Post nuclear-deal, Carter says military option against Iran remains on table

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TEL AVIV — Defense Secretary Ashton B. Carter began a tour Sunday of Middle Eastern nations whose alliances with the United States have been strained by President Obama’s nuclear agreement with Iran.

Carter is the highest-level U.S. official to visit Israel and Saudi Arabia since six world powers struck the deal, designed to prohibit Tehran from developing a nuclear weapon.

The nuclear agreement is viewed with alarm in Israel, where officials fear the deal won’t effectively block Iran’s path to a bomb, and in Sunni-led Persian Gulf nations, which worry it will enhance the Shiite power’s influence across the Middle East.

Pentagon officials say Carter’s visit was planned prior to the conclusion of nuclear talks and is not intended as a reassurance tour. But this week’s meetings in Tel Aviv and in Jiddah, Saudi Arabia, will focus in part on plans for countering Iran’s support for common adversaries, which include the Lebanese militia Hezbollah, the Palestinian militant group Hamas and Houthi rebels in Yemen.

Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, promised this past weekend that Tehran would continue its support for allies in Yemen and Syria, where Iranian support has helped President Bashar al-Assad survive four years of civil war.

American officials are also stressing that while diplomacy prevailed this month, they will not rule out potential use of unilateral military action if Iran should violate the terms of the nuclear agreement.

“One of the reasons this deal is a good one is that it does nothing to prevent the military option . . . which we are preserving and continually improving,” Carter told reporters en route to Tel Aviv. “But the point of the nuclear deal is to get the result of no Iranian nuclear weapon without carrying out a military strike.”

He said he did not expect to change Israeli officials’ minds about the deal and said the two countries could “agree to disagree.”

Plans for joint steps to contain Iran are unlikely to diminish criticism of the deal that Carter will hear in talks Tuesday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who is expected to lobby U.S. lawmakers to vote against the deal following a 60-day congressional review period. Obama has vowed to veto any such vote.

“This is an allied relationship,” a senior defense official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity. “And allied relationships bend; they do not break.”

Brian Katulis, a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress, said the two countries’ ability to effectively plan steps to contain Iran’s conventional and proxy threat may be impeded by a “cloud of mistrust” that has engulfed bilateral ties as a result of the nuclear negotiations and other actions such as Netanyahu’s address to Congress in March, in which he outlined Israel’s worries about Iran.

Israeli Defense Minister Moshe Yaalon has suggested that arrangements for U.S. military aid to Israel may eventually need to be modified to adapt to the post-deal realities of the region. Under a current agreement that expires after Obama leaves office, the United States provides Israel around $3 billion a year in annual military aid, in addition to financing for missile defense systems.

But Israeli officials appear to want to defer discussions about future aid arrangements until after Congress votes on the nuclear deal in September.

Ilan Goldenberg, a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, said the two countries had generally been able to separate military cooperation from political differences.

“If a nuclear Iran is an existential threat to Israel, so is major damage to the U.S.-Israel relationship,” he said. “In fact, I think it’s a greater threat.”

Leaders in Saudi Arabia, meanwhile, fear that Iran’s access to more than $100 billion in frozen assets, once sanctions are lifted, will enable it to fund Shiite militant groups such as the Houthis, which Riyadh and other Arab nations are now battling with U.S. support.

Despite American assurances, gulf nations also fret that the United States is turning away from the region, which remains in turmoil four years after the Arab Spring. In keeping with the kingdom’s traditions, Saudi opposition has mostly been voiced privately.

Carter said he would focus in meetings with King Salman and Defense Minister Mohammed bin Salman on enactment of commitments made at a summit of gulf leaders in May. Steps agreed upon at the Camp David gathering include enhanced U.S. support for Saudi Arabia’s ­cyber, terror and maritime defenses. But officials say no major weapons packages or military initiatives will be unveiled in either country.

The Obama administration must balance Saudi Arabia’s desire for enhanced military might with Israel’s insistence that it maintain its military edge over others in the region.

Carter will also visit Jordan, where talks will focus on the Islamic State, whose military successes and widespread appeal have transformed the region as much as the nuclear deal promises to do. In Iraq, the United States and Iran are in a de facto alliance against the group, an uncomfortable reality for Riyadh as much as it is for Washington.

Katulis said that both Israel and Saudi Arabia, which remain reliant on American technology and security guarantees, remained tightly allied with the United States despite the recent political disagreements.

“It’s not like these two countries have many great alternatives when it comes to the types of things the United States provides,” he said.

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