newcastle for clues to post-Toyota future | Victoria looks to Newcastle for clues to post-Toyota future |
(7 months later) | |
Fears the closing of Toyota and Holden plans could trigger recessions in Victoria and South Australia have reverberated through the states as the two car manufacturers announced they will be pulling out in 2017. | |
The prime minister, Tony Abbott, has played down the fears, saying new jobs will be created in the area and has pointed to the recovery of Newcastle after the closure of BHP steelworks in the late 1990s as proof. | |
“I accept that the transition is not always easy, but if you look at places that have had significant change like Newcastle, which lost its steelworks back in the 1990s, but is a different and many would say somewhat better city today,” he told ABC radio on Tuesday. | |
“These things can be done and we can seek answers now for the distant future or we can focus on what we can do in the near term, and in the near term, our job as a government is to ensure that the economy is as strong as it possibly can be, that far more jobs are being created than are being lost and that’s the best hope over time, of ensuring that people who are now working at Toyota can move from good jobs to better jobs in the months and years ahead.” | |
So did Newcastle recover as well as the government is making out? And if so, how? | So did Newcastle recover as well as the government is making out? And if so, how? |
What was the economic impact? | What was the economic impact? |
At its peak BHP employed 13,000 people and, after shedding thousands of jobs through the recession, the company announced in 1997 it would be withdrawing completely from Newcastle in 1999 – by which time the steelworks employed about 4000 people. | |
The co-operation of the then prime minister John Howard and then leader of the ironworkers’ union, Maurie Rudd, played a significant role in Newcastle’s recovery as they commissioned an investigation into the impact on the region. | |
The taskforce found the Hunter region would have to create about 10,000 jobs to counter the impact of both the immediate loss of jobs at the steelworks as well as associated jobs that would suffer. | |
Unemployment soared to 12%, which at the time was one of the worst in Australia. | Unemployment soared to 12%, which at the time was one of the worst in Australia. |
Did the city recover? | Did the city recover? |
The federal government, the state government and BHP each put in $10m into the “Hunter advantage” fund focused on creating jobs in the area, with most of the money being spent over about two years. | |
The current Newcastle MP, Sharon Claydon, said the city was still feeling the impacts of the closure but had largely recovered, putting a lot of the success down to to community co-operation and smart investment. | |
Between 2001 and 2011 employment in the healthcare and social assistance sector rose 44%, jobs in mining increased by 109%, there were 71% more jobs in the professional, scientific and technical services industry, while accommodation and food services increased by 43%, according to a Hunter region economic profile by the NSW Parliamentary Library. | |
In a paper by the Hunter Valley Research Foundation called Diversification of the Hunter Economy – Post BHP, it found structural change in Newcastle towards a services- and tertiary-based economy had been decades in the making. | |
“One key factor contributing to the strong improvement in the economic climate in the Hunter during recent years has been the painful, but unavoidable, structural changes made in the past,” the report said. | |
“These structural changes included significant job cuts in manufacturing (eg in the BHP plant), accompanied by a strong shift in employment share towards the tertiary sector. This led to the achievement of an advanced stage of economic diversification.” | |
The old steelworks site is now owned by the Newcastle Port Corporation, which is developing it as a port to increase trade through the region. | The old steelworks site is now owned by the Newcastle Port Corporation, which is developing it as a port to increase trade through the region. |
Today the unemployment rate in Newcastle is about 5.35% compared with the national average of 5.8%. | Today the unemployment rate in Newcastle is about 5.35% compared with the national average of 5.8%. |
Can the Newcastle recovery be repeated in South Australia and Victoria? | Can the Newcastle recovery be repeated in South Australia and Victoria? |
Claydon said the federal government had not only worked with the state government and BHP but churches in the area. Welfare and employment agencies were heavily involved. | |
She said there had been some stumbles, such as roughly $2.5m being spent on establishing a Impulse Airlines call centre which relocated to another region within a year. | |
The NSW government has attempted a similar “advantage fund” strategy for the Illawarra region, which has suffered from the loss of manufacturing jobs over the years, but unemployment rates in some areas of the region are still in double digits. | The NSW government has attempted a similar “advantage fund” strategy for the Illawarra region, which has suffered from the loss of manufacturing jobs over the years, but unemployment rates in some areas of the region are still in double digits. |
The lessons to be learnt from the successful package are to target money carefully, with specific aims of the spending which can be measured at different milestones, according to Claydon. | |
“Newcastle was successful because it had a very strong community collaboration and approval,” she said. | “Newcastle was successful because it had a very strong community collaboration and approval,” she said. |
“It wasn’t just a bucket of dollars being thrown at it, though of course dollars are important.” | “It wasn’t just a bucket of dollars being thrown at it, though of course dollars are important.” |
Claydon said it was important to collaborate heavily with different regions in the states to make sure it was understood exactly what they needed to recover and what their strengths were. | |
“You’ve got to be mindful you’re not just relocating jobs, you’ve really got to make sure you’re creating jobs,” she said. | “You’ve got to be mindful you’re not just relocating jobs, you’ve really got to make sure you’re creating jobs,” she said. |