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WTO cuts trade forecast by a third | |
(35 minutes later) | |
The World Trade Organization has cut its forecast for global trade growth this year by more than a third. | The World Trade Organization has cut its forecast for global trade growth this year by more than a third. |
The new figure of 1.7%, down from its April estimate of 2.8%, would be the slowest pace of trade and output growth since the 2009 financial crisis. | The new figure of 1.7%, down from its April estimate of 2.8%, would be the slowest pace of trade and output growth since the 2009 financial crisis. |
It is also the first time in 15 years that international commerce has been left trailing behind the world economy. | It is also the first time in 15 years that international commerce has been left trailing behind the world economy. |
The downturn reflects the slowdown in countries such as China and Brazil and lower levels of imports into the US. | The downturn reflects the slowdown in countries such as China and Brazil and lower levels of imports into the US. |
Trade has grown 1.5 times faster than gross domestic product over the long term - but the WTO say it will only grow 80% as fast this year. | |
That would be the first reversal of globalisation since 2001 and only the second time this has happened since 1982. | |
WTO director-general Roberto Azevedo said: "The dramatic slowing of trade growth is serious and should serve as a wake-up call. | |
"It is particularly concerning in the context of growing anti-globalisation sentiment. | |
"We need to make sure that this does not translate into misguided policies that could make the situation much worse - not only from the perspective of trade, but also for job creation and economic growth and development, which are so closely linked to an open trading system." |