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Clinton aide says FBI email query has had no impact – election live Clinton aide says FBI email query has had no impact – as it happened
(35 minutes later)
2.16am GMT
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Today in Campaign 2016
1.50am GMT1.50am GMT
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Donald Trump’s campaign responds to the endorsement of Trump by a KKK newspaper:Donald Trump’s campaign responds to the endorsement of Trump by a KKK newspaper:
The Trump campaign responded with criticism of the article. Mr. Trump and the campaign denounces hate in any form. This publication is repulsive and their views do not represent the tens of millions of Americans who are uniting behind our campaign.The Trump campaign responded with criticism of the article. Mr. Trump and the campaign denounces hate in any form. This publication is repulsive and their views do not represent the tens of millions of Americans who are uniting behind our campaign.
1.38am GMT1.38am GMT
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Cybersecurity firm fails to find links between Donald Trump and Russian bankCybersecurity firm fails to find links between Donald Trump and Russian bank
Julian BorgerJulian Borger
A US cybersecurity firm hired by a Russian bank to investigate allegations of a secret line of communication with the Trump Organization said on Tuesday there was no evidence so far of substantive contact, email or financial links.A US cybersecurity firm hired by a Russian bank to investigate allegations of a secret line of communication with the Trump Organization said on Tuesday there was no evidence so far of substantive contact, email or financial links.
Mandiant, which is owned by the California-based company FireEye, said it examined internet server logs presented to the bank by media organisations investigating the link.Mandiant, which is owned by the California-based company FireEye, said it examined internet server logs presented to the bank by media organisations investigating the link.
The online magazine Slate published a story on Monday about communication between a server hosting Trump domain addresses and a server owned by the Moscow-based Alfa Bank, owned by two oligarchs, Mikhail Fridman and Pyotr Aven. Aven worked with Vladimir Putin in city government in St Petersburg in the early 1990s.The online magazine Slate published a story on Monday about communication between a server hosting Trump domain addresses and a server owned by the Moscow-based Alfa Bank, owned by two oligarchs, Mikhail Fridman and Pyotr Aven. Aven worked with Vladimir Putin in city government in St Petersburg in the early 1990s.
The Slate story, quoting a range of cybersecurity experts, said the communication between the servers suggested it was human rather than robotic, and that it was intended to be secret and exclusive.The Slate story, quoting a range of cybersecurity experts, said the communication between the servers suggested it was human rather than robotic, and that it was intended to be secret and exclusive.
In a statement, FireEye said it had been presented with a log of the communication between the servers over a period of 90 days, listing the separate contacts.In a statement, FireEye said it had been presented with a log of the communication between the servers over a period of 90 days, listing the separate contacts.
“The information presented is inconclusive and is not evidence of substantive contact or a direct email or financial link between Alfa Bank and the Trump campaign or Organization,” the statement said. “The list presented does not contain enough information to show that there has been any actual activity opposed to simple DNS lookups, which can come from a variety of sources including anti-spam and other security software.”“The information presented is inconclusive and is not evidence of substantive contact or a direct email or financial link between Alfa Bank and the Trump campaign or Organization,” the statement said. “The list presented does not contain enough information to show that there has been any actual activity opposed to simple DNS lookups, which can come from a variety of sources including anti-spam and other security software.”
The statement continued: “As part of the ongoing investigation, Alfa Bank has opened its IT systems to Mandiant, which has investigated both remotely and on the ground in Moscow. We are continuing our investigation. Nothing we have or have found alters our view as described above that there isn’t evidence of substantive contact or a direct email or financial link between Alfa Bank and the Trump campaign or Organization.”The statement continued: “As part of the ongoing investigation, Alfa Bank has opened its IT systems to Mandiant, which has investigated both remotely and on the ground in Moscow. We are continuing our investigation. Nothing we have or have found alters our view as described above that there isn’t evidence of substantive contact or a direct email or financial link between Alfa Bank and the Trump campaign or Organization.”
1.16am GMT1.16am GMT
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George P. Bush, the Texas land commissioner better known as the son of Jeb Bush and nephew of George W. Bush, told the Associated Press today that he’s the only member of the storied political clan to vote for Donald Trump and Mike Pence in the upcoming election:George P. Bush, the Texas land commissioner better known as the son of Jeb Bush and nephew of George W. Bush, told the Associated Press today that he’s the only member of the storied political clan to vote for Donald Trump and Mike Pence in the upcoming election:
George P. Bush tells @apwillweissert that he's the only Bush to vote the GOP ticket. Both 41 & 43 "potentially" may go for Clinton, he saysGeorge P. Bush tells @apwillweissert that he's the only Bush to vote the GOP ticket. Both 41 & 43 "potentially" may go for Clinton, he says
(“41” and “43” refer to George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush, respectively, who served as the 41st and 43rd presidents.)(“41” and “43” refer to George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush, respectively, who served as the 41st and 43rd presidents.)
Asked if either could vote for Clinton, Bush told the Associated Press: “Potentially. But hard to speculate.”
Updated
at 2.11am GMT
1.04am GMT1.04am GMT
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From Donald Trump’s press pool:From Donald Trump’s press pool:
Donald Trump finished his speech at 6:54 CDT, pausing near the end as his audience erupted in a chant of “President Trump! President Trump!”Donald Trump finished his speech at 6:54 CDT, pausing near the end as his audience erupted in a chant of “President Trump! President Trump!”
Pool left at 6:59 in the van, joining Mr. Trump’s motorcade for a ride to the airport and a 3-hour flight to Miami, FL.Pool left at 6:59 in the van, joining Mr. Trump’s motorcade for a ride to the airport and a 3-hour flight to Miami, FL.
Tonight’s speech was steady, and lacking in the off-the-cuff departures that tend to characterize his rallies. In your pooler’s humble opinion, Trump has not stayed this “on message” in any other public rally since the Republican National Convention.Tonight’s speech was steady, and lacking in the off-the-cuff departures that tend to characterize his rallies. In your pooler’s humble opinion, Trump has not stayed this “on message” in any other public rally since the Republican National Convention.
Your pooler would bet an expensive lunch that he diverted very little from his prepared remarks.Your pooler would bet an expensive lunch that he diverted very little from his prepared remarks.
UpdatedUpdated
at 1.05am GMTat 1.05am GMT
12.45am GMT12.45am GMT
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US senator: Hillary Clinton could be impeached if electedUS senator: Hillary Clinton could be impeached if elected
Wisconsin senator Ron Johnson, who is expected to cruise to reelection victory in next week’s election despite fellow Republican Donald Trump’s underwater polling numbers in the state, told the Beloit Daily News that Hillary Clinton’s use of private email servers are impeachable offenses.Wisconsin senator Ron Johnson, who is expected to cruise to reelection victory in next week’s election despite fellow Republican Donald Trump’s underwater polling numbers in the state, told the Beloit Daily News that Hillary Clinton’s use of private email servers are impeachable offenses.
“She purposefully circumvented [the law], this was willful concealment and destruction,” Johnson said. “I’m not a lawyer, but this is clearly written. I would say yes, high crime or misdemeanor, I believe she is in violation of both laws.”“She purposefully circumvented [the law], this was willful concealment and destruction,” Johnson said. “I’m not a lawyer, but this is clearly written. I would say yes, high crime or misdemeanor, I believe she is in violation of both laws.”
Johnson referred to two laws regarding the willful destruction or removal from proper custody of information relating to the national defense, the punishment for which includes fines and the forfeiture of holding elected office.Johnson referred to two laws regarding the willful destruction or removal from proper custody of information relating to the national defense, the punishment for which includes fines and the forfeiture of holding elected office.
Johnson dismissed the conclusion by the FBI that Clinton did not break the law.Johnson dismissed the conclusion by the FBI that Clinton did not break the law.
“That was a corrupt conclusion,” Johnson said.“That was a corrupt conclusion,” Johnson said.
“Every election is a binary choice, but she has disqualified herself,” Johnson said of Clinton. “I would love to be voting for Ronald Reagan, and I’m sure the Democrats would rather be voting for Harry Truman, but the reality is that is not our choice.”“Every election is a binary choice, but she has disqualified herself,” Johnson said of Clinton. “I would love to be voting for Ronald Reagan, and I’m sure the Democrats would rather be voting for Harry Truman, but the reality is that is not our choice.”
12.32am GMT12.32am GMT
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370 prominent economists: Don't vote for Donald Trump370 prominent economists: Don't vote for Donald Trump
Hundreds of the world’s most respected economists, including eight Nobel laureates, have signed and published a letter urging US voters not to support Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, calling Trump a “dangerous, destructive choice” who would doom the country to recession, or worse.Hundreds of the world’s most respected economists, including eight Nobel laureates, have signed and published a letter urging US voters not to support Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, calling Trump a “dangerous, destructive choice” who would doom the country to recession, or worse.
“Donald Trump is a dangerous, destructive choice for the country,” the letter asserts, after listing off more than a dozen reasons for voters to support a different candidate. “He misinforms the electorate, degrades trust in public institutions with conspiracy theories, and promotes willful delusion over engagement with reality. If elected, he poses a unique danger to the functioning of democratic and economic institutions, and to the prosperity of the country. For these reasons, we strongly recommend that you do not vote for Donald Trump.”“Donald Trump is a dangerous, destructive choice for the country,” the letter asserts, after listing off more than a dozen reasons for voters to support a different candidate. “He misinforms the electorate, degrades trust in public institutions with conspiracy theories, and promotes willful delusion over engagement with reality. If elected, he poses a unique danger to the functioning of democratic and economic institutions, and to the prosperity of the country. For these reasons, we strongly recommend that you do not vote for Donald Trump.”
The letter’s 370 signatories, which include Oliver Hart of Harvard University, one of the two Nobel winners in economics this year, and Paul Romer, the chief economist at the World Bank, accuse Trump of, in order:The letter’s 370 signatories, which include Oliver Hart of Harvard University, one of the two Nobel winners in economics this year, and Paul Romer, the chief economist at the World Bank, accuse Trump of, in order:
“His statements reveal a deep ignorance of economics and an inability to listen to credible experts,” the letter’s signatories conclude. “He repeats fake and misleading economic statistics, and pushes fallacies about the VAT and trade competitiveness. He promotes magical thinking and conspiracy theories over sober assessments of feasible economic policy options.”“His statements reveal a deep ignorance of economics and an inability to listen to credible experts,” the letter’s signatories conclude. “He repeats fake and misleading economic statistics, and pushes fallacies about the VAT and trade competitiveness. He promotes magical thinking and conspiracy theories over sober assessments of feasible economic policy options.”
12.05am GMT12.05am GMT
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Election polls tighten – but turnout is the real key to Clinton v TrumpElection polls tighten – but turnout is the real key to Clinton v Trump
Mona ChalabiMona Chalabi
Polls are often conducted over multiple days, so we’re only just starting to measure the effect of the FBI’s decision to release new details of its investigation into Hillary Clinton’s private email server to lawmakers on Friday. According to the ABC/Washington Post tracking poll published on Tuesday (conducted October 27-30), the Democratic candidate has now slipped behind Donald Trump, on 45% to her Republican opponent’s 46%. The polling average calculated by RealClearPolitics, a much better indication of national sentiment, shows Clinton is now leading by just 2 percentage points, down from 5 percentage points a week ago.Polls are often conducted over multiple days, so we’re only just starting to measure the effect of the FBI’s decision to release new details of its investigation into Hillary Clinton’s private email server to lawmakers on Friday. According to the ABC/Washington Post tracking poll published on Tuesday (conducted October 27-30), the Democratic candidate has now slipped behind Donald Trump, on 45% to her Republican opponent’s 46%. The polling average calculated by RealClearPolitics, a much better indication of national sentiment, shows Clinton is now leading by just 2 percentage points, down from 5 percentage points a week ago.
Those numbers are interesting but not necessarily indicative – polling won’t neatly translate to votes. Far more important will be the turnout - especially since the two leading presidential candidates are so close in terms of unpopularity. And the candidates know it. A senior adviser to Donald Trump reportedly revealed last week that “we have three major voter suppression operations under way” intended to reduce votes for Clinton among African Americans, white liberals and young women.Those numbers are interesting but not necessarily indicative – polling won’t neatly translate to votes. Far more important will be the turnout - especially since the two leading presidential candidates are so close in terms of unpopularity. And the candidates know it. A senior adviser to Donald Trump reportedly revealed last week that “we have three major voter suppression operations under way” intended to reduce votes for Clinton among African Americans, white liberals and young women.
Even though election day is still a week away, we already have some clues about whether turnout is lower among those groups – because more than 25m ballots have already been cast under the US early voting system. Approximately 125 million to 145 million Americans are predicted to vote in the 2016 election, so those early votes represent a significant share of the expected total.Even though election day is still a week away, we already have some clues about whether turnout is lower among those groups – because more than 25m ballots have already been cast under the US early voting system. Approximately 125 million to 145 million Americans are predicted to vote in the 2016 election, so those early votes represent a significant share of the expected total.
Higher turnout than at this time in 2012Higher turnout than at this time in 2012
Of the 15 states that provide detailed information about those ballots, North Carolina, California and nine other states report more early voters than at the same point in the 2012 election. Ohio, Nevada, Colorado and Iowa showed a decline in early voting, and those declines were small.Of the 15 states that provide detailed information about those ballots, North Carolina, California and nine other states report more early voters than at the same point in the 2012 election. Ohio, Nevada, Colorado and Iowa showed a decline in early voting, and those declines were small.
Early signs of declining turnout from black voters and young votersEarly signs of declining turnout from black voters and young voters
The early results offer mixed news for Clinton. Early votes suggest that young voters – who are much more likely than older voters to lean Democratic – might be staying at home. In 12 states, fewer Americans aged 18 to 29 have cast a ballot so far in this election compared with this point in 2012. This could be especially problematic for Clinton if this group is indicative of a broader “Bernie or bust” sentiment in which supporters of the former Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders choose to stay at home rather than voting for Clinton.The early results offer mixed news for Clinton. Early votes suggest that young voters – who are much more likely than older voters to lean Democratic – might be staying at home. In 12 states, fewer Americans aged 18 to 29 have cast a ballot so far in this election compared with this point in 2012. This could be especially problematic for Clinton if this group is indicative of a broader “Bernie or bust” sentiment in which supporters of the former Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders choose to stay at home rather than voting for Clinton.
Young voters aren’t the only demographic group that appears put off. Early votes suggest that black turnout has fallen in eight states – especially in North Carolina, a state that yields 15 of the 270 electoral college votes needed to win the election and where polling suggests Clinton is in a close contest. If Trump’s strategy is indeed to suppress the black vote, that makes a lot of sense – those voters could be crucial for Clinton to secure the White House.Young voters aren’t the only demographic group that appears put off. Early votes suggest that black turnout has fallen in eight states – especially in North Carolina, a state that yields 15 of the 270 electoral college votes needed to win the election and where polling suggests Clinton is in a close contest. If Trump’s strategy is indeed to suppress the black vote, that makes a lot of sense – those voters could be crucial for Clinton to secure the White House.
11.31pm GMT11.31pm GMT
23:3123:31
Speaking in Eau Claire, Wisconsin, Donald Trump predicted “an unprecedented constitutional crisis” if Hillary Clinton were to be elected president.Speaking in Eau Claire, Wisconsin, Donald Trump predicted “an unprecedented constitutional crisis” if Hillary Clinton were to be elected president.
“The work of government would come to an unbelievably unglorious halt,” Trump said, and “she is likely to be investigated for years, likely to be concluded with a very large-scale criminal trial.”“The work of government would come to an unbelievably unglorious halt,” Trump said, and “she is likely to be investigated for years, likely to be concluded with a very large-scale criminal trial.”
The audience chanted “Lock her up!” in response.The audience chanted “Lock her up!” in response.
“This is a message for any Democratic voter who have already cast their ballot for Hillary Clinton and have a severe case of buyer’s remorse,” Trump said, referring to a few states - Wisconsin included - where early ballots can be reversed before election day. “A lot of stuff has come out since you’ve voted.”“This is a message for any Democratic voter who have already cast their ballot for Hillary Clinton and have a severe case of buyer’s remorse,” Trump said, referring to a few states - Wisconsin included - where early ballots can be reversed before election day. “A lot of stuff has come out since you’ve voted.”
“You can change your vote to Donald Trump - we’ll make America great again, okay? She will never make America great.”“You can change your vote to Donald Trump - we’ll make America great again, okay? She will never make America great.”
11.19pm GMT11.19pm GMT
23:1923:19
Speaking in Eau Claire, Wisconsin, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump greeted the audience by declaring that “in one week, we are going to win the great state of Wisconsin.”Speaking in Eau Claire, Wisconsin, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump greeted the audience by declaring that “in one week, we are going to win the great state of Wisconsin.”
Lauding the state’s governor, Scott Walker, as “one tough cookie,” Trump moved swiftly past local flavor for a casual listing of polls (valid or otherwise) that show him surging in battleground states.Lauding the state’s governor, Scott Walker, as “one tough cookie,” Trump moved swiftly past local flavor for a casual listing of polls (valid or otherwise) that show him surging in battleground states.
“We’re on the cusp of something incredible. Historic change that transfers power from a failed political establishment,” Trump said.“We’re on the cusp of something incredible. Historic change that transfers power from a failed political establishment,” Trump said.
11.13pm GMT11.13pm GMT
23:1323:13
Donald Trump campaigns in Eau Claire, WisconsinDonald Trump campaigns in Eau Claire, Wisconsin
Watch it live here:Watch it live here: