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New Zealand earthquake officially upgraded to magnitude 7.8 – live | New Zealand earthquake officially upgraded to magnitude 7.8 – live |
(35 minutes later) | |
5.11am GMT | |
05:11 | |
'One of the most complex earthquakes ever recorded on land' | |
Geonet, which had originally (with caveats) recorded the mainshock at 7.5 magnitude, has posted a statement on the new 7.8 rating. It explains: | |
Early indications are that this is one of the most complex earthquakes ever recorded on land. This complexity means we have had to take extraordinary efforts to determine the magnitude, depth, and locations … | |
Due to the size of the quakes, we’ve gathered data from our entire network of seismic stations. All of these stations would not normally need to be included in magnitude estimates. | |
Further, our techs at GeoNet went out to several sites which we lost communication with and we have now been able to upload this information, so we have a more complete understanding of the ground deformation and strong-motion data. | |
Finally, our science teams have been working tirelessly, going up and down the affected areas and measuring the length of faults and how much they moved. Their efforts have provided us with a clearer picture as to the size and length of the ruptures. | |
Based on all these ongoing efforts, we can say with some confidence that the earthquake was an M7.8. | |
This is consistent with estimates from several other international agencies, specifically the USGS. Their early model provided us important information and we used all our additional data sets to confirm the magnitude. | |
4.54am GMT | |
04:54 | |
600 people evacuated from Kaikoura | |
The acting minister of civil defence, Gerry Brownlee, also offered an update on the evacuations from Kaikoura: | |
The HMNZS Canterbury will this evening set sail to Lyttelton [a port town close to Christchurch] with about 390 evacuees from Kaikoura on board. | |
The ship is expected to arrive around 11pm tonight, depending on weather conditions and the amount of time it takes to upload those waiting in Kaikoura. | |
The New Zealand defence force (NZDF) has now evacuated about 600 people from Kaikoura. Evacuations will continue for as long as necessary and, as of tomorrow, several ships from other nations – including the USS Sampson – will arrive off the Kaikoura coast ready to be mobilised as required. | |
Meanwhile, the NZDF is continuing to inspect the inland route into Kaikoura from the south, through Waiau, to determine the condition of the road. | |
At this stage it’s hoped the route will be cleared by the weekend. NZDF is using all-terrain vehicles on the road and, once reopened, access will be controlled by the New Zealand police. | |
You can read the Guardian’s dispatch from Waiau here: | |
4.40am GMT | 4.40am GMT |
04:40 | 04:40 |
New aftershock forecast: larger and longer | New aftershock forecast: larger and longer |
Gerry Brownlee, the acting minister of civil defence, has explained why the magnitude of Monday’s mainshock has been revised upwards: | Gerry Brownlee, the acting minister of civil defence, has explained why the magnitude of Monday’s mainshock has been revised upwards: |
GNS Science informed my office of the revised magnitude earlier today after reassessing the data from its stations across the country. | GNS Science informed my office of the revised magnitude earlier today after reassessing the data from its stations across the country. |
Because it took over a minute for the fault to rupture during this event, the standard method normally used to calculate the energy released during an earthquake was insufficient. | Because it took over a minute for the fault to rupture during this event, the standard method normally used to calculate the energy released during an earthquake was insufficient. |
The revised magnitude just tells us what anyone who felt the earthquake would already know – that it was a powerful tremor that lasted for a long time. | The revised magnitude just tells us what anyone who felt the earthquake would already know – that it was a powerful tremor that lasted for a long time. |
It does not change what happened or how central government or local authorities responded. It simply provides us with more knowledge about how significant this earthquake was. | It does not change what happened or how central government or local authorities responded. It simply provides us with more knowledge about how significant this earthquake was. |
As expected with a larger earthquake, the revised magnitude does have an effect on the probabilities of forecast aftershocks, meaning it is now forecast that aftershocks may be larger in magnitude for a longer period of time. | As expected with a larger earthquake, the revised magnitude does have an effect on the probabilities of forecast aftershocks, meaning it is now forecast that aftershocks may be larger in magnitude for a longer period of time. |
Updated | Updated |
at 4.41am GMT | at 4.41am GMT |
4.28am GMT | 4.28am GMT |
04:28 | 04:28 |
Reports had varied on the strength of the initial quake that struck shortly after midnight on Monday morning. | Reports had varied on the strength of the initial quake that struck shortly after midnight on Monday morning. |
New Zealand’s own monitoring service, Geonet, had measured the earthquake as magnitude 7.5 (and that’s what we at the Guardian have been using in our reporting up to now). | New Zealand’s own monitoring service, Geonet, had measured the earthquake as magnitude 7.5 (and that’s what we at the Guardian have been using in our reporting up to now). |
But other monitors, including the United States Geological Survey(USGS), already had it at 7.8. | But other monitors, including the United States Geological Survey(USGS), already had it at 7.8. |
Here’s how Geonet described the discrepancy on Tuesday: | Here’s how Geonet described the discrepancy on Tuesday: |
Why were our magnitudes different from the USGS: About magnitude variability | Why were our magnitudes different from the USGS: About magnitude variability |
We have currently established that the New Zealand local magnitude for this earthquake is 7.5, but this may be reviewed over time when more detailed research is undertaken. This may bring it closer to the internationally-derived value (e.g. Mw7.8 by the US Geological Survey). | We have currently established that the New Zealand local magnitude for this earthquake is 7.5, but this may be reviewed over time when more detailed research is undertaken. This may bring it closer to the internationally-derived value (e.g. Mw7.8 by the US Geological Survey). |
This has now happened, the NZ government has confirmed. | This has now happened, the NZ government has confirmed. |
4.23am GMT | 4.23am GMT |
04:23 | 04:23 |
Initial quake revised upwards to magnitude 7.8 | Initial quake revised upwards to magnitude 7.8 |
The New Zealand government has officially upgraded the magnitude of Monday’s earthquake from 7.5 to 7.8. | The New Zealand government has officially upgraded the magnitude of Monday’s earthquake from 7.5 to 7.8. |
Updated | Updated |
at 4.23am GMT | at 4.23am GMT |
4.11am GMT | 4.11am GMT |
04:11 | 04:11 |
Evacuations from Kaikoura continue, with hundreds of people – mostly tourists – who have been trapped since the town was cut off from road access now being taken out by boat to the navy vessel HMNZS Canterbury: | Evacuations from Kaikoura continue, with hundreds of people – mostly tourists – who have been trapped since the town was cut off from road access now being taken out by boat to the navy vessel HMNZS Canterbury: |
3.47am GMT | 3.47am GMT |
03:47 | 03:47 |
1,823 quakes since first shock | 1,823 quakes since first shock |
The latest report from Geonet, New Zealand’s earthquake monitor, tallies the number of quakes felt in the country since Monday’s mainshock at 1,823. | The latest report from Geonet, New Zealand’s earthquake monitor, tallies the number of quakes felt in the country since Monday’s mainshock at 1,823. |
At 4.30pm local time (2.30pm AEDT, 3.30am GMT), Geonet had recorded 15 quakes in the previous hour, and 307 in the preceding 12 hours. | At 4.30pm local time (2.30pm AEDT, 3.30am GMT), Geonet had recorded 15 quakes in the previous hour, and 307 in the preceding 12 hours. |
Eighteen of those were over magnitude 4. | Eighteen of those were over magnitude 4. |
16.30 pm update: 15 eqs in last hour, 307 eqs in last 12 hrs (18 over M4) and 1823 eqs since the M7.5. Kaikoura Earthquake #eqnz #Kaikoura pic.twitter.com/35EB74OXpD | 16.30 pm update: 15 eqs in last hour, 307 eqs in last 12 hrs (18 over M4) and 1823 eqs since the M7.5. Kaikoura Earthquake #eqnz #Kaikoura pic.twitter.com/35EB74OXpD |
3.34am GMT | 3.34am GMT |
03:34 | 03:34 |
One unexpected side-effect of the quake has been the apparent raising of the seabed at Kaikoura. | One unexpected side-effect of the quake has been the apparent raising of the seabed at Kaikoura. |
Dr Joshu Mountjoy, a marine geologist at the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, told stuff.co.nz the phenomenon was probably due to movement of the Hundalee fault: | Dr Joshu Mountjoy, a marine geologist at the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, told stuff.co.nz the phenomenon was probably due to movement of the Hundalee fault: |
Some faults go side-to-side while others move vertically, like in this case, where the fault has pushed the land up into the air, and it appears to be by about a metre. | Some faults go side-to-side while others move vertically, like in this case, where the fault has pushed the land up into the air, and it appears to be by about a metre. |
Aerial pictures from Kaikoura showed the changes in the coastline: | Aerial pictures from Kaikoura showed the changes in the coastline: |
Aerial photographs show the seabed uplift north of Kaikoura - estimated to be between 2 - 2.5 metres. #EQNZ pic.twitter.com/WLkSj4Xx9m | Aerial photographs show the seabed uplift north of Kaikoura - estimated to be between 2 - 2.5 metres. #EQNZ pic.twitter.com/WLkSj4Xx9m |
Further north up the coast, in Waipapa Bay, similar shifts were apparent: | Further north up the coast, in Waipapa Bay, similar shifts were apparent: |
@TonkinTaylor Before (March 2016)/After (Nov 2016) Worldview 2 images of Waipapa Bay (c) NextView. Same location as helicopter pic. pic.twitter.com/tztXvLhTtu | @TonkinTaylor Before (March 2016)/After (Nov 2016) Worldview 2 images of Waipapa Bay (c) NextView. Same location as helicopter pic. pic.twitter.com/tztXvLhTtu |
3.04am GMT | 3.04am GMT |
03:04 | 03:04 |
Kaikoura evacuations: summary | Kaikoura evacuations: summary |
Reuters has this report on the latest from the South Island coastal town: | Reuters has this report on the latest from the South Island coastal town: |
Two New Zealand navy vessels on Wednesday reached a small South Island town cut off for more than two days by a devastating earthquake, bringing supplies of food and water and plans to evacuate hundreds of stranded tourists and residents. | Two New Zealand navy vessels on Wednesday reached a small South Island town cut off for more than two days by a devastating earthquake, bringing supplies of food and water and plans to evacuate hundreds of stranded tourists and residents. |
Prime minister John Key went to Kaikoura by helicopter to inspect damage to roads that cut off the seaside tourist town after the 7.5 magnitude quake that struck just after midnight on Sunday. | Prime minister John Key went to Kaikoura by helicopter to inspect damage to roads that cut off the seaside tourist town after the 7.5 magnitude quake that struck just after midnight on Sunday. |
Flew down to Kaikoura again today to check in with locals and get an idea of what further support the region needs. pic.twitter.com/XbpTxZ0bED | Flew down to Kaikoura again today to check in with locals and get an idea of what further support the region needs. pic.twitter.com/XbpTxZ0bED |
The government was expecting to receive satellite imagery later on Wednesday to assess massive landslips around the country. The quake buffeted much of central New Zealand and left two people dead. | The government was expecting to receive satellite imagery later on Wednesday to assess massive landslips around the country. The quake buffeted much of central New Zealand and left two people dead. |
“Look at this road here,” Key said on his journey to Kaikoura, around 150km (90 miles) north of Christchurch. “I just don’t see how you can ever repair that bit of road. The whole mountain has moved over.” | “Look at this road here,” Key said on his journey to Kaikoura, around 150km (90 miles) north of Christchurch. “I just don’t see how you can ever repair that bit of road. The whole mountain has moved over.” |
Pictures shared on social media showed large sections of rocky coast covered in seaweed and abalone, apparently lifted out of the sea by the force of the quake. Huge landslides covered access roads and rail routes. One train was caught between two slips. | Pictures shared on social media showed large sections of rocky coast covered in seaweed and abalone, apparently lifted out of the sea by the force of the quake. Huge landslides covered access roads and rail routes. One train was caught between two slips. |
The HMNZS Wellington was surveying the harbour area at Kaikoura to ensure that it was safe for vessels, civil defence director Sarah Stuart-Black told reporters. | The HMNZS Wellington was surveying the harbour area at Kaikoura to ensure that it was safe for vessels, civil defence director Sarah Stuart-Black told reporters. |
Officials said more than 400 people had been evacuated by helicopters from Kaikoura, including a dozen who were injured. “Between 700 and 1,000 people still require evacuation,” Stuart-Black said. | Officials said more than 400 people had been evacuated by helicopters from Kaikoura, including a dozen who were injured. “Between 700 and 1,000 people still require evacuation,” Stuart-Black said. |
2.44am GMT | 2.44am GMT |
02:44 | 02:44 |
A sense of the scale of the task ahead clearing roads to Kaikoura and other towns cut off by landslides is emerging as more pictures arrive. | A sense of the scale of the task ahead clearing roads to Kaikoura and other towns cut off by landslides is emerging as more pictures arrive. |
This is the road to Waiau (read more about how that town is coping here): | This is the road to Waiau (read more about how that town is coping here): |
2.29am GMT | 2.29am GMT |
02:29 | 02:29 |
Evacuations – principally of tourists – are continuing from Kaikoura. In addition to the airlifts that began yesterday, HMNZS Canterbury is now anchored nearby and people are being taken out of the stranded town by sea. | Evacuations – principally of tourists – are continuing from Kaikoura. In addition to the airlifts that began yesterday, HMNZS Canterbury is now anchored nearby and people are being taken out of the stranded town by sea. |
Those 1200-odd tourists being evacuated from Kaikoura sure come with a lot of luggage @thetvnews #eqnz pic.twitter.com/KuspoOvbS3 | Those 1200-odd tourists being evacuated from Kaikoura sure come with a lot of luggage @thetvnews #eqnz pic.twitter.com/KuspoOvbS3 |
And supplies for the residents of Kaikoura are making their way in: | And supplies for the residents of Kaikoura are making their way in: |
Supplies are coming thick & fast on choppers returning from Woodend @NZRedCross welfare centre #Kaikoura #eqnz pic.twitter.com/IKt3ue9U7z | Supplies are coming thick & fast on choppers returning from Woodend @NZRedCross welfare centre #Kaikoura #eqnz pic.twitter.com/IKt3ue9U7z |