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Clinton and Trump stare down deficits ahead of Wisconsin primary – live Clinton and Trump stare down deficits ahead of Wisconsin primary – live
(about 1 hour later)
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The Guardian’s Dan Roberts reports from Wisconsin that Texas senator Ted Cruz is coming close to joining Donald Trump in calling for a party insurrection if shenanigans at the Republican National Convention rob one of them of the nomination:
If it did, the people would quite rightly revolt.
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US supreme court unanimously rejects conservative challenge to voting rightsUS supreme court unanimously rejects conservative challenge to voting rights
Sabrina SiddiquiSabrina Siddiqui
The US supreme court on Monday unanimously rejected a conservative challenge to voting rights – ruling that states could count the total population, not just eligible voters, in drawing legislative districts, writes Guardian politics reporter Sabrina Siddiqui:The US supreme court on Monday unanimously rejected a conservative challenge to voting rights – ruling that states could count the total population, not just eligible voters, in drawing legislative districts, writes Guardian politics reporter Sabrina Siddiqui:
The case was brought before the court after conservative activists challenged thelegal principle of “one person, one vote”, which has long established that election districts should be drawn to be equal in population. The two plaintiffs, both residents of Texas, argued the principle diluted the influence of those living in districts where a larger number of individuals were ineligible to vote.The case was brought before the court after conservative activists challenged thelegal principle of “one person, one vote”, which has long established that election districts should be drawn to be equal in population. The two plaintiffs, both residents of Texas, argued the principle diluted the influence of those living in districts where a larger number of individuals were ineligible to vote.
Related: US supreme court unanimously rejects conservative challenge to voting rightsRelated: US supreme court unanimously rejects conservative challenge to voting rights
But shifting the method would most certainly lend greater power to states with wealthier populations with mostly white voters, and away from urban and more racially diverse areas. The lawsuit was opposed by the Obama administration, the state of Texas and civil rights groups across America.But shifting the method would most certainly lend greater power to states with wealthier populations with mostly white voters, and away from urban and more racially diverse areas. The lawsuit was opposed by the Obama administration, the state of Texas and civil rights groups across America.
Not a single member of the court, down to eight members since the death of conservative justice Antonin Scalia, sided with the challengers. Ruth Bader Ginsburg authored the opinion for the court, in which the liberal justice wrote that the plaintiffs had failed to demonstrate a rationale upon which the court should overturn the longstanding use of total population in drawing districts.Not a single member of the court, down to eight members since the death of conservative justice Antonin Scalia, sided with the challengers. Ruth Bader Ginsburg authored the opinion for the court, in which the liberal justice wrote that the plaintiffs had failed to demonstrate a rationale upon which the court should overturn the longstanding use of total population in drawing districts.
The nation’s founders, she added, intended that “representatives serve all residents, not just those eligible or registered to vote”.The nation’s founders, she added, intended that “representatives serve all residents, not just those eligible or registered to vote”.
Read the full piece here.Read the full piece here.
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Team Cruz cruises Wisconsin.Team Cruz cruises Wisconsin.
.@tedcruz @CarlyFiorina @SenMikeLee @ScottWalker on the bus heading to Kenosha #CruzToVictory #CruzCrew #Cruz2016 pic.twitter.com/NN2hWns6pd.@tedcruz @CarlyFiorina @SenMikeLee @ScottWalker on the bus heading to Kenosha #CruzToVictory #CruzCrew #Cruz2016 pic.twitter.com/NN2hWns6pd
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A new ad from the pro-Clinton super Pac Priorities USA attacks Ted Cruz as “extreme,” “dangerous,” and “wrong.”A new ad from the pro-Clinton super Pac Priorities USA attacks Ted Cruz as “extreme,” “dangerous,” and “wrong.”
“If you think Donald Trump is dangerous... watch out for Ted Cruz,” the ad says:“If you think Donald Trump is dangerous... watch out for Ted Cruz,” the ad says:
.@tedcruz is just as bad as @realDonaldTrump... maybe worse. #CruzControlhttps://t.co/kKlaeDRgYa.@tedcruz is just as bad as @realDonaldTrump... maybe worse. #CruzControlhttps://t.co/kKlaeDRgYa
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Sanders to auto workers: 'you are my family'Sanders to auto workers: 'you are my family'
Bernie Sanders appeared Monday at a UAW rally in Janesville, Wisconsin. “Without a strong labor union there cannot be a strong middle class,” he said, to enthusiastic applause. “We’re going to do everything we can to rebuild” unions.Bernie Sanders appeared Monday at a UAW rally in Janesville, Wisconsin. “Without a strong labor union there cannot be a strong middle class,” he said, to enthusiastic applause. “We’re going to do everything we can to rebuild” unions.
“I am not a candidate that goes to unions and then leaves and then goes to Wall Street,” he says. “You are my family.”“I am not a candidate that goes to unions and then leaves and then goes to Wall Street,” he says. “You are my family.”
Here’s video of the speech:Here’s video of the speech:
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Video: Cruz on convention 'pipe dream'Video: Cruz on convention 'pipe dream'
Here’s video of Ted Cruz calling the elevation of an outside presidential nominee at the national Republican convention a “pipe dream” and saying it “ain’t gonna happen.”Here’s video of Ted Cruz calling the elevation of an outside presidential nominee at the national Republican convention a “pipe dream” and saying it “ain’t gonna happen.”
Related: Ted Cruz echoes Trump in bashing proposed changed to GOP rulesRelated: Ted Cruz echoes Trump in bashing proposed changed to GOP rules
Cruz gets pretty yolo with his mixed metaphors here. “This fevered pipe dream of Washington, that at the convention they will parachute in some white knight that will save the Washington establishment...”Cruz gets pretty yolo with his mixed metaphors here. “This fevered pipe dream of Washington, that at the convention they will parachute in some white knight that will save the Washington establishment...”
“The people would revolt” and stay out of the race if saddled with an outside nominee, Cruz says.“The people would revolt” and stay out of the race if saddled with an outside nominee, Cruz says.
UpdatedUpdated
at 7.04pm BSTat 7.04pm BST
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HehHeh
$2 #books pic.twitter.com/VJGUosvvaO$2 #books pic.twitter.com/VJGUosvvaO
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Clinton in New York to hail $15/hour wage lawClinton in New York to hail $15/hour wage law
Hillary Clinton has joined New York governor Andrew Cuomo at a signing ceremony for a law that would eventually raise the state’s minimum wage to $15 / hour, depending on inflation. California governor Jerry Brown signed an even more muscular $15/hr law today.Hillary Clinton has joined New York governor Andrew Cuomo at a signing ceremony for a law that would eventually raise the state’s minimum wage to $15 / hour, depending on inflation. California governor Jerry Brown signed an even more muscular $15/hr law today.
Here’s video of Clinton’s speech in New York, which votes in a Democratic primary on 19 April:Here’s video of Clinton’s speech in New York, which votes in a Democratic primary on 19 April:
President Obama released a statement congratulating Cuomo:President Obama released a statement congratulating Cuomo:
I commend Governor Andrew Cuomo and the state of New York for taking the historic step of creating a paid family leave program in the state and raising its minimum wage to support New York’s working families. This action means more parents won’t have to choose between their job and caring for their new children. It means more workers can earn a higher wage to help make ends meet. Since I first called on Congress to increase the federal minimum wage in 2013, 18 states and more than 40 cities and counties have acted on their own -- thanks to the strong leadership of elected officials, businesses, and workers who organized and fought so hard for the economic security families deserve. Now Congress needs to act to raise the federal minimum wage and expand access to paid leave for all Americans.I commend Governor Andrew Cuomo and the state of New York for taking the historic step of creating a paid family leave program in the state and raising its minimum wage to support New York’s working families. This action means more parents won’t have to choose between their job and caring for their new children. It means more workers can earn a higher wage to help make ends meet. Since I first called on Congress to increase the federal minimum wage in 2013, 18 states and more than 40 cities and counties have acted on their own -- thanks to the strong leadership of elected officials, businesses, and workers who organized and fought so hard for the economic security families deserve. Now Congress needs to act to raise the federal minimum wage and expand access to paid leave for all Americans.
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Ayotte to meet GarlandAyotte to meet Garland
New Hampshire senator Kelly Ayotte, a Republican up for re-election this year, has decided to meet with Obama Supreme Court nominee Merrick Garland, her office has announced.New Hampshire senator Kelly Ayotte, a Republican up for re-election this year, has decided to meet with Obama Supreme Court nominee Merrick Garland, her office has announced.
Ayotte is one of at least 16 Republican senators to agree to meet with Garland – but only two, according to a Washington Post count, favor holding hearings on the nomination in advance of the November presidential election.Ayotte is one of at least 16 Republican senators to agree to meet with Garland – but only two, according to a Washington Post count, favor holding hearings on the nomination in advance of the November presidential election.
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Steelworker flies Mexican flag at Trump construction siteSteelworker flies Mexican flag at Trump construction site
Ashifa KassamAshifa Kassam
For a brief period this weekend, the flag of Mexico flew proudly from the soon-to-be-completed Trump hotel and tower in Vancouver, writes Ashifa Kassam from Toronto:For a brief period this weekend, the flag of Mexico flew proudly from the soon-to-be-completed Trump hotel and tower in Vancouver, writes Ashifa Kassam from Toronto:
Diego Saul Reyna entered the building on early Saturday morning, with the aim of sending a message to Republican frontrunner Donald Trump.Diego Saul Reyna entered the building on early Saturday morning, with the aim of sending a message to Republican frontrunner Donald Trump.
Wearing a hard hat and steel-toed boots, the Mexican-Canadian steel framer was given access to the building. He took the elevator to the 20th floor of the building and climbed the stairs the rest of the way to reach the top floor of the 63-storey tower. Once there, he hung a Mexican flag from the building and snapped a photo.Wearing a hard hat and steel-toed boots, the Mexican-Canadian steel framer was given access to the building. He took the elevator to the 20th floor of the building and climbed the stairs the rest of the way to reach the top floor of the 63-storey tower. Once there, he hung a Mexican flag from the building and snapped a photo.
#TipOfTheHat to Construction worker Diego Saul Reyna, who raised a #Mexican flag atop #TrumpTower #Vancouver ... pic.twitter.com/ejwTZ3Dv6T#TipOfTheHat to Construction worker Diego Saul Reyna, who raised a #Mexican flag atop #TrumpTower #Vancouver ... pic.twitter.com/ejwTZ3Dv6T
“From the concrete pouring, finishing, drywall, taping, wood forming and general labour, Mexicans were there, building it,” Reyna wrote on Facebook as he posted the photo. “The comments Trump has made about us, did not stop us from doing the high quality work we have always done, in our home country or when we migrate to the US/Canada.”“From the concrete pouring, finishing, drywall, taping, wood forming and general labour, Mexicans were there, building it,” Reyna wrote on Facebook as he posted the photo. “The comments Trump has made about us, did not stop us from doing the high quality work we have always done, in our home country or when we migrate to the US/Canada.”
By Sunday morning, the flag had been taken down but Reyna’s Facebook post had been shared thousands of times.By Sunday morning, the flag had been taken down but Reyna’s Facebook post had been shared thousands of times.
Reyna is not part of the crew who has been building the project. But he knows many who have worked on the site and wanted to send a message on their behalf. “They kept telling me their frustration, their anger and their hurt but they can’t say anything,” Reyna, 30, told The Huffington Post Canada. “So I did it because I don’t work there.”Reyna is not part of the crew who has been building the project. But he knows many who have worked on the site and wanted to send a message on their behalf. “They kept telling me their frustration, their anger and their hurt but they can’t say anything,” Reyna, 30, told The Huffington Post Canada. “So I did it because I don’t work there.”
In his push to become the Republican nominee, Trump has repeatedly taken aim at Mexicans, referring to them as rapists and criminals and pledging to build a “great, great, wall” along the US-Mexico border.In his push to become the Republican nominee, Trump has repeatedly taken aim at Mexicans, referring to them as rapists and criminals and pledging to build a “great, great, wall” along the US-Mexico border.
“I’m not concerned about Trump rising to power. I’m concerned about his values and his points of view extending to our country,” said Reyna. “Here in Canada, we are very well integrated ethnically and I think, as he labels negatively an entire ethnic group, that could jeopardise our society... That can spill into our society.”“I’m not concerned about Trump rising to power. I’m concerned about his values and his points of view extending to our country,” said Reyna. “Here in Canada, we are very well integrated ethnically and I think, as he labels negatively an entire ethnic group, that could jeopardise our society... That can spill into our society.”
The Trump project in Vancouver is Canada’s second tower bearing the billionaire businessman’s name. As Trump sharpened his rhetoric against Mexicans and Muslims, the projects in Vancouver and Toronto have both faced calls to remove the Trump name, with some such as Josh Matlow, a Toronto city councillor, pointing out on Twitter that “Toronto is a diverse & respectful city. Donald Trump is a fascist.”The Trump project in Vancouver is Canada’s second tower bearing the billionaire businessman’s name. As Trump sharpened his rhetoric against Mexicans and Muslims, the projects in Vancouver and Toronto have both faced calls to remove the Trump name, with some such as Josh Matlow, a Toronto city councillor, pointing out on Twitter that “Toronto is a diverse & respectful city. Donald Trump is a fascist.”
The Holborn Group, the developer behind the Trump tower in Vancouver, did not respond to a request for comment from the Guardian.The Holborn Group, the developer behind the Trump tower in Vancouver, did not respond to a request for comment from the Guardian.
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Scott Baio does not need a political decoder ring to understand what Donald Trump is sayin’.Scott Baio does not need a political decoder ring to understand what Donald Trump is sayin’.
.@ScottBaio: "@realDonaldTrump is the only guy, I think, that has the will & the nerve to attack & to fight."https://t.co/RtocRDFiAq.@ScottBaio: "@realDonaldTrump is the only guy, I think, that has the will & the nerve to attack & to fight."https://t.co/RtocRDFiAq
Don’t know who Scott Baio is?Don’t know who Scott Baio is?
Related:Related:
Got wife a coffee(I've never had a cup)The barista refused to call out name. @realDonaldTrump #MustBeABernieVoter pic.twitter.com/n1nQaP9lNyGot wife a coffee(I've never had a cup)The barista refused to call out name. @realDonaldTrump #MustBeABernieVoter pic.twitter.com/n1nQaP9lNy
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The rise of Donald Trump is a battle for the soul of the Republican partyThe rise of Donald Trump is a battle for the soul of the Republican party
Ben JacobsBen Jacobs
In case your weekend reading omitted this analysis by Guardian politics reporter Ben Jacobs...:In case your weekend reading omitted this analysis by Guardian politics reporter Ben Jacobs...:
After Mitt Romney failed to beat a vulnerable Barack Obama in 2012, a chastened Republican party arrived pretty quickly at the answer to their electability problem.After Mitt Romney failed to beat a vulnerable Barack Obama in 2012, a chastened Republican party arrived pretty quickly at the answer to their electability problem.
They were the party of old, angry white men, and in a much-heralded Washington DC press conference in March 2013, senior officials released an “autopsy report”concluding that to win back the White House, the party needed to appeal to young voters, women and minorities.They were the party of old, angry white men, and in a much-heralded Washington DC press conference in March 2013, senior officials released an “autopsy report”concluding that to win back the White House, the party needed to appeal to young voters, women and minorities.
Three years later, Donald Trump, who is historically unpopular among every one of those demographics, is the frontrunner for the party’s nomination. To paraphrase David Byrne, how did the Republican party get here?Three years later, Donald Trump, who is historically unpopular among every one of those demographics, is the frontrunner for the party’s nomination. To paraphrase David Byrne, how did the Republican party get here?
In a series of interviews with party insiders, operatives and elected officials, the party’s predicament is clear – Trump is on the verge of completing a hostile takeover – but as top Republican consultant John Brabender said: “Everybody may have a small piece of the answer, but I’m not sure if anyone has the answer.”In a series of interviews with party insiders, operatives and elected officials, the party’s predicament is clear – Trump is on the verge of completing a hostile takeover – but as top Republican consultant John Brabender said: “Everybody may have a small piece of the answer, but I’m not sure if anyone has the answer.”
Related: The rise of Donald Trump is a battle for the soul of the Republican partyRelated: The rise of Donald Trump is a battle for the soul of the Republican party
With the next primary contest looming in Wisconsin on Tuesday, the two most plausible scenarios for the Republican convention in July are either that Trump is the nominee or that complete and total anarchy ensues – and no one knows which option will be more damaging at the general election in November or to the future of the party.With the next primary contest looming in Wisconsin on Tuesday, the two most plausible scenarios for the Republican convention in July are either that Trump is the nominee or that complete and total anarchy ensues – and no one knows which option will be more damaging at the general election in November or to the future of the party.
The reasons are complex, but the grassroots rage against the machine was clearly evident. Brabender, like many others, saw dissatisfaction with Barack Obama as a key impetus for the rise of Trump. Obama has long been a hate figure on the right and Trump’s coalition includes both diehard conservatives and disaffected blue-collar Democrats.The reasons are complex, but the grassroots rage against the machine was clearly evident. Brabender, like many others, saw dissatisfaction with Barack Obama as a key impetus for the rise of Trump. Obama has long been a hate figure on the right and Trump’s coalition includes both diehard conservatives and disaffected blue-collar Democrats.
Read the full piece here.Read the full piece here.
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A video like this, just tweeted by Trump and apparently put together by a supporter unaffiliated with the campaign, is, with its childlike worldview, action-movie idioms, appetite for violence and accidental exposure of its protagonist as ridiculous – well, this is the kind of thing that used to be funny. Before Trump had captured 700-some Republican delegates in the presidential nominating race.A video like this, just tweeted by Trump and apparently put together by a supporter unaffiliated with the campaign, is, with its childlike worldview, action-movie idioms, appetite for violence and accidental exposure of its protagonist as ridiculous – well, this is the kind of thing that used to be funny. Before Trump had captured 700-some Republican delegates in the presidential nominating race.
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!https://t.co/4uWRyTeEr3MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!https://t.co/4uWRyTeEr3
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Cruz: talk of convention miracle candidate a 'pipedream'Cruz: talk of convention miracle candidate a 'pipedream'
Guardian Washington bureau chief Dan Roberts is with Ted Cruz in Wisconsin. Cruz dismisses outright all the renewed buzz this morning about whether Paul Ryan or somebody might sweep to victory in a national convention on the fourth ballot after party leaders conduct ritual self-flagellation and sacrifice a goat.Guardian Washington bureau chief Dan Roberts is with Ted Cruz in Wisconsin. Cruz dismisses outright all the renewed buzz this morning about whether Paul Ryan or somebody might sweep to victory in a national convention on the fourth ballot after party leaders conduct ritual self-flagellation and sacrifice a goat.
Cruz’s pithy assessment: “Ain’t gonna happen.”Cruz’s pithy assessment: “Ain’t gonna happen.”
Cruz blasts RNC "pipedream" of third candidate joining him and Trump in a contested convention. 'Ain't gonna happen' pic.twitter.com/zVN4xOLxh8Cruz blasts RNC "pipedream" of third candidate joining him and Trump in a contested convention. 'Ain't gonna happen' pic.twitter.com/zVN4xOLxh8
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Kasich raises funds on Trump's call for him to drop outKasich raises funds on Trump's call for him to drop out
The John Kasich camp has sent a fundraising email highlighting his opponents’ claims that his presence in the race is blocking them from victory.The John Kasich camp has sent a fundraising email highlighting his opponents’ claims that his presence in the race is blocking them from victory.
The fundraising email – subject line: “wild weekend” – features a Donald Trump quote from a Wisconsin rally: “If I didn’t have Kasich, I automatically win.”The fundraising email – subject line: “wild weekend” – features a Donald Trump quote from a Wisconsin rally: “If I didn’t have Kasich, I automatically win.”
Ted Cruz, meanwhile, released his first anti-Kasich TV ad in Wisconsin. Titled “John Kasich: not for us,” the ad spins a dark web of accusation but basically says Kasich handed out tax breaks in return for political contributions.Ted Cruz, meanwhile, released his first anti-Kasich TV ad in Wisconsin. Titled “John Kasich: not for us,” the ad spins a dark web of accusation but basically says Kasich handed out tax breaks in return for political contributions.
Team Kasich’s push in Wisconsin also includes an endorsement from Tommy Thompson, who was governor of Wisconsin for 14 years:Team Kasich’s push in Wisconsin also includes an endorsement from Tommy Thompson, who was governor of Wisconsin for 14 years:
Fmr WI Gov. Tommy Thompson backs John Kasich because America needs a president ready on Day One.https://t.co/HT8Yp5RsIbFmr WI Gov. Tommy Thompson backs John Kasich because America needs a president ready on Day One.https://t.co/HT8Yp5RsIb
The Kasich camp has been frank about its strategy of winning the nomination in a contested convention. Kasich has captured only 143 delegates so far, to Cruz’s 463 and Trump’s 736.The Kasich camp has been frank about its strategy of winning the nomination in a contested convention. Kasich has captured only 143 delegates so far, to Cruz’s 463 and Trump’s 736.
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If Trump loses Wisconsin, does that mean that he is finally fading in his fight for the presidential nomination?If Trump loses Wisconsin, does that mean that he is finally fading in his fight for the presidential nomination?
Short answer: depends on what happens after Wisconsin. What? It does. But don’t take our word for it. Here’s a good thread from this morning / this weekend on the question:Short answer: depends on what happens after Wisconsin. What? It does. But don’t take our word for it. Here’s a good thread from this morning / this weekend on the question:
So you think Trump is finally fading. Okay. Will you think that after he wins big in the Northeast in three weeks?So you think Trump is finally fading. Okay. Will you think that after he wins big in the Northeast in three weeks?
Going to be a real temptation to say Trump is in trouble after Wisconsin. Fact is he'll likely crush in NY two weeks later.Going to be a real temptation to say Trump is in trouble after Wisconsin. Fact is he'll likely crush in NY two weeks later.
As for me, yes: Trump "fading" if he loses WI b/c, mathematically, he's likely done for 1,237. Big NY/NJ/CT/RI wins priced in. @Nate_Cohn.As for me, yes: Trump "fading" if he loses WI b/c, mathematically, he's likely done for 1,237. Big NY/NJ/CT/RI wins priced in. @Nate_Cohn.
Big q is implications of WI loss for IN, SD, MT, etc. Also, what is going on on the West Coast. https://t.co/G3DtFKEpPGBig q is implications of WI loss for IN, SD, MT, etc. Also, what is going on on the West Coast. https://t.co/G3DtFKEpPG
In fact, sweeping the Eastern seaboard wouldn't even get Trump above 1,000 delegates, even with New Jersey tossed in.In fact, sweeping the Eastern seaboard wouldn't even get Trump above 1,000 delegates, even with New Jersey tossed in.
Even if he wins WI & everything else, Trump can't clinch the nomination before California on June 7 https://t.co/MkNZwjaIeCEven if he wins WI & everything else, Trump can't clinch the nomination before California on June 7 https://t.co/MkNZwjaIeC
And read our analysis here:And read our analysis here:
Related: Trump poised for Wisconsin setback after campaign's worst weekRelated: Trump poised for Wisconsin setback after campaign's worst week
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Here’s someone pouring cold water on talk of House speaker Paul Ryan emerging triumphant from the national convention to become the Republican nominee for president: Paul Ryan.Here’s someone pouring cold water on talk of House speaker Paul Ryan emerging triumphant from the national convention to become the Republican nominee for president: Paul Ryan.
“I decided not to run for president,” Ryan told the Times of Israel Sunday, on a visit to Jerusalem. “I think you should run if you’re going to be president. “I think you should start in Iowa and run to the tape.”“I decided not to run for president,” Ryan told the Times of Israel Sunday, on a visit to Jerusalem. “I think you should run if you’re going to be president. “I think you should start in Iowa and run to the tape.”
It’s Ryan’s first trip abroad as speaker.It’s Ryan’s first trip abroad as speaker.
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Hello, and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Next stop: Wisconsin, tomorrow, with 42 Republican and 86 Democratic delegates at stake (our comprehensive delegates tracker is here).Hello, and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Next stop: Wisconsin, tomorrow, with 42 Republican and 86 Democratic delegates at stake (our comprehensive delegates tracker is here).
Donald Trump is braced for an electoral setback in the midwest on Tuesday, after suffering the worst week so far in his campaign for the Republican presidential nomination, writes Jon Swaine:Donald Trump is braced for an electoral setback in the midwest on Tuesday, after suffering the worst week so far in his campaign for the Republican presidential nomination, writes Jon Swaine:
The property developer and TV host is expected to lose the Wisconsin primary to Ted Cruz, the firebrand Texas senator who is the leading hope of conservatives scrambling to stop him as part of a deepening civil war within the Republican party.The property developer and TV host is expected to lose the Wisconsin primary to Ted Cruz, the firebrand Texas senator who is the leading hope of conservatives scrambling to stop him as part of a deepening civil war within the Republican party.
Cruz has led Trump in all polls of the state in the past week, with two surveys placing his advantage as high as 10 percentage points. Analysts forecast that Cruz could win 39 of the potentially crucial 42 party delegates at stake in the race to the 1,237-delegate finish line.Cruz has led Trump in all polls of the state in the past week, with two surveys placing his advantage as high as 10 percentage points. Analysts forecast that Cruz could win 39 of the potentially crucial 42 party delegates at stake in the race to the 1,237-delegate finish line.
Related: Trump poised for Wisconsin setback after campaign's worst weekRelated: Trump poised for Wisconsin setback after campaign's worst week
And for those readers in whom the prospect of a wildly contested Republican convention inspires shivers of anticipatory delight, Politico’s Mike Allen has got your shivers – the Paul Ryan kind:And for those readers in whom the prospect of a wildly contested Republican convention inspires shivers of anticipatory delight, Politico’s Mike Allen has got your shivers – the Paul Ryan kind:
EXCLUSIVE : On the eve of the Wisconsin primaries, top Republicans are becoming increasingly vocal about their long-held belief that Speaker Paul Ryan will wind up as the nominee, perhaps on the fourth ballot at a chaotic Cleveland convention. One of the nation’s best-wired Republicans, with an enviable prediction record for this cycle, sees a 60% chance of a convention deadlock, and a 90% chance that delegates turn to Ryan – ergo, a 54% chance that Ryan, who’ll start the third week of July as chairman of the Republican National Convention, will end it as the nominee. “He’s the most conservative, least establishment member of the establishment,” the Republican source said. “That’s what you need to be.”EXCLUSIVE : On the eve of the Wisconsin primaries, top Republicans are becoming increasingly vocal about their long-held belief that Speaker Paul Ryan will wind up as the nominee, perhaps on the fourth ballot at a chaotic Cleveland convention. One of the nation’s best-wired Republicans, with an enviable prediction record for this cycle, sees a 60% chance of a convention deadlock, and a 90% chance that delegates turn to Ryan – ergo, a 54% chance that Ryan, who’ll start the third week of July as chairman of the Republican National Convention, will end it as the nominee. “He’s the most conservative, least establishment member of the establishment,” the Republican source said. “That’s what you need to be.”
Ryan, who’s more calculating and ambitious than he lets on, is running the same playbook he did to become Speaker: saying he doesn’t want it, that it won’t happen. In both cases, the maximum leverage is to NOT WANT IT – and to be begged to do it. He and his staff are trying to be as Shermanesque as it gets. Ryan repeated his lack of interest this morning in an interview from Israel with radio host Hugh Hewitt.Ryan, who’s more calculating and ambitious than he lets on, is running the same playbook he did to become Speaker: saying he doesn’t want it, that it won’t happen. In both cases, the maximum leverage is to NOT WANT IT – and to be begged to do it. He and his staff are trying to be as Shermanesque as it gets. Ryan repeated his lack of interest this morning in an interview from Israel with radio host Hugh Hewitt.
The Bernie Sanders campaign, meanwhile, is urging its supporters to stay away from a Trump rally due to take place yards away today, write Dan Roberts and Ben Jacobs:The Bernie Sanders campaign, meanwhile, is urging its supporters to stay away from a Trump rally due to take place yards away today, write Dan Roberts and Ben Jacobs:
Two of the most vocal groups of activists in the 2016 presidential race will be separated by a single street in downtown Milwaukee and a tight security presence when both of their campaign events begin at about 7pm on Monday.Two of the most vocal groups of activists in the 2016 presidential race will be separated by a single street in downtown Milwaukee and a tight security presence when both of their campaign events begin at about 7pm on Monday.
Related: Wisconsin: Sanders supporters advised to avoid Trump rallyRelated: Wisconsin: Sanders supporters advised to avoid Trump rally
The latest polls may give Sanders a comfortable lead over former secretary of state Hillary Clinton in the Badger State, but a Saturday night gala – filled with union members and party stalwarts – was definitely Clinton territory, even just judging by the number of standing ovations and the amount of sustained applause for the candidates’ speeches, writes Megan Carpentier:The latest polls may give Sanders a comfortable lead over former secretary of state Hillary Clinton in the Badger State, but a Saturday night gala – filled with union members and party stalwarts – was definitely Clinton territory, even just judging by the number of standing ovations and the amount of sustained applause for the candidates’ speeches, writes Megan Carpentier:
If you are a socialist running for the Democratic nomination for president and have received more than six million individual contributions totalling more than $100m, but you won’t say if you’ll use any of that money to help Democratic nominees for the House or the the Senate, it’s possible that the place to call your two million donors “the future of the Democratic party” is not the Founders Day gala of the Democratic Party of Wisconsin. There, the cheap seats go for $150 and the platinum sponsorship (a table for 10 with six VIP tickets) will run you $12,000.If you are a socialist running for the Democratic nomination for president and have received more than six million individual contributions totalling more than $100m, but you won’t say if you’ll use any of that money to help Democratic nominees for the House or the the Senate, it’s possible that the place to call your two million donors “the future of the Democratic party” is not the Founders Day gala of the Democratic Party of Wisconsin. There, the cheap seats go for $150 and the platinum sponsorship (a table for 10 with six VIP tickets) will run you $12,000.
Even if, like Bernie Sanders on Saturday night, you’re playing more to the television cameras in the back of the room and the general admission seats on house right than the audience directly in front of you, making such statements will still leave a huge expanse of silent ballroom between you and those cameras.Even if, like Bernie Sanders on Saturday night, you’re playing more to the television cameras in the back of the room and the general admission seats on house right than the audience directly in front of you, making such statements will still leave a huge expanse of silent ballroom between you and those cameras.
Related: Sanders leads polls but Clinton wins more crowd support at Wisconsin galaRelated: Sanders leads polls but Clinton wins more crowd support at Wisconsin gala
Thanks for reading, and please don’t delay in letting us know what’s on your Monday mind in the comments.Thanks for reading, and please don’t delay in letting us know what’s on your Monday mind in the comments.
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at 2.17pm BSTat 2.17pm BST