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Eurozone inflation falls to 0.5% in March | Eurozone inflation falls to 0.5% in March |
(35 minutes later) | |
Inflation in the euro area fell to 0.5% in March, down from 0.7% in February and its lowest rate since November 2009. | Inflation in the euro area fell to 0.5% in March, down from 0.7% in February and its lowest rate since November 2009. |
The Eurostat estimate puts the inflation rate well below the European Central Bank target of just below 2%. | The Eurostat estimate puts the inflation rate well below the European Central Bank target of just below 2%. |
The figure is lower than the 0.6% rate expected by analysts. | The figure is lower than the 0.6% rate expected by analysts. |
The lower-than-expected rate may reinforce concerns that the 18-nation eurozone risks a damaging period of deflation. | The lower-than-expected rate may reinforce concerns that the 18-nation eurozone risks a damaging period of deflation. |
Eurostat's March's figure is a "flash" or initial estimate, meaning it could be revised later. | |
However, it is the sixth consecutive month that the rate of inflation has been below 1%. | |
And analysts believe that the sharp drop in the inflation rate could prompt the European Central Bank (ECB) to take action this Thursday. | And analysts believe that the sharp drop in the inflation rate could prompt the European Central Bank (ECB) to take action this Thursday. |
'Unwelcome news' | 'Unwelcome news' |
At its last meeting, which took place earlier this month, the central bank left interest rates on hold at 0.25% and took no new measures to bolster the eurozone's fragile recovery. | |
However, ECB president Mario Draghi said at the time that the bank could take action should the outlook for the eurozone deteriorate. | However, ECB president Mario Draghi said at the time that the bank could take action should the outlook for the eurozone deteriorate. |
Analysts have suggested the ECB could cut interest rates even further or buy bonds in a similar manner to the US Federal Reserve. | |
ING economist Martin van Vliet said the lower-than-expected reading would "fuel talk of further monetary easing by the ECB". | ING economist Martin van Vliet said the lower-than-expected reading would "fuel talk of further monetary easing by the ECB". |
IHS Global Insight economist Howard Archer said the fall in the inflation rate was "uncomfortable and unwelcome news" for the ECB. | IHS Global Insight economist Howard Archer said the fall in the inflation rate was "uncomfortable and unwelcome news" for the ECB. |
"If the ECB does eventually act, it will probably include measures aimed at adding liquidity," he added. | "If the ECB does eventually act, it will probably include measures aimed at adding liquidity," he added. |
Analysts noted the fact that Easter was later than usual had delayed the impact of rising travel and hotel prices and could encourage the ECB to wait before acting. | |
Citigroup economist Guillaume Menuet added: "There's still a case for easing, but we don't think there's going to be enough agreement within the governing council members to ease on Thursday." | |
On Friday, figures from Spain showed that prices in the country fell 0.2% in March compared with a year earlier. | On Friday, figures from Spain showed that prices in the country fell 0.2% in March compared with a year earlier. |