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EU referendum: Final Opinium poll before voting day 'too close to call' | |
(35 minutes later) | |
The Leave campaign has taken the lead by a single percentage point in the final poll by the Opinium firm to be released before the EU referendum. | |
Opinium, which was the most accurate pollster at the 2015 general election, said the race was "too close to call" on account of the survey. | |
The result represents a gain of one point for Leave, who are up to 45 per cent. Remain were on 44 per cent in the survey. | |
9 per cent of voters are undecided but say they will vote. | |
All the changes compared to the firm's penultimate poll are within the margin of error. | |
That survey, released on Sunday, had Leave and Remain tied on 44 per cent. | |
A spokesperson for the firm said: "Too close to call in final EU referendum poll. Everything rests on 9 per cent still undecided." | |
Two more opinion polls, from YouGov and ComRes, are expected this evening. | |
The Ipsos MORI firm is exected to release a poll at 10am tomorrow. | |
YouGov will also release a so-called "re-contact survey" where it polls people on how they voted once polls close. | |
This method is not a full exit poll but should give some indication of turnout. | |
The European Union referendum takes place on Thursday. The deadline to register to vote has already passed. |