This article is from the source 'independent' and was first published or seen on . It last changed over 40 days ago and won't be checked again for changes.
You can find the current article at its original source at http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/eu-referendum-polls-say-it-is-too-close-to-call-but-early-results-suggest-support-for-leave-is-a7098996.html
The article has changed 3 times. There is an RSS feed of changes available.
| Version 0 | Version 1 |
|---|---|
| EU referendum: Polls say it is too close to call, but early results suggest support for Leave is stronger than expected | EU referendum: Polls say it is too close to call, but early results suggest support for Leave is stronger than expected |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| Britain is narrowly on course to vote to stay in the European Union, five final opinion surveys have suggested as the polls closed and counting began in the most fiercely fought and significant referendum in a generation. | Britain is narrowly on course to vote to stay in the European Union, five final opinion surveys have suggested as the polls closed and counting began in the most fiercely fought and significant referendum in a generation. |
| But very early results suggested that support for leaving the European Union was stronger than had been expected. | But very early results suggested that support for leaving the European Union was stronger than had been expected. |
| Follow the latest live updates on the EU referendum | |
| Follow our live interactive results tracker | |
| With 14 out of 382 local authorities declared Leave had 473,688 votes to 460, 712 for remain. Turnout is so far around 70 per cent. | With 14 out of 382 local authorities declared Leave had 473,688 votes to 460, 712 for remain. Turnout is so far around 70 per cent. |
| Among the first areas to declare was Sunderland – that Leave won by 22 per cent while Newcastle voted for Remain by a margin of 1 per cent - tighter than predicted. There were also Leave wins in Swindon and Broxbourne. | Among the first areas to declare was Sunderland – that Leave won by 22 per cent while Newcastle voted for Remain by a margin of 1 per cent - tighter than predicted. There were also Leave wins in Swindon and Broxbourne. |
| However will less than four per cent of the votes declared the final result is not expected to be clear until later this morning. | However will less than four per cent of the votes declared the final result is not expected to be clear until later this morning. |
| None the less the pound fell back sharply against the dollar as traders reacted to the early results. | None the less the pound fell back sharply against the dollar as traders reacted to the early results. |
| Earlier sterling had rallied sharply on the basis of several polls showing a win for remain. | Earlier sterling had rallied sharply on the basis of several polls showing a win for remain. |
| A YouGov poll of 5,000 people released at 10pm put Remain on 52 per cent (up one per cent on its last poll) and Leave on 48 (down one). An internal poll carried out by the campaign group Leave.EU of 10,000 people over the last 48 hours suggested the same headline result. | A YouGov poll of 5,000 people released at 10pm put Remain on 52 per cent (up one per cent on its last poll) and Leave on 48 (down one). An internal poll carried out by the campaign group Leave.EU of 10,000 people over the last 48 hours suggested the same headline result. |
| Even Ukip’s leader Nigel Farage said he was not confident of a leave vote telling Sky News that he thought Remain would “edge it”. Sources in the Remain camp said they were “cautiously optimistic”. | Even Ukip’s leader Nigel Farage said he was not confident of a leave vote telling Sky News that he thought Remain would “edge it”. Sources in the Remain camp said they were “cautiously optimistic”. |
| Joe Twyman, head of political and social research at YouGov said they had gone back to the same people they had previously surveyed to asked them how they had actually voted. | Joe Twyman, head of political and social research at YouGov said they had gone back to the same people they had previously surveyed to asked them how they had actually voted. |
| “The survey found a small move to Remain and based on these results we expect the United Kingdom to continue as a member of the European Union,” he said. | “The survey found a small move to Remain and based on these results we expect the United Kingdom to continue as a member of the European Union,” he said. |
| However he added: “The results are close and it too early to call it definitively.” A similar poll carried out by YouGov at the general election failed to predict the accurate result. | However he added: “The results are close and it too early to call it definitively.” A similar poll carried out by YouGov at the general election failed to predict the accurate result. |
| Earlier in the day a ComRes for ITV News earlier put the campaign for the UK to remain in the EU on 48 per cent and the Leave campaign on 42 per cent. | Earlier in the day a ComRes for ITV News earlier put the campaign for the UK to remain in the EU on 48 per cent and the Leave campaign on 42 per cent. |
| A Populus poll showed Remain on 55 per cent to Leave’s 45 per cent. | A Populus poll showed Remain on 55 per cent to Leave’s 45 per cent. |
| Another poll, by Ipsos Mori, for the Evening Standard gave remain a four-point lead at 52 per cent, against 48 per cent. However TNS and Opinium still put the leave camp slightly ahead. | Another poll, by Ipsos Mori, for the Evening Standard gave remain a four-point lead at 52 per cent, against 48 per cent. However TNS and Opinium still put the leave camp slightly ahead. |
| In an attempt to unify the Tory party after the bruising and divisive campaign a letter was released after the polls closed signed by more than 80 Eurosceptic Tory MPs – including every Cabinet minister who voted Leave - urging David Cameron to remain as Prime Minister regardless of the referendum result. | In an attempt to unify the Tory party after the bruising and divisive campaign a letter was released after the polls closed signed by more than 80 Eurosceptic Tory MPs – including every Cabinet minister who voted Leave - urging David Cameron to remain as Prime Minister regardless of the referendum result. |
| The letter stated: “We who are supporters of Vote Leave and members of the Conservative Party thank you for giving the British people a choice of their destiny on 23 June. | The letter stated: “We who are supporters of Vote Leave and members of the Conservative Party thank you for giving the British people a choice of their destiny on 23 June. |
| “We believe that whatever the British people decide you have both a mandate and a duty to continue leading the nation implementing our 2015 manifesto.” | “We believe that whatever the British people decide you have both a mandate and a duty to continue leading the nation implementing our 2015 manifesto.” |
| The Leave campaigner and Cabinet minister, Chris Grayling, said: “It's really important now that the Conservative Party unites and gets on with the job of governing the country. | The Leave campaigner and Cabinet minister, Chris Grayling, said: “It's really important now that the Conservative Party unites and gets on with the job of governing the country. |
| "It has been a robust debate on a subject that both sides feel passionate about but we are facing a labour opposition that is more left wing and more extreme than any other in my lifetime. We must make sure that they don't get anywhere near power because of divisions in our ranks. | "It has been a robust debate on a subject that both sides feel passionate about but we are facing a labour opposition that is more left wing and more extreme than any other in my lifetime. We must make sure that they don't get anywhere near power because of divisions in our ranks. |
| "There is a very strong view amongst conservative MPs that we need to move on and unite behind David Cameron." | "There is a very strong view amongst conservative MPs that we need to move on and unite behind David Cameron." |
| There is unlikely to be a final declaration of the result much before breakfast time – but unless the result is particularly close it should be possible to call it a couple of hours before - after the UK’s major conurbations have declared their results. | There is unlikely to be a final declaration of the result much before breakfast time – but unless the result is particularly close it should be possible to call it a couple of hours before - after the UK’s major conurbations have declared their results. |
| A key moment is expected to come around 3am when Birmingham declares its result. Glasgow and Liverpool are should declare a little earlier. | A key moment is expected to come around 3am when Birmingham declares its result. Glasgow and Liverpool are should declare a little earlier. |
| Despite heavy rain in some parts of the country turnout is expected to be high. | Despite heavy rain in some parts of the country turnout is expected to be high. |
| Scotland's chief returning officer Mary Pitkeithley said she estimated turnout at between 70 and 80 per cent. | Scotland's chief returning officer Mary Pitkeithley said she estimated turnout at between 70 and 80 per cent. |
| Provisional figures released by the elections watchdog, the Electoral Commission, show 46.5m people signed up to vote - 150,000 more than could have turned out at last year's general election. | Provisional figures released by the elections watchdog, the Electoral Commission, show 46.5m people signed up to vote - 150,000 more than could have turned out at last year's general election. |
| Downpours hit London and parts of south-east England overnight and early on Thursday morning, leading to some being forced to queue in the rain to cast their ballots. | Downpours hit London and parts of south-east England overnight and early on Thursday morning, leading to some being forced to queue in the rain to cast their ballots. |
| Some polling stations were forced to relocate. A launderette and shipping container were among some of the more unusual places where people exercised their democratic mandate. | Some polling stations were forced to relocate. A launderette and shipping container were among some of the more unusual places where people exercised their democratic mandate. |
| Kingston-upon-Thames Council in south west London moved two voting locations, and a polling station in Barking and Dagenham, east London, was shut because of a burst water main. | Kingston-upon-Thames Council in south west London moved two voting locations, and a polling station in Barking and Dagenham, east London, was shut because of a burst water main. |
| One polling station in Dover experienced a power outage due to the storms and was running on a generator for much of the day. | One polling station in Dover experienced a power outage due to the storms and was running on a generator for much of the day. |
| Flooding outside other polling stations made some tricky to access. | Flooding outside other polling stations made some tricky to access. |
| Merton council tweeted a video of a waterlogged walkway outside Sacred Heart School polling station in New Malden, advising voters to "wear your wellies". | Merton council tweeted a video of a waterlogged walkway outside Sacred Heart School polling station in New Malden, advising voters to "wear your wellies". |
| A council spokeswoman said no one had been turned away and that staff were doing "everything they can" to guide voters and drivers through and clear water away. | A council spokeswoman said no one had been turned away and that staff were doing "everything they can" to guide voters and drivers through and clear water away. |
| As politicians, on both sides of the debate, cast their votes they expressed optimism that the result would go their way. | As politicians, on both sides of the debate, cast their votes they expressed optimism that the result would go their way. |
| Asked if he was feeing confident, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn Corbyn smiled and said: "Extremely, it's a very good day." | Asked if he was feeing confident, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn Corbyn smiled and said: "Extremely, it's a very good day." |
| On the outcome of the referendum, he joked: "You could either check the wind or check the bookies," adding "the bookies usually get it right". | On the outcome of the referendum, he joked: "You could either check the wind or check the bookies," adding "the bookies usually get it right". |
| Pro-Leave Justice Secretary Michael Gove said he was feeling "quite excited" as he accompanied his wife, Sarah Vine, to a polling station in North Kensington. | Pro-Leave Justice Secretary Michael Gove said he was feeling "quite excited" as he accompanied his wife, Sarah Vine, to a polling station in North Kensington. |
| Asked if he was feeling confident ahead of the result as he waited to board a flight to London at Edinburgh Airport, Boris Johnson said: "I think the polls have been very close. | Asked if he was feeling confident ahead of the result as he waited to board a flight to London at Edinburgh Airport, Boris Johnson said: "I think the polls have been very close. |
| "From what I have heard and all the information is that turnout is good in areas where we need it to be." | "From what I have heard and all the information is that turnout is good in areas where we need it to be." |
| Asked if poor weather could affect turnout in key parts of the country, he added: "l don't think that will make any difference in the long run. | Asked if poor weather could affect turnout in key parts of the country, he added: "l don't think that will make any difference in the long run. |
| "It's a long time to go until the polls close." | "It's a long time to go until the polls close." |
| Nigel Farage meanwhile received a forceful reply from Tory former minister Sir Nicholas Soames, grandson of Winston Churchill, when he made a late plea for voters to back Brexit. | Nigel Farage meanwhile received a forceful reply from Tory former minister Sir Nicholas Soames, grandson of Winston Churchill, when he made a late plea for voters to back Brexit. |
| Mr Farage wrote on Twitter: "If you want your borders back, if you want your democracy back, if you want your country back then vote to leave! £IndependenceDay." | Mr Farage wrote on Twitter: "If you want your borders back, if you want your democracy back, if you want your country back then vote to leave! £IndependenceDay." |
| Sir Nicholas, a supporter of Remain, replied: "Oh b*******." | Sir Nicholas, a supporter of Remain, replied: "Oh b*******." |