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Joseph Rowntree study warns of Scots still in poverty by 2025 Joseph Rowntree study warns of Scots still in poverty by 2025
(about 7 hours later)
One in seven working-age adults and children could still be living below the poverty line by the mid-2020s, according to a new study.One in seven working-age adults and children could still be living below the poverty line by the mid-2020s, according to a new study.
The research, from the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, looked at the economic challenge Scotland would face even with a much higher employment rate than now.The research, from the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, looked at the economic challenge Scotland would face even with a much higher employment rate than now.
It predicted employment could rise from 73.5% to 90% by 2025. It projected employment could rise from 73.5% to 80% by 2025.
But it said lower pay and fewer working hours could still see hundreds of thousands of people trapped in poverty.But it said lower pay and fewer working hours could still see hundreds of thousands of people trapped in poverty.
The findings were set out in the third and final referendum briefing written by the New Policy Institute (NPI) and published by JRF.The findings were set out in the third and final referendum briefing written by the New Policy Institute (NPI) and published by JRF.
Report co-author Dr Peter Kenway said: "Post-referendum Scotland must avoid replacing a problem of material deprivation with one of inflexible services and a lack of time.Report co-author Dr Peter Kenway said: "Post-referendum Scotland must avoid replacing a problem of material deprivation with one of inflexible services and a lack of time.
"Families short of cash are often short on time as well."Families short of cash are often short on time as well.
"Both sides of the independence campaign have to address the long-term challenges faced by struggling families of finding secure work that pays sufficiently.""Both sides of the independence campaign have to address the long-term challenges faced by struggling families of finding secure work that pays sufficiently."
Working hoursWorking hours
Researchers looked at the impact of an increase in jobs, depending on whether they were full or part-time.Researchers looked at the impact of an increase in jobs, depending on whether they were full or part-time.
They found that if an 80% employment rate was reached by the creation of only part-time jobs, poverty among working age adults and children could fall from 800,000 (19.4%) to 670,000 (16.2%).They found that if an 80% employment rate was reached by the creation of only part-time jobs, poverty among working age adults and children could fall from 800,000 (19.4%) to 670,000 (16.2%).
If most of those extra jobs were full-time, the number in poverty would fall further to 600,000 (14.6%).If most of those extra jobs were full-time, the number in poverty would fall further to 600,000 (14.6%).
Jim McCormick, Scotland adviser to JRF, said: "These scenarios highlight the challenges that Scotland must meet if poverty rates are to decrease.Jim McCormick, Scotland adviser to JRF, said: "These scenarios highlight the challenges that Scotland must meet if poverty rates are to decrease.
"Much higher employment would cut poverty, but jobs alone will not eliminate it while low pay and inadequate working hours remain so widespread."Much higher employment would cut poverty, but jobs alone will not eliminate it while low pay and inadequate working hours remain so widespread.
"We need to ensure work pays enough to be a route out of poverty."We need to ensure work pays enough to be a route out of poverty.
"Working more hours is only part of the answer. Housing costs, rates of pay and the tax, tax credit and benefit systems are all implicated.""Working more hours is only part of the answer. Housing costs, rates of pay and the tax, tax credit and benefit systems are all implicated."
John Dickie, head of Child Poverty Action Group in Scotland, said: "This report makes absolutely clear that increased employment is in itself not enough to end the shocking level of poverty that blights the lives of too many children across Scotland.John Dickie, head of Child Poverty Action Group in Scotland, said: "This report makes absolutely clear that increased employment is in itself not enough to end the shocking level of poverty that blights the lives of too many children across Scotland.
"Whatever the outcome of the referendum, action is needed to make work pay and give families access to affordable, flexible childcare. But we also need a new approach to social security and to invest more in universal child benefit and the other supports that families in and out of work all need to give their children a decent start in life.""Whatever the outcome of the referendum, action is needed to make work pay and give families access to affordable, flexible childcare. But we also need a new approach to social security and to invest more in universal child benefit and the other supports that families in and out of work all need to give their children a decent start in life."