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Global stocks sell-off deepens as panic grips markets - live Global stocks sell-off deepens as panic grips markets – live
(35 minutes later)
1.57pm AEST04:57
Nikkei in Japan now down 4.25%
1.52pm AEST04:52
BlueScope may cut at least 500 steel jobs
Away from the markets – but still with China – and the Australian steel producer BlueScope says it might have to shed 500 jobs because of weakening demand from the world’s second biggest economy had created massive over-supply.
The Port Kembla-based company said the future of the steel works was “on a knife-edge”.
Chief executive Paul O’Malley said demand in China had grown nearly six-fold in 15 years but recently plateaued, moving the country’s producers to treble exports on 2010-14 levels. He said prices had fallen 46 per cent in that time and a third of global capacity was sitting unused.
When there’s oversupply and a shortage of demand – and the equivalent of an extra 50 Port Kemblas on the market globally – you know you have to respond to international competitive pressures.
1.47pm AEST04:47
One of the biggest fallers has been Andrew Forrest’s Fortescue Metals Group.
Its shares have plunged 12.79% after the company announced a 88% fall in profits this morning on the back of plunging iron ore prices.
That’s an ugly figure and while the company expects things to look up in the current year when the benefits of hefty cost cutting kicks in, FMG’s huge exposure to China does not help. Not long ago Forrest was talking gamely about how China’s demand for iron ore felt limitless.
Australian Mining reported him last year as saying:
A bet against China is the only guarantee of loss I’ve seen for a long time ... 400 million people still have to be urbanised.
That view is obviously being quite strenuously tested now as assumptions about growth in China are reassessed.
1.35pm AEST04:35
Biggest one-day fall in Australia for four years
It’s the biggest one-day fall since September 2011 on the Australian market, according to AAP, and it’s taken a whopping $60bn off the overall market value.
Updated at 1.43pm AEST
1.27pm AEST04:27
1.26pm AEST04:26
1.23pm AEST04:231.23pm AEST04:23
For a good summary of where we’re at across the region today, my colleague Justin McCurry has sent this dispatch from Tokyo. here’s how he starts:For a good summary of where we’re at across the region today, my colleague Justin McCurry has sent this dispatch from Tokyo. here’s how he starts:
Fears of a slowdown in the Chinese economy sent Asia-Pacific stocks plummeting on Monday, days after Wall Street suffered its biggest one-day loss in almost four years.Fears of a slowdown in the Chinese economy sent Asia-Pacific stocks plummeting on Monday, days after Wall Street suffered its biggest one-day loss in almost four years.
1.20pm AEST04:201.20pm AEST04:20
Worth remembering though that the Chinese stock market had risen a massive 150% in the past 18 months. In that context a drop of 30% in the past couple of months is nothing to be worried about.Worth remembering though that the Chinese stock market had risen a massive 150% in the past 18 months. In that context a drop of 30% in the past couple of months is nothing to be worried about.
After all, the optimists say, the country is still growing by as much as 7% (maybe 4% if you don’t believe the figures), the service sector is beginning to make up for an admittedly weakening manufacturing sector and there are still millions of people to bring out of poverty.After all, the optimists say, the country is still growing by as much as 7% (maybe 4% if you don’t believe the figures), the service sector is beginning to make up for an admittedly weakening manufacturing sector and there are still millions of people to bring out of poverty.
As the American economist Nicholas Lardy told the Australian:As the American economist Nicholas Lardy told the Australian:
The sceptics have taken insufficient notice of China’s progress in transitioning to its new model of economic growth, one less dependent on expanding industrial output, investment, and exports and more dependent on expanding private consumption expenditure.The sceptics have taken insufficient notice of China’s progress in transitioning to its new model of economic growth, one less dependent on expanding industrial output, investment, and exports and more dependent on expanding private consumption expenditure.
1.06pm AEST04:061.06pm AEST04:06
'There's no good news''There's no good news'
An analyst in Shanghai, Qi Yifeng, at consultancy CEBM, put it quite pithily to Reuters.An analyst in Shanghai, Qi Yifeng, at consultancy CEBM, put it quite pithily to Reuters.
The market is in a downtrend. There’s no good news, stocks are still expensive, and there’s no fresh money coming in. With no RRR (reserve requirement) cut over the weekend, the market will directly head south.The market is in a downtrend. There’s no good news, stocks are still expensive, and there’s no fresh money coming in. With no RRR (reserve requirement) cut over the weekend, the market will directly head south.
1.04pm AEST04:041.04pm AEST04:04
After starting to devalue the yuan two weeks caused further selling on its main stock exchanges, investors expected Beijing to introduce some more calming measures at the weekend. After starting to devalue the yuan two weeks ago caused further selling on its main stock exchanges, investors expected Beijing to introduce some more calming measures at the weekend.
But despite new rules allowing pension funds to invest in the stock market – quite a good idea on the face of it and another step towards reforming the financial system in China – the market has been sold heavily today and is currently down 7.92%.But despite new rules allowing pension funds to invest in the stock market – quite a good idea on the face of it and another step towards reforming the financial system in China – the market has been sold heavily today and is currently down 7.92%.
Updated at 1.27pm AEST
12.53pm AEST03:5312.53pm AEST03:53
Seems sensible to look first in more depth at what’s happening in China this morning given that most people agree that’s where the problems are stemming from.Seems sensible to look first in more depth at what’s happening in China this morning given that most people agree that’s where the problems are stemming from.
For an expert analysis of the background I can point you to the Guardian’s own economics brains trust of Larry Elliott and Philip Inman who wrote at the weekend about how concerns about China’s slowing economy will spread to other emerging markets. Here’s a snippett. For an expert analysis of the background I can point you to the Guardian’s own economics brains trust of Larry Elliott and Philip Inman who wrote at the weekend about how concerns about China’s slowing economy will spread to other emerging markets. Here’s a snippet.
The problem is a relatively simple one. In the post-Great Recession world, the tendency has been for all countries to try to export their way out of trouble. But this model works only if the exports can find a home, as they did when China was growing at double-digit rates.The problem is a relatively simple one. In the post-Great Recession world, the tendency has been for all countries to try to export their way out of trouble. But this model works only if the exports can find a home, as they did when China was growing at double-digit rates.
But in the past 18 months, the Chinese economy has slowed, causing problems for two distinct groups of emerging-market economies – the east Asian countries that sell components and finished goods to their big neighbour, and countries that supply China with the fuel and raw materials to keep its industrial machine going.But in the past 18 months, the Chinese economy has slowed, causing problems for two distinct groups of emerging-market economies – the east Asian countries that sell components and finished goods to their big neighbour, and countries that supply China with the fuel and raw materials to keep its industrial machine going.
Updated at 1.26pm AEST
12.46pm AEST03:4612.46pm AEST03:46
SummarySummary
It’s pretty grim out there so I’ll set out the main points so far:It’s pretty grim out there so I’ll set out the main points so far:
Hold on to those hats.Hold on to those hats.
12.36pm AEST03:3612.36pm AEST03:36
Global rout intensifiesGlobal rout intensifies
Good afternoon and welcome to the markets live blog. It’s been a very lively morning across the Asia Pacific region following on from last week’s China-inspired heavy selling here and on Wall Street and in Europe on Friday.Good afternoon and welcome to the markets live blog. It’s been a very lively morning across the Asia Pacific region following on from last week’s China-inspired heavy selling here and on Wall Street and in Europe on Friday.
Stock markets, commodities and currencies are being smashed.Stock markets, commodities and currencies are being smashed.