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Who will be the next New South Wales premier? Who will be the next New South Wales premier?
(35 minutes later)
Never, ever, lie – especially on camera.Never, ever, lie – especially on camera.
If there’s one lesson to be drawn from BarryIf there’s one lesson to be drawn from Barry
O’Farrell’s resignation as NSW premier, it’s that telling porkies is a one-wayO’Farrell’s resignation as NSW premier, it’s that telling porkies is a one-way
ticket to political purgatory. ticket to political purgatory.
O’Farrell’s language in the ICAC witness box may have been slightly more O’Farrell’s language in the Icac witness box may have been slightly more
circumspect than last night’s press circumspect than Tuesday night’s press
conference, but it is a stretch for the prime minister to say this morning, "obviously we now know he innocently, conference, but it is a stretch for the prime minister to say on Wednesday morning, "obviously we now know he innocently,
inadvertently misled ICAC". inadvertently misled Icac".
If anything,If anything,
we know nothing other than O’Farrell lied to the people of NSW when he said hewe know nothing other than O’Farrell lied to the people of NSW when he said he
had not received the $3,000 bottle of Penfold’s Grange Hermitage from Australian Water Holdings’ boss Nick Di Girolamo. O’Farrell is being lauded by some had not received the $3,000 bottle of Penfold’s Grange from Australian Water Holdings boss Nick Di Girolamo. O’Farrell has been lauded by some
commentators today as doing the "honourable thing" by resigning, and that he commentators for doing the "honourable thing" by resigning, and some have said he
probably did forget about the gift – granted, there may have been plenty of O’Farrell’sprobably did forget about the gift – granted, there may have been plenty of O’Farrell’s
preferred screw caps delivered to Roseville in the weeks after his thumpingpreferred screw caps delivered to Roseville in the weeks after his thumping
election victory. But the more honourableelection victory. But the more honourable
thing would have been to stick by the fairly simple rule of declaring the gift,thing would have been to stick by the fairly simple rule of declaring the gift,
as set out under Part 6 of the ministerialas set out under Part 6 of the ministerial
code of conduct; gift declarationscode of conduct; gift declarations
can be made at any time. I find it difficult to reconcile the ideacan be made at any time. I find it difficult to reconcile the idea
that a politician with such experience (not to mention his avowal to clean up NSW) couldthat a politician with such experience (not to mention his avowal to clean up NSW) could
handwrite a thank you note on letterhead and not declare the gift.handwrite a thank you note on letterhead and not declare the gift.
So, what next for the "GrangeSo, what next for the "Grange
Corps" state? Firstly, the NSW coalition Corps" state? First, the NSW Coalition
works as its federal counterpart does – the deputy premier’s spot goes to theworks as its federal counterpart does – the deputy premier’s spot goes to the
leader of the National Party (Andrew Stoner), so he’s not in contention. The early money for the top job is flowing toleader of the National Party (Andrew Stoner), so he’s not in contention. The early money for the top job is flowing to
moderate Liberals treasurer Mike Baird and transport minister Gladys moderate Liberal treasurer Mike Baird and transport minister Gladys
Berejiklian.Berejiklian.
Baird has the smarts to beBaird has the smarts to be
a good premier, something O’Farrell knew. a good premier, something O’Farrell knew.
He revealed a petty, personal jealousy for the young, talented andHe revealed a petty, personal jealousy for the young, talented and
presentable member for Manly when the treasurer was dumped from the usual "firstpresentable member for Manly when the treasurer was dumped from the usual "first
among equals" spot to 10th in the cabinet seniority ranks andamong equals" spot to 10th in the cabinet seniority ranks and
stripped of much of his legislative oversight (handed over to disgraced former stripped of much of his legislative oversight (handed to disgraced former
finance minister, Greg Pearce). O’Farrell’s famous quip on election night – "I’m only gonna talk tofinance minister, Greg Pearce). O’Farrell’s famous quip on election night – "I’m only gonna talk to
Gladys"– was another of the small but telling signs of O’Farrell’s Gladys" was another of the small but telling signs of O’Farrell’s
political character.political character.
Berejiklian wouldBerejiklian would
prove a formidable premier. One of theprove a formidable premier. One of the
hardest working and most effective ministers, she will have to overcome the hardest working and most effective ministers, she would have to overcome the
perception that she was too close an ally of O’Farrell. The other hurdle she faces is history. The Liberal party has never elected a femaleperception that she was too close an ally of O’Farrell. The other hurdle she faces is history. The Liberal party has never elected a female
premier (Kate Carnell was ACT chief minister). premier (Kate Carnell was ACT chief minister).
Will the NSW party go for a moderate woman 11 months out from a stateWill the NSW party go for a moderate woman 11 months out from a state
election? I think Baird is moreelection? I think Baird is more
palatable to the right wing of the party than Berejiklian, but as talented andpalatable to the right wing of the party than Berejiklian, but as talented and
energetic as they are, I have a third candidate in mind.energetic as they are, I have a third candidate in mind.
MikeMike
Gallacher hasn’t made a misstep as police and emergency servicesGallacher hasn’t made a misstep as police and emergency services
minister. The most senior Liberal in theminister. The most senior Liberal in the
NSW legislative council, Gallacher also represents the Central Coast in cabinet NSW legislative council, Gallacher also represents the central coast in cabinet
and is a leading member – some would say acceptable face – of the rightand is a leading member – some would say acceptable face – of the right
wing. This is why my political antennaewing. This is why my political antennae
start twitching. Electing a premier fromstart twitching. Electing a premier from
the Central Coast would lock up the region for the Liberals next year, and help the central coast would lock up the region for the Liberals next year, and help
Tony Abbott federally. Gallacher is as Liberal party as the Central Coast Tony Abbott federally. Gallacher is as Liberal party as the central coast
gets: he founded the Young Liberals there back in 1986 and has served as agets: he founded the Young Liberals there back in 1986 and has served as a
senior office holder in almost every party position available in thesenior office holder in almost every party position available in the
region.region.
It would also be invigorating for NSWIt would also be invigorating for NSW
to be led by someone outside Sydney for a change. Ah, but he’s in the upper house, youto be led by someone outside Sydney for a change. Ah, but he’s in the upper house, you
say? There’s a sound precedent – Nevillesay? There’s a sound precedent – Neville
Wran originally led Labor from the red leather benches – and a solution to twoWran originally led Labor from the red leather benches – and a solution to two
problems. The member for Terrigal andproblems. The member for Terrigal and
former energy minister Chris Hartcher is in a spotformer energy minister Chris Hartcher is in a spot
of bother himself. If Hartcher canof bother himself. If Hartcher can
be "persuaded" to resign from before the party room meeting set for next be "persuaded" to resign before the party room meeting set for next
Tuesday, Gallacher could stand for the leadership with a clear path. An early June by-election leaves only threeTuesday, Gallacher could stand for the leadership with a clear path. An early June by-election leaves only three
sitting weeks in May to get through, allowing Baird to sell the budget in thesitting weeks in May to get through, allowing Baird to sell the budget in the
lower house.lower house.
The former copper is aThe former copper is a
long-shot, but he could find himself leading the "bear pit" before the winterlong-shot, but he could find himself leading the "bear pit" before the winter
recess.recess.