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| EU referendum poll tracker: Last day of polling before Britain goes to vote | EU referendum poll tracker: Last day of polling before Britain goes to vote |
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| With just hours to go until voting opens in the EU referendum, the opinion polls are too close to call. | With just hours to go until voting opens in the EU referendum, the opinion polls are too close to call. |
| Some bookmakers have told The Independent they are up to 90 per cent sure the result will go to Remain, and currency markets appear to have sured up in anticipation of that outcome. | Some bookmakers have told The Independent they are up to 90 per cent sure the result will go to Remain, and currency markets appear to have sured up in anticipation of that outcome. |
| But the most recent YouGov poll shows Leave still with a slight lead, and a Survation poll on Tuesday saw the pro-Brexit camp claw back the gap to just one point. | But the most recent YouGov poll shows Leave still with a slight lead, and a Survation poll on Tuesday saw the pro-Brexit camp claw back the gap to just one point. |
| The Independent will continue to track all the changes in the polls, with four more releases expected before most people have voted. | The Independent will continue to track all the changes in the polls, with four more releases expected before most people have voted. |
| They are an Opinium poll, due at 4.30pm, a Comres phone poll and YouGov online poll both due at 10pm, and an Ipsos Mori poll due at 10am on the day itself. | They are an Opinium poll, due at 4.30pm, a Comres phone poll and YouGov online poll both due at 10pm, and an Ipsos Mori poll due at 10am on the day itself. |
| If the general election proved anything, it is that the polls shuold not be trusted as a cast-iron indicator of how the vote will go. | If the general election proved anything, it is that the polls shuold not be trusted as a cast-iron indicator of how the vote will go. |
| But swings in the polls do appear to have corresponded with key events that seem likely to have influenced opinions. | But swings in the polls do appear to have corresponded with key events that seem likely to have influenced opinions. |
| John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University and one of the country’s foremost polling experts, told The Independent on Tuesday: “It’s around 50-50. To cut a long story short, undoubtedly last week Leave made progress – the first significant progress of the campaign. You actually had the phone polls calling it 50-50 and you had the internet polls having Leave ahead. It’s very, very tight. You can’t call this referendum – it’s too close.” | |
| The EU referendum debate has so far been characterised by bias, distortion and exaggeration. So until 23 June we we’re running a series of question and answer features that explain the most important issues in a detailed, dispassionate way to help inform your decision. | The EU referendum debate has so far been characterised by bias, distortion and exaggeration. So until 23 June we we’re running a series of question and answer features that explain the most important issues in a detailed, dispassionate way to help inform your decision. |
| What is Brexit and why are we having an EU referendum? | What is Brexit and why are we having an EU referendum? |
| Does the UK need to take more control of its sovereignty? | Does the UK need to take more control of its sovereignty? |
| Could the UK media swing the EU referendum one way or another? | Could the UK media swing the EU referendum one way or another? |
| Will the UK benefit from being released from EU laws? | Will the UK benefit from being released from EU laws? |
| Will we gain or lose rights by leaving the European Union? | Will we gain or lose rights by leaving the European Union? |
| Will Brexit mean that Europeans have to leave the UK? | Will Brexit mean that Europeans have to leave the UK? |
| Will leaving the EU lead to the break-up of the UK? | Will leaving the EU lead to the break-up of the UK? |
| What will happen to immigration if there's Brexit? | What will happen to immigration if there's Brexit? |
| Will Brexit make the UK more or less safe? | Will Brexit make the UK more or less safe? |
| Will the UK benefit from being released from EU laws? | Will the UK benefit from being released from EU laws? |
| Will leaving the EU save taxpayers money and mean more money for the NHS? | Will leaving the EU save taxpayers money and mean more money for the NHS? |
| What will Brexit mean for British tourists booking holidays in the EU? | What will Brexit mean for British tourists booking holidays in the EU? |
| Will Brexit help or damage the environment? | Will Brexit help or damage the environment? |
| Will Brexit mean that Europeans have to leave the UK? | Will Brexit mean that Europeans have to leave the UK? |
| What will Brexit mean for British expats in Europe? | What will Brexit mean for British expats in Europe? |