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Turkey's fear of a reignited Kurdish flame | |
(1 day later) | |
Could Turkey be about to return to the bad old days of armed conflict with the Kurds? | Could Turkey be about to return to the bad old days of armed conflict with the Kurds? |
Troops on the streets, curfews for the first time in 22 years, protests in almost 30 cities and state buildings attacked - the situation is dangerous and escalating fast. | Troops on the streets, curfews for the first time in 22 years, protests in almost 30 cities and state buildings attacked - the situation is dangerous and escalating fast. |
Some of the fighting is among Kurds, between Turkey's Islamist Hezbollah group - which backs Islamic State (IS) - and supporters of the PKK, the banned Kurdistan Workers' Party, which is vehemently opposed to IS militants. | Some of the fighting is among Kurds, between Turkey's Islamist Hezbollah group - which backs Islamic State (IS) - and supporters of the PKK, the banned Kurdistan Workers' Party, which is vehemently opposed to IS militants. |
But the main protests - and the fiercest anger - are directed at the Turkish government. | But the main protests - and the fiercest anger - are directed at the Turkish government. |
Kurds feel Turkey sees them, rather than IS, as the real enemy. | Kurds feel Turkey sees them, rather than IS, as the real enemy. |
They are furious at Turkish troops blocking them from crossing over into Syria to fight with the Kurdish militia there, the YPG. | They are furious at Turkish troops blocking them from crossing over into Syria to fight with the Kurdish militia there, the YPG. |
And they believe Turkey would be happy to see the fall of Kobane if it meant Kurdish hopes for an autonomous entity in Syria went up in flames. | And they believe Turkey would be happy to see the fall of Kobane if it meant Kurdish hopes for an autonomous entity in Syria went up in flames. |
For now, Turkey refuses to budge. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan repeated yesterday that his country would only get more involved in Syria if the US-led coalition also targeted President Assad's regime, as well as IS. | For now, Turkey refuses to budge. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan repeated yesterday that his country would only get more involved in Syria if the US-led coalition also targeted President Assad's regime, as well as IS. |
And he said a no-fly zone had to be imposed to halt regime air strikes and help cope with the refugees. | And he said a no-fly zone had to be imposed to halt regime air strikes and help cope with the refugees. |
The US state department reiterated that the coalition was focused for now on IS alone. And so Turkish troops are unlikely to spring into action. | The US state department reiterated that the coalition was focused for now on IS alone. And so Turkish troops are unlikely to spring into action. |
Turkey turned against President Assad early on in the war, betting he would fall quickly. | Turkey turned against President Assad early on in the war, betting he would fall quickly. |
But in so doing, Ankara was widely criticised for taking an "anyone but Assad" policy, backing armed groups which became ever more extreme. | But in so doing, Ankara was widely criticised for taking an "anyone but Assad" policy, backing armed groups which became ever more extreme. |
An Islamist-leaning government here was seen as uncomfortably close to the Sunni Islamist militants in Syria, with weapons, fighters and resources crossing a once-porous border. | An Islamist-leaning government here was seen as uncomfortably close to the Sunni Islamist militants in Syria, with weapons, fighters and resources crossing a once-porous border. |
The Turkish government has, it appears, belatedly woken up to the threat posed by IS - mainly after the group kidnapped 46 Turkish citizens in June, holding them for more than 100 days. | The Turkish government has, it appears, belatedly woken up to the threat posed by IS - mainly after the group kidnapped 46 Turkish citizens in June, holding them for more than 100 days. |
But critics believe Ankara is still not serious about tackling the extremists. | But critics believe Ankara is still not serious about tackling the extremists. |
"For us, the PKK and Isil are the same," said President Erdogan this week, using another term for Islamic State. | "For us, the PKK and Isil are the same," said President Erdogan this week, using another term for Islamic State. |
"It is wrong to consider them as different from each other." | "It is wrong to consider them as different from each other." |
The bitter legacy of conflict between the Turkish state and the Kurdish minority here goes a long way towards explaining Turkey's inaction in Kobane. | The bitter legacy of conflict between the Turkish state and the Kurdish minority here goes a long way towards explaining Turkey's inaction in Kobane. |
Ankara fears helping the Kurdish militia in Syria, which is closely allied to the PKK, itself still labelled a terrorist organisation by the West. | Ankara fears helping the Kurdish militia in Syria, which is closely allied to the PKK, itself still labelled a terrorist organisation by the West. |
Some 40,000 people were killed in the Kurdish insurgency here from the 1980s on, and although a peace process with the Turkish government was launched recently, it is fragile. | Some 40,000 people were killed in the Kurdish insurgency here from the 1980s on, and although a peace process with the Turkish government was launched recently, it is fragile. |
The crisis in Kobane has shaken it dramatically. | The crisis in Kobane has shaken it dramatically. |
Abdullah Ocalan, the imprisoned leader of the PKK, has said if Kobane falls to IS, it will spell the end of the peace process. | Abdullah Ocalan, the imprisoned leader of the PKK, has said if Kobane falls to IS, it will spell the end of the peace process. |
President Erdogan has invested considerable political capital in a Kurdish settlement. With parliamentary elections looming next year, his government fears a backlash if peace breaks down. | President Erdogan has invested considerable political capital in a Kurdish settlement. With parliamentary elections looming next year, his government fears a backlash if peace breaks down. |
And so Turkey is at a critical juncture in its much-criticised Syria policy - failure to intervene in Kobane could feed spiralling protests, strain already tense relations with Washington and sound the death knell for long-lasting peace with the Kurds. | And so Turkey is at a critical juncture in its much-criticised Syria policy - failure to intervene in Kobane could feed spiralling protests, strain already tense relations with Washington and sound the death knell for long-lasting peace with the Kurds. |
Sending in troops could prompt retaliation by militants across a long and vulnerable border or against Turkish soldiers guarding an Ottoman tomb in Syria, to which IS is said to be close. | Sending in troops could prompt retaliation by militants across a long and vulnerable border or against Turkish soldiers guarding an Ottoman tomb in Syria, to which IS is said to be close. |
Turkey is already embroiled in the chaos south of the border and 180,000 refugees have flooded in from Kobane. | Turkey is already embroiled in the chaos south of the border and 180,000 refugees have flooded in from Kobane. |
But the impact has spread fast and risks reigniting flames that this country will struggle to put out. | But the impact has spread fast and risks reigniting flames that this country will struggle to put out. |