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Dilma Rousseff impeachment: majority of senate will vote to suspend president – live | |
(35 minutes later) | |
7.48am BST | |
07:48 | |
Jonathan Watts | |
I’m resurfacing this eye-opening read from the Guardian’s Latin America correspondent, Jon Watts, which spells out the rocky road ahead: | |
If the suspension of Rousseff goes ahead – as it now looks set to – the presidential line of succession will have been decimated in the past week, with possibly more to come. | |
Normally, this is how it looks: | |
But here’s the situation today: | |
In conclusion: two of the five are likely to be suspended by Thursday, another two are under investigation, and the final potential successor is an unelected judge who is about to be replaced. | |
I’d guess the odds on Lucia, who is not even in the frame right now, becoming president by the end of the year might be shorter than those last August for Leicester winning the Premiership. | |
7.37am BST | |
07:37 | |
What happens next? | |
Senators must still vote formally on the move to impeach Rousseff. | |
Thursday | |
Within 180 days | |
7.21am BST | |
07:21 | |
Majority of senators say they will vote for impeachment | |
Senator Blairo Maggi is the 58th senator to speak and the 41st to declare he will vote in favour of impeachment. | |
Assuming senators vote later as they have said they will, Dilma Rousseff will be suspended from office for 180 days while congress decides if she will be permanently ousted. | |
Bancada petista assiste a discurso de Blairo, o 41 pelo afastamento de Dilma. pic.twitter.com/ByTKUwCBaz | |
7.14am BST | 7.14am BST |
07:14 | 07:14 |
Brazilian TV network Globo reports that three senators are not expected to vote today. | Brazilian TV network Globo reports that three senators are not expected to vote today. |
Two – Eduardo Braga and Jader Barbalho – are on sick leave, it says, and another, Pedro Chaves dos Santos, has not yet taken office. | Two – Eduardo Braga and Jader Barbalho – are on sick leave, it says, and another, Pedro Chaves dos Santos, has not yet taken office. |
This would leave 78 senators available to vote on the impeachment process – in which case, the 40 senators who have so far said they will vote in favour would be enough to secure Rousseff’s suspension. | This would leave 78 senators available to vote on the impeachment process – in which case, the 40 senators who have so far said they will vote in favour would be enough to secure Rousseff’s suspension. |
7.07am BST | 7.07am BST |
07:07 | 07:07 |
Forty senators have now declared that they intend to vote for the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff. | Forty senators have now declared that they intend to vote for the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff. |
In a full senate of 81, just one more vote would be needed to secure her suspension. Not all senators have attended the session so far. | In a full senate of 81, just one more vote would be needed to secure her suspension. Not all senators have attended the session so far. |
6.56am BST | 6.56am BST |
06:56 | 06:56 |
Paulo Paim, speaking now, says he will vote against the move to impeach, the 16th senator to do so. | Paulo Paim, speaking now, says he will vote against the move to impeach, the 16th senator to do so. |
Latest tally: | Latest tally: |
When formal voting begins, a simple majority of 41 would see Dilma Rousseff suspended from office for 180 days. | When formal voting begins, a simple majority of 41 would see Dilma Rousseff suspended from office for 180 days. |
6.45am BST | 6.45am BST |
06:45 | 06:45 |
What we know so far | What we know so far |
In a lengthy session of the Senate in Brasilia, senators have been speaking ahead of a vote that will decide whether President Dilma Rousseff will be suspended from her role. | In a lengthy session of the Senate in Brasilia, senators have been speaking ahead of a vote that will decide whether President Dilma Rousseff will be suspended from her role. |
Updated | Updated |
at 7.47am BST | |
6.17am BST | 6.17am BST |
06:17 | 06:17 |
Associated Press files this dispatch from the late-night sitting: | Associated Press files this dispatch from the late-night sitting: |
Brazilian senators have a long way to go to finish their debate on whether to impeach President Dilma Rousseff. | Brazilian senators have a long way to go to finish their debate on whether to impeach President Dilma Rousseff. |
The chamber is still crowded, although there are more aides than senators themselves. Older senators have gone off for naps and are having their aides call when their time to speak is about to come. | The chamber is still crowded, although there are more aides than senators themselves. Older senators have gone off for naps and are having their aides call when their time to speak is about to come. |
The Senate leader, Renan Calheiros, had hoped the body could vote on impeachment by late Wednesday. He is now predicting that the vote can be held around 6am local time (5am EDT/10am BST/7pm AEST). | |
If a simple majority of the 81 senators vote in favour, Rousseff will be suspended from office and vice-president Michel Temer will take over for up to six months pending a decision on whether to remove her from office permanently. | If a simple majority of the 81 senators vote in favour, Rousseff will be suspended from office and vice-president Michel Temer will take over for up to six months pending a decision on whether to remove her from office permanently. |
Updated | |
at 7.23am BST | |
6.10am BST | 6.10am BST |
06:10 | 06:10 |
Pro- and anti-Rousseff demonstrators have been waiting outside the government buildings for the conclusion of the Senate session – which could still be some hours away. | Pro- and anti-Rousseff demonstrators have been waiting outside the government buildings for the conclusion of the Senate session – which could still be some hours away. |
Polls have found a majority of Brazilians in favour of impeaching Rousseff, though many remain concerned about those likely to succeed her. | Polls have found a majority of Brazilians in favour of impeaching Rousseff, though many remain concerned about those likely to succeed her. |
5.47am BST | 5.47am BST |
05:47 | 05:47 |
Latest tally of the 50 senators who have spoken so far: | Latest tally of the 50 senators who have spoken so far: |
And another reminder: a simple majority is required to see Rousseff suspended. On a full complement of 81 senators, with all members present, that’s 41 votes needed for the impeachment process to go ahead. | And another reminder: a simple majority is required to see Rousseff suspended. On a full complement of 81 senators, with all members present, that’s 41 votes needed for the impeachment process to go ahead. |
So far, we have not seen all senators in the chamber. However, that could of course change when voting officially begins. | So far, we have not seen all senators in the chamber. However, that could of course change when voting officially begins. |
Updated | Updated |
at 6.04am BST | at 6.04am BST |
5.36am BST | 5.36am BST |
05:36 | 05:36 |
We reach a milestone of sorts with the 50th senator to come forward to make a speech: Paulo Rocha. | We reach a milestone of sorts with the 50th senator to come forward to make a speech: Paulo Rocha. |
Seventy-one senators are slated to have their 15 minutes at the podium before voting officially starts. | Seventy-one senators are slated to have their 15 minutes at the podium before voting officially starts. |
5.34am BST | 5.34am BST |
05:34 | 05:34 |
Lindbergh Farias, a senator for Rousseff’s Workers’ party, is up now and despite the late hour – it’s currently 1.30am in Brasilia – is making an impassioned speech, saying the prospective Temer government is “born bankrupt” and “paving the way towards fascism”. | Lindbergh Farias, a senator for Rousseff’s Workers’ party, is up now and despite the late hour – it’s currently 1.30am in Brasilia – is making an impassioned speech, saying the prospective Temer government is “born bankrupt” and “paving the way towards fascism”. |
“We will not recognise this government,” he says. | “We will not recognise this government,” he says. |
Lindbergh: "Não vamos reconhecer esse governo. Temer será o primeiro presidente a assumir como ficha suja" #ImpeachmentDay #SeEuFosseDilma | Lindbergh: "Não vamos reconhecer esse governo. Temer será o primeiro presidente a assumir como ficha suja" #ImpeachmentDay #SeEuFosseDilma |
“We know the result today,” he says, before exhorting colleagues to mount a strong opposition. The senate is looking fairly sparsely occupied at this point, however. | “We know the result today,” he says, before exhorting colleagues to mount a strong opposition. The senate is looking fairly sparsely occupied at this point, however. |
Updated | Updated |
at 5.35am BST | at 5.35am BST |
5.20am BST | 5.20am BST |
05:20 | 05:20 |
Someone at the Associated Press is suffering from lack of sleep, if the headline on its latest report is anything to go by: | Someone at the Associated Press is suffering from lack of sleep, if the headline on its latest report is anything to go by: |
Debate on future of Brazil’s president drones into 2nd day | Debate on future of Brazil’s president drones into 2nd day |
5.10am BST | 5.10am BST |
05:10 | 05:10 |
Fernando Bezerra Coelho, a former minister in Rousseff’s administration, has said he will vote to impeach her. | Fernando Bezerra Coelho, a former minister in Rousseff’s administration, has said he will vote to impeach her. |
4.59am BST | 4.59am BST |
04:59 | 04:59 |
The removal of the president “will not resolve the serious political and economic crisis experienced by the country”, Lídice da Mata adds. | The removal of the president “will not resolve the serious political and economic crisis experienced by the country”, Lídice da Mata adds. |
She says Temer will struggle with a lack of legitimacy should he become president. | She says Temer will struggle with a lack of legitimacy should he become president. |
She will vote against impeachment. | She will vote against impeachment. |