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| Donald Trump denies communicating with Russian bank – campaign live | Donald Trump denies communicating with Russian bank – campaign live |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| 4.02pm GMT | |
| 16:02 | |
| Pence: free-market health care 'the American way' | |
| Pence calls for health insurance governed by the free market: “that’s the American way we can meet our health care needs.” | |
| Isn’t the American way of meeting health care needs like, just making it impossibly expensive, time-consuming and confusing ever to seek medical treatment, so you order drugs from Canada on the Internet or take one of those busses? | |
| Pence is running through the features of the Trump plan laid out in the previous block. | |
| Why is Pence making this pitch and not Trump? | |
| 3.55pm GMT | |
| 15:55 | |
| Pence accuses the Obama administration of a government takeover of health care. | |
| Pence says not one single Republican in Congress voted for the health care law. He says that Republicans have been trying to replace it with “free-market solutions.” | |
| What’s Trump’s health care plan? Visit his web site! Here’s the skeleton: | |
| – erase state lines in health insurance market | |
| – make premiums deductible | |
| -health savings accounts | |
| -price tranparency from all healthcare providers | |
| –block-grant Medicaid to the states | |
| – loosen monopoly of Big Pharma | |
| The nonpartisan committee for a responsible federal budget says Trump’s plan is too sketchy to analyze fully, but the committee estimates that Trump’s plan would cost $550bn over a decade and nearly double the number of uninsured, causing almost 21 million people to lose coverage. | |
| Pence is having fun quoting Bill Clinton calling the dynamics of the Obamacare exchanges crazy. | |
| “We don’t want the socialized health care they have in Canada. We want American solutions,” Pence says. PS and: cheap Canadian drugs. | |
| Updated | |
| at 3.56pm GMT | |
| 3.47pm GMT | |
| 15:47 | |
| Pence: 'we're going to repeal and replace Obamacare' | |
| He used a dramatic pause before delivering the line, which was applauded heartily. | |
| Pence is going to talk about it, but for now he’s making jokes about what a drag being a member of Congress was. | |
| 3.46pm GMT | |
| 15:46 | |
| Pence: 'Pennsylvania is coming together' | |
| Mike Pence is speaking now. He says that “Pennsylvania is coming together” and “we’re going to make Donald Trump the next president.” | |
| “The man who wrote the Art of the Deal has a deal for the American people,” Pence says. | |
| Is he talking about Tony Schwartz? | |
| I wrote the Art of the Deal. Donald Trump read it. | |
| 3.39pm GMT | |
| 15:39 | |
| Oh, Ben Carson is here in King of Prussia, adjacent to Valley Forge. He says he’s “absolutely delighted” to be in Pennsylvania. Watch Dr Carson in the live stream in the preceding block. | |
| 3.31pm GMT | |
| 15:31 | |
| Here’s a live video stream of the Trump event in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, the town next to historic Valley Forge. The headliners have yet to appear. | |
| 3.28pm GMT | 3.28pm GMT |
| 15:28 | 15:28 |
| Trump's last-minute 'expansion': artful – or desperate? | Trump's last-minute 'expansion': artful – or desperate? |
| The Trump campaign is expanding its “TV footprint,” the campaign says, descrying opportunity in New Mexico, which has added a lot of Hispanic voters since it last went Republican in 2004, and Michigan, which hasn’t gone Republican since 1988 and where native son Mitt Romney, whose father was a governor, lost by 10 points just four years ago. | The Trump campaign is expanding its “TV footprint,” the campaign says, descrying opportunity in New Mexico, which has added a lot of Hispanic voters since it last went Republican in 2004, and Michigan, which hasn’t gone Republican since 1988 and where native son Mitt Romney, whose father was a governor, lost by 10 points just four years ago. |
| Just in: Donald Trump is going on television in the final week in New Mexico & Michigan. It is described as a $25 million buy for final week pic.twitter.com/UC2jCOwUqB | Just in: Donald Trump is going on television in the final week in New Mexico & Michigan. It is described as a $25 million buy for final week pic.twitter.com/UC2jCOwUqB |
| Do those states hold out actual, sudden opportunity for the Trump campaign – or are indications there of Clinton strength – voting patterns in past elections, demographics, polling – more important? | Do those states hold out actual, sudden opportunity for the Trump campaign – or are indications there of Clinton strength – voting patterns in past elections, demographics, polling – more important? |
| It’s not just TV buys. Trump was in New Mexico Sunday, he’s in Pennsylvania today and he’s in Wisconsin tonight. His kids have been crawling all over the northern Midwest. So they’re putting their candidate where their mouth is. | It’s not just TV buys. Trump was in New Mexico Sunday, he’s in Pennsylvania today and he’s in Wisconsin tonight. His kids have been crawling all over the northern Midwest. So they’re putting their candidate where their mouth is. |
| Feels desperate. He HAS to expand map into other blue states given inability to make PA competitve https://t.co/JYRdGwdzOQ | Feels desperate. He HAS to expand map into other blue states given inability to make PA competitve https://t.co/JYRdGwdzOQ |
| Lots of folks, to steal an Obamaism, have pointed out that strange, late-stage electoral-map plays are typical of campaigns that are about to lose. | Lots of folks, to steal an Obamaism, have pointed out that strange, late-stage electoral-map plays are typical of campaigns that are about to lose. |
| Here’s some fun from Politico on 2 November, 2012 – Mitt’s Pennsylvania gamble: | Here’s some fun from Politico on 2 November, 2012 – Mitt’s Pennsylvania gamble: |
| Until a week ago, Pennsylvania was virtually an afterthought in the presidential race. | Until a week ago, Pennsylvania was virtually an afterthought in the presidential race. |
| Now, Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan are making a late advertising and in-person push in the state, parachuting into the Keystone State this weekend for last-minute visits with scant days left to go in the race. It’s a move that the Romney team bills as expanding the map and a sign of strength, Democrats call an act of desperation and observers within the state say is unlikely to pay off next Tuesday. | Now, Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan are making a late advertising and in-person push in the state, parachuting into the Keystone State this weekend for last-minute visits with scant days left to go in the race. It’s a move that the Romney team bills as expanding the map and a sign of strength, Democrats call an act of desperation and observers within the state say is unlikely to pay off next Tuesday. |
| Mitt Romney lost Pennsylvania by five points. And while we’re digging around in the archives, check this out from the Washington Post on 1 November 2012 – Presidential contest as close as can be: | Mitt Romney lost Pennsylvania by five points. And while we’re digging around in the archives, check this out from the Washington Post on 1 November 2012 – Presidential contest as close as can be: |
| The race for the White House remains steadily and extraordinarily competitive in its final days, with President Obama and Mitt Romney continuing to run neck-and-neck in the Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll. | The race for the White House remains steadily and extraordinarily competitive in its final days, with President Obama and Mitt Romney continuing to run neck-and-neck in the Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll. |
| In the latest release, 49 percent of likely voters across the country back Obama, 48 percent his Republican challenger. It’s an identical 49 to 48 percent looking across eight states identified as “tossups” by The Washington Post. | In the latest release, 49 percent of likely voters across the country back Obama, 48 percent his Republican challenger. It’s an identical 49 to 48 percent looking across eight states identified as “tossups” by The Washington Post. |
| There are few ways to adequately grasp the tightness of the contest. | There are few ways to adequately grasp the tightness of the contest. |
| It wasn’t close. Obama won the election by 126 electoral votes, 332-206. | It wasn’t close. Obama won the election by 126 electoral votes, 332-206. |
| 2.52pm GMT | 2.52pm GMT |
| 14:52 | 14:52 |
| F-L-O-R-I-D-A | F-L-O-R-I-D-A |
| Let’s have a glance at early voting in Florida... | Let’s have a glance at early voting in Florida... |
| We've hit peak #FloridaMan: driving home from strip club, falls out of truck, runs himself over, truck hits house. https://t.co/1GYnnz5j5Y | We've hit peak #FloridaMan: driving home from strip club, falls out of truck, runs himself over, truck hits house. https://t.co/1GYnnz5j5Y |
| ...and particularly the African American vote there, which is the subject of some buzz this morning owing to a Politico piece by Marc Caputo, who knows what he’s talking about, diagnosing weak early turnout by black voters in the Sunshine state: | ...and particularly the African American vote there, which is the subject of some buzz this morning owing to a Politico piece by Marc Caputo, who knows what he’s talking about, diagnosing weak early turnout by black voters in the Sunshine state: |
| Hillary Clinton has a black voter problem in the nation’s biggest battleground state. | Hillary Clinton has a black voter problem in the nation’s biggest battleground state. |
| After the first full weekend of in-person early voting ended Sunday, African-American turnout failed to meet expectations — or historic precedent — leaving top Democrats and activists fuming or worried that Clinton’s campaign isn’t living up to the hype in Florida. | After the first full weekend of in-person early voting ended Sunday, African-American turnout failed to meet expectations — or historic precedent — leaving top Democrats and activists fuming or worried that Clinton’s campaign isn’t living up to the hype in Florida. |
| But not so fast, writes Florida politics blogger and longtime Democratic operative Steve Schale, who also knows what he’s talking about. Fewer African American voters in Florida vis-à-vis 2012 might be expected because 2012 and the re-election of Barack Obama was a record year: | But not so fast, writes Florida politics blogger and longtime Democratic operative Steve Schale, who also knows what he’s talking about. Fewer African American voters in Florida vis-à-vis 2012 might be expected because 2012 and the re-election of Barack Obama was a record year: |
| The electorate continues to get more diverse. Through the Sunday vote, Hispanics are now 13.5% of the votes so far, with Black voters (African American and Caribbean) at 11. White is down to 70, and has trended down from nearly 80% when in-person early voting started. I have no doubt at this point that the electorate in 2016 will end up more diverse than 2012. | The electorate continues to get more diverse. Through the Sunday vote, Hispanics are now 13.5% of the votes so far, with Black voters (African American and Caribbean) at 11. White is down to 70, and has trended down from nearly 80% when in-person early voting started. I have no doubt at this point that the electorate in 2016 will end up more diverse than 2012. |
| I also don’t expect the Black share of vote to match 2012. That was a historic moment. But I do expect the Black share of vote to approach its registration share (13.9%). In my models, which have her winning, I expect it to land at 13%, so anything north of this is positive. | I also don’t expect the Black share of vote to match 2012. That was a historic moment. But I do expect the Black share of vote to approach its registration share (13.9%). In my models, which have her winning, I expect it to land at 13%, so anything north of this is positive. |
| So take your pick. We’re seeing either danger signs for Clinton in Florida among African American voters, or we are not. The candidate has three events there today – two in the I-4 corridor and one in Broward county – while Bill Clinton has three events today in the state – two in extreme south Florida and one in battleground St Petersburg on the Gulf coast. | So take your pick. We’re seeing either danger signs for Clinton in Florida among African American voters, or we are not. The candidate has three events there today – two in the I-4 corridor and one in Broward county – while Bill Clinton has three events today in the state – two in extreme south Florida and one in battleground St Petersburg on the Gulf coast. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 2.54pm GMT | at 2.54pm GMT |
| 2.39pm GMT | 2.39pm GMT |
| 14:39 | 14:39 |
| Paul Ryan votes for Donald Trump | Paul Ryan votes for Donald Trump |
| The top elected Republican, House speaker Paul Ryan, has repaid Donald Trump for months of acrimony including a refusal to endorse Ryan by... voting for him. | The top elected Republican, House speaker Paul Ryan, has repaid Donald Trump for months of acrimony including a refusal to endorse Ryan by... voting for him. |
| Ryan broke the news on Fox this morning. In a continuation of the weird Republican quirk this cycle of not naming Trump, as if that ameliorates the act of supporting him, Ryan said he had voted for “our nominee”: | Ryan broke the news on Fox this morning. In a continuation of the weird Republican quirk this cycle of not naming Trump, as if that ameliorates the act of supporting him, Ryan said he had voted for “our nominee”: |
| Ryan, on "Fox and Friends," says he's already voted "for our nominee," avoids actually saying "I voted for Trump." | Ryan, on "Fox and Friends," says he's already voted "for our nominee," avoids actually saying "I voted for Trump." |
| Not every top Republican is caving, however. Ohio governor and former Republican candidate John Kasich did not vote for Trump, instead writing in John McCain, he said. Points for creativity? | Not every top Republican is caving, however. Ohio governor and former Republican candidate John Kasich did not vote for Trump, instead writing in John McCain, he said. Points for creativity? |
| In a thought-provoking piece about the long-term takeover of the Republican party by authoritarian conservatives, Jonathan Chait writes that support for Trump by Republican leaders does not only point to their fear – it also points to a lust for power: | In a thought-provoking piece about the long-term takeover of the Republican party by authoritarian conservatives, Jonathan Chait writes that support for Trump by Republican leaders does not only point to their fear – it also points to a lust for power: |
| Because Trump’s record of loyalty to the conservative cause is so haphazard, and his grasp of policy detail so scant, the small core of anti-Trump intellectuals on the right have insisted a President Trump would betray them—a charge that, having been echoed by jeering Democrats, has settled into conventional wisdom. But on the vast majority of issues, Trump has aligned himself with standard conservative dogma. The Wall Street Journal editorial page probably got it right when it reasoned that “precisely because [Trump] is such a tabula rasa, he would be more dependent than any other President on Congress.” In September, Trump appointed a former lobbyist and aide to Vice-President Dick Cheney to his transition team, which would staff his administration, and the Heritage Foundation has taken an active role in supplying ideas and candidates for his prospective administration. As Ryan gushed after Trump’s first debate, “I see emerging in front of us the potential for what a unified Republican government can get you.” The conservative movement would have full control of a party that had full control of the Legislative, Executive, and (after filling the Supreme Court vacancy Republicans left open for him) Judicial branches. Not to mention full control of half of all state governments. | Because Trump’s record of loyalty to the conservative cause is so haphazard, and his grasp of policy detail so scant, the small core of anti-Trump intellectuals on the right have insisted a President Trump would betray them—a charge that, having been echoed by jeering Democrats, has settled into conventional wisdom. But on the vast majority of issues, Trump has aligned himself with standard conservative dogma. The Wall Street Journal editorial page probably got it right when it reasoned that “precisely because [Trump] is such a tabula rasa, he would be more dependent than any other President on Congress.” In September, Trump appointed a former lobbyist and aide to Vice-President Dick Cheney to his transition team, which would staff his administration, and the Heritage Foundation has taken an active role in supplying ideas and candidates for his prospective administration. As Ryan gushed after Trump’s first debate, “I see emerging in front of us the potential for what a unified Republican government can get you.” The conservative movement would have full control of a party that had full control of the Legislative, Executive, and (after filling the Supreme Court vacancy Republicans left open for him) Judicial branches. Not to mention full control of half of all state governments. |
| Read all of Chait here. | Read all of Chait here. |
| 2.26pm GMT | 2.26pm GMT |
| 14:26 | 14:26 |
| Huma Abedin: ally turned liability? | Huma Abedin: ally turned liability? |
| Ed Pilkington | Ed Pilkington |
| For an individual who has been described as mysterious, secretive and opaque, the blazing spotlight under which Huma Abedin now finds herself must be a deeply uncomfortable place. For 20 years she has built a career out of being Hillary Clinton’s shadow, the trusted adviser and friend whose influence may be ubiquitous but is wielded firmly behind the scenes. | For an individual who has been described as mysterious, secretive and opaque, the blazing spotlight under which Huma Abedin now finds herself must be a deeply uncomfortable place. For 20 years she has built a career out of being Hillary Clinton’s shadow, the trusted adviser and friend whose influence may be ubiquitous but is wielded firmly behind the scenes. |
| Now Abedin, 40, finds herself front and center in one of the strangest and most contentious presidential elections in US history. As FBI agents begin to pore over thousands of emails that were reportedly found on a laptop she apparently shared with her estranged husband, the sexting former congressman Anthony Weiner, her role has suddenly switched from that of Clinton’s loyal servant to number one threat to the Democratic nominee’s hopes of winning the presidency. | Now Abedin, 40, finds herself front and center in one of the strangest and most contentious presidential elections in US history. As FBI agents begin to pore over thousands of emails that were reportedly found on a laptop she apparently shared with her estranged husband, the sexting former congressman Anthony Weiner, her role has suddenly switched from that of Clinton’s loyal servant to number one threat to the Democratic nominee’s hopes of winning the presidency. |
| The explosive announcement landed at a supremely bad time for both women. For Clinton, it has shaken what looked to be a smooth final sprint to victory in next Tuesday’s presidential election; for Abedin it has put a question mark over what was widely expected to be a senior role – some have even speculated chief of staff – in a Hillary Clinton White House. | The explosive announcement landed at a supremely bad time for both women. For Clinton, it has shaken what looked to be a smooth final sprint to victory in next Tuesday’s presidential election; for Abedin it has put a question mark over what was widely expected to be a senior role – some have even speculated chief of staff – in a Hillary Clinton White House. |
| “It would be a distraction were she to be given a prominent position such as chief of staff, forcing the new administration on to the defensive,” said Ross Baker, professor of political science at Rutgers University. “It could derail any attempt to initiate many of the proposals Clinton has talked about.” | “It would be a distraction were she to be given a prominent position such as chief of staff, forcing the new administration on to the defensive,” said Ross Baker, professor of political science at Rutgers University. “It could derail any attempt to initiate many of the proposals Clinton has talked about.” |
| Read further: | Read further: |
| 12.17pm GMT | 12.17pm GMT |
| 12:17 | 12:17 |
| Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Just one week to go now, as you may have noticed (and at least 25 million people have already voted, according to the Election Project). | Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Just one week to go now, as you may have noticed (and at least 25 million people have already voted, according to the Election Project). |
| Donald Trump and Mike Pence are in Pennsylvania today, which is either heroic or foolish, depending on whether you think it matters that Trump has led in only one single poll of the state and that was in July. The Republicans are scheduled to give a tag-team speech about Obamacare in historic Valley Forge, where the American revolutionary army spent a chilly winter in 1777-78 before emerging to victory. Trump has a later stop today in Eau Claire, Wisconsin. | Donald Trump and Mike Pence are in Pennsylvania today, which is either heroic or foolish, depending on whether you think it matters that Trump has led in only one single poll of the state and that was in July. The Republicans are scheduled to give a tag-team speech about Obamacare in historic Valley Forge, where the American revolutionary army spent a chilly winter in 1777-78 before emerging to victory. Trump has a later stop today in Eau Claire, Wisconsin. |
| It is not known whether Hillary Clinton will invoke the American revolution today, but she is scheduled to make three campaign stops in Florida, where the current election is playing out. Literally everybody and their neighbor, save Michelle Obama, appears to be hitting the campaign trail for Clinton today, including: | It is not known whether Hillary Clinton will invoke the American revolution today, but she is scheduled to make three campaign stops in Florida, where the current election is playing out. Literally everybody and their neighbor, save Michelle Obama, appears to be hitting the campaign trail for Clinton today, including: |
| State of play | State of play |
| A new edition of Cook political report’s electoral college map has exactly one state moving in Trump’s direction: Iowa. Granting Clinton victory in the states leaning in her direction in the map below yields a 294-244 win for her, with Trump sweeping the purple tossups: | A new edition of Cook political report’s electoral college map has exactly one state moving in Trump’s direction: Iowa. Granting Clinton victory in the states leaning in her direction in the map below yields a 294-244 win for her, with Trump sweeping the purple tossups: |
| NEW Electoral College ratings: https://t.co/dGF09TR5lg IA | Toss Up to Lean RAK | Solid R to Likely RSC | Solid R to Likely R pic.twitter.com/rDjYcYKUGt | NEW Electoral College ratings: https://t.co/dGF09TR5lg IA | Toss Up to Lean RAK | Solid R to Likely RSC | Solid R to Likely R pic.twitter.com/rDjYcYKUGt |
| Trump denies communications with Russian bank | Trump denies communications with Russian bank |
| The Trump campaign has denied a report that a Trump Organization server was used to send or receive communications with a Russian bank. | The Trump campaign has denied a report that a Trump Organization server was used to send or receive communications with a Russian bank. |
| The denial on Monday night came in response to a Slate article that said activity on the server indicated “a sustained relationship between a server registered to the Trump Organization and two servers registered to an entity called Alfa Bank”, the largest private commercial bank in Russia. | The denial on Monday night came in response to a Slate article that said activity on the server indicated “a sustained relationship between a server registered to the Trump Organization and two servers registered to an entity called Alfa Bank”, the largest private commercial bank in Russia. |
| The report is the latest allegation during this election season of questionable links between Trump and Russia. The Clinton campaign quickly pounced on the report, declaring the story proof of “the most direct link yet between Donald Trump and Moscow”. | The report is the latest allegation during this election season of questionable links between Trump and Russia. The Clinton campaign quickly pounced on the report, declaring the story proof of “the most direct link yet between Donald Trump and Moscow”. |
| Read further. | Read further. |
| Trump used legally dubious method to avoid paying taxes – NY Times | Trump used legally dubious method to avoid paying taxes – NY Times |
| Donald J. Trump proudly acknowledges he did not pay a dime in federal income taxes for years on end. He insists he merely exploited tax loopholes legally available to any billionaire – loopholes he says Hillary Clinton failed to close during her years in the United States Senate. “Why didn’t she ever try to change those laws so I couldn’t use them?” Mr. Trump asked during a campaign rally last month. | Donald J. Trump proudly acknowledges he did not pay a dime in federal income taxes for years on end. He insists he merely exploited tax loopholes legally available to any billionaire – loopholes he says Hillary Clinton failed to close during her years in the United States Senate. “Why didn’t she ever try to change those laws so I couldn’t use them?” Mr. Trump asked during a campaign rally last month. |
| But newly obtained documents show that in the early 1990s, as he scrambled to stave off financial ruin, Mr. Trump avoided reporting hundreds of millions of dollars in taxable income by using a tax avoidance maneuver so legally dubious his own lawyers advised him that the Internal Revenue Service would most likely declare it improper if he were audited. | But newly obtained documents show that in the early 1990s, as he scrambled to stave off financial ruin, Mr. Trump avoided reporting hundreds of millions of dollars in taxable income by using a tax avoidance maneuver so legally dubious his own lawyers advised him that the Internal Revenue Service would most likely declare it improper if he were audited. |
| Read further. | Read further. |
| Clinton camp accuses FBI of ‘blatant double standard’ | Clinton camp accuses FBI of ‘blatant double standard’ |
| The Clinton campaign blasted FBI director James Comey for “jaw-dropping” double standards on Monday after claims that he had sought to withhold evidence of Russian support for Donald Trump for fear of influencing next week’s US election. | The Clinton campaign blasted FBI director James Comey for “jaw-dropping” double standards on Monday after claims that he had sought to withhold evidence of Russian support for Donald Trump for fear of influencing next week’s US election. |
| “It is impossible to view this as anything less than a blatant double standard,” her campaign manager, Robby Mook, told reporters, claiming the decision “defied all logic”, especially as other intelligence agencies had favoured disclosure of suspected Russian involvement. | “It is impossible to view this as anything less than a blatant double standard,” her campaign manager, Robby Mook, told reporters, claiming the decision “defied all logic”, especially as other intelligence agencies had favoured disclosure of suspected Russian involvement. |
| “Through these two decisions he shows he favours acting alone and without consulting … these are not the hallmarks of a responsible investigation,” added Mook. | “Through these two decisions he shows he favours acting alone and without consulting … these are not the hallmarks of a responsible investigation,” added Mook. |
| Read further. | Read further. |
| Thank you for reading and please join us in the comments. | Thank you for reading and please join us in the comments. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 2.36pm GMT | at 2.36pm GMT |