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Oil back near $96 after respite Supply fears puts oil at new high
(about 10 hours later)
Oil prices have rebounded to near their record $96-a-barrel mark after a brief respite and analysts expect further volatility ahead. Oil prices have rebounded, settling at a record closing high in New York, spurred on by investor fears that supplies could be threatened.
Crude oil rose $2.07 to $95.56 on Friday morning while Brent crude traded up $1.76 at $91.48. Sweet light crude closed $2.44 higher at $95.93 a barrel, after hitting as high as $96.05 in earlier trade. London Brent settled $2.36 higher at $92.08.
Analysts maintained the brief retreat from rising prices after they hit $96 on Wednesday was only temporary. Fears of new UN sanctions against Iran are pushing prices up along with strong demand for oil from developing nations.
Many observers now believe crude oil will probably break through $100 a barrel this year. Many observers believe crude oil will break through $100 a barrel this year.
News late on Friday that the UN Security Council is looking into drafting new sanctions against Iran Friday as it continues with its uranium enrichment plans raised fears about potential shortages.
'Unknown territory''Unknown territory'
Strong demand from developing nations and a weak US dollar are likely to keep pushing prices up, experts believe.Strong demand from developing nations and a weak US dollar are likely to keep pushing prices up, experts believe.
There are also concerns about geopolitical issues such as a possible clash between the US and Iran, and an escalation of hostilities between Turkey and rebel Kurdish fighters based in the northern areas of Iraq.There are also concerns about geopolitical issues such as a possible clash between the US and Iran, and an escalation of hostilities between Turkey and rebel Kurdish fighters based in the northern areas of Iraq.
We are stepping into an unknown area Ken Hasegawa, Fimat Japan What is driving oil prices up?We are stepping into an unknown area Ken Hasegawa, Fimat Japan What is driving oil prices up?
The problem facing oil markets and analysts is that all of the factors are combining to create a high level of uncertainty in the market and this, in turn, is driving prices higher.The problem facing oil markets and analysts is that all of the factors are combining to create a high level of uncertainty in the market and this, in turn, is driving prices higher.
Oil prices surged on Wednesday after a report showed domestic US crude stocks fell by 3.9 million barrels last week, worrying analysts who had forecast an increase of 100,000 barrels.Oil prices surged on Wednesday after a report showed domestic US crude stocks fell by 3.9 million barrels last week, worrying analysts who had forecast an increase of 100,000 barrels.
The US is the world's biggest energy consumer and the state of its inventories is a key concern for market watchers.The US is the world's biggest energy consumer and the state of its inventories is a key concern for market watchers.
"We are stepping into an unknown area," said Ken Hasegawa, a broker at Fimat Japan, of the latest price spike."We are stepping into an unknown area," said Ken Hasegawa, a broker at Fimat Japan, of the latest price spike.
"Nobody wants to sell, given the fear of a further rise.""Nobody wants to sell, given the fear of a further rise."
Traders are bracing themselves for further risesTraders are bracing themselves for further rises
The weakening US dollar which has made oil, priced in dollars, cheaper to buy outside of the US has also fanned the price rises.The weakening US dollar which has made oil, priced in dollars, cheaper to buy outside of the US has also fanned the price rises.
The dollar hit its weakest levels against the pound since 1981 on Wednesday.The dollar hit its weakest levels against the pound since 1981 on Wednesday.
Other factors supporting prices are concerns about the stop-start violence in Nigeria's main oil producing region and worries about the availability of heating supplies for the US winter.Other factors supporting prices are concerns about the stop-start violence in Nigeria's main oil producing region and worries about the availability of heating supplies for the US winter.
Fixing deniedFixing denied
Oil producers' body Opec continues to be criticised for not doing enough to restrain prices despite agreeing to lift daily output by 500,000 barrels, an increase which came into effect on Thursday.Oil producers' body Opec continues to be criticised for not doing enough to restrain prices despite agreeing to lift daily output by 500,000 barrels, an increase which came into effect on Thursday.
A senior Opec official said the organisation was not to blame for the price rises and insisted there was no shortage of capacity in the market.A senior Opec official said the organisation was not to blame for the price rises and insisted there was no shortage of capacity in the market.
"We never fix oil prices," said Abdullah al-Attiyah, Qatar's energy minister."We never fix oil prices," said Abdullah al-Attiyah, Qatar's energy minister.
"It is market driven and it is out of control." "It is market-driven and it is out of control."