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| Iraqis raise questions over army's collapse as jihadi advance slows | Iraqis raise questions over army's collapse as jihadi advance slows |
| (about 14 hours later) | |
| Last Wednesday, a day after Islamist fighters surged south towards Baghdad, an Iraqi officer in the town of Jalula heard tyres crunch on the gravel near his window and stepped outside to investigate. | Last Wednesday, a day after Islamist fighters surged south towards Baghdad, an Iraqi officer in the town of Jalula heard tyres crunch on the gravel near his window and stepped outside to investigate. |
| A convoy of Kurdish military vehicles disgorged dozens of troops, known as peshmerga, who told him they had come to take over his base, 80 miles north-east of the Iraqi capital, and seize its weapons. The Kurds were a long way from home, having driven 220 miles south from Irbil, deep into a region that for decades has been fiercely contested by the Kurdish north and the rest of Arab Iraq. | A convoy of Kurdish military vehicles disgorged dozens of troops, known as peshmerga, who told him they had come to take over his base, 80 miles north-east of the Iraqi capital, and seize its weapons. The Kurds were a long way from home, having driven 220 miles south from Irbil, deep into a region that for decades has been fiercely contested by the Kurdish north and the rest of Arab Iraq. |
| The officer checked the Kurds' request with his superiors, who told him to comply. "I couldn't believe what I was hearing," he said. "The division commanders told us to leave." | The officer checked the Kurds' request with his superiors, who told him to comply. "I couldn't believe what I was hearing," he said. "The division commanders told us to leave." |
| Similar scenes were repeated at bases and outposts across the disputed areas of the north and in the K1 base west of Kirkuk, which was also in the midst of a historic changing of the guard. The extraordinary events were the final curtain for Iraq's army – a force that has spent billions on equipment and training and was touted as the best trained and armed military force in the Arab world. | Similar scenes were repeated at bases and outposts across the disputed areas of the north and in the K1 base west of Kirkuk, which was also in the midst of a historic changing of the guard. The extraordinary events were the final curtain for Iraq's army – a force that has spent billions on equipment and training and was touted as the best trained and armed military force in the Arab world. |
| In just three days, the army had simply folded as first the jihadist insurgents and then the Kurds rode into town. Its soldiers returned to their homes and its weapons were carted away, either by the peshmerga or the jihadists, depending on who got there first. | In just three days, the army had simply folded as first the jihadist insurgents and then the Kurds rode into town. Its soldiers returned to their homes and its weapons were carted away, either by the peshmerga or the jihadists, depending on who got there first. |
| The army's collapse signalled a sudden and dramatic shift in the balance of power between Kurds, Sunnis and Shia. The significance of that shift has been obscured by a week of bloodshed and uncertainty. But as the jihadi advance has slowed, questions are being asked across Baghdad about how a region so central to the bitter feud between Iraq's Kurds and Arabs was so easily surrendered. | The army's collapse signalled a sudden and dramatic shift in the balance of power between Kurds, Sunnis and Shia. The significance of that shift has been obscured by a week of bloodshed and uncertainty. But as the jihadi advance has slowed, questions are being asked across Baghdad about how a region so central to the bitter feud between Iraq's Kurds and Arabs was so easily surrendered. |
| One scenario, given widespread credence, is that the three Iraqi generals responsible for Mosul, Tikrit, and Kirkuk simply didn't want to fight for a state that wasn't working. Another is that the Iraqi troops quickly realised they were no match for battle-hardened and ideologically motivated jihadis heading their way. | One scenario, given widespread credence, is that the three Iraqi generals responsible for Mosul, Tikrit, and Kirkuk simply didn't want to fight for a state that wasn't working. Another is that the Iraqi troops quickly realised they were no match for battle-hardened and ideologically motivated jihadis heading their way. |
| A third theory is that giving the Kurds the crown jewel of Kirkuk – capital of a region with huge oil reserves – would be the first step in a set of carefully choreographed moves to reframe relations between Baghdad and the Kurds and drag the dysfunctional country from a state of permanent chaos. Central to this theory is the reality that the Kurds had long ago lost faith in prime minister Nouri al-Maliki's ability to serve either their interests or those of Iraq. | A third theory is that giving the Kurds the crown jewel of Kirkuk – capital of a region with huge oil reserves – would be the first step in a set of carefully choreographed moves to reframe relations between Baghdad and the Kurds and drag the dysfunctional country from a state of permanent chaos. Central to this theory is the reality that the Kurds had long ago lost faith in prime minister Nouri al-Maliki's ability to serve either their interests or those of Iraq. |
| Few of Iraq's Shia majority had much enthusiasm for the embattled leader, whose coalition won more seats than any other group in general elections seven weeks ago but nowhere near enough to secure a mandate. The result was sure to be many months of political stagnation. | Few of Iraq's Shia majority had much enthusiasm for the embattled leader, whose coalition won more seats than any other group in general elections seven weeks ago but nowhere near enough to secure a mandate. The result was sure to be many months of political stagnation. |
| Iran, weighed down in Syria and also disenchanted with Maliki, would not have cherished the prospect of its regional interests being threatened further by more political drift in Baghdad. | Iran, weighed down in Syria and also disenchanted with Maliki, would not have cherished the prospect of its regional interests being threatened further by more political drift in Baghdad. |
| Maliki seems to have next to no chance of forming a government. Diplomatic sources have confirmed to the Guardian in recent days that Washington has also lost faith in its former ally. Iran is yet to declare its hand, but has told Iraqi politicians that it has a list of four acceptable candidates to form a government: Maliki; the former prime minister Ibrahim al-Jaafari; Adel Abdul Mahdi, a senior political figure; or the former US ally and deputy prime minister Ahmed Chalabi. | Maliki seems to have next to no chance of forming a government. Diplomatic sources have confirmed to the Guardian in recent days that Washington has also lost faith in its former ally. Iran is yet to declare its hand, but has told Iraqi politicians that it has a list of four acceptable candidates to form a government: Maliki; the former prime minister Ibrahim al-Jaafari; Adel Abdul Mahdi, a senior political figure; or the former US ally and deputy prime minister Ahmed Chalabi. |
| Of the four, Chalabi has the support of many Kurdish leaders and has strong links to Iran. His links to Washington were severed more than a decade ago, after he helped persuade the Pentagon to invade Iraq. His return to political centre stage would be a remarkable twist in the contentious history of the former favourite of George W Bush. | Of the four, Chalabi has the support of many Kurdish leaders and has strong links to Iran. His links to Washington were severed more than a decade ago, after he helped persuade the Pentagon to invade Iraq. His return to political centre stage would be a remarkable twist in the contentious history of the former favourite of George W Bush. |
| "Maliki had no idea this was going to happen," said an Iraqi politician. "He was blindsided. But others weren't." | "Maliki had no idea this was going to happen," said an Iraqi politician. "He was blindsided. But others weren't." |
| Officers with Kurdish and Iraqi units say they are still trying to fathom what took place in the north – why the army was told to stand down, and who ultimately called the shots. A Kurdish secret police officer in Kirkuk said Iraqi officers started to flee the day before the city fell. By then, Islamic insurgents had taken Tikrit and Mosul and were on the move east. "We saw many Iraqi officers from Kirkuk mainly Arabs leaving the K1 base [the largest in northern Iraq]," he said. "We asked them why they were leaving when they were on alert. They all said they had orders from their superiors. The officers were leaving from afternoon until midnight. | |
| "The following day … when we asked them why they were leaving they said their officers had left the base and switched off their telephones." | "The following day … when we asked them why they were leaving they said their officers had left the base and switched off their telephones." |
| Shakhawan, a peshmerga fighter, said: "The night before [10 June] two Iraqi army outposts abandoned their positions in Kirkuk and we immediately moved in. A few days ago, my cousin who is also in the peshmerga saw an Iraqi army officer who came back to K1 because he had left some official documents. | Shakhawan, a peshmerga fighter, said: "The night before [10 June] two Iraqi army outposts abandoned their positions in Kirkuk and we immediately moved in. A few days ago, my cousin who is also in the peshmerga saw an Iraqi army officer who came back to K1 because he had left some official documents. |
| "The officer was so overwhelmed when he saw the state of the base that he started crying. He said they had orders from their superiors to abandon the base." | "The officer was so overwhelmed when he saw the state of the base that he started crying. He said they had orders from their superiors to abandon the base." |
| Three other Iraqi soldiers told similar stories. All had asked for answers from their superiors, but said they were starting to believe that the questions would be better answered by politicians in Baghdad, the Kurdish north - or Tehran. | Three other Iraqi soldiers told similar stories. All had asked for answers from their superiors, but said they were starting to believe that the questions would be better answered by politicians in Baghdad, the Kurdish north - or Tehran. |
| "This will all be sorted out sooner than most people think," a senior Iraqi official said. "And clarity will emerge from the mist of last week." | "This will all be sorted out sooner than most people think," a senior Iraqi official said. "And clarity will emerge from the mist of last week." |
| • This article was amended on 18 June 2014. The original version wrongly stated that Islamic insurgents had taken Kirkuk and Mosul, instead of Tikrit and Mosul. This has been corrected. |