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Moldova heads to polls in pivotal vote that could steer it closer to EU or Russia Moldova heads to polls in pivotal vote that could steer it closer to EU or Russia
(30 minutes later)
President tells voters ‘our dear home is in danger’, as her pro-west party tries to hold on to parliamentary majority President tells voters ‘our dear home is in danger’ as her pro-west party tries to hold on to parliamentary majority
Moldovans have begun voting in a pivotal parliamentary election that will decide whether the country of 2.4 million stays on its path towards EU membership or drifts back into Moscow’s orbit, amid widespread reports of Russian meddling.Moldovans have begun voting in a pivotal parliamentary election that will decide whether the country of 2.4 million stays on its path towards EU membership or drifts back into Moscow’s orbit, amid widespread reports of Russian meddling.
The president, Maia Sandu, and her pro-western Action and Solidarity party (PAS), face a stiff challenge in Sunday’s election from an alliance of Soviet-nostalgic, pro-Russian parties led in part by the former president Igor Dodon, whom Sandu defeated in 2020. The president, Maia Sandu, and her pro-western Action and Solidarity party (PAS) face a stiff challenge in Sunday’s election from an alliance of Soviet-nostalgic, pro-Russian parties led in part by the former president Igor Dodon, whom Sandu defeated in 2020.
Polls suggest PAS is likely to remain the largest party but could lose its parliamentary majority, potentially limiting Sandu’s efforts to push through changes required for EU accession.Polls suggest PAS is likely to remain the largest party but could lose its parliamentary majority, potentially limiting Sandu’s efforts to push through changes required for EU accession.
Polling stations in the impoverished country, wedged between Ukraine and Romania, opened at 7am (5am BST) and will close at 9pm, with results expected late on Sunday.Polling stations in the impoverished country, wedged between Ukraine and Romania, opened at 7am (5am BST) and will close at 9pm, with results expected late on Sunday.
The outcome will be closely watched in Brussels and other European capitals, where fears are high that Moscow could gain a foothold in a strategically vital region as it intensifies its hybrid war across the continent.The outcome will be closely watched in Brussels and other European capitals, where fears are high that Moscow could gain a foothold in a strategically vital region as it intensifies its hybrid war across the continent.
Casting her ballot in Chișinău, Sandu warned voters of the stakes. “Moldova, our dear home, is in danger, and it needs the help of each one of you. You can save it today with your vote. Tomorrow may be too late,” she said. “The fate of our country must be decided by your vote, not by bought votes.” Casting her ballot in Chișinău, Sandu warned voters of the stakes. “Moldova, our dear home, is in danger and it needs the help of each one of you. You can save it today with your vote. Tomorrow may be too late,” she said. “The fate of our country must be decided by your vote, not by bought votes.”
Since gaining independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, Moldova has oscillated between building closer ties with Brussels and clinging to Soviet-era relations with Moscow.Since gaining independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, Moldova has oscillated between building closer ties with Brussels and clinging to Soviet-era relations with Moscow.
Sandu, a former World Bank official elected in 2020 on a wave of anti-corruption sentiment, has staked her presidency on a pro-European course. Her government oversaw a referendum last October in which Moldovans narrowly voted to enshrine EU membership as a constitutional goal. On the same day, Sandu was re-elected as president for a four-year term.Sandu, a former World Bank official elected in 2020 on a wave of anti-corruption sentiment, has staked her presidency on a pro-European course. Her government oversaw a referendum last October in which Moldovans narrowly voted to enshrine EU membership as a constitutional goal. On the same day, Sandu was re-elected as president for a four-year term.
In Moldova, power is shared between the directly elected president and a prime minister appointed by parliament.In Moldova, power is shared between the directly elected president and a prime minister appointed by parliament.
This year’s parliamentary campaign was overshadowed by mounting allegations of Russian interference. This year’s parliamentary campaign was overshadowed by mounting allegations of Russian interference. Moldovan authorities accuse Moscow of funnelling billions of dollars into pro-Russian parties, vote-buying schemes and propaganda campaigns aimed at stoking anti-western sentiment.
Moldovan authorities accuse Moscow of funnelling billions of dollars into pro-Russian parties, vote-buying schemes and propaganda campaigns aimed at stoking anti-western sentiment. A Reuters investigation revealed on Wednesday how Moscow recruited and paid dozens of priests in the deeply religious country to urge congregations to vote against PAS.
A Reuters investigation revealed on Wednesday how Moscow has recruited and paid dozens of priests in the deeply religious country to urge congregations to vote against PAS.
Two pro-Russian parties were barred from the race on Friday over financing irregularities, a move that angered the opposition and drew sharp criticism from Moscow.Two pro-Russian parties were barred from the race on Friday over financing irregularities, a move that angered the opposition and drew sharp criticism from Moscow.
Moscow has denied interfering in Moldova’s affairs, but it continues to shelter the fugitive oligarch Ilan Shor, who is under US and EU sanctions and is widely believed to be orchestrating campaigns aimed at destabilising the country. Moscow has denied interfering in Moldova’s affairs but it continues to shelter the fugitive oligarch Ilan Shor, who is under US and EU sanctions and is widely believed to be orchestrating campaigns aimed at destabilising the country.
“It’s a small country, but the consequences are disproportionately big for Europe,” said a western diplomat in Moldova. A western diplomat in Moldova said: “It’s a small country but the consequences are disproportionately big for Europe. If Moldova turns back to Russia, it will be a massive headache for European security.”
“If Moldova turns back to Russia, it will be a massive headache for European security,” the diplomat added. A western intelligence official told the Guardian that Moscow had made Moldova its “key foreign policy priority after Ukraine” in recent months, noting that the Kremlin had reshuffled the team handling Moldova earlier this year to pursue a more aggressive strategy.
A western intelligence official told the Guardian that Moscow had made Moldova its “key foreign policy priority after Ukraine” in recent months, noting that the Kremlin reshuffled the team handling Moldova earlier this year to pursue a more aggressive strategy. Sandu’s main vulnerability is the economy. Inflation remains stubbornly high, emigration continues and GDP growth has been modest.
Sandu’s main vulnerability is the economy. Inflation remains stubbornly high, emigration continues, and GDP growth has been modest.
Her supporters argue the problems stem largely from external shocks: Russia’s war in Ukraine plunged the country into turmoil, cutting off key trade routes, triggering an energy crisis and forcing Moldova to absorb tens of thousands of refugees.Her supporters argue the problems stem largely from external shocks: Russia’s war in Ukraine plunged the country into turmoil, cutting off key trade routes, triggering an energy crisis and forcing Moldova to absorb tens of thousands of refugees.
Sandu will be counting on Moldova’s diaspora, which has traditionally backed PAS, as well as younger urban voters to turn out in large numbers.Sandu will be counting on Moldova’s diaspora, which has traditionally backed PAS, as well as younger urban voters to turn out in large numbers.
But her party remains far less popular in regions with strong pro-Russian leanings: Transnistria, where Moscow still stations around 1,500 troops after a brief separatist war in the 1990s, and Gagauzia, a semi-autonomous area where pro-Russian sentiment runs deep. But her party remains far less popular in regions with strong pro-Russian leanings: Transnistria, where Moscow still stations about 1,500 troops after a brief separatist war in the 1990s, and Gagauzia, a semi-autonomous area where pro-Russian sentiment runs deep.