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Yulia Tymoshenko to run for president of Ukraine; IMF to provide up to $18B in aid | |
(about 1 hour later) | |
KIEV, Ukraine — Former Ukrainian prime minister Yulia Tymoshenko said Thursday she would run in a planned May 25 presidential election, as the country tries to transition to a new government and cement a deepening alliance with Europe. | |
Tymoshenko lost a prior bid for president in 2010 to Viktor Yanukovych, whose eventual ouster last month in the face of mass demonstrations sparked Russia’s recent takeover of Crimea. | |
She was jailed for much of Yanukovych’s time in office and released after his government fell. | |
“I consider [Russian President] Vladimir Putin to be Ukraine’s enemy number one,” Tymoshenko said Thursday at a news conference in Kiev. | |
Despite her reputation as a powerful prime minister, she is considered a long-shot candidate in a vote that will be watched closely both for the way it is conducted and its potential to bring a solidly pro-Western government to power. | |
Independent member of parliament Petro Poroshenko led in one recent national poll, with former boxer and opposition politician Vitali Klitschko, who has demanded tougher Western economic sanctions on Russia, polling second. | Independent member of parliament Petro Poroshenko led in one recent national poll, with former boxer and opposition politician Vitali Klitschko, who has demanded tougher Western economic sanctions on Russia, polling second. |
The poll conducted March 14-19 by the Center for Social and Marketing Research showed Poroshenko, a businessman who runs Ukraine’s favorite chocolate company, on top with support from nearly 25 percent of registered voters, followed by Klitschko with nearly 9 percent. Tymoshenko was running third, backed by slightly more than 8 percent of voters. | |
Among several other candidates, Oleh Tiahnybok, leader of the right-wing Svoboda party, was favored by less than 2 percent of voters, according to the poll, which was conducted in all regions of Ukraine except Crimea, which broke away and joined Russia this month. Russia considers Tiahnybok to be a dangerous extremist. | |
Tymoshenko made a fortune in the natural gas business in the 1990s, and her tenure as prime minister was widely seen as falling far short of the ideals of the 2004 Orange Revolution that brought her to power. On the night she was released from prison, she made an appearance at Kiev’s Independence Square, the protest site known as the Maidan, to a tepid welcome. | |
Many in the crowd saw her as emblematic of the problems of Ukraine’s political culture, which they are hoping to transform. | |
Ukraine’s growing need for European and U.S. support was evident Thursday when the International Monetary Fund announced it will provide Ukraine up to $18 billion in assistance over the next two years, part of a far-reaching effort to keep the country from plunging into default and to steady the nation as it attempts to build democratic institutions. | |
Ukraine is in dire economic straits after years of inefficient management and plunder by corrupt officials. Economic output is expected to fall by as much as 10 percent this year unless reforms are enacted, interim Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk said Thursday. The country is also under intense pressure from Russia, which turned against Kiev after the Moscow-backed Yanukovych left office and the new government began developing a closer relationship with Europe. | |
Putin was eager to enlist Ukraine as a member of an economic unit he is creating along with some former members of the Soviet Union. When Ukraine backed away and Yanukovych was ousted, Ukraine’s autonomous and largely pro-Russian Crimea region staged a hastily organized referendum on whether to join Russia. After the overwhelming vote in favor, Putin annexed the Crimean Peninsula. Ukrainians now fear further incursions and difficult financial relations with Russia. | |
“Following the intense economic and political turbulence of recent months, Ukraine has achieved some stability, but faces difficult challenges,” Nikolay Gueorguiev, IMF mission chief for Ukraine, said in a statement Thursday. “The economic outlook remains difficult, with the economy falling back into recession.” | “Following the intense economic and political turbulence of recent months, Ukraine has achieved some stability, but faces difficult challenges,” Nikolay Gueorguiev, IMF mission chief for Ukraine, said in a statement Thursday. “The economic outlook remains difficult, with the economy falling back into recession.” |
The country currently is unable to borrow money on private markets, raising the risk of default when foreign debt payments fall due over the coming year. | The country currently is unable to borrow money on private markets, raising the risk of default when foreign debt payments fall due over the coming year. |
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Ukraine also is counting on help from the United States and the European Union. Support from the wider international community would provide Ukraine with about $27 billion, including the IMF assistance. | Ukraine also is counting on help from the United States and the European Union. Support from the wider international community would provide Ukraine with about $27 billion, including the IMF assistance. |
The aid will require a wide range of reforms in monetary policy, governance and spending that are likely to inflict painful cuts in social programs. The reforms present a test for Ukraine’s interim government, whose members have been in office only since Feb. 27 and are arranging the upcoming presidential election. | |
Gueorguiev said the IMF board is expected to approve the loan for Ukraine next month, assuming the government follows through with “a strong and comprehensive package of prior actions aiming to stabilize the economy and create conditions for sustained growth.” | Gueorguiev said the IMF board is expected to approve the loan for Ukraine next month, assuming the government follows through with “a strong and comprehensive package of prior actions aiming to stabilize the economy and create conditions for sustained growth.” |
The White House welcomed the IMF announcement. In a statement released Thursday, it said, “The IMF program will be a central component of a package of assistance to support Ukraine as it implements reforms and conducts free and fair elections that will allow all the Ukrainian people to determine the future of their country.” | The White House welcomed the IMF announcement. In a statement released Thursday, it said, “The IMF program will be a central component of a package of assistance to support Ukraine as it implements reforms and conducts free and fair elections that will allow all the Ukrainian people to determine the future of their country.” |
Putin agreed to provide Ukraine with $15 billion in assistance, and the price Ukraine paid for natural gas from Russia was cut by 35 percent. | Putin agreed to provide Ukraine with $15 billion in assistance, and the price Ukraine paid for natural gas from Russia was cut by 35 percent. |
But that deal collapsed when Yanukovych was ousted — after Russia had provided only about $3 billion. The Russian energy giant Gazprom has said that even at the lower prices, Ukraine has fallen behind in its payments by $1.5 billion. Yatsenyuk said Thursday that he expects the price Russia charges for natural gas to jump significantly on Tuesday — to a level above what it was charging before last fall’s discount. | |
Slovakia earlier this week announced that it would work with Ukraine on a plan to reverse the flow in some pipelines and ship gas eastward to Ukraine. One potential source for that project could be liquefied natural gas from the Middle East. | |
Englund reported from Moscow. |