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| Sanders stuns Michigan as Trump wins big – election live | |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| 5.17am GMT | |
| 05:17 | |
| Cruz wins Idaho | |
| Hardly a voting night goes by anymore without a Ted Cruz win. This one’s no different– he’s just picked up Idaho, according to AP projections. | |
| Rubio, meanwhile, appears to be trying to finish out of the delegates again. | |
| Idaho has a 20% threshold for receiving delegates. Rubio currently at 18.4%. Wow, it can't get much more brutal for him. | |
| 5.01am GMT | |
| 05:01 | |
| Sanders: 'we are a national campaign' | |
| Here’s a statement from Bernie Sanders on his Michigan win, issued by his campaign: | |
| I am grateful to the people of Michigan for defying the pundits and pollsters and giving us their support. This is a critically important night. We came from 30 points down in Michigan and we’re seeing the same kind of come-from-behind momentum all across America. | |
| Not only is Michigan the gateway to the rest of the industrial Midwest, the results there show that we are a national campaign. We already have won in the Midwest, New England and the Great Plains and as more people get to know more about who we are and what our views are we’re going to do very well.” | |
| 4.56am GMT | |
| 04:56 | |
| Yeesh. | |
| All of the Michigan polls: pic.twitter.com/IrjnZLznky | |
| Sanders: Thank you, Michigan! | |
| The corporate media counted us out. The pollsters said we were way behind. But we won. Thank you, Michigan. pic.twitter.com/Iywg9N3B1z | |
| Updated | |
| at 4.57am GMT | |
| 4.54am GMT | |
| 04:54 | |
| What does the Sanders victory in Michigan mean? It means the Democratic primary race goes on – likely for months. It means there’s no reason Sanders can’t win other rust belt states – and big states – including two that vote next Tuesday, Illinois and Ohio. It means the narrative of Sanders’ political revolution has dramatic new fuel, and that Clinton needs to find a new pitch to voters. | |
| For Sanders, it likely means $$$: | |
| Forget the delegate math. Bernie's small-donor juggernaut is going to be minting money after a big industrial state win | |
| 4.48am GMT | 4.48am GMT |
| 04:48 | 04:48 |
| Cruz moves into second in Michigan | Cruz moves into second in Michigan |
| John Kasich half-proclaimed a second-place finish in Michigan earlier. | John Kasich half-proclaimed a second-place finish in Michigan earlier. |
| But Ted Cruz has passed him: with 91.8% reporting, it’s 24.7-24.3 Cruz. Trump’s at 36.8%. | But Ted Cruz has passed him: with 91.8% reporting, it’s 24.7-24.3 Cruz. Trump’s at 36.8%. |
| Visit our full results page here. | Visit our full results page here. |
| 4.45am GMT | 4.45am GMT |
| 04:45 | 04:45 |
| Read Guardian Washington bureau chief Dan Roberts on Sanders’ big win: | Read Guardian Washington bureau chief Dan Roberts on Sanders’ big win: |
| Related: Bernie Sanders beats Hillary Clinton in stunning Michigan primary upset | Related: Bernie Sanders beats Hillary Clinton in stunning Michigan primary upset |
| 4.42am GMT | 4.42am GMT |
| 04:42 | 04:42 |
| Mona Chalabi | Mona Chalabi |
| It might sound crazy but according to the Green Papers, 1,937 of the votes cast so far in Michigan are for extremely former Democratic candidate Martin O’Malley, writes Guardian US data editor Mona Chalabi: | It might sound crazy but according to the Green Papers, 1,937 of the votes cast so far in Michigan are for extremely former Democratic candidate Martin O’Malley, writes Guardian US data editor Mona Chalabi: |
| Ok, that’s only 0.2% of the votes counted but it’s still surprising. The explanation is a simple one though: ballot papers were printed before O’Malley dropped out on February 1. And reprints are just too damn expensive. This is an issue that may well be apparent in several primaries to come and no matter how low the numbers are, it still represents a frustrating waste of people’s democratic say. | Ok, that’s only 0.2% of the votes counted but it’s still surprising. The explanation is a simple one though: ballot papers were printed before O’Malley dropped out on February 1. And reprints are just too damn expensive. This is an issue that may well be apparent in several primaries to come and no matter how low the numbers are, it still represents a frustrating waste of people’s democratic say. |
| 4.38am GMT | 4.38am GMT |
| 04:38 | 04:38 |
| Low whistle. Maybe there is something to the notion that political polling is imperfect: | Low whistle. Maybe there is something to the notion that political polling is imperfect: |
| Bernie's odds of winning Michigan this morning, according to @538. It was a rounding error. pic.twitter.com/M8l4h62uJQ | Bernie's odds of winning Michigan this morning, according to @538. It was a rounding error. pic.twitter.com/M8l4h62uJQ |
| 4.34am GMT | 4.34am GMT |
| 04:34 | 04:34 |
| Sanders wins Michigan | Sanders wins Michigan |
| Bernie Sanders has claimed victory in Michigan, the AP projects. An upset! | Bernie Sanders has claimed victory in Michigan, the AP projects. An upset! |
| On the other hand – she appears to have gained delegates tonight, with an 83-16 lead in Mississippi. Sanders barely cleared the 15% threshold there to avoid a delegates shutout. | On the other hand – she appears to have gained delegates tonight, with an 83-16 lead in Mississippi. Sanders barely cleared the 15% threshold there to avoid a delegates shutout. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 4.37am GMT | at 4.37am GMT |
| 4.34am GMT | 4.34am GMT |
| 04:34 | 04:34 |
| Michigan has an open primary, meaning that registered voters can show up and pick a race to vote in, Republican or Democratic. | Michigan has an open primary, meaning that registered voters can show up and pick a race to vote in, Republican or Democratic. |
| Some voter appear to have crossed from the Democratic race to cast anti-Trump votes on the Republican side. And yet Trump’s popular vote in the state – about 430,000, with 88% reporting – in a four-way race is not so significantly behind the popular vote Clinton is receiving in a two-way race: she’s at about 506,000 with 90% reporting. | Some voter appear to have crossed from the Democratic race to cast anti-Trump votes on the Republican side. And yet Trump’s popular vote in the state – about 430,000, with 88% reporting – in a four-way race is not so significantly behind the popular vote Clinton is receiving in a two-way race: she’s at about 506,000 with 90% reporting. |
| And to what extent would this kind of crossover vote account for Clinton’s softer numbers this time among African Americans, which she appears to be winning around 2-to-1? Were there thousands upon thousands of such cases? | And to what extent would this kind of crossover vote account for Clinton’s softer numbers this time among African Americans, which she appears to be winning around 2-to-1? Were there thousands upon thousands of such cases? |
| I just keep meeting Dems in MI who say Hillary has the primary locked, so they cast anti-Trump votes for Kasich. | I just keep meeting Dems in MI who say Hillary has the primary locked, so they cast anti-Trump votes for Kasich. |
| I wonder how much this affected the Dem primary. A MI friend also told me HRC had it locked, wanted to cross over https://t.co/XaaSPigajR | I wonder how much this affected the Dem primary. A MI friend also told me HRC had it locked, wanted to cross over https://t.co/XaaSPigajR |
| 4.22am GMT | 4.22am GMT |
| 04:22 | 04:22 |
| Late in the race in Michigan, Clinton accused Sanders of opposing the auto bailout – a foolish overreach, in the view of at least one local: | Late in the race in Michigan, Clinton accused Sanders of opposing the auto bailout – a foolish overreach, in the view of at least one local: |
| David Axelrod speaking the truth on CNN: "Clinton struck a false note on the auto bailout." | David Axelrod speaking the truth on CNN: "Clinton struck a false note on the auto bailout." |
| 4.14am GMT | 4.14am GMT |
| 04:14 | 04:14 |
| Lauren Gambino | Lauren Gambino |
| While Hillary Clinton spoke in Cleveland, Ohio, her supporters in Detroit watched the Donald Trump show, writes the Guardian’s Lauren Gambino at the scene: | While Hillary Clinton spoke in Cleveland, Ohio, her supporters in Detroit watched the Donald Trump show, writes the Guardian’s Lauren Gambino at the scene: |
| “We need her to heal the divisiveness that this has caused,” said Michelle Brown, a Detroit-based author and activist, gesturing toward the row of TVs all showing Trump’s speech. “We need her. We need her to help us heal.” | “We need her to heal the divisiveness that this has caused,” said Michelle Brown, a Detroit-based author and activist, gesturing toward the row of TVs all showing Trump’s speech. “We need her. We need her to help us heal.” |
| Brown said she wasn’t aware that Clinton was also speaking, but said that didn’t surprise her. | Brown said she wasn’t aware that Clinton was also speaking, but said that didn’t surprise her. |
| “We can’t escape him,” she said. “The media loves it.” | “We can’t escape him,” she said. “The media loves it.” |
| As the evening wore on, the race remained tight, with Sanders maintaining a slight edge. | As the evening wore on, the race remained tight, with Sanders maintaining a slight edge. |
| “I’m on the edge of my seat,” said US representative Brenda Lawrence of Michigan, a Clinton supporter. “We worked so hard for this.” | “I’m on the edge of my seat,” said US representative Brenda Lawrence of Michigan, a Clinton supporter. “We worked so hard for this.” |
| Lawrence said she went to churches and community centers, even opening up her campaign office for volunteers to use as a phone bank. | Lawrence said she went to churches and community centers, even opening up her campaign office for volunteers to use as a phone bank. |
| Some supporters wandered out of the bar around 10pm, confident that she would pull off a victory. | Some supporters wandered out of the bar around 10pm, confident that she would pull off a victory. |
| “We got this,” one woman shouted back at me as she left the bar. She patted the man next to her on the shoulder. “We’re going to win this.” | “We got this,” one woman shouted back at me as she left the bar. She patted the man next to her on the shoulder. “We’re going to win this.” |
| But Mike Newbecker, a field engineer and business owner based in Newport, Michigan, wasn’t as confident. | But Mike Newbecker, a field engineer and business owner based in Newport, Michigan, wasn’t as confident. |
| “You can’t take any state for granted,” he said.In his view, a loss in Michigan wouldn’t dent Clinton’s prospects but it could energize Sanders supporters and push the Democratic primary into the summer. | “You can’t take any state for granted,” he said.In his view, a loss in Michigan wouldn’t dent Clinton’s prospects but it could energize Sanders supporters and push the Democratic primary into the summer. |
| “He’s a good guy. I like his message, and we’re going to need his help in the general,” he said. | “He’s a good guy. I like his message, and we’re going to need his help in the general,” he said. |
| As for what’s happening on the other side of the aisle, Newbecker said he’s genuinely at a loss. | As for what’s happening on the other side of the aisle, Newbecker said he’s genuinely at a loss. |
| “Trump scares the hell out of me,” Newbecker said. “An ego that big in office, expect chaos. What would he do? Start talking about Putin’s business.” | “Trump scares the hell out of me,” Newbecker said. “An ego that big in office, expect chaos. What would he do? Start talking about Putin’s business.” |
| 4.13am GMT | 4.13am GMT |
| 04:13 | 04:13 |
| Idaho polls closed | Idaho polls closed |
| Idaho polls closed at the top of the hour. Too early to make any snap calls. | Idaho polls closed at the top of the hour. Too early to make any snap calls. |
| Hawaii polling stations close at 1am ET. | Hawaii polling stations close at 1am ET. |
| 3.54am GMT | 3.54am GMT |
| 03:54 | 03:54 |
| Sanders sees 'extremely successful' night | Sanders sees 'extremely successful' night |
| Sanders appears at his impromptu news conference, in what looks like somebody’s backyard, in front of a board fence with a few Sanders posters hanging on it. He’s in Florida. | Sanders appears at his impromptu news conference, in what looks like somebody’s backyard, in front of a board fence with a few Sanders posters hanging on it. He’s in Florida. |
| “It is not clear yet who will win this election here in Michigan,” Sanders says. He thanks the people of Michigan “who repudiated the polls, who repudiated the pundits.” | “It is not clear yet who will win this election here in Michigan,” Sanders says. He thanks the people of Michigan “who repudiated the polls, who repudiated the pundits.” |
| He calls the night “enormously successful.” “Whether we win or lose tonight in Michigan, basically the delegates will be split,” he says. | He calls the night “enormously successful.” “Whether we win or lose tonight in Michigan, basically the delegates will be split,” he says. |
| What tonight means is that the Bernie Sanders campaign, the people’s revolution that we are talking about, is strong in every part of the country and frankly we believe that our strongest areas have yet to happen. | What tonight means is that the Bernie Sanders campaign, the people’s revolution that we are talking about, is strong in every part of the country and frankly we believe that our strongest areas have yet to happen. |
| This Sanders presser in front of some log wall in Miami really feels like something out of 1972. (As do other aspects of his campaign.) | This Sanders presser in front of some log wall in Miami really feels like something out of 1972. (As do other aspects of his campaign.) |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 3.56am GMT | at 3.56am GMT |
| 3.44am GMT | 3.44am GMT |
| 03:44 | 03:44 |
| Sanders to speak | Sanders to speak |
| In a surprise, Bernie Sanders it about to address supporters. You can watch here: | In a surprise, Bernie Sanders it about to address supporters. You can watch here: |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 3.45am GMT | at 3.45am GMT |
| 3.34am GMT | 3.34am GMT |
| 03:34 | 03:34 |
| A round of cheers rang out at R.U.B BBQ Pub in Detroit when CNN projected Hillary Clinton had won Mississippi. | A round of cheers rang out at R.U.B BBQ Pub in Detroit when CNN projected Hillary Clinton had won Mississippi. |
| Supporters at her watch party in Detroit wore Clinton stickers and munched politely on a spread of coconut shrimp and wings. | Supporters at her watch party in Detroit wore Clinton stickers and munched politely on a spread of coconut shrimp and wings. |
| The Mississippi win was a step forward, but it was also expected - and the night’s real prize was still Michigan, where polls hadn’t yet closed. | The Mississippi win was a step forward, but it was also expected - and the night’s real prize was still Michigan, where polls hadn’t yet closed. |
| William Armstrong, an AFT Union member from White Lake, Michigan, spent the day knocking on doors to encourage Michiganders to support Clinton. | William Armstrong, an AFT Union member from White Lake, Michigan, spent the day knocking on doors to encourage Michiganders to support Clinton. |
| Armstrong said he has nothing against her opponent, Vermont senator Bernie Sanders, and appreciates many of his policies but believes Clinton is the candidate who can actually deliver for progressives. | Armstrong said he has nothing against her opponent, Vermont senator Bernie Sanders, and appreciates many of his policies but believes Clinton is the candidate who can actually deliver for progressives. |
| “I think she fits the moment,” he said. “She’s the one who can win it - not only the general election, which she can win, but her agenda. She can win as a president.” | “I think she fits the moment,” he said. “She’s the one who can win it - not only the general election, which she can win, but her agenda. She can win as a president.” |
| Armstrong was joined at the watch party by fellow volunteer Motoo Unno, a teacher from Japan, who has come to the US to campaign for Clinton - and learn a bit more about US politics.“In Japan canvassing is prohibited,” Unno said. “They think canvassing is a bribe.” So naturally Unno has taken great pleasure going door to door to canvass for Clinton.“It’s such a good feeling,” he said, “when someone comes to the door and talks to you.” | Armstrong was joined at the watch party by fellow volunteer Motoo Unno, a teacher from Japan, who has come to the US to campaign for Clinton - and learn a bit more about US politics.“In Japan canvassing is prohibited,” Unno said. “They think canvassing is a bribe.” So naturally Unno has taken great pleasure going door to door to canvass for Clinton.“It’s such a good feeling,” he said, “when someone comes to the door and talks to you.” |
| 3.18am GMT | 3.18am GMT |
| 03:18 | 03:18 |
| “It all comes down to Florida,” Marco Rubio bravely tweets. He’s lucky it doesn’t all come down to Michigan, where he’s in a distant fourth place tonight despite ^his proxies^ outspending his rivals, or to Mississippi, where he’s in a distant fourth place. | “It all comes down to Florida,” Marco Rubio bravely tweets. He’s lucky it doesn’t all come down to Michigan, where he’s in a distant fourth place tonight despite ^his proxies^ outspending his rivals, or to Mississippi, where he’s in a distant fourth place. |
| In one week it all comes down to Florida. Where it all began. #FLPrimaryhttps://t.co/GzYS0liPVO | In one week it all comes down to Florida. Where it all began. #FLPrimaryhttps://t.co/GzYS0liPVO |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 3.57am GMT | at 3.57am GMT |
| 3.15am GMT | 3.15am GMT |
| 03:15 | 03:15 |
| Bernie Sanders is outperforming expectations in Michigan tonight and it comes as he’s facing the biggest test of his campaign, writes Guardian US columnist Lucia Graves. | Bernie Sanders is outperforming expectations in Michigan tonight and it comes as he’s facing the biggest test of his campaign, writes Guardian US columnist Lucia Graves. |
| After all, if Sander’s message about workers’ rights and class warfare can’t resonate in Michigan, a state still reeling from job loss in the manufacturing industry, he’s is in serious trouble. | After all, if Sander’s message about workers’ rights and class warfare can’t resonate in Michigan, a state still reeling from job loss in the manufacturing industry, he’s is in serious trouble. |
| But as the polls roll in, it’s looking increasingly like it is resonating. Sanders has focused on trade in Michigan, hoping the issue would be a silver bullet of sorts for him, in going after Clinton. And it may be that he was right to choose that emphasis. The impacts of Nafta are still being felt here, and though the former secretary of state’s position on trade is currently more-or-less the same as Sanders (both are against the TPP and take issue with elements of NAFTA), she was – as Sanders has been at great pains to point out – late to the party on trade. | But as the polls roll in, it’s looking increasingly like it is resonating. Sanders has focused on trade in Michigan, hoping the issue would be a silver bullet of sorts for him, in going after Clinton. And it may be that he was right to choose that emphasis. The impacts of Nafta are still being felt here, and though the former secretary of state’s position on trade is currently more-or-less the same as Sanders (both are against the TPP and take issue with elements of NAFTA), she was – as Sanders has been at great pains to point out – late to the party on trade. |
| Clinton has performed well in Michigan too, shining a spotlight on issues like the water crisis in Flint to make sure they get the national attention they deserve. But she’s facing a real challenge from Sanders here. | Clinton has performed well in Michigan too, shining a spotlight on issues like the water crisis in Flint to make sure they get the national attention they deserve. But she’s facing a real challenge from Sanders here. |
| In many ways, Tuesday’s election can be read as a precursor for the March 15th vote, which features important contests in Florida and Ohio. Sanders’ strong performance in Michigan signals Clinton may face a serious challenge from him in Ohio. And if Sanders can keep it up, he may keep Clinton from moving toward March 15 like she’s running in a general. | In many ways, Tuesday’s election can be read as a precursor for the March 15th vote, which features important contests in Florida and Ohio. Sanders’ strong performance in Michigan signals Clinton may face a serious challenge from him in Ohio. And if Sanders can keep it up, he may keep Clinton from moving toward March 15 like she’s running in a general. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 3.18am GMT | at 3.18am GMT |
| 3.10am GMT | 3.10am GMT |
| 03:10 | 03:10 |
| No matter who you like on the Democratic side – both either or neither – this is a dramatic race in Michigan. Follow county-by-county results right here. | No matter who you like on the Democratic side – both either or neither – this is a dramatic race in Michigan. Follow county-by-county results right here. |
| Instead of Wolf Blitzer jumping up & down every time Sanders or Clinton moves up or down in Mich, why not just wait for the count to finish? | Instead of Wolf Blitzer jumping up & down every time Sanders or Clinton moves up or down in Mich, why not just wait for the count to finish? |
| Wet blanket. | Wet blanket. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 3.12am GMT | at 3.12am GMT |