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Scottish devolution: Smith Commission to recommend tax powers Scottish devolution: Smith Commission to recommend tax powers
(about 1 hour later)
The commission on devolving powers to the Scottish Parliament is to recommend it has full control over income tax rates and bands, the BBC understands.The commission on devolving powers to the Scottish Parliament is to recommend it has full control over income tax rates and bands, the BBC understands.
But the report is not expected to call for personal allowances - the threshold at which tax is paid - to be devolved.But the report is not expected to call for personal allowances - the threshold at which tax is paid - to be devolved.
The Smith Commission, which was set up after the "No" vote in the independence referendum, reached an agreement at its final meeting in Edinburgh.The Smith Commission, which was set up after the "No" vote in the independence referendum, reached an agreement at its final meeting in Edinburgh.
The full report will be published on Thursday morning.The full report will be published on Thursday morning.
'Suffer the wrath''Suffer the wrath'
The UK government, which set up the commission, has promised to use its conclusions to boost devolution.The UK government, which set up the commission, has promised to use its conclusions to boost devolution.
It is thought the Smith Commission will also recommend "a substantial package of welfare powers".It is thought the Smith Commission will also recommend "a substantial package of welfare powers".
However, sources have told the BBC that other taxes such as VAT will not be devolved. Sources close to the talks said it would also recommend the devolution of Air Passenger Duty.
However, sources have told the BBC that other taxes such as VAT would not be devolved.
Analysis
By Glenn Campbell, BBC Scotland political correspondent
The Smith commission on further devolution has concluded its talks with the five political parties represented in the Scottish Parliament.
They have reached agreement on a package of additional powers, which is to be announced in Edinburgh on Thursday.
The commission's recommendations are expected to include:
- the full devolution of income tax rates and bands, with the personal allowance (the threshold above which tax is paid) continuing to be set by the UK government
- assigning a proportion of the VAT revenues raised in Scotland to the Scottish budget
- giving Holyrood control of air passenger duty and - eventually - the aggregates tax
- devolving welfare measures including attendance allowance, carers' allowance and some cold weather payments
- retaining UK control of all the benefits being merged into universal credit, while introducing some devolved flexibility over aspects such as the frequency of payments
- devolving the work programme
- putting Holyrood in charge of its own elections, which could allow MSPs to give 16 and 17 year olds a vote in the 2016 Scottish Parliament election
Speaking earlier, Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said it would "suffer the wrath" of voters if it failed to deliver.Speaking earlier, Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said it would "suffer the wrath" of voters if it failed to deliver.
The recommendations of the commission, chaired by Lord Smith of Kelvin, are to form the basis of UK government legislation on more Scottish powers, although they would not be delivered until after the Westminster election, in May 2015.The recommendations of the commission, chaired by Lord Smith of Kelvin, are to form the basis of UK government legislation on more Scottish powers, although they would not be delivered until after the Westminster election, in May 2015.
Scottish Secretary Alistair Carmichael said the commitment to further devolution was made in good faith and that the timetable previously outlined would be adhered to.Scottish Secretary Alistair Carmichael said the commitment to further devolution was made in good faith and that the timetable previously outlined would be adhered to.
Ms Sturgeon said she had high hopes for the commission's report, but told the BBC: "If those high hopes are not delivered on, it won't be me the unionist parties have to worry about - it will be the wrath of the Scottish people."Ms Sturgeon said she had high hopes for the commission's report, but told the BBC: "If those high hopes are not delivered on, it won't be me the unionist parties have to worry about - it will be the wrath of the Scottish people."
The first minister said devolution of income tax without control over the personal allowance - which she said was needed to tackle poverty - would be a "serious failure".The first minister said devolution of income tax without control over the personal allowance - which she said was needed to tackle poverty - would be a "serious failure".
She added: "How can anybody argue that anything less than controlling half of your own tax base adds up to meaningful home rule?"She added: "How can anybody argue that anything less than controlling half of your own tax base adds up to meaningful home rule?"
Analysis
By Andrew Black, BBC Scotland political reporter
After pouring over 380 submissions from the likes of businesses and charities and some 14,000 emails and letters from the public, the commission into more powers for the Scottish Parliament is ready to publish its blueprint.
Its chair, Lord Smith of Kelvin, has been locked in intensive talks with representatives of Holyrood's five parties to thrash out an agreement which will form the basis of an enhanced devolution settlement - as was promised by David Cameron in return for a "No" vote ahead of September's independence referendum.
These talks have been taking place in near-lockdown conditions, but it seems clear the main focus on what's eventually announced will be on the devolution of more tax and financial powers.
Each of the Scottish Parliament parties - Labour, the Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens, as well as the Scottish government - have put forward their own suggestions.
But as the need to compromise has reared its head, the pro-Union parties are likely to agree to more extensive devolution than they originally proposed.
The Lib Dems, for example, have moved from backing a single, UK-wide welfare system to wanting "major" welfare powers for Scotland.
And it looks like original the position of the currently leaderless Scottish Labour Party, which said the Scottish Parliament should control 15p of the basic rate of income tax, has been overtaken by leadership candidate Jim Murphy's call for full income tax devolution.
But however far it goes, the package is unlikely to satisfy Scotland's SNP government which, despite the outcome of the referendum, has no intention of abandoning its drive for full independence.