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Clinton: Jeb Bush 'must not have met many American workers' – live Scott Walker prepares to unveil presidential bid at Wisconsin rally – live
(35 minutes later)
3.04pm ET20:04
Harry Enten of fivethirtyeight.com is rooting around in some new polling numbers pertaining to the Republican field, where presidential candidate Donald Trump has lately gone on a bit of a tear.
A Monmouth University poll released Monday found that Trump had exhibited the largest post-announcement bump in the field, up 11 points from just two. The survey, conducted by telephone from July 9 to 12 with a sample of 336 registered voters who identified themselves as Republicans or Republican-leaning, had the top three rankings as Jeb Bush (15%), Donald Trump (13%) and Ted Cruz (9%).
“The biggest poll bump over the past few weeks has been for Donald Trump,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ. “But you’ve got to wonder if his support has already plateaued since many Republican voters don’t view him as a serious candidate.”
Enten averages three live-interviewer polls since what he calls the Trump “surge”. Christie is not looking great:
In an average of the three live-interviewer polls post-Trump surge, Chris Christie is in 11th place (i.e. no debate). pic.twitter.com/FNky9d7dRh
(h/t: @kaylaepstein)
2.38pm ET19:38
Here’s where Scott Walker is going after he makes his big announcement tonight:
Want to catch Scott Walker at one of his campaign stops this week. Here's how: http://t.co/33Xg4jGMY4 #Walker16 pic.twitter.com/a8yBP1DPSc
2.36pm ET19:36
Summary
As our live blog coverage of the day in politics continues, here’s a summary of where things stand:
Updated at 2.41pm ET
2.05pm ET19:052.05pm ET19:05
Hillary Clinton today positioned herself as the defender of unions who will fight Republicans’ “mean-spirited, misguided attacks” on workers’ rights, writes the Guardian’s Jana Kasperkevic (@kasperka):Hillary Clinton today positioned herself as the defender of unions who will fight Republicans’ “mean-spirited, misguided attacks” on workers’ rights, writes the Guardian’s Jana Kasperkevic (@kasperka):
“Evidence shows that the decline of union may be responsible for the third of the increase of inequality among men,” Clinton said. “So if we want to get serious about raising incomes we have to get serious about supporting union workers.”“Evidence shows that the decline of union may be responsible for the third of the increase of inequality among men,” Clinton said. “So if we want to get serious about raising incomes we have to get serious about supporting union workers.”
Unions have warned that they would not automatically endorse Clinton in the 2016 election.Unions have warned that they would not automatically endorse Clinton in the 2016 election.
“We are going to hold everyone to a single standard right now,” AFL-CIO president Richard Trumka said in an interview with the Guardian earlier this year. “It’s not just talking about ending income inequality and how you have to raise wages and how they feel our pain. We are going to hold them to a standard that says: ‘Ok, what are you going to do about it?’ And Democrats, Independents and Republicans are going to have to answer that question for the American workers.”“We are going to hold everyone to a single standard right now,” AFL-CIO president Richard Trumka said in an interview with the Guardian earlier this year. “It’s not just talking about ending income inequality and how you have to raise wages and how they feel our pain. We are going to hold them to a standard that says: ‘Ok, what are you going to do about it?’ And Democrats, Independents and Republicans are going to have to answer that question for the American workers.”
To begin its formal process of selecting the candidate for its endorsement, the AFL-CIO has sent questionnaires to “announced and anticipated candidates”.To begin its formal process of selecting the candidate for its endorsement, the AFL-CIO has sent questionnaires to “announced and anticipated candidates”.
Clinton is among those who has filled out the questionnaire and has been invited to meet with the AFL-CIO executive council. Other invited candidates include senator Bernie Sanders, former governor Martin O’Malley and former governor Mike Huckabee.Clinton is among those who has filled out the questionnaire and has been invited to meet with the AFL-CIO executive council. Other invited candidates include senator Bernie Sanders, former governor Martin O’Malley and former governor Mike Huckabee.
11.32am ET16:3211.32am ET16:32
She didn’t wave a literal pitchfork but Clinton’s attack on Wall Street thieves did have long needly tines. “While institutions have paid large fines... too often it seems that the individuals responsible get off with limited consequences... and pocket the gains,” she said.She didn’t wave a literal pitchfork but Clinton’s attack on Wall Street thieves did have long needly tines. “While institutions have paid large fines... too often it seems that the individuals responsible get off with limited consequences... and pocket the gains,” she said.
> @GlennThrush: Big swipe at Obama/Holder: @HillaryClinton calls for "criminal" prosecutions of Wall Street evildoers -#> @GlennThrush: Big swipe at Obama/Holder: @HillaryClinton calls for "criminal" prosecutions of Wall Street evildoers -#
Will this endanger the healthy love on Wall Street for candidate Clinton? Or is it wink-wink nudge-nudge among people whose yearly incomes bounce around inside eight figures?Will this endanger the healthy love on Wall Street for candidate Clinton? Or is it wink-wink nudge-nudge among people whose yearly incomes bounce around inside eight figures?
11.20am ET16:2011.20am ET16:20
AFL-CIO: 'Scott Walker is a national disgrace'AFL-CIO: 'Scott Walker is a national disgrace'
The AFL-CIO has released a statement on the Scott Walker candidacy. It’s short:The AFL-CIO has released a statement on the Scott Walker candidacy. It’s short:
My full statement on Scott Walker's upcoming announcement that he's running for president: "Scott Walker is a national disgrace."My full statement on Scott Walker's upcoming announcement that he's running for president: "Scott Walker is a national disgrace."
(hat tip please to @kasperka)(hat tip please to @kasperka)
Updated at 1.20pm ETUpdated at 1.20pm ET
11.14am ET16:1411.14am ET16:14
Last week, Republican candidate Jeb Bush said that, given that “workforce participation has to rise from its all-time modern lows,” “people need to work longer hours and, through their productivity, gain more income for their families”.Last week, Republican candidate Jeb Bush said that, given that “workforce participation has to rise from its all-time modern lows,” “people need to work longer hours and, through their productivity, gain more income for their families”.
Clinton took a swing at that softball today. Here’s a transcription of what Clinton had to say about Bush (shorter version here):Clinton took a swing at that softball today. Here’s a transcription of what Clinton had to say about Bush (shorter version here):
You may have heard Governor Bush say last week that Americans just need to work longer hours. Well, he must not have met many American workers.You may have heard Governor Bush say last week that Americans just need to work longer hours. Well, he must not have met many American workers.
“Let him tell that to the nurse who stands on her feet all day, or the teacher who is in that classroom, or the trucker who drives all night. Let him tell that the fast-food workers marching in the streets for better pay.“Let him tell that to the nurse who stands on her feet all day, or the teacher who is in that classroom, or the trucker who drives all night. Let him tell that the fast-food workers marching in the streets for better pay.
“They don’t need a lecture. They need a raise.”“They don’t need a lecture. They need a raise.”
11.04am ET16:0411.04am ET16:04
In the interest of continuity between the Clinton event, just wrapped, and the Scott Walker announcement this evening, we wanted to go back and transcribe Clinton’s comments about Walker more fully.In the interest of continuity between the Clinton event, just wrapped, and the Scott Walker announcement this evening, we wanted to go back and transcribe Clinton’s comments about Walker more fully.
Was it a coincidence that so many of the policy priorities outlined by Clinton – increased workforce participation by women, paid sick leave, child care support, equal pay, union health – read like a counterpoint to Walker’s legacy in Wisconsin?Was it a coincidence that so many of the policy priorities outlined by Clinton – increased workforce participation by women, paid sick leave, child care support, equal pay, union health – read like a counterpoint to Walker’s legacy in Wisconsin?
She mentioned him by name only once:She mentioned him by name only once:
Alongside tax reform, it’s time to stand up to efforts across our country to undermine worker bargaining power, which has been proven again and again to drive up wages.Alongside tax reform, it’s time to stand up to efforts across our country to undermine worker bargaining power, which has been proven again and again to drive up wages.
Republican governors like Scott Walker have made their names stomping on workers’ rights, and practically all the Republican candidates hope to do the same as president. I will fight back against these mean-spirited, misguided attacks.”Republican governors like Scott Walker have made their names stomping on workers’ rights, and practically all the Republican candidates hope to do the same as president. I will fight back against these mean-spirited, misguided attacks.”
10.53am ET15:5310.53am ET15:53
Clinton winds toward her conclusion on the three points: “strong, fair and long-term growth.”Clinton winds toward her conclusion on the three points: “strong, fair and long-term growth.”
“I’m running for president to build an America for tomorrow, not yesterday,” she says.“I’m running for president to build an America for tomorrow, not yesterday,” she says.
Heckler! Somebody in the hall starts to harangue her right as she builds toward her rhetorical climax.Heckler! Somebody in the hall starts to harangue her right as she builds toward her rhetorical climax.
The crowd claps and cheers the heckler down and out.The crowd claps and cheers the heckler down and out.
Clinton smiles and wraps up: “I want every child in the country – not just the granddaughter of a president, or a secretary of state – to live up to his or her god-given potential. Please join me in that mission. Let’s do it together. Thank you all so much!”Clinton smiles and wraps up: “I want every child in the country – not just the granddaughter of a president, or a secretary of state – to live up to his or her god-given potential. Please join me in that mission. Let’s do it together. Thank you all so much!”
She walks off the stage to “Brave” by Sara Bareilles.She walks off the stage to “Brave” by Sara Bareilles.
10.50am ET15:5010.50am ET15:50
Clinton: 'Too big to fail is still a big problem'Clinton: 'Too big to fail is still a big problem'
Clinton pivots to some pretty pointed talk about reining in Wall Street – the sharpest such talk we’ve heard from her this cycle.Clinton pivots to some pretty pointed talk about reining in Wall Street – the sharpest such talk we’ve heard from her this cycle.
In particular, she says that individual bankers, the people involved, have gotten off too easily for financial crimes. Then she says, “under my watch, this will change.”In particular, she says that individual bankers, the people involved, have gotten off too easily for financial crimes. Then she says, “under my watch, this will change.”
Was that a promise to imprison white-collar criminals? It’s a significant contrast with what Jeb Bush said on the issue last month:Was that a promise to imprison white-collar criminals? It’s a significant contrast with what Jeb Bush said on the issue last month:
If people committed crimes, fine,” Bush said. “We’re in year six of the recovery, and if they can’t identify people that committed crimes, there may be a reason for it. I don’t know.”If people committed crimes, fine,” Bush said. “We’re in year six of the recovery, and if they can’t identify people that committed crimes, there may be a reason for it. I don’t know.”
Clinton’s tack is the opposite. She lists examples of financial skullduggery: “HSBC allowing drug cartels to launder money. Five major banks pleading guilty to felony charges... there can be no justification or tolerance for this kind of criminal behavior.”Clinton’s tack is the opposite. She lists examples of financial skullduggery: “HSBC allowing drug cartels to launder money. Five major banks pleading guilty to felony charges... there can be no justification or tolerance for this kind of criminal behavior.”
Then she says the individuals get off too easily:Then she says the individuals get off too easily:
While institutions have paid large fines... too often it seems that the individuals responsible get off with limited consequence... and pocket the gains.While institutions have paid large fines... too often it seems that the individuals responsible get off with limited consequence... and pocket the gains.
Clinton climbs to another promise to end “too big to fail”: “I will appoint federal regulators that understand that too big to fail is still a big problem. We’ll ensure that no firm is too complex to oversee.”Clinton climbs to another promise to end “too big to fail”: “I will appoint federal regulators that understand that too big to fail is still a big problem. We’ll ensure that no firm is too complex to oversee.”
10.42am ET15:4210.42am ET15:42
Clinton: 'I'm talking about clear-eyed capitalism'Clinton: 'I'm talking about clear-eyed capitalism'
Clinton says short-term growth– which she says has been criticized as “quarterly capitalism” – represents a false promise. Companies should not be plowing earnings into stock buybacks and other measures that generate an “immediate boost in share price.”Clinton says short-term growth– which she says has been criticized as “quarterly capitalism” – represents a false promise. Companies should not be plowing earnings into stock buybacks and other measures that generate an “immediate boost in share price.”
Then Clinton reveals that she’s no Bernie Sanders, the erstwhile Socialist senator from Vermont and opponent to Clinton in the Democratic presidential nominating race:Then Clinton reveals that she’s no Bernie Sanders, the erstwhile Socialist senator from Vermont and opponent to Clinton in the Democratic presidential nominating race:
I’m not talking about charity. I’m talking about clear-eyed capitalism. Many company have prospered by raising wages.. [increasing] productivity. ...I’m not talking about charity. I’m talking about clear-eyed capitalism. Many company have prospered by raising wages.. [increasing] productivity. ...
Workers are assets. Investing in them pays off. Higher wages pay off. Training pays off.Workers are assets. Investing in them pays off. Higher wages pay off. Training pays off.
She mentions a $1,500 tax credit for companies for every worker they train and hire.She mentions a $1,500 tax credit for companies for every worker they train and hire.
10.35am ET15:3510.35am ET15:35
Clinton on profit-sharing:Clinton on profit-sharing:
Just before attacking Bush, Rubio and Walker, 1-2-3, Clinton passed through the section of her speech that had been billed as the day’s marquee policy prescription – tax incentives to encourage corporations to direct a larger chunk of profits to workers.Just before attacking Bush, Rubio and Walker, 1-2-3, Clinton passed through the section of her speech that had been billed as the day’s marquee policy prescription – tax incentives to encourage corporations to direct a larger chunk of profits to workers.
It was a one-line mention.It was a one-line mention.
10.32am ET15:3210.32am ET15:32
Clinton: Rubio's tax plan a 'budget-busting giveaway'Clinton: Rubio's tax plan a 'budget-busting giveaway'
Clinton groups the Republican candidates, whom she says all support tax plans that would give too much money to the wealthy and create new deficits.Clinton groups the Republican candidates, whom she says all support tax plans that would give too much money to the wealthy and create new deficits.
She singles out Rubio:She singles out Rubio:
Senator Rubio’s plan would cut taxes on households that make around $3m a year by almost $240,000... that’s a sure budget-busting giveaway, and that’s the kind of bad economics you’re likely to hear from any of the candidates on the other side.”Senator Rubio’s plan would cut taxes on households that make around $3m a year by almost $240,000... that’s a sure budget-busting giveaway, and that’s the kind of bad economics you’re likely to hear from any of the candidates on the other side.”
She singles out Walker:She singles out Walker:
Republican governors like Scott Walker have made their name stomping on workers’ rights...Republican governors like Scott Walker have made their name stomping on workers’ rights...
I will fight back against these mean-spirited attacks.”I will fight back against these mean-spirited attacks.”
Updated at 10.37am ETUpdated at 10.37am ET
10.27am ET15:2710.27am ET15:27
Clinton on Bush: 'he must not have met many American workers'Clinton on Bush: 'he must not have met many American workers'
Clinton now tears into Jeb Bush, the Republican presidential candidate:Clinton now tears into Jeb Bush, the Republican presidential candidate:
You may have heard Governor Bush say last week that Americans just need to work longer hours. Well, he must not have met many American workers.You may have heard Governor Bush say last week that Americans just need to work longer hours. Well, he must not have met many American workers.
Let him tell that to the nurse who stands on her feet all day... to the fast-food workers who march in the streets demanding better pay. They don’t need a lecture. They need a raise.Let him tell that to the nurse who stands on her feet all day... to the fast-food workers who march in the streets demanding better pay. They don’t need a lecture. They need a raise.
10.27am ET15:2710.27am ET15:27
Clinton says the path to economic growth is through fair pay, fair scheduling, paid family leave and child care:Clinton says the path to economic growth is through fair pay, fair scheduling, paid family leave and child care:
“It’s time to recognize that quality, affordable child care is not a luxury, it’s an affordable growth strategy,” Clinton says.“It’s time to recognize that quality, affordable child care is not a luxury, it’s an affordable growth strategy,” Clinton says.
“It’s time to end the outrage of women earning less than men on the job, and women of color making even less,” Clinton says.“It’s time to end the outrage of women earning less than men on the job, and women of color making even less,” Clinton says.
“I’m aware that for far too long these challenges have been dismissed by some as women’s issues,” she says, but they are not.“I’m aware that for far too long these challenges have been dismissed by some as women’s issues,” she says, but they are not.
“Fair pay, fair scheduling, paid family leave and child care are essential to our competitiveness,” she says.“Fair pay, fair scheduling, paid family leave and child care are essential to our competitiveness,” she says.
10.23am ET15:2310.23am ET15:23
Clinton calls for paid leave, more women in workplaceClinton calls for paid leave, more women in workplace
Clinton calls for making America the “world’s clean-energy superpower.”Clinton calls for making America the “world’s clean-energy superpower.”
She is getting into a economics policy laundry list. “I will set ambitious goals in all of these areas in the months ahead,” she says.She is getting into a economics policy laundry list. “I will set ambitious goals in all of these areas in the months ahead,” she says.
Today she wants to focus on one goal: increased workforce participation by women.Today she wants to focus on one goal: increased workforce participation by women.
“Breaking down barriers so more Americans participate more fully in the American workforce – especially women.”“Breaking down barriers so more Americans participate more fully in the American workforce – especially women.”
She says the US economy is “leaving talent on the sidelines” by not being more inclusive of women.She says the US economy is “leaving talent on the sidelines” by not being more inclusive of women.
She says family-friendly policies like paid leave have not been sufficiently implemented.She says family-friendly policies like paid leave have not been sufficiently implemented.
10.19am ET15:1910.19am ET15:19
Clinton says she will lay out a plan for strong growth and fair growth.Clinton says she will lay out a plan for strong growth and fair growth.
Her first point on strong growth has to do with tax breaks for small business and closing tax loopholes that “reward companies for sending jobs overseas.”Her first point on strong growth has to do with tax breaks for small business and closing tax loopholes that “reward companies for sending jobs overseas.”
Another key to strong growth, she says: comprehensive immigration reform.Another key to strong growth, she says: comprehensive immigration reform.
Bringing millions of hard-working people into the formal economy would grow GDP by hundreds of billions over ten years, she says.Bringing millions of hard-working people into the formal economy would grow GDP by hundreds of billions over ten years, she says.
10.16am ET15:1610.16am ET15:16
Clinton says the current US economy focuses “too much on the short-term, like second-to-second financial trading and quarterly income reports.”Clinton says the current US economy focuses “too much on the short-term, like second-to-second financial trading and quarterly income reports.”
She says people are finding ways to generate second incomes by renting out rooms online or jumping into the Internet marketplace.She says people are finding ways to generate second incomes by renting out rooms online or jumping into the Internet marketplace.
“This on-demand or so-called ‘Gig’ economy is creating exciting opportunities... but it is also raising hard questions about workplace protections and what a good job will look like in the future,” she says.“This on-demand or so-called ‘Gig’ economy is creating exciting opportunities... but it is also raising hard questions about workplace protections and what a good job will look like in the future,” she says.
10.14am ET15:1410.14am ET15:14
Clinton: middle-class incomes 'defining economic challenge of our times'Clinton: middle-class incomes 'defining economic challenge of our times'
“The defining economic challenge of our times is clear: we must raise incomes for hard-working American so that they can enjoy a middle-class life,” Clinton says.“The defining economic challenge of our times is clear: we must raise incomes for hard-working American so that they can enjoy a middle-class life,” Clinton says.
“And that will be my mission from the first day I am president to the last.”“And that will be my mission from the first day I am president to the last.”
10.12am ET15:1210.12am ET15:12
Here’s a video feed of the Clinton event:Here’s a video feed of the Clinton event:
10.11am ET15:1110.11am ET15:11
Clinton calls for a “growth and fairness economy.” “You can’t have one without the other,” she says. “We need both.”Clinton calls for a “growth and fairness economy.” “You can’t have one without the other,” she says. “We need both.”
The question is, what does she mean by “more fairness”?The question is, what does she mean by “more fairness”?
Corporate profits are at record highs, but “paychecks have barely budged in real terms,” she says. She says wages have stagnated while child care costs and the cost of living have climbed.Corporate profits are at record highs, but “paychecks have barely budged in real terms,” she says. She says wages have stagnated while child care costs and the cost of living have climbed.
10.10am ET15:1010.10am ET15:10
Clinton begins. Here she is:Clinton begins. Here she is:
She says that government has broken a contract for prosperity with the American people.She says that government has broken a contract for prosperity with the American people.
“Our job is to make it strong again,” she says. “For 35 years Republicans have argued that if we cut taxes... it will trickle down.“Our job is to make it strong again,” she says. “For 35 years Republicans have argued that if we cut taxes... it will trickle down.
“Yet every time ... [trickle-down] explodes the national debt, concentrates wealth even more” and creates new economic crises, she says.“Yet every time ... [trickle-down] explodes the national debt, concentrates wealth even more” and creates new economic crises, she says.
“Twice now, a Democratic president has had to come in and clean up the mess left behind. I think the results speak for themselves.”“Twice now, a Democratic president has had to come in and clean up the mess left behind. I think the results speak for themselves.”
10.05am ET15:0510.05am ET15:05
Update: video feed here.Update: video feed here.
If you have a cable log-in you can momentarily begin watching Hillary Clinton talk about her economic vision in an event in Manhattan on C-SPAN here.If you have a cable log-in you can momentarily begin watching Hillary Clinton talk about her economic vision in an event in Manhattan on C-SPAN here.
If you don’t have a cable login, you are in the right place, because we are going to bring you full non-video coverage right here.If you don’t have a cable login, you are in the right place, because we are going to bring you full non-video coverage right here.
Updated at 10.20am ETUpdated at 10.20am ET
10.01am ET15:0110.01am ET15:01
Here’s some entertainment while we wait for secretary Clinton to speak at the New School.Here’s some entertainment while we wait for secretary Clinton to speak at the New School.
Retired late-night host David Letterman took the stage at the weekend with comedians Steve Martin and Martin Short to deliver a throwback Top 10 list: “Interesting facts about Donald Trump”:Retired late-night host David Letterman took the stage at the weekend with comedians Steve Martin and Martin Short to deliver a throwback Top 10 list: “Interesting facts about Donald Trump”:
9.18am ET14:189.18am ET14:18
Good morning and welcome to your day of politics fun, to begin with a courtesy call from Hillary Clinton and end with the last of the Great Big Announcements of the 2016 presidential contenders (with apologies to John Kasich).Good morning and welcome to your day of politics fun, to begin with a courtesy call from Hillary Clinton and end with the last of the Great Big Announcements of the 2016 presidential contenders (with apologies to John Kasich).
Last in the pool (sorry Kasich) is Scott Walker, the impeccably conservative governor from Wisconsin, who is scheduled to materialize before a crowd of supporters this evening and say in the flesh what he said in a campaign video released early Monday morning: “I’m running for president to fight and win for the American people.”Last in the pool (sorry Kasich) is Scott Walker, the impeccably conservative governor from Wisconsin, who is scheduled to materialize before a crowd of supporters this evening and say in the flesh what he said in a campaign video released early Monday morning: “I’m running for president to fight and win for the American people.”
Can Walker take his prizefighter-conservative act national? Click here to read 15 ways that Scott Walker has changed Wisconsin and could change America.Can Walker take his prizefighter-conservative act national? Click here to read 15 ways that Scott Walker has changed Wisconsin and could change America.
The day begins, however, with Hillary Clinton in an appearance at the New School in New York to lift the curtain on her economic policy. She will call for tax incentives to encourage corporations to share more profits with workers, according to advance excerpts of her address.The day begins, however, with Hillary Clinton in an appearance at the New School in New York to lift the curtain on her economic policy. She will call for tax incentives to encourage corporations to share more profits with workers, according to advance excerpts of her address.
“It’s a win-win,” Clinton plans to say. Not only that – it’s viscerally exciting. Don’t miss it! Read on.“It’s a win-win,” Clinton plans to say. Not only that – it’s viscerally exciting. Don’t miss it! Read on.
Updated at 9.19am ETUpdated at 9.19am ET