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Cameron is not asking the big question on Islamic State | Cameron is not asking the big question on Islamic State |
(about 14 hours later) | |
The continued rise of violent, anti-Western, Islamic fundamentalism is one of the defining challenges of our time. | The continued rise of violent, anti-Western, Islamic fundamentalism is one of the defining challenges of our time. |
There is no lack of emotive words and stirring phrases from politicians around the world - it is questionable if they have a coherent strategy to counter it. | There is no lack of emotive words and stirring phrases from politicians around the world - it is questionable if they have a coherent strategy to counter it. |
The horror in Tunisia came a few days before the 10th anniversary of the London bombings, which killed 52 people and injured about 700. | The horror in Tunisia came a few days before the 10th anniversary of the London bombings, which killed 52 people and injured about 700. |
This year, there have also been shootings at the Charlie Hebdo office in Paris and a cafe in Denmark. | This year, there have also been shootings at the Charlie Hebdo office in Paris and a cafe in Denmark. |
But most of the victims of Islamist attacks are Muslims, in the Middle East. | But most of the victims of Islamist attacks are Muslims, in the Middle East. |
Last week, 27 died in the bombing of a mosque in Kuwait, and about 140 civilians were murdered in the Kurdish Syrian town of Kobane. | Last week, 27 died in the bombing of a mosque in Kuwait, and about 140 civilians were murdered in the Kurdish Syrian town of Kobane. |
Every year, the threat gets more serious, more brutal and, to some, more attractive. | Every year, the threat gets more serious, more brutal and, to some, more attractive. |
'Existential threat' | 'Existential threat' |
The UK Prime Minister, David Cameron, says he believes this is "the struggle of our generation" and it can be beaten, over time, if we "show extraordinary resolve and strength". | The UK Prime Minister, David Cameron, says he believes this is "the struggle of our generation" and it can be beaten, over time, if we "show extraordinary resolve and strength". |
Mr Cameron has also said that Islamic State (IS) is a "perversion of the religion of Islam" - a "poisonous death cult" that poses an "existential threat". | |
One has to have a fairly lurid imagination to envision that IS could snuff out the UK. | One has to have a fairly lurid imagination to envision that IS could snuff out the UK. |
If it really were on the cards, if the flag of IS could one day flutter over Downing Street, if Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi poses the same level of threat to our nation as Hitler or Napoleon once did, you might expect some pretty dramatic, out-of-the-box thinking to be on display. | If it really were on the cards, if the flag of IS could one day flutter over Downing Street, if Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi poses the same level of threat to our nation as Hitler or Napoleon once did, you might expect some pretty dramatic, out-of-the-box thinking to be on display. |
Mr Cameron's proposals for "a full spectrum response" are very familiar - this of course does not make them wrong, but the portentous pronouncements do not seemed to be matched with radical policies. | Mr Cameron's proposals for "a full spectrum response" are very familiar - this of course does not make them wrong, but the portentous pronouncements do not seemed to be matched with radical policies. |
We have heard about increased security, more intelligence, a pinch of military action, and a long-lasting battle of values before. | We have heard about increased security, more intelligence, a pinch of military action, and a long-lasting battle of values before. |
It is perhaps telling that Mr Cameron objects to the BBC using the phrase "Islamic State", he prefers Isil - which stands for Islamic State in the Levant - or the preface "so-called". | It is perhaps telling that Mr Cameron objects to the BBC using the phrase "Islamic State", he prefers Isil - which stands for Islamic State in the Levant - or the preface "so-called". |
No doubt there will be a big debate about this, but personally I loathe that phrase. | No doubt there will be a big debate about this, but personally I loathe that phrase. |
It is only used in ordinary conversation in scorn: "Your so-called girlfriend." | It is only used in ordinary conversation in scorn: "Your so-called girlfriend." |
And, it seems to me, once we start passing comment on the accuracy of the names people call their organisations, we will constantly be expected to make value judgements. Is China really a "People's Republic"? | And, it seems to me, once we start passing comment on the accuracy of the names people call their organisations, we will constantly be expected to make value judgements. Is China really a "People's Republic"? |
After the Scottish referendum, is the UK only the "so-called United Kingdom"? With the Greek debacle, there is not much sign of "European Union". | After the Scottish referendum, is the UK only the "so-called United Kingdom"? With the Greek debacle, there is not much sign of "European Union". |
But it also obscures an important truth. | But it also obscures an important truth. |
Critically, IS has ambitions to rule, not just destroy. | Critically, IS has ambitions to rule, not just destroy. |
It controls vast areas of Syria and Iraq and has more than mere footholds in Libya, Yemen and Nigeria. | It controls vast areas of Syria and Iraq and has more than mere footholds in Libya, Yemen and Nigeria. |
'A state of mind' | 'A state of mind' |
However understandable the desire to hold the words "Islamic State" at arm's length, using the verbal rubber gloves of "so-called", the name itself is doubly appropriate. | However understandable the desire to hold the words "Islamic State" at arm's length, using the verbal rubber gloves of "so-called", the name itself is doubly appropriate. |
An aspiration to be not simply a nation state but a supranational one - a worldwide caliphate, it is also a state of mind - an inspiration to lone wolves and those who want to travel to join the pack, from mad malcontents to the deeply disconnected. | An aspiration to be not simply a nation state but a supranational one - a worldwide caliphate, it is also a state of mind - an inspiration to lone wolves and those who want to travel to join the pack, from mad malcontents to the deeply disconnected. |
And, paradoxically, the fact that "Islamic State" is a geographical and political entity makes it easier to imagine its collapse or destruction. | And, paradoxically, the fact that "Islamic State" is a geographical and political entity makes it easier to imagine its collapse or destruction. |
Mr Cameron talks of air strikes squeezing IS at source - although, of course, the Iraqi source, not the Syrian one. | Mr Cameron talks of air strikes squeezing IS at source - although, of course, the Iraqi source, not the Syrian one. |
The state of mind that allows IS to grow is potentially more problematic and could well flourish even if Islamic State were to be beaten in Syria and Iraq. | The state of mind that allows IS to grow is potentially more problematic and could well flourish even if Islamic State were to be beaten in Syria and Iraq. |
Mr Cameron has talked of taking on an extremist narrative that falls short of advocating violence at home. | Mr Cameron has talked of taking on an extremist narrative that falls short of advocating violence at home. |
If the effort is focused on Bradford that is one thing - if he is telling allies in Saudi Arabia and Pakistan to abandon core beliefs, that is a far more serious attempt to deal with the roots of the problems. | If the effort is focused on Bradford that is one thing - if he is telling allies in Saudi Arabia and Pakistan to abandon core beliefs, that is a far more serious attempt to deal with the roots of the problems. |
Maj Gen Tim Cross, the most senior British solider to serve in the reconstruction of Iraq, sees IS as an organisation with imperial ambitions, a deliberate attempt to reconstruct the Ottoman Empire, growing against the background of a historic clash between Saudi Arabia and Iran, Sunnis and Shia. | Maj Gen Tim Cross, the most senior British solider to serve in the reconstruction of Iraq, sees IS as an organisation with imperial ambitions, a deliberate attempt to reconstruct the Ottoman Empire, growing against the background of a historic clash between Saudi Arabia and Iran, Sunnis and Shia. |
'Western aversion' | 'Western aversion' |
He says regional powers have to engage more and rich individuals, if not governments, are "feeding the tiger" of radicalism. | He says regional powers have to engage more and rich individuals, if not governments, are "feeding the tiger" of radicalism. |
"They've got to take it seriously, got to get engaged - this is not a small number of nihilists, it is a deeply ingrained issue," he says. | "They've got to take it seriously, got to get engaged - this is not a small number of nihilists, it is a deeply ingrained issue," he says. |
He makes the point that this could be the Middle East's version of Europe's 30-year war - not just that it was a lengthy religious war that killed a quarter of the population, but that it eventually did end in a peace deal, which created modern Europe. | He makes the point that this could be the Middle East's version of Europe's 30-year war - not just that it was a lengthy religious war that killed a quarter of the population, but that it eventually did end in a peace deal, which created modern Europe. |
But there is a critical element that is often ignored, a Western aversion to what should be obvious and beyond debate - the appeal of IS is not just an increasingly violent and fundamentalist interpretation of a religion, not just a retreat into the values of the past in the face of the shock of modernity, but an explicitly political reaction to the actions of the West. | But there is a critical element that is often ignored, a Western aversion to what should be obvious and beyond debate - the appeal of IS is not just an increasingly violent and fundamentalist interpretation of a religion, not just a retreat into the values of the past in the face of the shock of modernity, but an explicitly political reaction to the actions of the West. |
What does IS want? | What does IS want? |
What is Islamic State? | What is Islamic State? |
Former Prime Minister Tony Blair rightly said that al-Qaeda had been around before the invasion of Iraq. | Former Prime Minister Tony Blair rightly said that al-Qaeda had been around before the invasion of Iraq. |
But it was not in that country and IS did not exist - nor was there the steady growth of lone wolves in the West. | But it was not in that country and IS did not exist - nor was there the steady growth of lone wolves in the West. |
Of course, this is not all about Iraq but a wider perception of Western policy that goes very much further back. | Of course, this is not all about Iraq but a wider perception of Western policy that goes very much further back. |
Radical, anti-colonial Islamic movements were around in the 19th Century - Gen Charles Gordon fell at Khartoum at the hands of one of them. | Radical, anti-colonial Islamic movements were around in the 19th Century - Gen Charles Gordon fell at Khartoum at the hands of one of them. |
This is not to argue what is right or wrong or how policymakers should deal with this sentiment. | This is not to argue what is right or wrong or how policymakers should deal with this sentiment. |
But to deny it is foolish. | But to deny it is foolish. |
The West's relationship with Islamic radicalism and the Middle East in general has some of the deep resonance of quantum entanglement and is about as easy to understand. | The West's relationship with Islamic radicalism and the Middle East in general has some of the deep resonance of quantum entanglement and is about as easy to understand. |
But learning some lessons may be critical for all our futures. | But learning some lessons may be critical for all our futures. |