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You can find the current article at its original source at http://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2016/nov/18/euro-in-record-losing-streak-against-the-dollar-business-live
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| Version 6 | Version 7 |
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| Mario Draghi hints eurozone stimulus will last - business live | Mario Draghi hints eurozone stimulus will last - business live |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| 12.14pm GMT | |
| 12:14 | |
| First Toblerone, now Maltesers: | |
| Maltesers pouches have 'lost weight' according to one food retail expert https://t.co/uI4FiFGYdd | |
| And here’s a reminder of the Toblerone controversy: | |
| 11.54am GMT | 11.54am GMT |
| 11:54 | 11:54 |
| Next boss Lord Wolfson: high street prices will rise from January | Next boss Lord Wolfson: high street prices will rise from January |
| Lord Wolfson, chief executive of Next, has told consumers to expect price rises on the high street from January, as the weak pound starts to feed through. | Lord Wolfson, chief executive of Next, has told consumers to expect price rises on the high street from January, as the weak pound starts to feed through. |
| He told Bloomberg Television: | He told Bloomberg Television: |
| I would expect it to begin to come through January next year. And really that inflationary bubble will last all year. But it is a one off bubble, it’s not likely to affect us the following year. It’s not likely to affect retail anything like as much as the devaluation of the pound. | I would expect it to begin to come through January next year. And really that inflationary bubble will last all year. But it is a one off bubble, it’s not likely to affect us the following year. It’s not likely to affect retail anything like as much as the devaluation of the pound. |
| So the pound’s fallen 15, 20%. We’re expecting prices at most to go up 5% but I’m expecting a bit less than that. And the reason for that is because there’s a lot of spare capacity in factories in the far east and retail is constantly looking for new and better sources of supply, cheaper sources of supply. So I think we’ll be able to mitigate most of the currency fall. But we’re still looking at prices rises around 4-5%. | So the pound’s fallen 15, 20%. We’re expecting prices at most to go up 5% but I’m expecting a bit less than that. And the reason for that is because there’s a lot of spare capacity in factories in the far east and retail is constantly looking for new and better sources of supply, cheaper sources of supply. So I think we’ll be able to mitigate most of the currency fall. But we’re still looking at prices rises around 4-5%. |
| 11.28am GMT | 11.28am GMT |
| 11:28 | 11:28 |
| JCB’s Staffordshire HQ hit by mini Tornado | JCB’s Staffordshire HQ hit by mini Tornado |
| My colleague Sean Farrell reports: | My colleague Sean Farrell reports: |
| Workers at JCB’s world headquarters in Staffordshire were stunned on Thursday when a mini tornado caused a wall to collapse and windows to crash to the ground. | Workers at JCB’s world headquarters in Staffordshire were stunned on Thursday when a mini tornado caused a wall to collapse and windows to crash to the ground. |
| Production of diggers stopped after the tornado tore into the side of the factory. No one was injured in the incident and the factory was back up and running after 30 minutes. The damaged areas have been cordoned off. | Production of diggers stopped after the tornado tore into the side of the factory. No one was injured in the incident and the factory was back up and running after 30 minutes. The damaged areas have been cordoned off. |
| JCB’s assembly manager, Richard Williams, said: “I was about 30 yards away at the time and I heard an enormous crash. I turned around and saw the wall and the windows had come out and a big whirlwind of leaves and branches blowing around outside. Luckily no one was in the vicinity at the time.” | JCB’s assembly manager, Richard Williams, said: “I was about 30 yards away at the time and I heard an enormous crash. I turned around and saw the wall and the windows had come out and a big whirlwind of leaves and branches blowing around outside. Luckily no one was in the vicinity at the time.” |
| The JCB factory was one of the sites hit by winds of more than 70mph that battered Staffordshire, Shropshire and mid-Wales. Trees were uprooted and buildings were damaged as a series of small, brief tornadoes left a trail of destruction. | The JCB factory was one of the sites hit by winds of more than 70mph that battered Staffordshire, Shropshire and mid-Wales. Trees were uprooted and buildings were damaged as a series of small, brief tornadoes left a trail of destruction. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 11.29am GMT | at 11.29am GMT |
| 11.16am GMT | 11.16am GMT |
| 11:16 | 11:16 |
| David Rees, senior markets economist at Capital Economics, says the bonds sell-off in emerging markets is likely to continue: | David Rees, senior markets economist at Capital Economics, says the bonds sell-off in emerging markets is likely to continue: |
| Dollar-denominated government bonds have suffered disproportionately during the emerging market sell-off since Donald Trump won the US presidential election. We expect dollar-denominated bonds to continue to underperform equities and currencies. | Dollar-denominated government bonds have suffered disproportionately during the emerging market sell-off since Donald Trump won the US presidential election. We expect dollar-denominated bonds to continue to underperform equities and currencies. |
| Whereas equity prices have fallen by 3.5% on average in local currency terms since the November 8th election, and currencies have depreciated by a similar amount against the US dollar, dollar- denominated sovereign bonds have registered losses of nearly 4.5% on average. | Whereas equity prices have fallen by 3.5% on average in local currency terms since the November 8th election, and currencies have depreciated by a similar amount against the US dollar, dollar- denominated sovereign bonds have registered losses of nearly 4.5% on average. |
| The upshot is that we believe the underperformance of hard currency bonds will continue. | The upshot is that we believe the underperformance of hard currency bonds will continue. |
| 10.54am GMT | 10.54am GMT |
| 10:54 | 10:54 |
| Global bonds rack up biggest losses in more than 25 years | Global bonds rack up biggest losses in more than 25 years |
| Global bonds are on course for their biggest two-week loss in more than a quarter of a century, as rising inflation dampens demand. | Global bonds are on course for their biggest two-week loss in more than a quarter of a century, as rising inflation dampens demand. |
| Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index is set for a 4% loss over the last fortnight - the biggest since at least 1990 according to Reuters. | Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index is set for a 4% loss over the last fortnight - the biggest since at least 1990 according to Reuters. |
| Reuters reports: | Reuters reports: |
| Donald Trump’s shock win in the US election last week has stoked bets that economic plans under a Trump administration would boost business investments and spending while firing up inflation. | Donald Trump’s shock win in the US election last week has stoked bets that economic plans under a Trump administration would boost business investments and spending while firing up inflation. |
| Rising inflation erodes the value of bonds which offer set interest rates over their lifespan. | Rising inflation erodes the value of bonds which offer set interest rates over their lifespan. |
| 10.31am GMT | 10.31am GMT |
| 10:31 | 10:31 |
| Bank of England's Broadbent defends low interest rates | Bank of England's Broadbent defends low interest rates |
| Ben Broadbent, the deputy governor of the Bank of England responsible for monetary policy, has been speaking in London. | Ben Broadbent, the deputy governor of the Bank of England responsible for monetary policy, has been speaking in London. |
| He insisted the prolonged spell of ultra-low interest rates had not driven a rise in inequality in the UK. The Bank has been under fire in recent weeks by critics who claim the loose monetary stance has hurt some households. | He insisted the prolonged spell of ultra-low interest rates had not driven a rise in inequality in the UK. The Bank has been under fire in recent weeks by critics who claim the loose monetary stance has hurt some households. |
| "If you are a forecaster you are used to being humbled", BoE's Ben Broadbent going for quote of the month | "If you are a forecaster you are used to being humbled", BoE's Ben Broadbent going for quote of the month |
| Here is the full report from my colleague Katie Allen who attended the event: | Here is the full report from my colleague Katie Allen who attended the event: |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 10.37am GMT | at 10.37am GMT |
| 10.13am GMT | 10.13am GMT |
| 10:13 | 10:13 |
| European markets fall | European markets fall |
| Europe’s major markets are now firmly in the red: | Europe’s major markets are now firmly in the red: |
| A strong dollar is hitting mining stocks, and Italian banks are also among the biggest losers. | A strong dollar is hitting mining stocks, and Italian banks are also among the biggest losers. |
| Nerves are mounting in Italy ahead of next month’s referendum on constitutional reform. Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has said he will resign if he loses the referendum. | Nerves are mounting in Italy ahead of next month’s referendum on constitutional reform. Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has said he will resign if he loses the referendum. |
| 10.03am GMT | 10.03am GMT |
| 10:03 | 10:03 |
| Jim O'Neill joins George Osborne's northern powerhouse thinktank | Jim O'Neill joins George Osborne's northern powerhouse thinktank |
| Lord Jim O’Neill, the former chief economist at Goldman Sachs, is joining the Northern Powerhouse Partnership, set up by the former chancellor George Osborne who chairs the thinktank. | Lord Jim O’Neill, the former chief economist at Goldman Sachs, is joining the Northern Powerhouse Partnership, set up by the former chancellor George Osborne who chairs the thinktank. |
| Not an entirely surprising appointment. The two men worked together in government, after O’Neill was given a peerage and appointed to Osborne’s Treasury team last year with responsibility for the northern powerhouse project. (The idea is to drive investment and growth in the north.) | Not an entirely surprising appointment. The two men worked together in government, after O’Neill was given a peerage and appointed to Osborne’s Treasury team last year with responsibility for the northern powerhouse project. (The idea is to drive investment and growth in the north.) |
| O’Neill stepped down as a Treasury minister in September and resigned the Conservative whip amid reported tensions over Theresa May’s approach to China. | O’Neill stepped down as a Treasury minister in September and resigned the Conservative whip amid reported tensions over Theresa May’s approach to China. |
| The high-profile businessman is known for coining the phrase “Brics”, an acronym for the emerging economies of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. | The high-profile businessman is known for coining the phrase “Brics”, an acronym for the emerging economies of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. |
| O’Neil said: | O’Neil said: |
| Having been involved in its inception, I have always been a huge supporter of the Northern Powerhouse and through my participation in the Northern Powerhouse Partnership I look forward to continuing to play a role in ensuring that the original vision becomes a reality. | Having been involved in its inception, I have always been a huge supporter of the Northern Powerhouse and through my participation in the Northern Powerhouse Partnership I look forward to continuing to play a role in ensuring that the original vision becomes a reality. |
| In a second appointment to the NPP, the former director general of the CBI John Cridland will also join the board. | In a second appointment to the NPP, the former director general of the CBI John Cridland will also join the board. |
| Osborne said: | Osborne said: |
| Today is a milestone in the creation of our Northern Powerhouse Partnership. Our first board meeting, here in Sheffield, brings together some of the north’s biggest employers and civic leaders to see how we can work together to create a powerhouse. | Today is a milestone in the creation of our Northern Powerhouse Partnership. Our first board meeting, here in Sheffield, brings together some of the north’s biggest employers and civic leaders to see how we can work together to create a powerhouse. |
| I am delighted that Jim O’Neill and John Cridland are also joining the board and getting involved in the Northern Powerhouse Partnership. They are both hugely regarded figures across the North and two of the brightest and the best when it comes to thinking proactively about how to drive transformational change for the region. | I am delighted that Jim O’Neill and John Cridland are also joining the board and getting involved in the Northern Powerhouse Partnership. They are both hugely regarded figures across the North and two of the brightest and the best when it comes to thinking proactively about how to drive transformational change for the region. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 10.31am GMT | at 10.31am GMT |
| 9.20am GMT | 9.20am GMT |
| 09:20 | 09:20 |
| Here is what Draghi had to say on eurozone inflation: | Here is what Draghi had to say on eurozone inflation: |
| Despite the recovery in growth and employment, the persisting output gap is still keeping inflation dynamics weak. The October inflation rate stood at 0.5%. While this marks the highest level recorded in almost two years, it remains far below the ECB’s objective [of below, but close to 2%]. | Despite the recovery in growth and employment, the persisting output gap is still keeping inflation dynamics weak. The October inflation rate stood at 0.5%. While this marks the highest level recorded in almost two years, it remains far below the ECB’s objective [of below, but close to 2%]. |
| And while we expect headline inflation to continue rising over the coming months, much of this increase will be driven by statistical factors related to the mechanical unwinding of the extreme oil price declines a year ago. We do not yet see a consistent strengthening of underlying price dynamics. | And while we expect headline inflation to continue rising over the coming months, much of this increase will be driven by statistical factors related to the mechanical unwinding of the extreme oil price declines a year ago. We do not yet see a consistent strengthening of underlying price dynamics. |
| Draghi said recovery in the eurozone’s economy was still underpinned by support from the central bank: | Draghi said recovery in the eurozone’s economy was still underpinned by support from the central bank: |
| The euro area recovery still relies to a considerable degree on accommodative monetary policy. The recovery in credit is being facilitated by a more resilient banking sector, but the impetus comes from our monetary policy. | The euro area recovery still relies to a considerable degree on accommodative monetary policy. The recovery in credit is being facilitated by a more resilient banking sector, but the impetus comes from our monetary policy. |
| The eurozone’s economy grew by 2% in 2015, and the International Monetary Fund is predicting growth of 1.7% this year followed by 1.5% in 2017. | The eurozone’s economy grew by 2% in 2015, and the International Monetary Fund is predicting growth of 1.7% this year followed by 1.5% in 2017. |
| 9.04am GMT | 9.04am GMT |
| 09:04 | 09:04 |
| Draghi’s speech strikes a decidedly dovish and cautious note. He suggests that while the eurozone is in reasonable shape, key risks to the recovery remain. | Draghi’s speech strikes a decidedly dovish and cautious note. He suggests that while the eurozone is in reasonable shape, key risks to the recovery remain. |
| We have ... every reason to be more confident in the strength of the recovery than we were one year ago. But we cannot be sanguine over the economic outlook. | We have ... every reason to be more confident in the strength of the recovery than we were one year ago. But we cannot be sanguine over the economic outlook. |
| Besides the geopolitical risks that remain prevalent, there are indeed three factors that warrant caution: the profitability of euro area banks, the relative weakness of inflation dynamics, and the dependence of the recovery on accommodative monetary policy. | Besides the geopolitical risks that remain prevalent, there are indeed three factors that warrant caution: the profitability of euro area banks, the relative weakness of inflation dynamics, and the dependence of the recovery on accommodative monetary policy. |
| Draghi: 3 factors warrant caution: bank profitability, relative weakness of inflation dynamics and dependence of recovery on monetary policy | Draghi: 3 factors warrant caution: bank profitability, relative weakness of inflation dynamics and dependence of recovery on monetary policy |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 9.05am GMT | at 9.05am GMT |
| 8.40am GMT | 8.40am GMT |
| 08:40 | 08:40 |
| Mario Draghi: ECB stimulus will last | Mario Draghi: ECB stimulus will last |
| Mario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank, has given a clear signal that policymakers will continue to support the eurozone economy with monetary stimulus. | Mario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank, has given a clear signal that policymakers will continue to support the eurozone economy with monetary stimulus. |
| Giving a keynote speech at the European Banking Congress in Frankfurt, Draghi said policy would remain lose amid weak inflationary pressures. | Giving a keynote speech at the European Banking Congress in Frankfurt, Draghi said policy would remain lose amid weak inflationary pressures. |
| Even if there are many encouraging trends in the euro area economy, the recovery remains highly reliant on a constellation of financing conditions that, in turn, depend on continued monetary support. | Even if there are many encouraging trends in the euro area economy, the recovery remains highly reliant on a constellation of financing conditions that, in turn, depend on continued monetary support. |
| The ECB will continue to act, as warranted, by using all the instruments available within our mandate to secure a sustained convergence of inflation towards a level below, but close to 2%. | The ECB will continue to act, as warranted, by using all the instruments available within our mandate to secure a sustained convergence of inflation towards a level below, but close to 2%. |
| 8.27am GMT | 8.27am GMT |
| 08:27 | 08:27 |
| European markets are mixed in early trading | European markets are mixed in early trading |
| The FTSE 100 is slightly down in early trading, after closing up 45 points or 0.7% on Thursday. | The FTSE 100 is slightly down in early trading, after closing up 45 points or 0.7% on Thursday. |
| Elsewhere in Europe, markets are mixed. Nerves persist in Italy, where bond yields are sharply higher as political concerns rise to the fore ahead of next month’s referendum. | Elsewhere in Europe, markets are mixed. Nerves persist in Italy, where bond yields are sharply higher as political concerns rise to the fore ahead of next month’s referendum. |
| The scores so far: | The scores so far: |
| 8.18am GMT | 8.18am GMT |
| 08:18 | 08:18 |
| Holger Schmieding, economist at the German bank Berenberg, says the ECB won’t be in any hurry to follow the Fed and tighten monetary policy. | Holger Schmieding, economist at the German bank Berenberg, says the ECB won’t be in any hurry to follow the Fed and tighten monetary policy. |
| Pundits including us expect the ECB to prolong its current €80 billion monthly asset purchases by at least three and more likely six months beyond March 2017 before finally starting to taper, announcing that decision to extend purchases at its 8 December meeting. | Pundits including us expect the ECB to prolong its current €80 billion monthly asset purchases by at least three and more likely six months beyond March 2017 before finally starting to taper, announcing that decision to extend purchases at its 8 December meeting. |
| In addition, the ECB will likely make some technical changes to its programme to broaden the scope of eligible (German) paper without changing the capital key distribution of purchases or breaking new ground by venturing into purchases of major new asset classes such as bank bonds or equities. | In addition, the ECB will likely make some technical changes to its programme to broaden the scope of eligible (German) paper without changing the capital key distribution of purchases or breaking new ground by venturing into purchases of major new asset classes such as bank bonds or equities. |
| 8.15am GMT | 8.15am GMT |
| 08:15 | 08:15 |
| The euro against the dollar over the past year: | The euro against the dollar over the past year: |
| 8.01am GMT | 8.01am GMT |
| 08:01 | 08:01 |
| The agenda: euro in record losing streak as markets await Draghi speech | The agenda: euro in record losing streak as markets await Draghi speech |
| Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business. | Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business. |
| The dollar’s gain is the euro’s loss, with strength in the US currency pushing the euro below $1.06 for the first time in almost a year. It is currently trading at $1.0596. | The dollar’s gain is the euro’s loss, with strength in the US currency pushing the euro below $1.06 for the first time in almost a year. It is currently trading at $1.0596. |
| The single’s bloc’s currency is suffering its longest run of losses since 1999, when it first launch as an accounting currency, according to the FT’s analysis of Bloomberg data. | The single’s bloc’s currency is suffering its longest run of losses since 1999, when it first launch as an accounting currency, according to the FT’s analysis of Bloomberg data. |
| The dollar’s latest boost comes from Janet Yellen, the chair of the Federal Reserve, who hinted to Congress on Thursday that another rate hike in December was on the cards. | The dollar’s latest boost comes from Janet Yellen, the chair of the Federal Reserve, who hinted to Congress on Thursday that another rate hike in December was on the cards. |
| Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, is due to give a speech in Frankfurt shortly. Investors will listen closely for his views on the current outlook for the eurozone, and any hints on possible changes to monetary policy. | Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, is due to give a speech in Frankfurt shortly. Investors will listen closely for his views on the current outlook for the eurozone, and any hints on possible changes to monetary policy. |