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China's 'Black Monday' sends markets reeling across the globe - as it happened China's 'Black Monday' sends markets reeling across the globe - as it happened
(about 1 month later)
10.24pm BST10.24pm BST
22:2422:24
Closing summary: China sends world market into a spinClosing summary: China sends world market into a spin
China has been a major contributor to economic growth and low global inflation for more than two decades.China has been a major contributor to economic growth and low global inflation for more than two decades.
But tonight, investors around the globe are catching their breath after one of the worst day’s trading in many years. They’re now pondering whether today marks the start of a new and alarming phase of the crisis which began some eight years ago.But tonight, investors around the globe are catching their breath after one of the worst day’s trading in many years. They’re now pondering whether today marks the start of a new and alarming phase of the crisis which began some eight years ago.
Mohamed El-Erian, former CEO of Pimco, believes today’s rout has sunk any prospect of US interest rates being raised next month. But he doesn’t believe we’re heading into a major crisis.Mohamed El-Erian, former CEO of Pimco, believes today’s rout has sunk any prospect of US interest rates being raised next month. But he doesn’t believe we’re heading into a major crisis.
El-Erian told Bloomberg TV tonight:El-Erian told Bloomberg TV tonight:
“I’m not a buyer that this is the crisis of all crises.“I’m not a buyer that this is the crisis of all crises.
Yes, this is a very unpleasant repricing, very unpleasant. And it’s going to go quite deep, but it’s not going to derail the economy in a major way.”Yes, this is a very unpleasant repricing, very unpleasant. And it’s going to go quite deep, but it’s not going to derail the economy in a major way.”
And while today’s losses are sizeable, they’re not among the worst losses in market history. For all the talk of Black Monday in China, and gloomy photos to match, this was more of a correction in Western markets. One to remember for years to come, though.And while today’s losses are sizeable, they’re not among the worst losses in market history. For all the talk of Black Monday in China, and gloomy photos to match, this was more of a correction in Western markets. One to remember for years to come, though.
In a few hours, Asian markets will reopen; investors could drive a recovery, or send markets deeper into the red. We’ll have a new liveblog up and running to cover the action.In a few hours, Asian markets will reopen; investors could drive a recovery, or send markets deeper into the red. We’ll have a new liveblog up and running to cover the action.
In the meantime, here’s a short summary:In the meantime, here’s a short summary:
Thanks for reading, and for all the comments. Goodnight! GWThanks for reading, and for all the comments. Goodnight! GW
UpdatedUpdated
at 10.27pm BSTat 10.27pm BST
10.22pm BST10.22pm BST
22:2222:22
China market crash dominates the front pagesChina market crash dominates the front pages
Today’s drama dominates the front pages of Tuesday’s UK newspapers:Today’s drama dominates the front pages of Tuesday’s UK newspapers:
Tuesday's Guardian front page: China urged to end market turmoil #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/GzcEOjRjkmTuesday's Guardian front page: China urged to end market turmoil #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/GzcEOjRjkm
Tuesday's Daily Telegraph: Black Monday risks a new financial crisis #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/LIXWGeGoUITuesday's Daily Telegraph: Black Monday risks a new financial crisis #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/LIXWGeGoUI
Good work by the @Independent : combination of unrelated pic and market plunge story on front page: pic.twitter.com/ZP1sQpn7R4Good work by the @Independent : combination of unrelated pic and market plunge story on front page: pic.twitter.com/ZP1sQpn7R4
10.17pm BST10.17pm BST
22:1722:17
Our economics editor, Larry Elliott, argues that today’s crash isn’t just about China; it’s about fears that central banks are preparing to reduce their stimulus measures:Our economics editor, Larry Elliott, argues that today’s crash isn’t just about China; it’s about fears that central banks are preparing to reduce their stimulus measures:
Financial markets in the west have been booming for the past six years at a time when the real economy has been strugglingFinancial markets in the west have been booming for the past six years at a time when the real economy has been struggling
Recovery from the last recession has been patchy and weak by historical standards, but that has not prevented a bull market in equities.Recovery from the last recession has been patchy and weak by historical standards, but that has not prevented a bull market in equities.
The reason for this is simple: the markets have been pumped full of stimulants in the form of quantitative easing, the money creation programmes adopted by central banks as a response to the last crisis....The reason for this is simple: the markets have been pumped full of stimulants in the form of quantitative easing, the money creation programmes adopted by central banks as a response to the last crisis....
More here:More here:
Related: China stock market panic shows what happens when stimulants wear offRelated: China stock market panic shows what happens when stimulants wear off
10.14pm BST10.14pm BST
22:1422:14
Today’s selloff isn’t just about share prices.Today’s selloff isn’t just about share prices.
Commodity prices have also been hit by worries over China; oil tumbled 6%, platinum is down 3.5%, and palladium suffered a 6.5% slide.Commodity prices have also been hit by worries over China; oil tumbled 6%, platinum is down 3.5%, and palladium suffered a 6.5% slide.
In case you missed it: Bloomberg commodity index has hit fresh 16yr low mainly driven by oil, copper and other metals pic.twitter.com/cueFXvN9ppIn case you missed it: Bloomberg commodity index has hit fresh 16yr low mainly driven by oil, copper and other metals pic.twitter.com/cueFXvN9pp
9.48pm BST9.48pm BST
21:4821:48
There are many reasons why world stocks slumped today, but the underlying fear is that central bankers lack the ammunition to prevent a major crash.There are many reasons why world stocks slumped today, but the underlying fear is that central bankers lack the ammunition to prevent a major crash.
Here’s the Guardian’s take:Here’s the Guardian’s take:
Potential disruption to the iron ore trade; the sudden exposure of the South African rand; the incompatibility of Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption drive with that Wild East entrepreneurial spirit which has powered decades of Chinese growth. Watching panic spread from Shanghai and Shenzhen to London and New York, western analysts grabbed for straws of understanding in unfamiliar fields, reflecting not only a professional need to look as if they know what’s going on, but a psychological yearning to impose order on a wild, mercurial swing in the mood. There may be no single reason why August 2015 proved the moment for the world’s investors to take collective fright about the People’s Republic. What there is however, lurking under all the anxiety, is a single question for governments everywhere. Namely, what’s left in the locker?.....Potential disruption to the iron ore trade; the sudden exposure of the South African rand; the incompatibility of Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption drive with that Wild East entrepreneurial spirit which has powered decades of Chinese growth. Watching panic spread from Shanghai and Shenzhen to London and New York, western analysts grabbed for straws of understanding in unfamiliar fields, reflecting not only a professional need to look as if they know what’s going on, but a psychological yearning to impose order on a wild, mercurial swing in the mood. There may be no single reason why August 2015 proved the moment for the world’s investors to take collective fright about the People’s Republic. What there is however, lurking under all the anxiety, is a single question for governments everywhere. Namely, what’s left in the locker?.....
More here: Chinese flu, and the west’s empty medicine cabinetMore here: Chinese flu, and the west’s empty medicine cabinet
9.46pm BST9.46pm BST
21:4621:46
The VIX ‘fear index’ has closed for the night too, at its highest level since October 2011.The VIX ‘fear index’ has closed for the night too, at its highest level since October 2011.
9.34pm BST9.34pm BST
21:3421:34
This graph of the Dow Jones industrial average since 2010 underlines the scale of the selloff tonight:This graph of the Dow Jones industrial average since 2010 underlines the scale of the selloff tonight:
I believe the 588 point drop is the eighth-biggest one-day points decline in the Dow’s history (the 3.57% percentage decline is less dramatic, though)I believe the 588 point drop is the eighth-biggest one-day points decline in the Dow’s history (the 3.57% percentage decline is less dramatic, though)
UpdatedUpdated
at 9.35pm BSTat 9.35pm BST
9.09pm BST9.09pm BST
21:0921:09
US stocks suffer biggest one-day fall since 2011US stocks suffer biggest one-day fall since 2011
It’s all over on Wall Street after a day in which stocks plunged, rallied, hovered, and then took a late dive deeper into the red.It’s all over on Wall Street after a day in which stocks plunged, rallied, hovered, and then took a late dive deeper into the red.
The Dow Jones has ended the day down 588 points, or 3.5%, at 15,871. The 16,000 point mark proved a hurdle too far.The Dow Jones has ended the day down 588 points, or 3.5%, at 15,871. The 16,000 point mark proved a hurdle too far.
The S&P 500 lost around 3.9%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq shed 3.8%.The S&P 500 lost around 3.9%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq shed 3.8%.
That’s the biggest one-day percentage falls for all three indices since 2011, Reuters reports.That’s the biggest one-day percentage falls for all three indices since 2011, Reuters reports.
It also means the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are both in correction territory, down more than 10% on their recent highs.It also means the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are both in correction territory, down more than 10% on their recent highs.
*S&P 500 DROPS 3.9%, ENTERS CORRECTION FOR FIRST TIME SINCE '11*S&P 500 DROPS 3.9%, ENTERS CORRECTION FOR FIRST TIME SINCE '11
Bloomberg’s Alix Steel is calling it “one of the craziest trading sessions” she’s seen in years. And we’re not arguing.Bloomberg’s Alix Steel is calling it “one of the craziest trading sessions” she’s seen in years. And we’re not arguing.
Brian Bolan, equity strategist for Zacks Investment Research, agrees too:Brian Bolan, equity strategist for Zacks Investment Research, agrees too:
That was a hell of a day.That was a hell of a day.
UpdatedUpdated
at 9.19pm BSTat 9.19pm BST
8.59pm BST8.59pm BST
20:5920:59
The Dow’s back below 16,000 points,a drop of around 540 points, as the final few trades flash across the markets. Can it claw its way back?.....The Dow’s back below 16,000 points,a drop of around 540 points, as the final few trades flash across the markets. Can it claw its way back?.....
That awkward moment when you're invited to ring the closing bell on the worst day for stocks since 2007. pic.twitter.com/xvUwh4ZRK1That awkward moment when you're invited to ring the closing bell on the worst day for stocks since 2007. pic.twitter.com/xvUwh4ZRK1
UpdatedUpdated
at 9.14pm BSTat 9.14pm BST
8.55pm BST8.55pm BST
20:5520:55
You could have made a lot of money by trading the Dow today. And you could also have lost a lot.You could have made a lot of money by trading the Dow today. And you could also have lost a lot.
What a wild day: Panic selling and panic buying in constant rotation. pic.twitter.com/QXkzgfydQNWhat a wild day: Panic selling and panic buying in constant rotation. pic.twitter.com/QXkzgfydQN
8.49pm BST
20:49
The US stock market is ending the day as it began, with some wild swings. The Dow is now down *just* 390 points (-2.2%), having been down 580 half an hour ago.
8.39pm BST
20:39
Huge volumes of US-listed shares have changed hands today, making it the busiest day of 2015.
FastFT has the details:
More than 11.6bn shares have traded hands on the New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq and NYSE MKT by 3:30pm on Monday afternoon, the highest level of the year with roughly 30 minutes before markets close for the day.
More here:
US stock volumes set to eclipse October's 'flash crash' http://t.co/q3UoRVmyol
Dow has traveled more than 4,100 points today; nearly 5B shares have traded on NYSE with $161B trading hands in NYSE-listed securities.
8.33pm BST
20:33
8.26pm BST
20:26
With 30 minutes to go until Wall Street closes, the Dow Jones is down 670 points or over 4%.
Better than its opening slump (1000 points down!), but rather worse than its early afternoon recovery.
Dow off 682 now
The words: "Dow Jones", "600 points" and "again" shouldn't all be used together to refer to one day's trading.
8.23pm BST
20:23
It’s been a pretty crazy day on Wall Street today, says Max Wollf, chief economist for Manhattan Venture Partners.
Despite the Dow’s wobbles, Wollf reckons this isn’t a rerun of 2008, but investors must stop treating risky assets as risk-free.
You can watch the interview here:
8.16pm BST
20:16
US market falling back in late trading
Wall Street has entered its final hour of trading, after a turbulent day. And markets appear to losing ground again.
The Dow Jones industrial average is currently down 3.6%, a drop of 580 points to 15,872, erasing some of its earlier recovery.
The Nasdaq is down by 3.7%, while the S&P 500 -- the broadest US index - has lost 4.2% at pixel time.
New York traders are feeling the jitters again; perhaps worrying about Tuesday’s Asian market open....
8.03pm BST
20:03
Apple boss sees 'strong growth' in China
It has been a topsy-turvy day on US markets and few companies have experienced the ups and downs as much as Apple.
The smartphone maker saw its share price slide by 13% on US stock markets, before springing back into positive territory.
Apple CEO Tim Cook took the unusual step of commenting on the help of Apple’s business halfway through a financial quarter, via CNBC.
I get updates on our performance in China every day, including this morning, and I can tell you that we have continued to experience strong growth for our business in China through July and August. Growth in iPhone activations has actually accelerated over the past few weeks, and we have had the best performance of the year for the App Store in China during the last 2 weeks.
Obviously I can’t predict the future, but our performance so far this quarter is reassuring. Additionally, I continue to believe that China represents an unprecedented opportunity over the long term.
Apple shares are now 0.7% down on market opening, while the Dow Jones has slipped 3.4%.
7.43pm BST
19:43
If everyone knew the Chinese economy was slowing down, why are markets falling so much.
It’s worth remembering that many traders are at the beach or the golf course, meaning that market moves are amplified at a time when fewer people are involved.
Demetrios Efstathiou at Standard Bank says the sell off has been been amplified by a number of factors, none of which relate to China.
We start with the August holiday season that finds many risk takers on holidays, followed by the breaching of technical support levels, then the strong presence of computer algorithms trading in such illiquid times.
7.29pm BST
19:29
Over on Wall St, market watchers are calling the sharp early decline on New York stock markets as “more shakeout” than cut and run by investors.
Jason Ware, chief investment officer at Albion Financial Group in Utah, blamed early losses on “indiscriminate selling” - automatic trading, rather than a considered decision to get out of the market.
We are unlikely to be going into a bear market .
There are a number of positive things happening under the surface of all this chaos and it is easy to forget those things when you see these types of moves.
Quotes via Reuters
7.12pm BST
19:12
Merkel puts faith in Chinese authorities
The German chancellor Angela Merkel has sought to offer reassurance to panicky investors, after the country’s main stock index crashed into bear-market territory.
Speaking at a press conference with French president François Hollande, she said:
China will do everything it can to stabilise the economic situation.
She also referred to the fact the International Monetary Fund sees the sell-off in China as an “adjustment”, not a crisis. A senior IMF officials said at the weekend “it was totally premature” to speak of a crisis in China.
President Hollande also put in his words of reassurance.
[China] will find responses within itself and the world economy is sufficiently solid to have growth perspectives that are not solely linked to the situation in China
The third person in the picture is Ukraine’s president Petro Poroshenko, who was meeting the French and German leaders in Berlin. While the stock markets in Europe and Asia fall into panic mode, the ceasefire in Ukraine is falling apart.