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Brexit live: Theresa May wins first round of Tory party leadership election | Brexit live: Theresa May wins first round of Tory party leadership election |
(35 minutes later) | |
7.19pm BST | |
19:19 | |
Andrew Sparrow | |
This is from Newsnight’s Nicholas Watt. | |
Team @andrealeadsom say @Gove2016 had 30 MPs - extra 18 lent by @TheresaMay2016 who prefers him in final round. Denied by Team May | |
I’m finishing now for the night. My colleague Ben Quinn is taking over. | |
7.13pm BST | |
19:13 | |
Fox says next Tory leader has to have 'experience' | |
Liam Fox has put out a statement about the result. | |
Here is an excerpt. | |
I have also sought to stress the need for experience as the successful candidate will have to take up the reins of government in less than 9 weeks. | |
Liam Fox statement pic.twitter.com/1mMYQ1Jl6L | |
Fox says he will make a statement about his “intentions” - presumably his voting intentions - in due course. | |
The reference to experience in his statement would rule out his supporting Stephen Crabb or Andrea Leadsom. | |
The Sunday Times’s Tim Shipman thinks Fox will back Theresa May. | |
Liam Fox is a regular dining partner of Theresa May. Very likely that he will now back her. | |
7.05pm BST | |
19:05 | |
These are from the Evening Standard’s Joe Murphy. | |
Gove is 18 behind Leadsom - and Fox only has 16. The maths look difficult for him. | |
Fox out - and not much point in Gove or Crabb staying in the race. Do we need a thursday ballot? | |
@jamesmatesitv Gove needs to pick off Leadsom supporters. But May has enough spare votes to keep Leadsom ahead of him if she wishes | |
7.00pm BST | |
19:00 | |
This is from ITV’s Alastair Stewart. | |
#ToryLeadership Former 'Remain' campaigners 199; former 'Leave' campaigners 130. | |
6.56pm BST | |
18:56 | |
Here is ConservativeHome’s Paul Goodman on the result. | |
+ @TheresaMay2016 on half the vote. Looks like she's the one that Tory MPs want. Big implications. | |
On these figures, @Gove2016 could just make the final two if he scoops up enough of @LiamFoxMP's and later @CrabbForBritain's votes. | |
Could be wrong - but smell some tactical voting for Gove here by @theresamay2016 provisional wing. | |
6.54pm BST | |
18:54 | |
This is from ITV’s Adrian Masters. | |
A Conservative MP suggested to me earlier that most, if not all, Crabb supporters wd back Theresa May if he were to withdraw from the race | |
Updated | |
at 7.00pm BST | |
6.54pm BST | |
18:54 | |
This is from BuzzFeed’s Jim Waterson. | |
Leadsom supporters terrified other MPs (ie May supporters) will now move to stop her reaching the final two by voting tactically for Gove. | |
Updated | |
at 7.00pm BST | |
6.52pm BST | |
18:52 | |
This is from the BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg. | |
Leadsom's team still buoyant, they believe govt whips been colluding to stop her | |
Updated | |
at 7.00pm BST | |
6.49pm BST | 6.49pm BST |
18:49 | 18:49 |
This is from Newsnight’s Nicholas Watt. | This is from Newsnight’s Nicholas Watt. |
After @andrealeadsom 2nd place @PennyMordauntMP tells me: the momentum is with Andrea, a contest between her and @TheresaMay2016 exciting | After @andrealeadsom 2nd place @PennyMordauntMP tells me: the momentum is with Andrea, a contest between her and @TheresaMay2016 exciting |
Team @andrealeadsom thought they had 65 votes in the bag. Went one better to 66 | Team @andrealeadsom thought they had 65 votes in the bag. Went one better to 66 |
Updated | |
at 7.00pm BST | |
6.47pm BST | 6.47pm BST |
18:47 | 18:47 |
May say she is the only person who can unite the party | May say she is the only person who can unite the party |
Here is Theresa May’s statement on the result. | Here is Theresa May’s statement on the result. |
I am pleased with this result, and very grateful to my colleagues for their support today. | I am pleased with this result, and very grateful to my colleagues for their support today. |
There is a big job before us: to unite our party and the country, to negotiate the best possible deal as we leave the EU, and to make Britain work for everyone. | There is a big job before us: to unite our party and the country, to negotiate the best possible deal as we leave the EU, and to make Britain work for everyone. |
I am the only candidate capable of delivering these three things as prime minister, and tonight it is clear that I am also the only one capable of drawing support from the whole of the Conservative party. | I am the only candidate capable of delivering these three things as prime minister, and tonight it is clear that I am also the only one capable of drawing support from the whole of the Conservative party. |
I look forward to continuing the debate about Britain’s future - in parliament and across the country. | I look forward to continuing the debate about Britain’s future - in parliament and across the country. |
6.46pm BST | 6.46pm BST |
18:46 | 18:46 |
Tory election results - 4 things we've learnt | Tory election results - 4 things we've learnt |
Here are some snap observations on the result. | Here are some snap observations on the result. |
1) Theresa May’s lead is so big as to raise questions about how viable it would be to elect anyone else as leader. She has won the backing of 50% of Tory MPs, and is bound to pick up more support as the voting goes on. (For example, we heard Ken Clarke say today that he would vote for Stephen Crabb before switching to May.) | 1) Theresa May’s lead is so big as to raise questions about how viable it would be to elect anyone else as leader. She has won the backing of 50% of Tory MPs, and is bound to pick up more support as the voting goes on. (For example, we heard Ken Clarke say today that he would vote for Stephen Crabb before switching to May.) |
2) Stephen Crabb may come under pressure to drop out. He got twice as many votes as Liam Fox, but it is hard to see any of the Fox votes going to him and so there is a chance that, if he stays in the ballot, he could see his vote share fall on Thursday - which would be embarrasing. | 2) Stephen Crabb may come under pressure to drop out. He got twice as many votes as Liam Fox, but it is hard to see any of the Fox votes going to him and so there is a chance that, if he stays in the ballot, he could see his vote share fall on Thursday - which would be embarrasing. |
3) Michael Gove seems to have little chance of catching Andrea Leadsom. Like Liam Fox he is a hawkish leaver, but even if all the Fox votes were to go to him (quite a big if) he would still not have as many votes as Andrea Leadsom. He has indicated that he won’t drop out, but it is not as if he has not U-turned already quite dramatically in this contest. | 3) Michael Gove seems to have little chance of catching Andrea Leadsom. Like Liam Fox he is a hawkish leaver, but even if all the Fox votes were to go to him (quite a big if) he would still not have as many votes as Andrea Leadsom. He has indicated that he won’t drop out, but it is not as if he has not U-turned already quite dramatically in this contest. |
4) It is almost inevitable that the contest will end up with the party members having to decide between May and Leadsom. Leadsom’s performance was better than many people expected, and it will probably quash any speculation about whether she should stand aside to allow May to become prime minister without a membership ballot. | 4) It is almost inevitable that the contest will end up with the party members having to decide between May and Leadsom. Leadsom’s performance was better than many people expected, and it will probably quash any speculation about whether she should stand aside to allow May to become prime minister without a membership ballot. |
6.31pm BST | 6.31pm BST |
18:31 | 18:31 |
May wins easily with backing of 50% of Tory MPs - and Fox drops out | May wins easily with backing of 50% of Tory MPs - and Fox drops out |
Here are the results. Theresa May has won the backing of 50% of Tory MPs. | Here are the results. Theresa May has won the backing of 50% of Tory MPs. |
Liam Fox drops out. | Liam Fox drops out. |
Theresa May - 165 | Theresa May - 165 |
Andrea Leadsom - 66 | Andrea Leadsom - 66 |
Michael Gove - 48 | Michael Gove - 48 |
Stephen Crabb - 34 | Stephen Crabb - 34 |
Liam Fox - 16 | Liam Fox - 16 |
Updated | Updated |
at 6.31pm BST | at 6.31pm BST |
6.28pm BST | 6.28pm BST |
18:28 | 18:28 |
Expect an announcement in c10 mins. This is only to eliminate one contender today, almost certainly Fox, but others may withdraw if do badly | Expect an announcement in c10 mins. This is only to eliminate one contender today, almost certainly Fox, but others may withdraw if do badly |
6.28pm BST | 6.28pm BST |
18:28 | 18:28 |
So @TheresaMay2016 poised to get the highest first ballot total of Tory MPs since Major in '95 - really Major 1990 pic.twitter.com/u9TH6NR9Rg | So @TheresaMay2016 poised to get the highest first ballot total of Tory MPs since Major in '95 - really Major 1990 pic.twitter.com/u9TH6NR9Rg |
6.27pm BST | 6.27pm BST |
18:27 | 18:27 |
Only two cabinet ministers here so far for #ToryLeadership announcement (Rudd, Morgan). How many of these backbenchers will enter cabinet? | Only two cabinet ministers here so far for #ToryLeadership announcement (Rudd, Morgan). How many of these backbenchers will enter cabinet? |
6.27pm BST | 6.27pm BST |
18:27 | 18:27 |
None of the candidates in Ctte Rm 6 for Graham Brady announcement of 1st round Tory leadership ballot result but plenty of their supporters. | None of the candidates in Ctte Rm 6 for Graham Brady announcement of 1st round Tory leadership ballot result but plenty of their supporters. |
6.27pm BST | 6.27pm BST |
18:27 | 18:27 |
Tory leadership campaign teams have been called in to hear the result of the first ballot. Tory MPs waiting outside | Tory leadership campaign teams have been called in to hear the result of the first ballot. Tory MPs waiting outside |
6.25pm BST | 6.25pm BST |
18:25 | 18:25 |
Here is the ConservativeHome tally of how many MPs have declared publicly for each candidate. | Here is the ConservativeHome tally of how many MPs have declared publicly for each candidate. |
Our updated tally of Leadership Race endorsements: May 140Leadsom 42Gove 27Crabb 22 Fox 7 https://t.co/mCYnELu8kL | Our updated tally of Leadership Race endorsements: May 140Leadsom 42Gove 27Crabb 22 Fox 7 https://t.co/mCYnELu8kL |
6.24pm BST | 6.24pm BST |
18:24 | 18:24 |
Nicky Morgan has arrived for Michael Gove. IDS and @PennyMordauntMP are here for team Leadsom. #yplive | Nicky Morgan has arrived for Michael Gove. IDS and @PennyMordauntMP are here for team Leadsom. #yplive |