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General election: Council tax more likely to go up under Tories than Labour, IFS suggests – live news General election: Council tax more likely to go up under Tories than Labour, IFS suggests – live news
(32 minutes later)
Ahead of Trump’s arrival for Nato, Lib Dem leader said leaders should be ‘very careful’ about relationship with the presidentAhead of Trump’s arrival for Nato, Lib Dem leader said leaders should be ‘very careful’ about relationship with the president
Just under 15 minutes left to ask any questions you may have on the Lib Dem manifesto. Send them in to us here.
Q: Why are there so many ads which misrepresent the proportion of votes the Lib Dems received in the previous GE? I have seen multiple examples of Lab/Con marginals where the Lib Dems are trying to make people believe it’s actually a Lib Dem/Con marginal when in fact a Labour voter switching to Lib Dems will make a hard Brexit more likely. It makes me distrust the party. Matthew, Oxford
The Lib Dems have something of a reputation for sharp-elbowed practices in elections, and a particular notoriety for bar charts with very dubious scales. When I went out campaigning with Luciana Berger in Finchley and Golders Green she was at pains to show off the scale of the chart on her leaflets, saying it had been “measured to the nearest millimetre”. One confusion can be that the Lib Dems use various polls or election results.
So, in Finchley and Golders Green, while the Lib Dems were a distant third in the 2017 election behind the Tories and Labour, Berger’s chart showed a recent constituency poll which put her in second. It was a legitimate poll, so that seems fair enough. Other tactics are more dubious, for example citing council or European results as evidence the Lib Dems can win in an area. And the party has been criticised for other tricks – for example printing fake “newspapers” that look a lot like the genuine local paper.
Q: Hi, I can find nothing in the Liberal Democrat manifesto about fishing and CFP reform. Do they actually have a policy on this? Thanks. Alastair S. Edwards, 48, music and English teacher, near Jablonec nad Nisou in the Czech Republic
You’re right - there doesn’t seem to be anything in there. The party’s manifesto for the European elections in May also doesn’t mention it. I’m afraid I can’t add much, as I’ve never heard any senior Lib Dem people discuss the issue. So I’m not much help here.
Q: Introducing a written constitution for a federal United Kingdom sounds very radical, why am I not hearing more about it? How would they achieve that? Jason, 28, edit assistant, London
The party has long been a champion of constitutional reform, most obviously through their long-standing support for a proportional voting system. The party’s manifesto promises all sorts of changes such as Commons constituencies for overseas voters (MP for the South of France could be popular), giving 16- and 17-year-olds the vote, and making the Lords democratic. Some elements are, however, a bit vague, not least the plan for “a written constitution for a federal United Kingdom”. This would, of course, involve changing centuries of precedent and would keep constitutional experts in work for years. How would they do that? I’m afraid your guess is as good as mine.
At the Brexit party event, Nigel Farage, the party leader, also described the Labour claim that the NHS would be sold off to the Americans under a UK-US trade deal as “the biggest lie of this election”. He said that he hoped Donald Trump would deny this during his visit to the UK for this week’s Nato conference. He said:
Farage claimed that he had no influence over what Trump would say, but he has a good relationship with the Trump White House and it did sound as if he expected Trump to make an intervention along these lines later this week.
You have been sending in your questions about the Lib Dem manifesto which I will be answering until 1.30pm. You can share your questions with us via our form here.
Q: How exactly can they revoke article 50? I’d like someone to explain how they can legally overturn article 50 and the impact it could have on future government decisions. Suzi, manual labour worker in a warehouse, West Yorkshire
If desired, the UK could revoke article 50 but doing nothing more than writing a letter to the European council. In 2018, the European court of justice confirmed this could be done unilaterally. In legal terms, this is a very specific issue so would seem to have no bearing on future governments. Politically it would be viewed with dismay by some voters. But the Lib Dems argue that since they would only do this in the (extremely unlikely) event of the party winning an absolute majority in parliament, this would be a mandate from the people. And constitutionally they are quite correct. Whether it was tactically a good idea to promise this, as a “more remain than you” sign to distance the party from Labour, remains to be seen. Some senior Lib Dems are not 100% happy with it.
Q: How will the Lib Dems fight for UK citizens in Europe, especially retirees. Patrick Markby, nearly 70, retired chef, Montpellier, France
They would say that the best way to do that would be to stop Brexit altogether, and let the status quo continue for UK nationals living in the rest of the EU. The Lib Dems have not, as yet, got into what policies they would seek to mitigate the impact of Brexit on people like you. For electoral reasons they don’t really want to discuss a preferred sort of departure, as their overwhelming election message is to cancel the whole thing. So I’m afraid I can’t really add much.
Q: What are the strongest and the weakest parts of the Liberal Democrats’ message? Laird Taylor, Victoria, Canada
If you asked ten Lib Dem activists, you might well get 10 – or at least six or seven – different answers. They have bet the house on tempting over large numbers of remain-minded Tory and Labour voters with an overwhelming anti-Brexit focus. The other key element has been a near-presidential spotlight on Jo Swinson (the party’s two battlebuses both carry the slogan, “Jo Swinson’s Liberal Democrats”).
Both these could be strengths ... but given the way the party has slipped gradually in the polls, they have not been so far. One strength could be the revised central message to urge voters to vote tactically and help Lib Dems defeat Tory candidates in some seats and thus deprive Boris Johnson of a majority. With the Conservatives strongly ahead in the polls, and Johnson a highly divisive character, that could resonate.
Here is the main point from Nigel Farage’s speech at the Brexit party rally in Buckley in North Wales.
Farage claimed that if the UK were to join the proposed European defence union after Brexit, Nato would collapse. He claimed that the UK faced a binary choice, between Nato and the European defence union, and he claimed that Boris Johnson was refusing to say which he preferred. He claimed that the Europeans wanted Nato out of Europe. He said:
Farage went on to say that Johnson had to make a choice.
And Farage said that, if the UK were to choose the European option, Nato would collapse.
This is a relatively new argument from Farage - although it is founded on several questionable assumptions.
First, the European defence union does not actually exist yet. It is an aspiration, and EU countries are moving closer to the idea, but it does not exist yet in the form that Farage implies. This Commons briefing paper (pdf) contains more detail.
Second, it is just not true to say that Europeans “want Nato out of Europe”. Some EU leaders have reservations about Nato, but there are many countries were it is still seen as an essential protection.
Third, where European do have reservations about Nato, it is not so much because they have lost faith in the concept of collective security; it is more to do with the fact that, with Farage’s ally Donald Trump in the White House, there are real concerns that the US is a less reliable ally than it once was.
And, fourth, it is not inevitable that Nato could not co-exist with a European defence union. The Americans want the Europeans to invest more in defence, and so arguably, if the EU were to have its own defence capability, Nato would be more secure, not less.
Some of your questions so far have been about the Gender Recognition Act and the legalisation of cannabis:Some of your questions so far have been about the Gender Recognition Act and the legalisation of cannabis:
Q: Does the Lib Dem manifesto have anything to say about the Gender Recognition Act? Does it want people who self-identify as the opposite sex to be able to obtain a Gender Recognition Certificate and therefore a new birth certificate? Jane, London Q: Does the Lib Dem manifesto have anything to say about the Gender Recognition Act? Does it want people who self-identify as the opposite sex to be able to obtain a gender recognition certificate and therefore a new birth certificate? Jane, London
The manifesto says this on the issue, in its section on equality: “Complete reform of the Gender Recognition Act to remove the requirement for medical reports, scrap the fee and recognise non-binary gender identities.” In truth, I’ve not covered this area of the manifesto, or talked to any Lib Dems about this, so I don’t know a whole lot more than this. In my defence, the manifesto is 96 pages long.The manifesto says this on the issue, in its section on equality: “Complete reform of the Gender Recognition Act to remove the requirement for medical reports, scrap the fee and recognise non-binary gender identities.” In truth, I’ve not covered this area of the manifesto, or talked to any Lib Dems about this, so I don’t know a whole lot more than this. In my defence, the manifesto is 96 pages long.
Q: Are the Lib Dems 100% banning fracking? I want o know this as Jo Swinson has voted in favour of fracking in the past, which I believe is despicable. Jules, Cornwall Q: Are the Lib Dems 100% banning fracking? I want to know this as Jo Swinson has voted in favour of fracking in the past, which I believe is despicable. Jules, Cornwall
Their manifesto is unequivocal on this. On its sections about a green economy four, “priorities for a first parliament”. One says: “Investing in renewable power so that at least 80% of UK electricity is generated from renewables by 2030 – and banning fracking for good.” More generally, Swinson has been keen to try and distance herself from decisions taken under the 2010-15 coalition, when she held a series of junior ministerial roles. It’s up to voters to decide on this.Their manifesto is unequivocal on this. On its sections about a green economy four, “priorities for a first parliament”. One says: “Investing in renewable power so that at least 80% of UK electricity is generated from renewables by 2030 – and banning fracking for good.” More generally, Swinson has been keen to try and distance herself from decisions taken under the 2010-15 coalition, when she held a series of junior ministerial roles. It’s up to voters to decide on this.
Q: What are the implications of the legalising cannabis proposal? How popular is it and what do medical professionals say? Michael, 50s, manager in the charity sector, St AlbansQ: What are the implications of the legalising cannabis proposal? How popular is it and what do medical professionals say? Michael, 50s, manager in the charity sector, St Albans
That’s arguably a bit outside the remit of this chat, but it’s worth noting that the Lib Dems have advocated drug decriminalisation in earlier elections. The costings document for the current manifesto shows the party would expect revenues of almost £1.5bn a year in duties on cannabis and savings on law enforcement. More widely, you can – and people do – argue endlessly about drug decriminalisation, but there are plenty of experts, and doctors, who argue in favour of it, in various forms, as well as treating the wider issue of drug use as a public health rather than a criminal matter.That’s arguably a bit outside the remit of this chat, but it’s worth noting that the Lib Dems have advocated drug decriminalisation in earlier elections. The costings document for the current manifesto shows the party would expect revenues of almost £1.5bn a year in duties on cannabis and savings on law enforcement. More widely, you can – and people do – argue endlessly about drug decriminalisation, but there are plenty of experts, and doctors, who argue in favour of it, in various forms, as well as treating the wider issue of drug use as a public health rather than a criminal matter.
I’m Peter Walker, a political correspondent for the Guardian, and will be answering your questions on the Liberal Democrat manifesto today. I have spent much of this election campaign following the party around, including trips on both their battle buses. I have been covering politics since just after the Brexit referendum, and previously wrote about national and international news. Before joining the Guardian I worked for various other organisations, including Agence France-Presse, where I was based in Beijing, Hong Kong and Paris.I’m Peter Walker, a political correspondent for the Guardian, and will be answering your questions on the Liberal Democrat manifesto today. I have spent much of this election campaign following the party around, including trips on both their battle buses. I have been covering politics since just after the Brexit referendum, and previously wrote about national and international news. Before joining the Guardian I worked for various other organisations, including Agence France-Presse, where I was based in Beijing, Hong Kong and Paris.
If you have a question you can send it to us by filling in the form here.If you have a question you can send it to us by filling in the form here.
Nigel Farage is now taking questions.Nigel Farage is now taking questions.
Asked about his decision to stand down Brexit party candidates in Tory-held constituencies, he says he did not want to take the risk of a hung parliament and putting “that Swinson girl” anywhere near power.Asked about his decision to stand down Brexit party candidates in Tory-held constituencies, he says he did not want to take the risk of a hung parliament and putting “that Swinson girl” anywhere near power.
Farage says it is wrong for Labour to say President Trump poses a threat to the EU.Farage says it is wrong for Labour to say President Trump poses a threat to the EU.
He says it was Labour that extended privatisation in the NHS, leading to the spread of superbugs in hospitals because cleaning services had been privatised, he says.He says it was Labour that extended privatisation in the NHS, leading to the spread of superbugs in hospitals because cleaning services had been privatised, he says.
And that’s it. Farage has finished his speech.And that’s it. Farage has finished his speech.
Farage says Donald Trump is arriving in the UK today.Farage says Donald Trump is arriving in the UK today.
He says the UK can share its secrets with America and other countries in the “five eyes” alliance.He says the UK can share its secrets with America and other countries in the “five eyes” alliance.
He says the UK is a very significant part of Nato.He says the UK is a very significant part of Nato.
He says Emmanuel Macron, the French president, called Nato “brain dead”.He says Emmanuel Macron, the French president, called Nato “brain dead”.
And the EU wants to build a defence union, and flex its muscles around the world.And the EU wants to build a defence union, and flex its muscles around the world.
The Europeans want Nato out of Europe, he claims.The Europeans want Nato out of Europe, he claims.
He says he keeps asking if Boris Johnson wants the UK out of the EU defence union.He says he keeps asking if Boris Johnson wants the UK out of the EU defence union.
But the UK cannot serve both the EU defence union and Nato, he says.But the UK cannot serve both the EU defence union and Nato, he says.
He says, if the UK leaves the EU defence union, it will become valueless. It won’t have the muscle it needs.He says, if the UK leaves the EU defence union, it will become valueless. It won’t have the muscle it needs.
But if the UK stays a member, that will undermine Nato, he claims.But if the UK stays a member, that will undermine Nato, he claims.
Nigel Farage is still speaking at the Brexit party event.Nigel Farage is still speaking at the Brexit party event.
He says leavers may like Boris Johnson. They might be related to one of his many children, Farage says. He then suggests he should not have said that.He says leavers may like Boris Johnson. They might be related to one of his many children, Farage says. He then suggests he should not have said that.
But leavers should vote for the Brexit party, he says, to ensure that they get the Brexit they voted for.But leavers should vote for the Brexit party, he says, to ensure that they get the Brexit they voted for.
Ask our experts a question
As part of a new series you can ask our political team any questions you have about the general election, and they will post their responses on the politics live blog between 12.30pm and 1.30pm every Monday, Wednesday and Friday until polling week.
Today, Peter Walker, a political correspondent for the Guardian, will answer your questions about the Liberal Democrat manifesto. You can ask your question via our form here.
Nigel Farage, the Brexit party leader, is now speaking at the Brexit party event in north Wales.
There is a live feed here.
Farage says he appeared in the seven-party ITV debate last night. He says it was a competition to see who could appear the most virtuous.
He says the other people in the debate were a “bunch of robots”. Their answers were pre-prepared, he says. And even their final statements; Farage complains that his rivals had scripted their final statements before the debate was over.
He says the London Bridge attack should be a cause for concern. But it should also be a matter of concern that there are 74 convicted terrorists free on the streets, and another 400 people at large who went to fight for Islamic State.
Farage says jihadists should be locked up for life.
And here is some more from the Institute for Fiscal Studies briefing on the election promises and local government funding. (See 10.51am.)
Council funding in England has fallen by 24% per head since 2009-10, the IFS says. It explains:
Council funding in the most deprived areas has fallen by even more, the IFS says. It explains:
The Conservative plan to ensure that people do not have to sell their home to pay for their social care could discriminate against renters and people who have moved to a smaller home, the IFS says. It argues:
All three main parties have unfunded commitments on adult social care spending, the IFS says, “suggesting this will be an important and potentially problematic issue whoever forms the next government”.
From my colleague Kate Proctor, who is covering a Brexit party event in north Wales
Boris Johnson, Jeremy Corbyn and Sadiq Khan, the major of London, are paying tribute to the victims of the London Bridge attack at a vigil this morning. This is from Sky’s Jason Farrell.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies has published a briefing on the Conservative, Labour and Liberal Democrat plans for local government funding. This is not an issue that has attracted much attention in the campaign so far, but it deserves some focus because councils provide vital services – and the gap between what’s on offer from the Tories and Labour is vast.
Although the Conservatives claim to be a low-tax party, under their plans it is more likely that council tax would have to rise, the IFS suggests.
Here is an excerpt from the briefing, which covers plans for local government funding in England.
Of course, there would be less need for council tax rises under Labour because local authorities would be getting more funding as a result tax increases imposed by Labour elsewhere in the system.
In her BBC phone-in Nicola Sturgeon said she would like to see the SNP represented in the talks with the EU that would take place if Labour formed a government and negotiated a new Brexit deal. This issue came up in response to a question about fishing. Asked if the SNP would want to have someone negotiating alongside Labour on this, Sturgeon replied:
When asked if this meant she wanted “someone at the table”, she replied:
Fishing is an awkward topic for the SNP because the EU’s common fisheries policy is hugely unpopular with the Scottish fishing industry, and the Conservatives are fond of arguing that the SNP plan to stay in or rejoin the EU amounts to staying in or rejoining the CFP.
Sturgeon said that she wanted to see the CFP “fundamentally changed and reformed”. But she also argued that the Conservatives were misleading fishermen in implying that after Brexit they would get everything they wanted. Access to UK waters for EU fishermen would end up being part of the overall trade negotiation, she suggested.
Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s first minister and the SNP leader, has been going a phone-in on Radio 5 Live and BBC News. Asked how she would vote if she live in England in a Labour/Lib Dem marginal, she at first replied that she could not say. She did not like either of them, she said:
But she concluded saying she would urge people to vote tactically to keep the Tories out.
Survation has released a new poll overnight. Confirming an impression given by some of the polls in the Sunday papers, it suggests that the Conservative lead over Labour is narrowing slightly - although the Conservatives are still well ahead. As you all know, these figures are not necessarily a reliable guide to the election result – although they are not necessarily wrong either.
Anthony Wells at UK Polling Report has a good summary of the Sunday newspaper polling here.
Here is the BBC’s Norman Smith on the Tory argument that the last Labour government was soft on terrorism.