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Two opinion polls are in, suggesting an improvement in Lib Dem fortunes. ComRes, for the Sunday Mirror and Independent on Sunday, indicates the Lib Dems have overtaken Labour. It puts the Tories on 31%, the Lib Dems on 29% and Labour on 27%, with others on 13%. It spoke to 1,006 GB adults on Friday and Saturday. Meanwhile, an ICM poll for the Telegraph, carried out on Wednesday and Thursday, puts the Lib Dems on 27%, with Labour on 29% and the Conservatives on 34%. ICM spoke to 1,033 adults by telephone. Some poll analysis from the BBC's David Cowling, editor of the Political Research Unit - What ComRes appears to confirm is the extraordinary shift in Lib Dem support as a result of the first prime ministerial debate. Doubtless the reasons for this will be discussed endlessly. However, as far as the polls so far published are concerned, we have no historical comparisons to help us judge whether this turbulence will now dominate the campaign, or whether on polling day far fewer people change their votes because of the debates than say they might now.
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