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You can find the current article at its original source at https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2016/jun/30/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-polls-campaign-funding-us-election
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| Trump fails to offer proof he forgave loans to campaign – campaign live | Trump fails to offer proof he forgave loans to campaign – campaign live |
| (about 2 hours later) | |
| 3.40pm BST | |
| 15:40 | |
| Republican-leaning pollster has Trump ahead | |
| Rasmussen Reports – a pollster with a mean-reverted bias of two points toward Republicans, according to FiveThirtyEight (which gives Rasmussen a lackluster C+ in its pollster ratings) – has released a new national poll in which Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by four points, 43-39. The same poll last week had Clinton up five points, 44-39. | |
| Someone walks up to me and says there is one national poll that has the Republican ahead. Without knowing anything else, I'd say Rasmussen. | |
| Polling averages have Clinton up by five or seven points, depending on which average you consult. | |
| The national poll, conducted by telephone and online, surveyed 1,000 likely voters on 28-29 June. The margin of sampling error was +/- 3%. Read further here. | |
| Drudge tweeted the poll and Trump has RT’d it to his fans hungry for good polling news. | |
| 43-39 https://t.co/TkQYb6V2do | |
| Unfortunately for Trump, there’s very bad polling news ahead (stay tuned for an update on Reuters’ tracking poll)... | |
| Updated | |
| at 3.52pm BST | |
| 3.31pm BST | |
| 15:31 | |
| Bill Clinton and Loretta Lynch meet | |
| Former president Bill Clinton “walked over” to a plane carrying attorney general Loretta Lynch for a chat on the tarmac at Phoenix Sky Harbor International airport Tuesday, the AP reports. | |
| With the greatest threat to his wife’s presidential campaign, in many people’s opinions, being a potentially aggressive investigation by Lynch’s justice department into Hillary Clinton’s email practices, Clinton’s decision to engage Lynch could appear inappropriate, an effort to curry favor, or, cynics might even think, to prejudice the investigation. | |
| Lynch told reporters they did not talk about the emails and did talk about his grandkids, AP reports: | |
| Lynch was traveling with her husband and said her conversation with the former president “was a great deal about his grandchildren” and their travels. The former president, who recently became a grandfather for the second time, told her he had been playing golf in Arizona and they discussed former Attorney General Janet Reno, whom they both know. | |
| “There was no discussion of any matter pending for the department or any matter pending for any other body. There was no discussion of Benghazi, no discussion of the State Department emails, by way of example,” Lynch said in Phoenix. | |
| Former top Barack Obama adviser David Axelrod called the meeting “foolish”: | |
| I take @LorettaLynch & @billclinton at their word that their convo in Phoenix didn't touch on probe. But foolish to create such optics. | |
| Republican senator John Cornyn raised the prospect of a conflict of interest on Lynch’s part: | |
| Lynch & Clinton: Conflict of interest? An attorney,cannot represent two parties in a dispute and must avoid even the appearance of conflict. | |
| Updated | |
| at 3.32pm BST | |
| 1.49pm BST | 1.49pm BST |
| 13:49 | 13:49 |
| Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Donald Trump appears not to have filed paperwork to forgive personal loans he made to his campaign, raising questions about whether donations to the campaign could still be used to pay back Trump personally. Last week, with some fanfare, Trump announced that he was writing off $45m in debt, but “the FEC has posted no record of Trump converting his loans to donations,” NBC News reports, and “the Trump campaign has also declined requests to share the legal paperwork required to execute the transaction, though they suggest it has been submitted.” | Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Donald Trump appears not to have filed paperwork to forgive personal loans he made to his campaign, raising questions about whether donations to the campaign could still be used to pay back Trump personally. Last week, with some fanfare, Trump announced that he was writing off $45m in debt, but “the FEC has posted no record of Trump converting his loans to donations,” NBC News reports, and “the Trump campaign has also declined requests to share the legal paperwork required to execute the transaction, though they suggest it has been submitted.” |
| Fox News poll shows 9-point swing toward Clinton | Fox News poll shows 9-point swing toward Clinton |
| A Fox News poll of registered voters nationwide released late Wednesday had Hillary Clinton up 44-38 over Trump in a head-to-head matchup. The poll has been trending dramatically in Clinton’s favor in the last two months. In May, it had Trump up by three points, 45-42. Real Clear Politics’ polling averages currently have Clinton 6.1 points ahead. | A Fox News poll of registered voters nationwide released late Wednesday had Hillary Clinton up 44-38 over Trump in a head-to-head matchup. The poll has been trending dramatically in Clinton’s favor in the last two months. In May, it had Trump up by three points, 45-42. Real Clear Politics’ polling averages currently have Clinton 6.1 points ahead. |
| Republican senator not quite on Trump train | Republican senator not quite on Trump train |
| Utah senator Mike Lee, the first senator to endorse Ted Cruz for president, described in unprecedented detail last night why he was not ready to endorse Trump. “We can get into that if you want,” Lee says. Then he really gets into it: | Utah senator Mike Lee, the first senator to endorse Ted Cruz for president, described in unprecedented detail last night why he was not ready to endorse Trump. “We can get into that if you want,” Lee says. Then he really gets into it: |
| GOP Sen. Mike Lee goes off on radio host who says he should be supporting Trump. https://t.co/cmzRcWupAZ pic.twitter.com/vop1B0XMv9 | GOP Sen. Mike Lee goes off on radio host who says he should be supporting Trump. https://t.co/cmzRcWupAZ pic.twitter.com/vop1B0XMv9 |
| Obama: ‘If in fact Brexit goes through’ | Obama: ‘If in fact Brexit goes through’ |
| At a summit of North American leaders in Canada Wednesday, Barack Obama suggested that the Brexit might not actually happen: | At a summit of North American leaders in Canada Wednesday, Barack Obama suggested that the Brexit might not actually happen: |
| I think there are some general longer-term concerns about global growth if in fact Brexit goes through and that freezes the possibilities of investment in Great Britain, or in Europe as a whole. | I think there are some general longer-term concerns about global growth if in fact Brexit goes through and that freezes the possibilities of investment in Great Britain, or in Europe as a whole. |
| Here’s that handshake again: | Here’s that handshake again: |
| Speaking of Brexit, maybe keep an eye on British politics today: | Speaking of Brexit, maybe keep an eye on British politics today: |
| Related: Boris Johnson rules himself out of Tory leadership race | Related: Boris Johnson rules himself out of Tory leadership race |
| Trump campaign in hot water for soliciting foreign donations | Trump campaign in hot water for soliciting foreign donations |
| Trump’s campaign has been asking foreign politicians for donations to help make America great again – possibly violating federal election rules in the process. | Trump’s campaign has been asking foreign politicians for donations to help make America great again – possibly violating federal election rules in the process. |
| On Wednesday, two campaign finance watchdog groups, the Campaign Legal Center and Democracy 21, said they will lodge a complaint with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) alleging that Trump’s campaign has violated federal law by soliciting donations from politicians in Scotland, Australia and Iceland, among others. | On Wednesday, two campaign finance watchdog groups, the Campaign Legal Center and Democracy 21, said they will lodge a complaint with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) alleging that Trump’s campaign has violated federal law by soliciting donations from politicians in Scotland, Australia and Iceland, among others. |
| “Donald Trump should have known better,” said Paul S Ryan, deputy executive director of Campaign Legal Center. “It is a no-brainer that it violates the law to send fundraising emails to members of a foreign government on their official foreign government email accounts, and yet, that’s exactly what Trump has done repeatedly.” | “Donald Trump should have known better,” said Paul S Ryan, deputy executive director of Campaign Legal Center. “It is a no-brainer that it violates the law to send fundraising emails to members of a foreign government on their official foreign government email accounts, and yet, that’s exactly what Trump has done repeatedly.” |
| Related: Trump campaign may have broken law by seeking foreign political donations | Related: Trump campaign may have broken law by seeking foreign political donations |
| Romney says family wants him to run | Romney says family wants him to run |
| Two-time Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney told an audience at the Aspen Ideas Festival Wednesday that members of his family are still pushing for him to enter the race a third time as a third-party candidate, if only to thwart the accession of presumptive Republican presidential nominee Trump to the presidency. | Two-time Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney told an audience at the Aspen Ideas Festival Wednesday that members of his family are still pushing for him to enter the race a third time as a third-party candidate, if only to thwart the accession of presumptive Republican presidential nominee Trump to the presidency. |
| “My wife and kids wanted me to run again this time,” Romney said. “I got an email from one of my sons yesterday, saying ‘You gotta get in, Dad. You gotta get in.’” | “My wife and kids wanted me to run again this time,” Romney said. “I got an email from one of my sons yesterday, saying ‘You gotta get in, Dad. You gotta get in.’” |
| But Romney said a third-party candidate could not win and he did not sound like he was going to try. | But Romney said a third-party candidate could not win and he did not sound like he was going to try. |
| Trump has a news conference scheduled for this afternoon in Manchester, New Hampshire. He will talk more about trade, his campaign advises. Here’s Lauren Gambino’s fact check of his last trade speeches. It’s not open to the public. | Trump has a news conference scheduled for this afternoon in Manchester, New Hampshire. He will talk more about trade, his campaign advises. Here’s Lauren Gambino’s fact check of his last trade speeches. It’s not open to the public. |
| Thank you for reading and please join us in the comments. | Thank you for reading and please join us in the comments. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 1.50pm BST | at 1.50pm BST |