D.C. area forecast: Light snow dusted parts of D.C. area this morning; not as cold heading into holiday weekend

http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-area-forecast-close-call-with-light-snow-and-sleet-this-morning-not-as-cold-heading-into-holilday-weekend/2015/01/14/abaeede0-331d-42b8-84d7-dd2185627e7b_story.html?wprss=rss_homepage

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* Winter weather advisory until 1 p.m. in Prince George’s County and 3 p.m. in Southern Maryland (map) | Closings and delays | Snowfall totals *

10:05 a.m. update: Much of snow and mixed precipitation continues to focus in Southern Maryland which is taking the brunt of this storm. A solid snow band is impacting northern Charles County around Waldorf and sliding into southeast Prince George’s County. Reports from St. Mary’s County indicate some treacherous conditions from mixed precipitation (snow, sleet, and freezing rain).  This region will remain the trouble spot through early afternoon.  Elsewhere, some brief light snow or flurries could develop through midday, but nothing significant.

@capitalweather in hollywood saint Mary's county it's freezing drizzle sleet mix. Everythin glazed. Slick roads. pic.twitter.com/kEqEuTte1b — Westly Sims (@WestlySims) January 14, 2015

@capitalweather in hollywood saint Mary's county it's freezing drizzle sleet mix. Everythin glazed. Slick roads. pic.twitter.com/kEqEuTte1b

— Westly Sims (@WestlySims) January 14, 2015

9:05 a.m. Update: The winter weather advisory has been dropped for the north suburbs, but remains in effect until noon for Fairfax County, D.C., Prince George’s County and points south. A few more flurries or snow showers are still possible through the morning hours, and could still be capable of a brief dusting, mainly from I-66/D.C./Rt 50 and to the south. Accumulating snow not quite done in Southern Maryland (Charles and St. Mary’s counties) and in Stafford County, but should wind down there around 10-11 a.m.

7:15 a.m. Update: Snow has mostly dissipated across the D.C. metro area. That should be about it except for a few lingering flurries, especially at the moment in northern Montgomery County. However, light snow is still falling to the south, from Stafford County east into Charles County, and especially in St. Mary’s and southern Calvert counties. Looks like those areas will end up with a half-inch to 2 inches before snow (and some freezing rain) tapers off over the next hour, perhaps lasting until around 9 a.m. in St. Mary’s County.

Leonardtown, MD Just about a inch and a Half of Snow. pic.twitter.com/0TtRLJeoTb — SouthernMD WX & NEWS (@SOMDWxNews) January 14, 2015

Leonardtown, MD Just about a inch and a Half of Snow. pic.twitter.com/0TtRLJeoTb

— SouthernMD WX & NEWS (@SOMDWxNews) January 14, 2015

@capitalweather Snow in St. Mary’s county pic.twitter.com/mtyWjc9cWc — Amelia Dudey (@Jshaden) January 14, 2015

@capitalweather Snow in St. Mary’s county pic.twitter.com/mtyWjc9cWc

— Amelia Dudey (@Jshaden) January 14, 2015

6:45 a.m. Update: In D.C., and across parts of Fairfax, Prince William, Fauquier and Stafford counties, we’ve seen a dusting to a coating of snow so far. Snow has been steadier and heavier in Southern Maryland, where around a half-inch to 1″ has fallen in spots across southern Charles, Calvert and St. Mary’s counties. Much of Louduoun, Mongtomery, Prince George’s, Anne Arundel counties and points north have seen just flurries. We don’t expect more more in the way of accumulation from here on out, except for another half-inch or so possible in lower Southern Maryland. Any meaningful snow should exit the area by around 8 a.m.

RT @DildineWTOP: Dusting of snow grain crystals in Tenley. Wisconsin Ave wet, treated. #WTOP pic.twitter.com/84RFojCF9P — Capital Weather Gang (@capitalweather) January 14, 2015

RT @DildineWTOP: Dusting of snow grain crystals in Tenley. Wisconsin Ave wet, treated. #WTOP pic.twitter.com/84RFojCF9P

— Capital Weather Gang (@capitalweather) January 14, 2015

6:10 a.m. Update: We have the unusual situation with this system where the District has a dusting while much of Montgomery and Loudoun counties still have bare ground. Looking at current radar (see below), snow is having and will have the most impact southwest of D.C. and in Southern Maryland. Again, we expect the light snow to move out of the area after 8 a.m. or so. But a few flurries or snow showers could linger through the morning.

Judging by current radar, snow is having and will have most impact SW of DC and in Southern MD: http://t.co/NfT6d3SqA2 — Capital Weather Gang (@capitalweather) January 14, 2015

Judging by current radar, snow is having and will have most impact SW of DC and in Southern MD: http://t.co/NfT6d3SqA2

— Capital Weather Gang (@capitalweather) January 14, 2015

5:30 a.m. Update: Snow is falling and has accumulated to at least a dusting across much of the area. The snow has been most consistent so far in Fauquier, Prince William, and southern Fairfax counties, inside the Beltway and in D.C., southern Montgomery County, and in Southern Maryland (Charles, St. Mary’s and Calvert counties). We expect up to around 1″ across much of the area, except maybe less for Loudoun, northern Montgomery, northern Howard, northern Carroll counties and points north. A bit more, up to around 2″, is possible in Southern Maryland. Snow should taper off everywhere after around 8 a.m. Many schools are delayed with a few closed. See the full list.

@capitalweather dusting of #snow in Lynchburg, Va roads are covered w/ice and snow and very slick conditions pic.twitter.com/sBHpr1wAeH — Kevin J Struble,CPSM (@kevinjstruble) January 14, 2015

@capitalweather dusting of #snow in Lynchburg, Va roads are covered w/ice and snow and very slick conditions pic.twitter.com/sBHpr1wAeH

— Kevin J Struble,CPSM (@kevinjstruble) January 14, 2015

From 5 a.m….

TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

3/10: Very cold with a close call between a brush-away dusting and a more impactful coating of snow for AM commute.

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Chance of morning snow. Highs: Upper 20s to low 30s. Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Lows: 20s. Tomorrow: Partly sunny. Highs: Upper 30s to low 40s.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Here we are again with Mother Nature threatening to disrupt a morning commute. Whether we end up with just flurries, or up to an inch or two of snow, it’s going to be a cold day regardless, so bundle up. We’ll warm up a bit starting tomorrow and the holiday weekend looks fairly decent for Saturday and Monday, but with some questions for Sunday into Sunday night.

Today (Wednesday): We’ve got a shot at anything from flurries to a period of light snow this morning, primarily between 4 a.m. and 10 a.m., with an increasing chance of accumulation the further south and southeast you are from the District. Temperatures are cold — ranging from near 20 to the mid-20s this morning — so anything more than a flurry will accumulate on all surfaces. Some sleet may mix in as well. Any precipitation should come to an end by afternoon as highs only reach the upper 20s to low 30s under cloudy skies. Confidence: Low-Medium

Tonight: Mostly cloudy skies help insulate us a bit, which means we shouldn’t be quite as cold as last night. Lows settle back into the 20s area-wide, with a light wind from the north. Confidence: High

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend…

Tomorrow (Thursday): Well it’s not exactly warm. But we do begin a bit of a warming trend with highs heading for the upper 30s to low 40s. Couple that with light winds and we have ourselves a decent day out there. Plus, clouds may break up just enough for partly sunny skies. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: Thursday night looks entirely uneventful in the weather department. Mostly clear skies and light winds provide the backdrop for lows in the mid-20s to near 30. Confidence: High

A LOOK AHEAD

Friday and Saturday are looking pretty good from this vantage point. Friday may be a bit breezy, but otherwise we’re talking partly to mostly sunny skies and highs in the 40s. Look for Friday night lows in the 20s, followed by Saturday night lows in the 30s with increasing clouds. Confidence: Medium-High

We may see a system try to spin up off the coast on Sunday. Right now we’re not including any precipitation in our forecast for Sunday into Sunday night, but might have to reconsider if something develops close enough to the coast. Most likely precipitation type would be rain or a bit of mixed precipitation, with Sunday highs in the mid-40s to low 50s, and Sunday night lows in the 30s. Confidence: Low-Medium

The early read on MLK Monday is breezy and colder with highs in the upper 30s to mid-40s. Confidence: Medium

SNOW POTENTIAL INDEX A daily assessment of the potential for at least 1 inch of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale.

4/10 (↑): Anything from a trace to an inch or so in play this morning. Best chance of 1″ south and southeast of D.C.