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Europe Union referendum: final hours of historic Brexit poll – live | Europe Union referendum: final hours of historic Brexit poll – live |
(35 minutes later) | |
9.38pm BST | |
21:38 | |
Has Boris Johnson conceded defeat even before the polling stations close or is this a little bit of mischief? | |
Lewis Iwu, a Londoner, says that he bumped into the MP on the underground a little earlier and was asked if he voted leave. | |
Iwu said no and suggested that Johnson had also conceded defeat. | |
Just been asked on tube by @BorisJohnson if I voted leave. I say no. He concedes He's lost anyway. Awkward #EUref pic.twitter.com/sAGcNevw3l | |
Ever the attention grabber, live pictures are also now coming in of Johnson leaving his vote until almost the last minute. | |
Updated | |
at 9.43pm BST | |
9.33pm BST | |
21:33 | |
We’re into the last half an hour of voting. Traditionally there’s a bit of a rush in some places. Let’s see.. | |
9.27pm BST | |
21:27 | |
As any veteran of election/referendum all-nighters knows, it’s crucial to have a ready supply of unhealthy sugary drinks and snacks close to hand. Bit worried about Robert Peston’s paltry stock at ITV at this stage ... | |
The referendum M&Ms are out and on the table - @tombradby has 2 packs down by his feet all night, @Peston tucking in pic.twitter.com/mim2IO2vPt | |
Updated | |
at 9.31pm BST | |
9.20pm BST | |
21:20 | |
Nick Fletcher | |
Global stock markets have been climbing sharply today as investors took the view that the UK was increasingly unlikely to vote to leave the European Union, reports the Guardian’s Nick Fletcher. | |
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just closed 1.29% higher, with banking shares among the main gainers. Earlier in London the FTSE 100 finished 1.23% higher, while the pound is currently up 1% at $1.4875. | |
But the recent rally could be dramatically reversed if the leave campaign does end up winning the day. | |
Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at City firm CMC Markets, said: “The FTSE 100 has gained nearly 7% in the last seven days while the pound has rebounded from lows of 1.4010 to peak earlier today at 1.4950 and post its highest levels this year, as the polls continue to improve in favour of remain. | |
“This suggests that a good part of this remain bounce could well be largely priced in already and if we get some early results in the early hours of the morning pointing to a move back to the leave camp then sterling could drop back sharply, potentially dragging stock markets down too.” | |
Updated | |
at 9.27pm BST | |
9.16pm BST | |
21:16 | |
Sam Jones | |
Away from the torrential rain in some parts of Britain, the possibility of Brexit has been very much on the minds of Britons in sunny southern Spain. A sleepless night beckons for some, it seems. | |
The Guardian’s Sam Jones has been canvassing opinion in Orihuela Costa, the largest British enclave in Spain: | |
Early evening found Colin Lindgren nursing an al fresco pint at the Emerald Isle club and reflecting on his paradoxical feelings about Brexit. | |
Like many of the expats who have made homes here, the retired 75-year-old, originally from Bedfordshire, would hate to give up the life of sunshine he and his wife have enjoyed for 14 years. | |
If he’d got round to getting his postal vote in on time, he would have opted to remain. Yet if he were still in England, he would have voted to leave the EU. | |
“I don’t like the way we were conned into it as the man on the street,” he said. “When we first went into it, it was a trading deal. It’s just escalated and the whole thing has got totally out of hand.” | |
There is however, little to tempt him back to the UK – and it’s not just the excellent Spanish healthcare, the bowls and the sense of community in Alicante province. | |
“We couldn’t afford to go back now,” he said. “If we had to, it would be very expensive. The cost of living here is lower and it’s a very sensible life.” | |
Updated | |
at 9.26pm BST | |
9.11pm BST | |
21:11 | |
Academic researchers have concluded that 61.6% of young voters intended to vote to remain in the EU. | |
That’s a survey – the details have just come – by Oxford and University of Manchester researchers who worked with the data firm RIWI to run the survey from the beginning of March up to June. Partial responses came from 7,444 people under the age of 40. | |
Updated | |
at 9.12pm BST | |
9.01pm BST | 9.01pm BST |
21:01 | 21:01 |
A last email push is being made by both sides. | A last email push is being made by both sides. |
One which has arrived from Boris Johnson says: | One which has arrived from Boris Johnson says: |
Polls close in 90 minutes, so obviously we don’t have time for long emails. If you have voted leave, thank you. | Polls close in 90 minutes, so obviously we don’t have time for long emails. If you have voted leave, thank you. |
If you haven’t yet, please do. And please email, text or phone all your friends to Vote Leave. | If you haven’t yet, please do. And please email, text or phone all your friends to Vote Leave. |
Don’t lose this chance to make today our Independence Day!!! | Don’t lose this chance to make today our Independence Day!!! |
Thank you so much. | Thank you so much. |
It ends with “Sent from my iPhone” because of course he’s been busy tapping that out in the last while. | It ends with “Sent from my iPhone” because of course he’s been busy tapping that out in the last while. |
Another, from Labour, says: | Another, from Labour, says: |
It looks like there could be a record number of people at the polls today, showing just how historic an event and how important this decision is to all of us. | It looks like there could be a record number of people at the polls today, showing just how historic an event and how important this decision is to all of us. |
If you haven’t voted yet — don’t miss out on being a part of it. | If you haven’t voted yet — don’t miss out on being a part of it. |
There’s still plenty of time, polls are open until 10pm. | There’s still plenty of time, polls are open until 10pm. |
It comes with a link to a Labour gizmo designed to help voters find their polling station. | It comes with a link to a Labour gizmo designed to help voters find their polling station. |
8.53pm BST | 8.53pm BST |
20:53 | 20:53 |
Hannah Ellis-Petersen | Hannah Ellis-Petersen |
A dispatch comes in from Glastonbury, where the Guardian’s Hannah Ellis-Petersen says that there’s general agreement that the “Glastonbury bubble” is a welcome break from the political bickering. That said: | A dispatch comes in from Glastonbury, where the Guardian’s Hannah Ellis-Petersen says that there’s general agreement that the “Glastonbury bubble” is a welcome break from the political bickering. That said: |
Glastonbury organisers Michael and Emily Eavis may have had no qualms about loudly declaring their voting intentions in the EU referendum, but the once-in-a-generation poll proved more divisive among the 180,000 festivalgoers who arrived in the last 24 hours. | Glastonbury organisers Michael and Emily Eavis may have had no qualms about loudly declaring their voting intentions in the EU referendum, but the once-in-a-generation poll proved more divisive among the 180,000 festivalgoers who arrived in the last 24 hours. |
Eavis was not allowed to have a polling station on site but had repeatedly urged people coming on Thursday or before to arrange either a postal or proxy vote – advice it seems many followed. | Eavis was not allowed to have a polling station on site but had repeatedly urged people coming on Thursday or before to arrange either a postal or proxy vote – advice it seems many followed. |
The Fleming family, who had travelled from Chesterfield for their first Glastonbury together, were divided on the issue. Parents Tim and Jane, 51, both favoured Brexit, but their daughter Holly, 20, took the opposite view. | The Fleming family, who had travelled from Chesterfield for their first Glastonbury together, were divided on the issue. Parents Tim and Jane, 51, both favoured Brexit, but their daughter Holly, 20, took the opposite view. |
“It just isn’t that bad in the EU and we’re going to be the generation where if it goes tits up, we’ll have to sort it out,” she said. | “It just isn’t that bad in the EU and we’re going to be the generation where if it goes tits up, we’ll have to sort it out,” she said. |
Susan Hardisty, 60, who was also at Glastonbury for the first time, said the referendum was “one of the most important votes of our generation, more important than the general election”. | Susan Hardisty, 60, who was also at Glastonbury for the first time, said the referendum was “one of the most important votes of our generation, more important than the general election”. |
She added: “We have kids in their 20s and I think the world will be a lot easier for them if we are part of the EU. And the thought of retracting into an isolated little Britain just scares the life out of me.” | She added: “We have kids in their 20s and I think the world will be a lot easier for them if we are part of the EU. And the thought of retracting into an isolated little Britain just scares the life out of me.” |
Updated | Updated |
at 8.59pm BST | at 8.59pm BST |
8.43pm BST | 8.43pm BST |
20:43 | 20:43 |
A council in an area where a polling booth was temporarily closed after a man was stabbed nearby has been using Twitter to let voters know that it’s open again. | A council in an area where a polling booth was temporarily closed after a man was stabbed nearby has been using Twitter to let voters know that it’s open again. |
The polling station at Waverley Road, Hudds, has now reopened. Anyone who could not vote in the 30 minute closure can return up to 10pm | The polling station at Waverley Road, Hudds, has now reopened. Anyone who could not vote in the 30 minute closure can return up to 10pm |
A 19-year-old man has been arrested in connection with the incident in Huddersfield, which West Yorkshire police said was not linked to the EU referendum. | A 19-year-old man has been arrested in connection with the incident in Huddersfield, which West Yorkshire police said was not linked to the EU referendum. |
The man was found collapsed with a stab wound in the Waverley Road area of the town at 5.15pm. Frances Perraudin had some more details earlier. | The man was found collapsed with a stab wound in the Waverley Road area of the town at 5.15pm. Frances Perraudin had some more details earlier. |
Updated | Updated |
at 8.45pm BST | at 8.45pm BST |
8.27pm BST | 8.27pm BST |
20:27 | 20:27 |
David Pegg | David Pegg |
Remain campaigners in Islington, a Labour stronghold that includes the constituencies of Jeremy Corbyn and Emily Thornberry, seem confident that rain and occasional thunder and lightning haven’t damaged their chances of success. | Remain campaigners in Islington, a Labour stronghold that includes the constituencies of Jeremy Corbyn and Emily Thornberry, seem confident that rain and occasional thunder and lightning haven’t damaged their chances of success. |
The Guardian’s David Pegg, who is anchored in deepest Islington, reports: | The Guardian’s David Pegg, who is anchored in deepest Islington, reports: |
Despite comments from Nigel Farage earlier in the day anticipating that the bad weather could favour the leave campaign by putting off “soft remainers”, local activists canvassing outside schools and stations in an effort to reach parents and commuters said they felt positive. | Despite comments from Nigel Farage earlier in the day anticipating that the bad weather could favour the leave campaign by putting off “soft remainers”, local activists canvassing outside schools and stations in an effort to reach parents and commuters said they felt positive. |
“Turnout appears to have been fairly high. An awful lot of people are saying ‘I’ve already voted’,” said Freddie Wilkinson, leafleting outside Highbury and Islington station. | “Turnout appears to have been fairly high. An awful lot of people are saying ‘I’ve already voted’,” said Freddie Wilkinson, leafleting outside Highbury and Islington station. |
“There are quite a few people trickling in,” said Jo Wood, one of a group of Labour party members out campaigning. “People are voting.” | “There are quite a few people trickling in,” said Jo Wood, one of a group of Labour party members out campaigning. “People are voting.” |
Results for the area are expected to be declared after 1.30am, making it one of the earlier counts for London. | Results for the area are expected to be declared after 1.30am, making it one of the earlier counts for London. |
Remain camp outside Highbury and Islington station #euref pic.twitter.com/DdRNCC9uGF | Remain camp outside Highbury and Islington station #euref pic.twitter.com/DdRNCC9uGF |
Updated | Updated |
at 8.37pm BST | at 8.37pm BST |
8.23pm BST | 8.23pm BST |
20:23 | 20:23 |
That #usepens hashtag continues to trend on Twitter, with some gentle (and not so gentle) mockery of the urgings from some (mainly pro-Brexit) quarters for voters to bring their own pens to ensure their papers are not altered in favour of a remain vote. | That #usepens hashtag continues to trend on Twitter, with some gentle (and not so gentle) mockery of the urgings from some (mainly pro-Brexit) quarters for voters to bring their own pens to ensure their papers are not altered in favour of a remain vote. |
Just voted. I took needle and black thread. I sewed in the cross on my ballot paper. My vote is secure! #usepens | Just voted. I took needle and black thread. I sewed in the cross on my ballot paper. My vote is secure! #usepens |
#usepens I took my portable laminator with me that'll stop them tampering with my vote, try and rub that out. | #usepens I took my portable laminator with me that'll stop them tampering with my vote, try and rub that out. |
Read Esther Addley’s piece from earlier on one of the more curious trends of today’s poll. | Read Esther Addley’s piece from earlier on one of the more curious trends of today’s poll. |
8.13pm BST | 8.13pm BST |
20:13 | 20:13 |
The conversations are still going on in south Wales, reports the Guardian’s Steve Morris. | The conversations are still going on in south Wales, reports the Guardian’s Steve Morris. |
In Cardiff campaigners have set up next to the statue of Aneurin Bevan – Labour party icon and architect of the NHS. | In Cardiff campaigners have set up next to the statue of Aneurin Bevan – Labour party icon and architect of the NHS. |
Cardiff - the conversations still going on at the Aneurin Bevan statue. pic.twitter.com/FWc6fiCosP | Cardiff - the conversations still going on at the Aneurin Bevan statue. pic.twitter.com/FWc6fiCosP |
They believe the turnout in central Cardiff is very big – and think this is good news for Remain - but worry that it may be a different story in the valleys and out in the countryside. They just spoke to someone who was still undecided. “I’ll give it some thought,” she said. She’d better hurry up. | They believe the turnout in central Cardiff is very big – and think this is good news for Remain - but worry that it may be a different story in the valleys and out in the countryside. They just spoke to someone who was still undecided. “I’ll give it some thought,” she said. She’d better hurry up. |
Welsh Labour grandees are still working hard in the valleys, one of their traditional strongholds. | Welsh Labour grandees are still working hard in the valleys, one of their traditional strongholds. |
@RhonddaBryant out and about in #Rhondda people coming up saying they #VotedRemain @welshlabour @UKLabourIN pic.twitter.com/9xeP1D7s9Q | @RhonddaBryant out and about in #Rhondda people coming up saying they #VotedRemain @welshlabour @UKLabourIN pic.twitter.com/9xeP1D7s9Q |
Unlike other parts of the UK, their job has been made more pleasant by warm sunshine. | Unlike other parts of the UK, their job has been made more pleasant by warm sunshine. |
8.05pm BST | 8.05pm BST |
20:05 | 20:05 |
Tom Clark | Tom Clark |
So, are the polls going to get it right this time? The Guardian’s Tom Clark has been looking at how the EU referendum is the pollsters’ big chance to regain some credibility. | So, are the polls going to get it right this time? The Guardian’s Tom Clark has been looking at how the EU referendum is the pollsters’ big chance to regain some credibility. |
Here’s a snatch | Here’s a snatch |
The big flaw unveiled in the thorough post-election inquiry for the industry, by Prof Patrick Sturgis, has not been satisfactorily addressed. | The big flaw unveiled in the thorough post-election inquiry for the industry, by Prof Patrick Sturgis, has not been satisfactorily addressed. |
The root problem, he found, was not last-minute jitters in the ballot box or inadequate turnout filters, but rather a brute failure by the pollsters to interview the right people. | The root problem, he found, was not last-minute jitters in the ballot box or inadequate turnout filters, but rather a brute failure by the pollsters to interview the right people. |
A couple of door-to-door surveys run by academics and published long after the event did get election 2015 right. The big difference was that these surveys picked out voters’ names at random, and then kept hammering on their doors until they answered. | A couple of door-to-door surveys run by academics and published long after the event did get election 2015 right. The big difference was that these surveys picked out voters’ names at random, and then kept hammering on their doors until they answered. |
The other polls, whether online or phone, give up on the hard-to-reach, move on to other phone numbers and email addresses, and thus fail to achieve a genuine mix. In 2015 it transpired that Tories, for whatever reason, were that bit harder to rouse, creating the big polling miss. | The other polls, whether online or phone, give up on the hard-to-reach, move on to other phone numbers and email addresses, and thus fail to achieve a genuine mix. In 2015 it transpired that Tories, for whatever reason, were that bit harder to rouse, creating the big polling miss. |
Read on here. | Read on here. |
Updated | Updated |
at 8.18pm BST | at 8.18pm BST |
7.58pm BST | 7.58pm BST |
19:58 | 19:58 |
For those having trouble getting home because of the weather, I’m afraid it’s too late to apply for an emergency proxy – the deadline was 5pm today. | For those having trouble getting home because of the weather, I’m afraid it’s too late to apply for an emergency proxy – the deadline was 5pm today. |
It seems unlikely that transport problems would be accepted as a valid reason anyway, as people stranded overseas today because of the strike by French air traffic controllers were told they were not entitled to appoint an emergency proxy. | It seems unlikely that transport problems would be accepted as a valid reason anyway, as people stranded overseas today because of the strike by French air traffic controllers were told they were not entitled to appoint an emergency proxy. |
The guidance on such proxies for the EU referendum says they apply when someone has a medical emergency or “your occupation, service or employment means that you cannot go to the polling station in person, and you only became aware of that fact after the proxy vote deadline (15 June)”. | The guidance on such proxies for the EU referendum says they apply when someone has a medical emergency or “your occupation, service or employment means that you cannot go to the polling station in person, and you only became aware of that fact after the proxy vote deadline (15 June)”. |
When my colleague Mark Tran asked the Electoral Commission about the possibility of people stranded at train stations getting emergency proxies, they referred him to this tweet by the commission. | When my colleague Mark Tran asked the Electoral Commission about the possibility of people stranded at train stations getting emergency proxies, they referred him to this tweet by the commission. |
In London/SE and want to vote in the #EURef? Make sure you plan now to get back to your local polling station by 10pm! | In London/SE and want to vote in the #EURef? Make sure you plan now to get back to your local polling station by 10pm! |
It’s Ben Quinn here picking up the baton now from Haroon. Red Bulls at the ready? | It’s Ben Quinn here picking up the baton now from Haroon. Red Bulls at the ready? |
Updated | Updated |
at 8.14pm BST | at 8.14pm BST |
7.20pm BST | 7.20pm BST |
19:20 | 19:20 |
Randeep Ramesh | Randeep Ramesh |
Very high turnouts have been reported in the back yard of the only pro-Brexit MP in Bristol, Charlotte Leslie. | Very high turnouts have been reported in the back yard of the only pro-Brexit MP in Bristol, Charlotte Leslie. |
Clerks in polling stations on council estates, littered with leave signs, said that they were “not as high as 75%, but close”. | Clerks in polling stations on council estates, littered with leave signs, said that they were “not as high as 75%, but close”. |
Turnout high in these parts pic.twitter.com/eUlbn4D8hy | Turnout high in these parts pic.twitter.com/eUlbn4D8hy |
In posher districts at one polling station, the Guardian was told that, including postal votes, “1,000 of the 1,400” had been cast – but this was “not as high” as other nearby counts. | In posher districts at one polling station, the Guardian was told that, including postal votes, “1,000 of the 1,400” had been cast – but this was “not as high” as other nearby counts. |
Bristol, considered a pro-remain stronghold, is one of the last big counts to declare with a result due at 6am. | Bristol, considered a pro-remain stronghold, is one of the last big counts to declare with a result due at 6am. |
If the national result is very close – as some predict – then Britain could be waiting to see what happens in the city to find out whether the country remains or leave the EU. | If the national result is very close – as some predict – then Britain could be waiting to see what happens in the city to find out whether the country remains or leave the EU. |
Updated | Updated |
at 8.22pm BST | at 8.22pm BST |
7.14pm BST | 7.14pm BST |
19:14 | 19:14 |
Frances Perraudin | Frances Perraudin |
West Yorkshire police have confirmed that they were called to a stabbing near a polling station in Huddersfield at 5.15pm, but said the incident had nothing to do with today’s referendum. | West Yorkshire police have confirmed that they were called to a stabbing near a polling station in Huddersfield at 5.15pm, but said the incident had nothing to do with today’s referendum. |
The polling station on Waverley Road was closed for half an hour to “contain the scene”, but has now reopened. | The polling station on Waverley Road was closed for half an hour to “contain the scene”, but has now reopened. |
Local reports have named the victim as 18-year-old Luke Joseph and say he was stabbed by a gang of five other teenagers. Police believe he was attacked in the nearby Greenhead Park and then walked to the polling station, where he collapsed. | Local reports have named the victim as 18-year-old Luke Joseph and say he was stabbed by a gang of five other teenagers. Police believe he was attacked in the nearby Greenhead Park and then walked to the polling station, where he collapsed. |
The victim’s injuries have been described as serious but not fatal. | The victim’s injuries have been described as serious but not fatal. |
7.10pm BST | 7.10pm BST |
19:10 | 19:10 |
Voters stranded by rail problems | Voters stranded by rail problems |
The problems at London transport hubs could potentially affect the ability of thousands of people to vote. | The problems at London transport hubs could potentially affect the ability of thousands of people to vote. |
Waterloo, where there appears to be no service at all, serves 90 million passengers a year, which is about 250,000 a day on average (although the average obviously includes weekends and holidays). | Waterloo, where there appears to be no service at all, serves 90 million passengers a year, which is about 250,000 a day on average (although the average obviously includes weekends and holidays). |
Cannon Street, Charing Cross, London Bridge, Victoria, and probably other stations have also been affected. They are all major commuter stations with many people likely to have left for work this morning before polls opened. | Cannon Street, Charing Cross, London Bridge, Victoria, and probably other stations have also been affected. They are all major commuter stations with many people likely to have left for work this morning before polls opened. |
The Rail Delivery Group says among the train operators affected are Abellio Greater Anglia, Gatwick Express, Southern, South West Trains and Thameslink. | The Rail Delivery Group says among the train operators affected are Abellio Greater Anglia, Gatwick Express, Southern, South West Trains and Thameslink. |
Among those stranded is the broadcaster and journalist Sian Williams: | Among those stranded is the broadcaster and journalist Sian Williams: |
At London Cannon St. No trains. Haven't voted. Ballot on kitchen table in Kent #EUref #flooding pic.twitter.com/aalup8IZjH | At London Cannon St. No trains. Haven't voted. Ballot on kitchen table in Kent #EUref #flooding pic.twitter.com/aalup8IZjH |
Chaos and overcrowding at London stations. People at Charing Cross panicking about getting home to vote (including me!). | Chaos and overcrowding at London stations. People at Charing Cross panicking about getting home to vote (including me!). |
London Bridge Station shut!!! Aragh! Just hope I can board a train in time to vote! #EUreferendum #VoteRemain | London Bridge Station shut!!! Aragh! Just hope I can board a train in time to vote! #EUreferendum #VoteRemain |
Well I've made it through the scrum onto a train at Victoria. Let's hope it moves now. I'm only on this train to get to vote!! | Well I've made it through the scrum onto a train at Victoria. Let's hope it moves now. I'm only on this train to get to vote!! |
Updated | Updated |
at 7.48pm BST | at 7.48pm BST |
6.34pm BST | 6.34pm BST |
18:34 | 18:34 |
A reader has got in touch to say that turnout may not be high everywhere: | A reader has got in touch to say that turnout may not be high everywhere: |
@Haroon_Siddique for balance re turnout: dad is poll clerk in Dudley, says pretty slow so far, maybe 40% only | @Haroon_Siddique for balance re turnout: dad is poll clerk in Dudley, says pretty slow so far, maybe 40% only |
6.32pm BST | 6.32pm BST |
18:32 | 18:32 |
Turnout of 70% to 80% expected in Scotland | Turnout of 70% to 80% expected in Scotland |
Severin Carrell | Severin Carrell |
Scotland’s chief returning officer, Mary Pitcaithly, has predicted overall turnout in Scotland will reach about 70-80% after a day of “steady” voting at polling stations. | Scotland’s chief returning officer, Mary Pitcaithly, has predicted overall turnout in Scotland will reach about 70-80% after a day of “steady” voting at polling stations. |
Pitcaithly told BBC Radio Scotland she did not expect turnout to reach the 85% seen in the Scottish independence referendum in September 2014, which she oversaw, but agreed it would still be high. | Pitcaithly told BBC Radio Scotland she did not expect turnout to reach the 85% seen in the Scottish independence referendum in September 2014, which she oversaw, but agreed it would still be high. |
Only 56% of Scotland’s 4 million-strong electorate turned out for May’s Holyrood elections, but 71% did so in last year’s UK general election. | Only 56% of Scotland’s 4 million-strong electorate turned out for May’s Holyrood elections, but 71% did so in last year’s UK general election. |
The chief executive for Falkirk council, she is due to announce Scotland’s regional result after collating the count data from 32 local councils at around breakfast time. | The chief executive for Falkirk council, she is due to announce Scotland’s regional result after collating the count data from 32 local councils at around breakfast time. |
Updated | Updated |
at 7.45pm BST | at 7.45pm BST |