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| Version 1 | Version 2 |
|---|---|
| EU referendum: Final Opinium poll before voting day 'too close to call' | EU referendum: Final Opinium poll before voting day 'too close to call' |
| (about 4 hours later) | |
| The Leave campaign has taken the lead by a single percentage point in the final poll by the Opinium firm to be released before the EU referendum. | The Leave campaign has taken the lead by a single percentage point in the final poll by the Opinium firm to be released before the EU referendum. |
| Opinium, which was the most accurate pollster at the 2015 general election, said the race was "too close to call" on account of the survey. | Opinium, which was the most accurate pollster at the 2015 general election, said the race was "too close to call" on account of the survey. |
| The result represents a gain of one point for Leave, who are up to 45 per cent. Remain were on 44 per cent in the survey. | The result represents a gain of one point for Leave, who are up to 45 per cent. Remain were on 44 per cent in the survey. |
| 9 per cent of voters are undecided but say they will vote. | 9 per cent of voters are undecided but say they will vote. |
| All the changes compared to the firm's penultimate poll are within the margin of error. | All the changes compared to the firm's penultimate poll are within the margin of error. |
| That survey, released on Sunday, had Leave and Remain tied on 44 per cent. | That survey, released on Sunday, had Leave and Remain tied on 44 per cent. |
| A spokesperson for the firm said: "Too close to call in final EU referendum poll. Everything rests on 9 per cent still undecided." | A spokesperson for the firm said: "Too close to call in final EU referendum poll. Everything rests on 9 per cent still undecided." |
| Two more opinion polls, from YouGov and ComRes, are expected this evening. | Two more opinion polls, from YouGov and ComRes, are expected this evening. |
| The Ipsos MORI firm is expected to release a poll at 10am tomorrow. | |
| YouGov will also release a so-called "re-contact survey" where it polls people on how they voted once polls close. | YouGov will also release a so-called "re-contact survey" where it polls people on how they voted once polls close. |
| This method is not a full exit poll but should give some indication of turnout. | This method is not a full exit poll but should give some indication of turnout. |
| The European Union referendum takes place on Thursday. The deadline to register to vote has already passed. | The European Union referendum takes place on Thursday. The deadline to register to vote has already passed. |