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EU referendum polling day: remain and leave neck-and-neck as country votes - live EU referendum polling day: remain and leave neck-and-neck as country votes - live
(35 minutes later)
11.43am BST
11:43
Sam Jones
Spaniards tend to be very proud Europeans, which is one of the reasons there’s so much interest here in the referendum.
But there’s another very, very strong reason why Spanish eyes are fixed so firmly on the UK today.
As this graphic from the online Spanish newspaper El Español shows, almost a third of the tourists who came to Spain in May were British. Last year, British tourists spent €14bn in Spain - or €444 a second. If Brexit happens, the paper notes, the pound is likely to tumble in value and British holidaymakers will be less happy to splash their cash. The article bears the headline: “The graphic that makes Spanish tourism shake over Brexit”.
11.40am BST
11:40
The LibDems lit up the foot of Edinburgh castle with a Remain messages.
LibDem leader Tim Farron made a final plea to voters. He said: “Today is about the very future of Britain; it’s about the kind of country we want to be: an outward looking, tolerant and progressive nation, leading in Europe.
“But the result today is still on a knife-edge, and we absolutely must not let the likes of Nigel Farage and Michael Gove have their way. The very tone of their campaign should tell us enough about what they would do to our country.
“So that’s why I need you to go to the polls and cast your vote for Remain. I need you to vote with the prosperity and opportunity of our future generations at the forefront of your minds.”
11.31am BST
11:31
Four point lead for Remain on last pre-Referendum poll
In what is believed to be the first ever poll published on polling day, Ipsos Mori gives Remain a four point lead.
The phone survey was completed in the days before the referendum.
EU referendum poll:Remain: 52% (+5)Leave: 48% (-5)(via Ipsos Mori, phone)Excl. DKs.
Mike Smithson, an election analyst at politicalbetting.com points out that all the final phone polls showed Remain in the lead, whereas all but one of the online polls show Leave in the lead. One of the methods was wrong, we just don’t know which yet.
All the phone polls show REMAIN leadsAll but YouGov of the online polls have LEAVE in the lead
11.23am BST
11:23
Elena Cresci
As predicted by Cowley (number three on his list of things to watch), we’re seeing a lot of dogs at polling stations.
Dogs! That's 5/10 already. And it's only 9am. https://t.co/PxAJuObTr9
Now spotting dogs at polling stations has become Twitter’s favourite pasttime on polling day. This year, as with last year’s general election, #dogsatpollingstations is one of the top trends.
#DogsAtPollingStations #dogmocracyinactionI've done my bit. pic.twitter.com/tEAprpMFQy
Just voted with @BuddyPortsmouth in #EUreferendum #dogsatpollingstations pic.twitter.com/PDYnTk13Vm
11.20am BST
11:20
Ukip leader Nigel Farage joked with reporters that he had been “undecided” how to vote as he arrived at a polling station in a primary school near his home in north Kent.
11.15am BST11.15am BST
11:1511:15
Sam JonesSam Jones
Spain’s acting prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, has taken an unequivocal line on Brexit, warning earlier this month that a leave vote affect the hundreds of thousands of Britons who live in Spain and “would be very negative for everyone and from every perspective”.Spain’s acting prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, has taken an unequivocal line on Brexit, warning earlier this month that a leave vote affect the hundreds of thousands of Britons who live in Spain and “would be very negative for everyone and from every perspective”.
Divorce from the EU, he stressed, would see British citizens forfeiting the rights to live and work across the continent.Divorce from the EU, he stressed, would see British citizens forfeiting the rights to live and work across the continent.
However, pro-independence politicians in Catalonia – who long for a break with Madrid – are taking a far more nuanced approach. Although most people in Spain are strongly pro-European, Catalan separatists recognise that Brexit could help set a precedent for how the EU deals with a reconfigured Europe.However, pro-independence politicians in Catalonia – who long for a break with Madrid – are taking a far more nuanced approach. Although most people in Spain are strongly pro-European, Catalan separatists recognise that Brexit could help set a precedent for how the EU deals with a reconfigured Europe.
Raül Romeva, the Catalan minister for foreign affairs said: “Catalonia has been following with great interest the debate that is taking place these days in the UK and its possible outcome. British citizens have been given the opportunity to compare all the various points of view before voting freely on what kind of relationship they want their country to have with the European Union. This is beneficial for any democracy: it reinforces it and makes it stronger.”Raül Romeva, the Catalan minister for foreign affairs said: “Catalonia has been following with great interest the debate that is taking place these days in the UK and its possible outcome. British citizens have been given the opportunity to compare all the various points of view before voting freely on what kind of relationship they want their country to have with the European Union. This is beneficial for any democracy: it reinforces it and makes it stronger.”
Whatever the result, adds Romeva, the referendum has shown that citizens are “free to decide on their sovereignty in a democratic way”.Whatever the result, adds Romeva, the referendum has shown that citizens are “free to decide on their sovereignty in a democratic way”.
“Europe has always adapted itself to new realities. We have seen it in the past, we will see it now with the United Kingdom and we will continue to see it in the case of Catalonia.”“Europe has always adapted itself to new realities. We have seen it in the past, we will see it now with the United Kingdom and we will continue to see it in the case of Catalonia.”
Catalonia’s regional president, Carles Puigdemont, recently told the Guardian that he saw many parallels between the rhetoric deployed by the Remain campaign and language used to counter moves towards Catalan independence.Catalonia’s regional president, Carles Puigdemont, recently told the Guardian that he saw many parallels between the rhetoric deployed by the Remain campaign and language used to counter moves towards Catalan independence.
“We have also suffered campaigns of fear,” he said. “I remember when the banks started issuing their opinions. They treated us as if we were not grown-ups and said a whole lot of lies.”“We have also suffered campaigns of fear,” he said. “I remember when the banks started issuing their opinions. They treated us as if we were not grown-ups and said a whole lot of lies.”
Puigdemont also downplayed suggestions that the UK’s departure from the EU would tear apart the union, saying: “The EU will make an extraordinary display of political realism, and an admirable, Darwinian ability to adapt.”Puigdemont also downplayed suggestions that the UK’s departure from the EU would tear apart the union, saying: “The EU will make an extraordinary display of political realism, and an admirable, Darwinian ability to adapt.”
11.08am BST11.08am BST
11:0811:08
Google Trends has been looking at what UK internet users have been searching for in connection with the referendum.Google Trends has been looking at what UK internet users have been searching for in connection with the referendum.
The top issues by local authority revealed that ‘immigration’ (in red) was very prominent all over the country, but so too was the ‘NHS’ and the search term ‘Expats’. ‘Trade’ and the ‘economy’ were less prevalent.The top issues by local authority revealed that ‘immigration’ (in red) was very prominent all over the country, but so too was the ‘NHS’ and the search term ‘Expats’. ‘Trade’ and the ‘economy’ were less prevalent.
10.58am BST10.58am BST
10:5810:58
The leave campaign has covered more of provincial and rural England in its efforts to persuade Britons to quit the EU, while the remain side has concentrated on urban centres.The leave campaign has covered more of provincial and rural England in its efforts to persuade Britons to quit the EU, while the remain side has concentrated on urban centres.
Analysis by the Guardian, which pinpoints campaign stops made by four prominent campaigners on either side of the debate in the five weeks to 16 June, shows the leave side has largely ignored Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, while the remain camp has been absent in a large swath of eastern England.Analysis by the Guardian, which pinpoints campaign stops made by four prominent campaigners on either side of the debate in the five weeks to 16 June, shows the leave side has largely ignored Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, while the remain camp has been absent in a large swath of eastern England.
For the analysis the Guardian looked at the itineraries of four campaigners on the remain side: prime minister David Cameron, chancellor George Osborne, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn and shadow first secretary of state Angela Eagle and, on the leave side, Conservative MPs Boris Johnson and Michael Gove, Ukip leader Nigel Farage and Labour MP Gisela Stuart.For the analysis the Guardian looked at the itineraries of four campaigners on the remain side: prime minister David Cameron, chancellor George Osborne, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn and shadow first secretary of state Angela Eagle and, on the leave side, Conservative MPs Boris Johnson and Michael Gove, Ukip leader Nigel Farage and Labour MP Gisela Stuart.
It also shows that both sides have, in the main, chosen to campaign in areas broadly supportive of their respective views. In north-west England, for example, the remain campaigners have concentrated on the larger urban centres, Liverpool and Manchester, both of which are rated “relatively Europhile” by YouGov.It also shows that both sides have, in the main, chosen to campaign in areas broadly supportive of their respective views. In north-west England, for example, the remain campaigners have concentrated on the larger urban centres, Liverpool and Manchester, both of which are rated “relatively Europhile” by YouGov.
Related: Split vote: EU referendum campaigns target heartland supportersRelated: Split vote: EU referendum campaigns target heartland supporters
10.53am BST10.53am BST
10:5310:53
Looking a little quiet on the Isles of Scilly at the moment.Looking a little quiet on the Isles of Scilly at the moment.
Can't wait?Scilly is aiming to be first in the UK to return the #referendum vote today We are racing Sunderland RT pic.twitter.com/zDOlO9cmFkCan't wait?Scilly is aiming to be first in the UK to return the #referendum vote today We are racing Sunderland RT pic.twitter.com/zDOlO9cmFk
Scilly Sergeant Colin Taylor is making sure there’s no foul play in the far south west of Britain.Scilly Sergeant Colin Taylor is making sure there’s no foul play in the far south west of Britain.
The Isles of Scilly could be one of the first places to have a result. Usually at elections ballot boxes are taken to the mainland for counting but for the referendum it will be done on St Mary’s. Only 1,700 voters so it shouldn’t take that long.The Isles of Scilly could be one of the first places to have a result. Usually at elections ballot boxes are taken to the mainland for counting but for the referendum it will be done on St Mary’s. Only 1,700 voters so it shouldn’t take that long.
10.51am BST10.51am BST
10:5110:51
Graeme WeardenGraeme Wearden
Over in the City, shares have hit their highest level since late April as investors remain glued to the EU referendum vote.Over in the City, shares have hit their highest level since late April as investors remain glued to the EU referendum vote.
The FTSE 100 index of blue-chip shares jumped by 1.5% to a two-month high, before dipping back a little, as Brits headed to the polling booths. Mining stocks and financial firms are among the risers.The FTSE 100 index of blue-chip shares jumped by 1.5% to a two-month high, before dipping back a little, as Brits headed to the polling booths. Mining stocks and financial firms are among the risers.
Traders have been watching the EU referendum closely for weeks, and many will be working through the night as the results come in.Traders have been watching the EU referendum closely for weeks, and many will be working through the night as the results come in.
Yesterday, UBS bank predicted that £350bn would be wiped off leading shares if the Leave campaign won.Yesterday, UBS bank predicted that £350bn would be wiped off leading shares if the Leave campaign won.
The pound is also rallying this morning, hitting a six-month high of $1.4851 against the US dollar. Analysts have forecast that it could plunge to $1.30 after a Brexit victory.The pound is also rallying this morning, hitting a six-month high of $1.4851 against the US dollar. Analysts have forecast that it could plunge to $1.30 after a Brexit victory.
Our business liveblog has more details:Our business liveblog has more details:
Related: Pound and shares soar as investors await EU referendum result – business liveRelated: Pound and shares soar as investors await EU referendum result – business live
UpdatedUpdated
at 10.51am BSTat 10.51am BST
10.48am BST
10:48
The Leave camp has a “very strong chance” of pulling off one of the biggest political upheavals of recent times, Ukip leader Nigel Farage has insisted.
Speaking outside his Kent home, Farage told PA: “Actually I do think we are in with a very strong chance, I do genuinely. But it’s all about turnout and those soft Remainers staying at home.”
10.44am BST
10:44
Who knows what happened in the privacy of the voting booth? Here’s video of Labour leader and reluctant remain campaigner before and after casting his vote in Islington.
“The bookies usually get it right,” Corbyn is heard to mutter, before adding “they got it wrong on me big time last year, didn’t they?”
10.38am BST
10:38
Justice secretary and leading Leave campaigner, Michael Gove, has voted in Kensignton. He was accompanied by his wife Sarah Vine, the Daily Mail columnist who is the godmother to David Cameron’s youngest daughter. Note the Vote Leave brolley.
10.31am BST
10:31
Saeed Kamali Dehghan
Thorbjørn Jagland, the Secretary General of the Council of Europe, said he hoped Britons would choose to stay in, but said Europe would deal with the issue in a “rational way” if the verdict was to leave, writes Saeed Kamali Dehghan in Oslo.
“I was chairing the committee that awarded the Nobel peace prize to the European Union so the answer is evident [on where I stand] but I really hope that the UK would stay. I also believe that if we get the opposite result, Europe has to deal with it in a rational way, so Europe will survive,” he told the Guardian. “It is up to the people of United Kingdom to decide, it’s a democratic referendum, we have to respect that but I hope results would be clear,” he added.
He said the UK won’t be isolated if it decided to leave. “British islands will continue to exist and British people will continue to exist as part of Europe, so whatever happens we cannot start isolating each other in Europe once again, it would be ridiculous.”
The referendum dominated Norwegian front pages on Thursday. “Today Britain can split Europe,” read the headline of Aftenposten newspaper. The cartoon on the newspaper’s front page showed Boris Johnson trying to pull a sword out of a European stone that would make him king. “Fears that emotions will take Britain out of the EU,” read the front page headline of Dagens Næringsliv, one of the biggest newspapers in Norway.
Hva skjer om britene løsriver seg fra EU? Skjebnevalget er i dag. pic.twitter.com/jxiXpQL43Q
10.21am BST
10:21
Steven Morris
Labour activists are reporting brisk early business at polling stations in the south Welsh valleys, where the party has been working hard to get the vote out in one of its traditional heartlands.
But the result in Wales is going to be fascinating following Ukip’s excellent showing at the assembly elections last month when the party took seven seats.
More than 2.2m Welsh voters are eligible to take part in the referendum and will be casting their votes at 3,578 polling stations.
Results will be declared locally in each of Wales 22 council areas – from Monmouthshire in the far south-east to the Isle of Anglesey in the north west. The overall figures will be collated and announced in Flintshire in the north-east.
The Welsh rugby great Gareth Thomas has announced that he has voted for the first time in his life – and reveals that he was heavily influenced by actor Martin Sheen and former Labour spin doctor Alastair Campbell. “Can always blame them,” he said in a Tweet.
I've done it!First time in my life I've voted.Heavily influenced by 2 people I trust.@campbellclaret & @michaelsheen .Can always blame them🤗
10.16am BST
10:16
Gibraltar’s pro-remain chief minister Fabian Picardo has cast his vote. Polls suggest that 85% of the island want to remain in the EU.
Last week Picardo told the Guardian: “There is quite unprecedented unity here. Myself and all my predecessors, every political party, all the trade unions and employers’ organisations, every club, society and association … For Gibraltar, this is a slam dunk decision. Now that the leave camp has made it clear that they are not looking for Britain to remain a part of the European single market, the choice for Gibraltar has become very stark.”
10.06am BST
10:06
In his ten things to watch Philip Cowley warned us to be careful of reports of high turn out (see earlier).
But we can’t resist having some anecdotal reports from respected sources (what else can we write about on polling day?).
Queues like I've never seen out the polling station in hackney pic.twitter.com/oDUBM7wBVj
I've never see such queues at my polling station as today! Swell them folks! Swell them!
Quite brisk turnout at my local Polling Station (Southampton) - queue at 7am. Seems slightly above gen election turnout.
Cowley is keeping a beady and wary eye on such reports.
Two for the price of one. https://t.co/EeauoGR15A
Only two UK referendums have had higher turnouts than recent general elections, the Institute for Government Points out. These were the one on the Good Friday agreement in Northern Ireland in 1998 (81.1%) and on Scottish independence in 2014 (84.6%).
9.49am BST
09:49
Scotland’s first minister Nicola Sturgeon voted early.
Updated
at 10.30am BST
9.43am BST
09:43
Axel Scheffler, the illustrator behind the Gruffalo, has created an image for the Guardian to demonstrate his support for Britain remaining in the EU.
Related: 'There's no such thing as a Brusselo!'
Updated
at 9.43am BST
9.37am BST
09:37
Severin Carrell
Edinburgh council has reported that nearly a fifth of the city’s 345,000 voters have already submitted postal votes in the EU referendum, with more than 82% of the city’s postal voters returning their ballot paper by Wednesday evening.
The city has a high number of registered postal voters at 22%. The number returned so far does not include late submissions – postal votes can be handed into polling places on polling day. That 82% interim turnout is close to the 86% UK average for postal vote returns in the 2015 general election.