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| Iran nuclear talks: historic deal expected on Tuesday – live updates | Iran nuclear talks: historic deal expected on Tuesday – live updates |
| (34 minutes later) | |
| 3.47pm AEST06:47 | |
| Not everyone will welcome a deal, when it comes. | |
| Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu last week tweeted that Iran was more dangerous than Islamic State, and threatened to “take over the world”: | |
| Iran's increasing aggression is more dangerous than that of ISIS, and the true goal of this aggression in the end is to take over the world. | |
| Netanyahu’s office has since opened a fresh Twitter account in his name in Farsi, with the stated aim of engaging the Iranian people directly. | |
| He has tweeted only twice so far from the @israelipm_farsi account, including this criticism of Iranian president Hassan Rouhani: | |
| خامنهای گفته است ایران باید فارق از توافق با آمریکا مبارزه کند، در حالی که روحانی تظاهرات ابراز تنفر را رهبری میکند pic.twitter.com/eaP6EarwyX | |
| (A translation, courtesy of Associated Press: Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei “has said Iran should fight the US regardless of the agreement, while Rouhani leads demonstrations expressing hatred”.) | |
| Netanyahu has lobbied against the prospective deal, saying it would leave too much of Iran’s nuclear infrastructure intact. On Monday, he accused world powers of being ready to make an agreement “at any price”. | |
| Defence minister Moshe Yaalon added that in the event of a “bad nuclear deal”, Israel would be forced to “defend itself, by itself”. | |
| Updated at 3.49pm AEST | |
| 3.30pm AEST06:30 | |
| Claire Phipps | |
| How did we get here? | |
| For those interested in the long, 12-year path to today’s expected agreement, take a look at this timeline, with its many mentions of deadlines set, missed and extended: | |
| Related: Iran nuclear talks: timeline | |
| The so-called P5+1 – the foreign ministers of the US, UK, France, China and Russia (the five permanent members of the UN security council), plus Germany – have been engaged with the Iranian delegation in the latest bout of talks for 18 days now, including Tuesday morning’s last-minute negotiations. | |
| Talks have frequently continued late into the night; here’s a shot of the P5+1 looking surprisingly chipper a few hours ago: | |
| Smiles all around at P5+1 meeting in the early morning hours of July 14 #IranTalksVienna via @StateDept pic.twitter.com/pb8jJshp9Y | |
| 3.19pm AEST06:19 | |
| Matthew Weaver | |
| The New Yorker has a useful primer podcast on the talks and the regional and global implications. | |
| In it commentator Steve Coll pays tribute to how, during the talks, Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has skilfully tried to reap the economic benefits of bringing Iran back in from the cold in the face of resistance from his hardline supporters in the security state. | |
| Robin Wright, joint fellow at the US Institute of Peace and Woodrow Wilson Center, said that for all the shortcomings of the deal, Iran will be prevented from achieving nuclear “break-out” for at least a year. | |
| 3.10pm AEST06:10 | 3.10pm AEST06:10 |
| What happens when? | What happens when? |
| Julian Borger has this update on how the morning in Vienna is expected to pan out: | Julian Borger has this update on how the morning in Vienna is expected to pan out: |
| An announcement on the agreement would come on the 18th day of almost uninterrupted negotiations in Vienna, involving foreign ministers from seven countries and the EU’s foreign policy chief, Federica Mogherini. | An announcement on the agreement would come on the 18th day of almost uninterrupted negotiations in Vienna, involving foreign ministers from seven countries and the EU’s foreign policy chief, Federica Mogherini. |
| The ministers – from Iran, the US, UK, Russia, China, France and Germany – are expected to issue a statement and appear for a photo mid-morning, followed some time later by a press conference. | The ministers – from Iran, the US, UK, Russia, China, France and Germany – are expected to issue a statement and appear for a photo mid-morning, followed some time later by a press conference. |
| At some point US president Barack Obama and his Iranian counterpart, Hassan Rouhani, will make statements from their capitals. | At some point US president Barack Obama and his Iranian counterpart, Hassan Rouhani, will make statements from their capitals. |
| It is not clear how much of the estimated 100 pages of text, including five annexes, will be published on Tuesday. | It is not clear how much of the estimated 100 pages of text, including five annexes, will be published on Tuesday. |
| I’ll bring you clearer timings when we have them. | I’ll bring you clearer timings when we have them. |
| 2.59pm AEST05:59 | 2.59pm AEST05:59 |
| Opening summary | Opening summary |
| Claire Phipps | Claire Phipps |
| Welcome to live coverage on the expected announcement of a deal on the future of Iran’s nuclear programme after 17 days of negotiations in Vienna. | Welcome to live coverage on the expected announcement of a deal on the future of Iran’s nuclear programme after 17 days of negotiations in Vienna. |
| It’s important to stress that we cannot say for certain yet that there is a deal. Developments overnight in Vienna seem strongly to suggest that a breakthrough has been made, but we await a formal announcement. | It’s important to stress that we cannot say for certain yet that there is a deal. Developments overnight in Vienna seem strongly to suggest that a breakthrough has been made, but we await a formal announcement. |
| Talks continued late into Monday night in Vienna, past the midnight deadline. It’s currently 7am Tuesday there (5am GMT, 6am BST, 1am EDT, 3pm AEST). | Talks continued late into Monday night in Vienna, past the midnight deadline. It’s currently 7am Tuesday there (5am GMT, 6am BST, 1am EDT, 3pm AEST). |
| Journalists in Vienna have been asked to assemble around now to be transported to a press conference, due to take place later this morning. | Journalists in Vienna have been asked to assemble around now to be transported to a press conference, due to take place later this morning. |
| The Guardian’s diplomatic editor Julian Borger is right there in Vienna, from where he has been following every cough and spit of the negotiations for the last 17 days, and he’ll be providing further updates and commentary. | The Guardian’s diplomatic editor Julian Borger is right there in Vienna, from where he has been following every cough and spit of the negotiations for the last 17 days, and he’ll be providing further updates and commentary. |
| You can follow him on Twitter @julianborger. I’ll also post key updates @Claire_Phipps. | You can follow him on Twitter @julianborger. I’ll also post key updates @Claire_Phipps. |
| And I’ll be covering all the developments of the day here, live. | And I’ll be covering all the developments of the day here, live. |
| You can read Julian’s latest dispatch from Vienna here: | You can read Julian’s latest dispatch from Vienna here: |
| Related: Iran nuclear deal expected to be announced in Vienna | Related: Iran nuclear deal expected to be announced in Vienna |