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| Michigan primary live: Trump wins big as Clinton and Sanders tied | |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| 4.14am GMT | |
| 04:14 | |
| Lauren Gambino | |
| While Hillary Clinton spoke in Cleveland, Ohio, her supporters in Detroit watched the Donald Trump show, writes the Guardian’s Lauren Gambino at the scene: | |
| “We need her to heal the divisiveness that this has caused,” said Michelle Brown, a Detroit-based author and activist, gesturing toward the row of TVs all showing Trump’s speech. “We need her. We need her to help us heal.” | |
| Brown said she wasn’t aware that Clinton was also speaking, but said that didn’t surprise her. | |
| “We can’t escape him,” she said. “The media loves it.” | |
| As the evening wore on, the race remained tight, with Sanders maintaining a slight edge. | |
| “I’m on the edge of my seat,” said US representative Brenda Lawrence of Michigan, a Clinton supporter. “We worked so hard for this.” | |
| Lawrence said she went to churches and community centers, even opening up her campaign office for volunteers to use as a phone bank. | |
| Some supporters wandered out of the bar around 10pm, confident that she would pull off a victory. | |
| “We got this,” one woman shouted back at me as she left the bar. She patted the man next to her on the shoulder. “We’re going to win this.” | |
| But Mike Newbecker, a field engineer and business owner based in Newport, Michigan, wasn’t as confident. | |
| “You can’t take any state for granted,” he said.In his view, a loss in Michigan wouldn’t dent Clinton’s prospects but it could energize Sanders supporters and push the Democratic primary into the summer. | |
| “He’s a good guy. I like his message, and we’re going to need his help in the general,” he said. | |
| As for what’s happening on the other side of the aisle, Newbecker said he’s genuinely at a loss. | |
| “Trump scares the hell out of me,” Newbecker said. “An ego that big in office, expect chaos. What would he do? Start talking about Putin’s business.” | |
| 4.13am GMT | |
| 04:13 | |
| Idaho polls closed | |
| Idaho polls closed at the top of the hour. Too early to make any snap calls. | |
| Hawaii polling stations close at 1am ET. | |
| 3.54am GMT | |
| 03:54 | |
| Sanders sees 'extremely successful' night | |
| Sanders appears at his impromptu news conference, in what looks like somebody’s backyard, in front of a board fence with a few Sanders posters hanging on it. He’s in Florida. | |
| “It is not clear yet who will win this election here in Michigan,” Sanders says. He thanks the people of Michigan “who repudiated the polls, who repudiated the pundits.” | |
| He calls the night “enormously successful.” “Whether we win or lose tonight in Michigan, basically the delegates will be split,” he says. | |
| What tonight means is that the Bernie Sanders campaign, the people’s revolution that we are talking about, is strong in every part of the country and frankly we believe that our strongest areas have yet to happen. | |
| This Sanders presser in front of some log wall in Miami really feels like something out of 1972. (As do other aspects of his campaign.) | |
| Updated | |
| at 3.56am GMT | |
| 3.44am GMT | |
| 03:44 | |
| Sanders to speak | |
| In a surprise, Bernie Sanders it about to address supporters. You can watch here: | |
| Updated | |
| at 3.45am GMT | |
| 3.34am GMT | 3.34am GMT |
| 03:34 | 03:34 |
| A round of cheers rang out at R.U.B BBQ Pub in Detroit when CNN projected Hillary Clinton had won Mississippi. | A round of cheers rang out at R.U.B BBQ Pub in Detroit when CNN projected Hillary Clinton had won Mississippi. |
| Supporters at her watch party in Detroit wore Clinton stickers and munched politely on a spread of coconut shrimp and wings. | Supporters at her watch party in Detroit wore Clinton stickers and munched politely on a spread of coconut shrimp and wings. |
| The Mississippi win was a step forward, but it was also expected - and the night’s real prize was still Michigan, where polls hadn’t yet closed. | The Mississippi win was a step forward, but it was also expected - and the night’s real prize was still Michigan, where polls hadn’t yet closed. |
| William Armstrong, an AFT Union member from White Lake, Michigan, spent the day knocking on doors to encourage Michiganders to support Clinton. | William Armstrong, an AFT Union member from White Lake, Michigan, spent the day knocking on doors to encourage Michiganders to support Clinton. |
| Armstrong said he has nothing against her opponent, Vermont senator Bernie Sanders, and appreciates many of his policies but believes Clinton is the candidate who can actually deliver for progressives. | Armstrong said he has nothing against her opponent, Vermont senator Bernie Sanders, and appreciates many of his policies but believes Clinton is the candidate who can actually deliver for progressives. |
| “I think she fits the moment,” he said. “She’s the one who can win it - not only the general election, which she can win, but her agenda. She can win as a president.” | “I think she fits the moment,” he said. “She’s the one who can win it - not only the general election, which she can win, but her agenda. She can win as a president.” |
| Armstrong was joined at the watch party by fellow volunteer Motoo Unno, a teacher from Japan, who has come to the US to campaign for Clinton - and learn a bit more about US politics.“In Japan canvassing is prohibited,” Unno said. “They think canvassing is a bribe.” So naturally Unno has taken great pleasure going door to door to canvass for Clinton.“It’s such a good feeling,” he said, “when someone comes to the door and talks to you.” | Armstrong was joined at the watch party by fellow volunteer Motoo Unno, a teacher from Japan, who has come to the US to campaign for Clinton - and learn a bit more about US politics.“In Japan canvassing is prohibited,” Unno said. “They think canvassing is a bribe.” So naturally Unno has taken great pleasure going door to door to canvass for Clinton.“It’s such a good feeling,” he said, “when someone comes to the door and talks to you.” |
| 3.18am GMT | 3.18am GMT |
| 03:18 | 03:18 |
| “It all comes down to Florida,” Marco Rubio bravely tweets. He’s lucky it doesn’t all come down to Michigan, where he’s in a distant fourth place tonight despite ^his proxies^ outspending his rivals, or to Mississippi, where he’s in a distant fourth place. | |
| In one week it all comes down to Florida. Where it all began. #FLPrimaryhttps://t.co/GzYS0liPVO | In one week it all comes down to Florida. Where it all began. #FLPrimaryhttps://t.co/GzYS0liPVO |
| Updated | |
| at 3.57am GMT | |
| 3.15am GMT | 3.15am GMT |
| 03:15 | 03:15 |
| Bernie Sanders is outperforming expectations in Michigan tonight and it comes as he’s facing the biggest test of his campaign, writes Guardian US columnist Lucia Graves. | Bernie Sanders is outperforming expectations in Michigan tonight and it comes as he’s facing the biggest test of his campaign, writes Guardian US columnist Lucia Graves. |
| After all, if Sander’s message about workers’ rights and class warfare can’t resonate in Michigan, a state still reeling from job loss in the manufacturing industry, he’s is in serious trouble. | After all, if Sander’s message about workers’ rights and class warfare can’t resonate in Michigan, a state still reeling from job loss in the manufacturing industry, he’s is in serious trouble. |
| But as the polls roll in, it’s looking increasingly like it is resonating. Sanders has focused on trade in Michigan, hoping the issue would be a silver bullet of sorts for him, in going after Clinton. And it may be that he was right to choose that emphasis. The impacts of Nafta are still being felt here, and though the former secretary of state’s position on trade is currently more-or-less the same as Sanders (both are against the TPP and take issue with elements of NAFTA), she was – as Sanders has been at great pains to point out – late to the party on trade. | But as the polls roll in, it’s looking increasingly like it is resonating. Sanders has focused on trade in Michigan, hoping the issue would be a silver bullet of sorts for him, in going after Clinton. And it may be that he was right to choose that emphasis. The impacts of Nafta are still being felt here, and though the former secretary of state’s position on trade is currently more-or-less the same as Sanders (both are against the TPP and take issue with elements of NAFTA), she was – as Sanders has been at great pains to point out – late to the party on trade. |
| Clinton has performed well in Michigan too, shining a spotlight on issues like the water crisis in Flint to make sure they get the national attention they deserve. But she’s facing a real challenge from Sanders here. | Clinton has performed well in Michigan too, shining a spotlight on issues like the water crisis in Flint to make sure they get the national attention they deserve. But she’s facing a real challenge from Sanders here. |
| In many ways, Tuesday’s election can be read as a precursor for the March 15th vote, which features important contests in Florida and Ohio. Sanders’ strong performance in Michigan signals Clinton may face a serious challenge from him in Ohio. And if Sanders can keep it up, he may keep Clinton from moving toward March 15 like she’s running in a general. | In many ways, Tuesday’s election can be read as a precursor for the March 15th vote, which features important contests in Florida and Ohio. Sanders’ strong performance in Michigan signals Clinton may face a serious challenge from him in Ohio. And if Sanders can keep it up, he may keep Clinton from moving toward March 15 like she’s running in a general. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 3.18am GMT | at 3.18am GMT |
| 3.10am GMT | 3.10am GMT |
| 03:10 | 03:10 |
| No matter who you like on the Democratic side – both either or neither – this is a dramatic race in Michigan. Follow county-by-county results right here. | No matter who you like on the Democratic side – both either or neither – this is a dramatic race in Michigan. Follow county-by-county results right here. |
| Instead of Wolf Blitzer jumping up & down every time Sanders or Clinton moves up or down in Mich, why not just wait for the count to finish? | Instead of Wolf Blitzer jumping up & down every time Sanders or Clinton moves up or down in Mich, why not just wait for the count to finish? |
| Wet blanket. | Wet blanket. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 3.12am GMT | at 3.12am GMT |
| 3.05am GMT | 3.05am GMT |
| 03:05 | 03:05 |
| Hillary Clinton has just finished speaking in Cleveland. Preempted on television by Trump. Significant? Portentous? We’re listening to a recording. Very stump-y so far. Very non-Trump-y. | Hillary Clinton has just finished speaking in Cleveland. Preempted on television by Trump. Significant? Portentous? We’re listening to a recording. Very stump-y so far. Very non-Trump-y. |
| Meanwhile in Michigan: | Meanwhile in Michigan: |
| A bunch of Detroit just reported in and now Clinton up 22 in Wayne... and closes statewide to within 1.6 points... | A bunch of Detroit just reported in and now Clinton up 22 in Wayne... and closes statewide to within 1.6 points... |
| Still more than half the precincts out in the county of Wayne... So should be exciting as more comes in. | Still more than half the precincts out in the county of Wayne... So should be exciting as more comes in. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 3.05am GMT | at 3.05am GMT |
| 3.02am GMT | 3.02am GMT |
| 03:02 | 03:02 |
| Kasich wishes for second | Kasich wishes for second |
| The Ohio governor is calling the night in Michigan loong before it’s through. | The Ohio governor is calling the night in Michigan loong before it’s through. |
| Kasich refers to “the three of us” competing in the remaining GOP primaries. i.e., writing off Marco. | Kasich refers to “the three of us” competing in the remaining GOP primaries. i.e., writing off Marco. |
| Live stream: | Live stream: |
| Kasich, likely looking at Wayne County: "In all likelihood, we're going to finish in second place." | Kasich, likely looking at Wayne County: "In all likelihood, we're going to finish in second place." |
| Mmm...wouldn't be too sure about that given what's out. https://t.co/Om3tKJ73bs | Mmm...wouldn't be too sure about that given what's out. https://t.co/Om3tKJ73bs |
| Mmm...wouldn't be too sure about that given what's out. https://t.co/Om3tKJ73bs | Mmm...wouldn't be too sure about that given what's out. https://t.co/Om3tKJ73bs |
| Seems like Kasich is giving a victory speech now. He still has not won anywhere. | Seems like Kasich is giving a victory speech now. He still has not won anywhere. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 3.24am GMT | at 3.24am GMT |
| 2.58am GMT | 2.58am GMT |
| 02:58 | 02:58 |
| We heard this too. | We heard this too. |
| The big story tonight: Trump is really trying to make peace with the GOP Establishment. | The big story tonight: Trump is really trying to make peace with the GOP Establishment. |
| Toward the end of his news conference (which is finally over) Trump said he thought two of his most vocal critics, Senator Lindsey Graham and 2012 Republican nominee Mitt Romney, were probably nice guys and he could probably get along with them. | Toward the end of his news conference (which is finally over) Trump said he thought two of his most vocal critics, Senator Lindsey Graham and 2012 Republican nominee Mitt Romney, were probably nice guys and he could probably get along with them. |
| 2.48am GMT | 2.48am GMT |
| 02:48 | 02:48 |
| And Trump speaks and speaks, almost an hour in now, taking questions, musing on his general election prospects, calling for party unity, guaranteeing a win... as Clinton trails Sanders in Michigan. | And Trump speaks and speaks, almost an hour in now, taking questions, musing on his general election prospects, calling for party unity, guaranteeing a win... as Clinton trails Sanders in Michigan. |
| 2.44am GMT | 2.44am GMT |
| 02:44 | 02:44 |
| Everybody’s trying to figure out what is going on in Michigan, with Sanders’ apparent unexpected strength in Wayne County, which is Detroit and environs. | Everybody’s trying to figure out what is going on in Michigan, with Sanders’ apparent unexpected strength in Wayne County, which is Detroit and environs. |
| FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten wonders if the initial numbers don’t include Detroit: | FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten wonders if the initial numbers don’t include Detroit: |
| I’m looking on the Wayne County clerk’s website to try to get an idea of where the vote is being reported from in Wayne County. It seems, at least as of earlier this hour, that Detroit was at 0 percent. The nearly uniformly white areas of Grosse Pointe Shores and Plymouth were at 100 percent. In other words, the percentages coming out of Wayne County right now don’t really reflect how black areas are voting. | I’m looking on the Wayne County clerk’s website to try to get an idea of where the vote is being reported from in Wayne County. It seems, at least as of earlier this hour, that Detroit was at 0 percent. The nearly uniformly white areas of Grosse Pointe Shores and Plymouth were at 100 percent. In other words, the percentages coming out of Wayne County right now don’t really reflect how black areas are voting. |
| And yet: | And yet: |
| Still a lot of Wayne and Genesee out, but fact is Sanders is doing better than we'd expect with votes already in there. (1/?) | Still a lot of Wayne and Genesee out, but fact is Sanders is doing better than we'd expect with votes already in there. (1/?) |
| And indeed as more of Wayne and Genesee report, Sanders is actually gaining in those counties as his overall lead stretches to 5 points. | And indeed as more of Wayne and Genesee report, Sanders is actually gaining in those counties as his overall lead stretches to 5 points. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 2.45am GMT | at 2.45am GMT |
| 2.41am GMT | 2.41am GMT |
| 02:41 | 02:41 |
| Trump takes on a political ad of the last week hitting him for his potty mouth. “I can be more presidential than anybody,” he says. | Trump takes on a political ad of the last week hitting him for his potty mouth. “I can be more presidential than anybody,” he says. |
| “People are sick and tired of being politically correct. And I actually thing that ad was good for me. | “People are sick and tired of being politically correct. And I actually thing that ad was good for me. |
| I watched that ad, and I said, you know that ad shows a certain degree of anger... we’re not going to take it any more from countries ripping us off like we’re a bunch of babies. Very very stupid babies. | I watched that ad, and I said, you know that ad shows a certain degree of anger... we’re not going to take it any more from countries ripping us off like we’re a bunch of babies. Very very stupid babies. |
| 2.39am GMT | 2.39am GMT |
| 02:39 | 02:39 |
| Trump: “I like to close things out.” | Trump: “I like to close things out.” |
| I really want to close things out. I have not even focused on Hillary yet. Hillary’s going to be very easy to beat. She’s a flawed candidate, she’s a very flawed candidate.” | I really want to close things out. I have not even focused on Hillary yet. Hillary’s going to be very easy to beat. She’s a flawed candidate, she’s a very flawed candidate.” |
| Then Trump questions Rubio’s strategy tack of the last two weeks, in which the Florida senator began going after Trump in Trumpian terms. | Then Trump questions Rubio’s strategy tack of the last two weeks, in which the Florida senator began going after Trump in Trumpian terms. |
| “He would have been better off keeping the original pitter-patter going. But this didn’t work.” | “He would have been better off keeping the original pitter-patter going. But this didn’t work.” |
| Some analysts agree: | Some analysts agree: |
| Whoever told Rubio to mock Donald Trump by being Trump is the worst | Whoever told Rubio to mock Donald Trump by being Trump is the worst |
| Completely. Blew up his image, message. https://t.co/DRlYNv9dpR | Completely. Blew up his image, message. https://t.co/DRlYNv9dpR |
| Trump is bragging about his wealth versus the other candidates: | Trump is bragging about his wealth versus the other candidates: |
| I have much more money than all of them put together times 20. | I have much more money than all of them put together times 20. |
| 2.32am GMT | 2.32am GMT |
| 02:32 | 02:32 |
| 32% of the returns are in in the Democratic race in Michigan. | 32% of the returns are in in the Democratic race in Michigan. |
| Sanders is ahead of Clinton 51.1%-47.0%. | Sanders is ahead of Clinton 51.1%-47.0%. |
| Our results page is here. | Our results page is here. |
| 2.28am GMT | 2.28am GMT |
| 02:28 | 02:28 |
| Sanders looks stronger with black voters in Michigan | Sanders looks stronger with black voters in Michigan |
| Interesting in Michigan – as districts with higher proportions of African American voters report results – Bernie Sanders appears to be performing better with the demographic versus Clinton than usual: | Interesting in Michigan – as districts with higher proportions of African American voters report results – Bernie Sanders appears to be performing better with the demographic versus Clinton than usual: |
| Sanders doing significantly better with black voters in Mich than elsewhere...WhiteSanders 59%Clinton 39%BlackClinton 64%Sanders 32% | Sanders doing significantly better with black voters in Mich than elsewhere...WhiteSanders 59%Clinton 39%BlackClinton 64%Sanders 32% |
| If Clinton's only winning black voters by 30 points, there's no reason to assume she overtakes Sanders with a huge margin in Detroit. | If Clinton's only winning black voters by 30 points, there's no reason to assume she overtakes Sanders with a huge margin in Detroit. |
| Here’s how Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight sees it: | Here’s how Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight sees it: |
| If Sanders winds up winning in Michigan, in fact, it will count as among the greatest polling errors in primary history. | If Sanders winds up winning in Michigan, in fact, it will count as among the greatest polling errors in primary history. |
| 2.24am GMT | 2.24am GMT |
| 02:24 | 02:24 |
| Trump now refers to the steaks. It appears they are there to prove they still exist. “We have Trump steaks here,” he says. Then he says “we have Trump magazines here.” He explains he sold Trump airlines but made a good deal. | Trump now refers to the steaks. It appears they are there to prove they still exist. “We have Trump steaks here,” he says. Then he says “we have Trump magazines here.” He explains he sold Trump airlines but made a good deal. |
| “Trump University, we’re holding it. When I win the lawsuit... we’re putting on hold. If I become president, that means Ivanka, Don, Eric and my people will start it up...” | “Trump University, we’re holding it. When I win the lawsuit... we’re putting on hold. If I become president, that means Ivanka, Don, Eric and my people will start it up...” |
| He says you never settle lawsuits because then you get sued too much. | He says you never settle lawsuits because then you get sued too much. |