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Trump campaign reportedly vetting Chris Christie as running mate – politics live | Trump campaign reportedly vetting Chris Christie as running mate – politics live |
(35 minutes later) | |
6.19pm BST | |
18:19 | |
Trump: 'Why am I not doing better in the polls?' | |
New state-level polling by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner research points up potential flaws in Donald Trump’s strategy to remake the electoral map by winning Rust Belt states including Michigan, Pennsylvania and Ohio. | |
Hillary Clinton leads Trump by 15 points in Michigan and nine points in Pennsylvania, the pollster finds: | |
GQR polls:MI: Clinton+15WI: Clinton+12FL: Clinton+11NC: Clinton+10PA: C+9OH: TieNH: TieNV: TieAZ: Trump+6https://t.co/6z2C9fVpgD | |
Trump’s plan to win New York state looks even worse in a new Siena College poll of Empire state voters. It gives Clinton a 23-point, 54-31 lead. | |
The GQR poll’s 11-point lead for Clinton in Florida marks the third time this month a survey has found Clinton ahead by double digits in the state, FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten points out: | |
Three polls this month in Florida give Clinton a double-digit lead. Obama never had any poll that gave him a double-digit lead in FL in 2012 | |
People with local knowledge don’t quite believe all GQR’s numbers, however. Nevada journalism dean Jon Ralston thinks Clinton is up by “middle single digits” in the state, instead of tied with Trump, as GQR depicts: | |
@Timodc @jbarro NV data conflicts with at least three other polls I have seen. Very odd. | |
@Timodc @jbarro Hillary in middle single digits up statewide. | |
Trump, for his part, registered surprise Thursday morning that he was not doing better in the polls. Trump told radio interviewer Mike Gallagher, “I go to Ohio, we were there two days ago, and Pennsylvania and near Pittsburgh and we – I was in West Virginia, the crowds are massive. | |
And you know, I walked out of one and I said, ‘I don’t see how I’m not leading.’ You know, you see the kinds of crowds. We have thousands of people standing outside trying to get in... And I’m saying, you know, ‘Why am I not doing better in the polls?’ | |
Trump tells @radiotalkermike that he is baffled that he is not leading in polls. (h/t to @BuzzFeedAndrew) pic.twitter.com/3PHeP1s4rx | |
Updated | |
at 6.21pm BST | |
6.06pm BST | |
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Trump hires three new pollsters – report | |
The Donald Trump campaign is more than doubling its roster of pollsters, with three new hires who previously backed the Ted Cruz, Chris Christie and Rick Perry presidential campaigns, respectively, the New York Times reports: | |
Kellyanne Conway, a veteran pollster who has had a long working relationship with Mr. Trump, is among those joining the effort.[...] Mr. Trump’s team is also expected to bring on Adam Geller, who works with Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey, and Michael Baselice, who was the pollster for former Gov. Rick Perry of Texas and for the state’s governor now, Greg Abbott. | |
Trump previously paid two pollsters. | |
6.02pm BST | |
18:02 | |
The Democratic national committee has denied a report that the party is looking into options for moving Hillary Clinton’s acceptance speech at the national convention in Philadelphia from the Wells Fargo Center (seats 19,500) to a larger venue. | |
The BillyPenn local media site exclusively reported that the Democrats were looking for a larger venue, quoting US Representative Bob Brady: | |
Philly Congressman Bob Brady said nothing has been finalized but “there’s talk about it. | |
“It’s a good idea by the way, too,” said Brady, who is honorary vice chair of the DNC. “It engages people and gets people involved.” | |
But a DNC press secretary told BillPenn, “This is absolutely incorrect. There is no talk of changing venue.” | |
5.50pm BST | |
17:50 | |
Trump addresses abortion ruling | |
CBS News’ Sopan Deb flags a section from Trump’s Mike Gallagher interview in which the candidate is invited to weigh in on the Supreme Court’s striking down a restrictive Texas abortion law three days ago. | |
“You wouldn’t see that” under a Trump presidency, Trump says. “And - and people understand that.” | |
After 3 days, Trump FINALLY weighs in on SCOTUS TX abortion ruling: Says if he's elected, you wouldn't see that. pic.twitter.com/Ql7HIQFyMR | |
5.46pm BST | 5.46pm BST |
17:46 | 17:46 |
Hillary Clinton’s top aide’s husband likes the idea of a Christie pick: | Hillary Clinton’s top aide’s husband likes the idea of a Christie pick: |
There is no way we are this lucky. https://t.co/HAquxRNLvA | There is no way we are this lucky. https://t.co/HAquxRNLvA |
The Republicans are ready to nominate Trump for president and Democrats are doubting their luck? | The Republicans are ready to nominate Trump for president and Democrats are doubting their luck? |
5.29pm BST | 5.29pm BST |
17:29 | 17:29 |
Chris Christie being vetted for Trump ticket | Chris Christie being vetted for Trump ticket |
New Jersey governor Chris Christie is being vetted as a potential running mate for Donald Trump, CNN reports. | New Jersey governor Chris Christie is being vetted as a potential running mate for Donald Trump, CNN reports. |
New Jersey Governor @ChrisChristie is being vetted as Donald Trump’s possible running mate, CNN's @jamiegangel confirms. | New Jersey Governor @ChrisChristie is being vetted as Donald Trump’s possible running mate, CNN's @jamiegangel confirms. |
Mike Murphy, who ran Jeb Bush’s Right to Rise political action committee, says guessing whom Trump will pick is hard: | Mike Murphy, who ran Jeb Bush’s Right to Rise political action committee, says guessing whom Trump will pick is hard: |
My thoughts on "'4x2' Questions with Mike Murphy featuring University of Southern California's Bob S...": https://t.co/pFyfNwh7u5 | My thoughts on "'4x2' Questions with Mike Murphy featuring University of Southern California's Bob S...": https://t.co/pFyfNwh7u5 |
Here’s a shortcut to get the Christie vetters started: | Here’s a shortcut to get the Christie vetters started: |
Related: A Chris Christie presidency would be 'very disturbing', New Jerseyans warn | Related: A Chris Christie presidency would be 'very disturbing', New Jerseyans warn |
Related: Chris Christie's office 'refusing to release Bridgegate emails' | Related: Chris Christie's office 'refusing to release Bridgegate emails' |
April 2016: Christie has lowest job approval rating to date, poll shows | April 2016: Christie has lowest job approval rating to date, poll shows |
A new Rutgers Eagleton survey released Thursday found the governor’s approval has dipped to 26 percent, a drop of three percentage points since quitting the presidential race in February. | A new Rutgers Eagleton survey released Thursday found the governor’s approval has dipped to 26 percent, a drop of three percentage points since quitting the presidential race in February. |
5.16pm BST | 5.16pm BST |
17:16 | 17:16 |
French president backs Clinton for president | French president backs Clinton for president |
François Hollande of France, he of the 17% approval rating, told Les Echos that a Donald Trump presidency would be dangerous and “the best service the Democrats could render would be to get Hillary Clinton elected.” | François Hollande of France, he of the 17% approval rating, told Les Echos that a Donald Trump presidency would be dangerous and “the best service the Democrats could render would be to get Hillary Clinton elected.” |
She’ll want to get this right into her swing-state ad buys. | She’ll want to get this right into her swing-state ad buys. |
Hollande tells the interviewer that a Trump presidency would complicate European-US relations and says that Trump’s slogans differ little from those of the extreme right in Europe and in France: fear of migration, stigmatization of Islam, challenging representative democracy and denouncing elites, even though Trump himself is a wealthy elite. | Hollande tells the interviewer that a Trump presidency would complicate European-US relations and says that Trump’s slogans differ little from those of the extreme right in Europe and in France: fear of migration, stigmatization of Islam, challenging representative democracy and denouncing elites, even though Trump himself is a wealthy elite. |
4.40pm BST | 4.40pm BST |
16:40 | 16:40 |
Trump calls Clinton-Lynch meeting 'a massive story' | Trump calls Clinton-Lynch meeting 'a massive story' |
In a radio interview snagged by BuzzFeed’s Andrew Kaczynski, Donald Trump weighs in on the chance (?) Bill Clinton - Loretta Lynch meeting in Phoenix on Tuesday. | In a radio interview snagged by BuzzFeed’s Andrew Kaczynski, Donald Trump weighs in on the chance (?) Bill Clinton - Loretta Lynch meeting in Phoenix on Tuesday. |
Trump says the meeting shows how “the system is rigged” and calls it one of the biggest stories of the year: | Trump says the meeting shows how “the system is rigged” and calls it one of the biggest stories of the year: |
“It is an amazing thing. I heard about it last night,” Trump says on the Mike Gallagher Show. “They actually went onto the plane as I understand it. And it was really a sneak. And it was really something they didn’t want publicized. | “It is an amazing thing. I heard about it last night,” Trump says on the Mike Gallagher Show. “They actually went onto the plane as I understand it. And it was really a sneak. And it was really something they didn’t want publicized. |
“I think it’s so terrible. I think it’s so horrible. I think it’s the biggest story, one of the biggest stories of this week, of this month, of this year. [...] | “I think it’s so terrible. I think it’s so horrible. I think it’s the biggest story, one of the biggest stories of this week, of this month, of this year. [...] |
“It’s a massive story now. It’s all over the place.” | “It’s a massive story now. It’s all over the place.” |
4.34pm BST | 4.34pm BST |
16:34 | 16:34 |
Clinton sets sights on eastern Nebraska | Clinton sets sights on eastern Nebraska |
Like Maine, Nebraska splits its electoral votes by congressional district. Two go to the state winner and one goes to the winner of each congressional district. In 2008 Barack Obama snagged an electoral vote in Nebraska’s second congressional district – Omaha and environs. But they voted for Mitt Romney in 2012. | Like Maine, Nebraska splits its electoral votes by congressional district. Two go to the state winner and one goes to the winner of each congressional district. In 2008 Barack Obama snagged an electoral vote in Nebraska’s second congressional district – Omaha and environs. But they voted for Mitt Romney in 2012. |
Clinton is hoping to take Omaha back for the Democrats. The campaign has announced it will begin airing two ads in the district focusing on Clinton’s “dedication to helping children” and on the children’s health insurance program, which Clinton helped create as first lady. | Clinton is hoping to take Omaha back for the Democrats. The campaign has announced it will begin airing two ads in the district focusing on Clinton’s “dedication to helping children” and on the children’s health insurance program, which Clinton helped create as first lady. |
INBOX: Hillary for America to Begin Airing Ads in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District | INBOX: Hillary for America to Begin Airing Ads in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District |
Here’s the CHIPs ad: | Here’s the CHIPs ad: |
Said it before: Attempting to reestablish Obama 2008 map. https://t.co/UrJkTU1iEw | Said it before: Attempting to reestablish Obama 2008 map. https://t.co/UrJkTU1iEw |
4.10pm BST | 4.10pm BST |
16:10 | 16:10 |
Clinton up 10 in Reuters/ Ipsos tracking poll | Clinton up 10 in Reuters/ Ipsos tracking poll |
Polling! Am I right? On the heels of (relatively less-well respected) Rasmussen’s survey depicting Trump up four points, (relatively well respected) Reuters/Ipsos releases the latest edition of their weekly tracking poll and it has Clinton up 10 points, 42-32. | Polling! Am I right? On the heels of (relatively less-well respected) Rasmussen’s survey depicting Trump up four points, (relatively well respected) Reuters/Ipsos releases the latest edition of their weekly tracking poll and it has Clinton up 10 points, 42-32. |
Whom to believe? The averages, we’re taught. RealClearPolitics hasn’t incorporated the latest Reuters yet and has Clinton up 4.9 points. HuffPost Pollster has baked in both Rasmussen and Reuters and has Clinton up 6.9 points. | Whom to believe? The averages, we’re taught. RealClearPolitics hasn’t incorporated the latest Reuters yet and has Clinton up 4.9 points. HuffPost Pollster has baked in both Rasmussen and Reuters and has Clinton up 6.9 points. |
Ipsos asked 1,247 registered voters nationally: “If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were as below, for whom would you vote?” | Ipsos asked 1,247 registered voters nationally: “If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were as below, for whom would you vote?” |
In the head-to-head Clinton-Trump matchup, 14% of respondents said neither. Clinton showed 75% support among Democrats and Trump showed 70% support among Republicans. | In the head-to-head Clinton-Trump matchup, 14% of respondents said neither. Clinton showed 75% support among Democrats and Trump showed 70% support among Republicans. |
In a four-way race with the Libertarian and Green Party candidates, Clinton’s lead on Trump widened to 11 points, 42-31. | In a four-way race with the Libertarian and Green Party candidates, Clinton’s lead on Trump widened to 11 points, 42-31. |
Trump had a 61% unfavorability rating in the poll, compared with Clinton’s 54% unfavorability rating. | Trump had a 61% unfavorability rating in the poll, compared with Clinton’s 54% unfavorability rating. |
The poll also asks for party preference in local congressional races. Democrats have quite a lead in the poll – 44-33. | The poll also asks for party preference in local congressional races. Democrats have quite a lead in the poll – 44-33. |
Updated | Updated |
at 4.14pm BST | at 4.14pm BST |
3.40pm BST | 3.40pm BST |
15:40 | 15:40 |
Republican-leaning pollster has Trump ahead | Republican-leaning pollster has Trump ahead |
Rasmussen Reports – a pollster with a mean-reverted bias of two points toward Republicans, according to FiveThirtyEight (which gives Rasmussen a lackluster C+ in its pollster ratings) – has released a new national poll in which Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by four points, 43-39. The same poll last week had Clinton up five points, 44-39. | Rasmussen Reports – a pollster with a mean-reverted bias of two points toward Republicans, according to FiveThirtyEight (which gives Rasmussen a lackluster C+ in its pollster ratings) – has released a new national poll in which Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by four points, 43-39. The same poll last week had Clinton up five points, 44-39. |
Someone walks up to me and says there is one national poll that has the Republican ahead. Without knowing anything else, I'd say Rasmussen. | Someone walks up to me and says there is one national poll that has the Republican ahead. Without knowing anything else, I'd say Rasmussen. |
Polling averages have Clinton up by five or seven points, depending on which average you consult. | Polling averages have Clinton up by five or seven points, depending on which average you consult. |
The national poll, conducted by telephone and online, surveyed 1,000 likely voters on 28-29 June. The margin of sampling error was +/- 3%. Read further here. | The national poll, conducted by telephone and online, surveyed 1,000 likely voters on 28-29 June. The margin of sampling error was +/- 3%. Read further here. |
Drudge tweeted the poll and Trump has RT’d it to his fans hungry for good polling news. | Drudge tweeted the poll and Trump has RT’d it to his fans hungry for good polling news. |
43-39 https://t.co/TkQYb6V2do | 43-39 https://t.co/TkQYb6V2do |
Unfortunately for Trump, there’s very bad polling news ahead (stay tuned for an update on Reuters’ tracking poll)... | Unfortunately for Trump, there’s very bad polling news ahead (stay tuned for an update on Reuters’ tracking poll)... |
Updated | Updated |
at 3.52pm BST | at 3.52pm BST |
3.31pm BST | 3.31pm BST |
15:31 | 15:31 |
Bill Clinton and Loretta Lynch meet | Bill Clinton and Loretta Lynch meet |
Former president Bill Clinton “walked over” to a plane carrying attorney general Loretta Lynch for a chat on the tarmac at Phoenix Sky Harbor International airport Tuesday, the AP reports. | Former president Bill Clinton “walked over” to a plane carrying attorney general Loretta Lynch for a chat on the tarmac at Phoenix Sky Harbor International airport Tuesday, the AP reports. |
With the greatest threat to his wife’s presidential campaign, in many people’s opinions, being a potentially aggressive investigation by Lynch’s justice department into Hillary Clinton’s email practices, Clinton’s decision to engage Lynch could appear inappropriate, an effort to curry favor, or, cynics might even think, to prejudice the investigation. | With the greatest threat to his wife’s presidential campaign, in many people’s opinions, being a potentially aggressive investigation by Lynch’s justice department into Hillary Clinton’s email practices, Clinton’s decision to engage Lynch could appear inappropriate, an effort to curry favor, or, cynics might even think, to prejudice the investigation. |
Lynch told reporters they did not talk about the emails and did talk about his grandkids, AP reports: | Lynch told reporters they did not talk about the emails and did talk about his grandkids, AP reports: |
Lynch was traveling with her husband and said her conversation with the former president “was a great deal about his grandchildren” and their travels. The former president, who recently became a grandfather for the second time, told her he had been playing golf in Arizona and they discussed former Attorney General Janet Reno, whom they both know. | Lynch was traveling with her husband and said her conversation with the former president “was a great deal about his grandchildren” and their travels. The former president, who recently became a grandfather for the second time, told her he had been playing golf in Arizona and they discussed former Attorney General Janet Reno, whom they both know. |
“There was no discussion of any matter pending for the department or any matter pending for any other body. There was no discussion of Benghazi, no discussion of the State Department emails, by way of example,” Lynch said in Phoenix. | “There was no discussion of any matter pending for the department or any matter pending for any other body. There was no discussion of Benghazi, no discussion of the State Department emails, by way of example,” Lynch said in Phoenix. |
Former top Barack Obama adviser David Axelrod called the meeting “foolish”: | Former top Barack Obama adviser David Axelrod called the meeting “foolish”: |
I take @LorettaLynch & @billclinton at their word that their convo in Phoenix didn't touch on probe. But foolish to create such optics. | I take @LorettaLynch & @billclinton at their word that their convo in Phoenix didn't touch on probe. But foolish to create such optics. |
Republican senator John Cornyn raised the prospect of a conflict of interest on Lynch’s part: | Republican senator John Cornyn raised the prospect of a conflict of interest on Lynch’s part: |
Lynch & Clinton: Conflict of interest? An attorney,cannot represent two parties in a dispute and must avoid even the appearance of conflict. | Lynch & Clinton: Conflict of interest? An attorney,cannot represent two parties in a dispute and must avoid even the appearance of conflict. |
Updated | Updated |
at 3.32pm BST | at 3.32pm BST |
1.49pm BST | 1.49pm BST |
13:49 | 13:49 |
Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Donald Trump appears not to have filed paperwork to forgive personal loans he made to his campaign, raising questions about whether donations to the campaign could still be used to pay back Trump personally. Last week, with some fanfare, Trump announced that he was writing off $45m in debt, but “the FEC has posted no record of Trump converting his loans to donations,” NBC News reports, and “the Trump campaign has also declined requests to share the legal paperwork required to execute the transaction, though they suggest it has been submitted.” | Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Donald Trump appears not to have filed paperwork to forgive personal loans he made to his campaign, raising questions about whether donations to the campaign could still be used to pay back Trump personally. Last week, with some fanfare, Trump announced that he was writing off $45m in debt, but “the FEC has posted no record of Trump converting his loans to donations,” NBC News reports, and “the Trump campaign has also declined requests to share the legal paperwork required to execute the transaction, though they suggest it has been submitted.” |
Fox News poll shows 9-point swing toward Clinton | Fox News poll shows 9-point swing toward Clinton |
A Fox News poll of registered voters nationwide released late Wednesday had Hillary Clinton up 44-38 over Trump in a head-to-head matchup. The poll has been trending dramatically in Clinton’s favor in the last two months. In May, it had Trump up by three points, 45-42. Real Clear Politics’ polling averages currently have Clinton 6.1 points ahead. | A Fox News poll of registered voters nationwide released late Wednesday had Hillary Clinton up 44-38 over Trump in a head-to-head matchup. The poll has been trending dramatically in Clinton’s favor in the last two months. In May, it had Trump up by three points, 45-42. Real Clear Politics’ polling averages currently have Clinton 6.1 points ahead. |
Republican senator not quite on Trump train | Republican senator not quite on Trump train |
Utah senator Mike Lee, the first senator to endorse Ted Cruz for president, described in unprecedented detail last night why he was not ready to endorse Trump. “We can get into that if you want,” Lee says. Then he really gets into it: | Utah senator Mike Lee, the first senator to endorse Ted Cruz for president, described in unprecedented detail last night why he was not ready to endorse Trump. “We can get into that if you want,” Lee says. Then he really gets into it: |
GOP Sen. Mike Lee goes off on radio host who says he should be supporting Trump. https://t.co/cmzRcWupAZ pic.twitter.com/vop1B0XMv9 | GOP Sen. Mike Lee goes off on radio host who says he should be supporting Trump. https://t.co/cmzRcWupAZ pic.twitter.com/vop1B0XMv9 |
Obama: ‘If in fact Brexit goes through’ | Obama: ‘If in fact Brexit goes through’ |
At a summit of North American leaders in Canada Wednesday, Barack Obama suggested that the Brexit might not actually happen: | At a summit of North American leaders in Canada Wednesday, Barack Obama suggested that the Brexit might not actually happen: |
I think there are some general longer-term concerns about global growth if in fact Brexit goes through and that freezes the possibilities of investment in Great Britain, or in Europe as a whole. | I think there are some general longer-term concerns about global growth if in fact Brexit goes through and that freezes the possibilities of investment in Great Britain, or in Europe as a whole. |
Here’s that handshake again: | Here’s that handshake again: |
Speaking of Brexit, maybe keep an eye on British politics today: | Speaking of Brexit, maybe keep an eye on British politics today: |
Related: Boris Johnson rules himself out of Tory leadership race | Related: Boris Johnson rules himself out of Tory leadership race |
Trump campaign in hot water for soliciting foreign donations | Trump campaign in hot water for soliciting foreign donations |
Trump’s campaign has been asking foreign politicians for donations to help make America great again – possibly violating federal election rules in the process. | Trump’s campaign has been asking foreign politicians for donations to help make America great again – possibly violating federal election rules in the process. |
On Wednesday, two campaign finance watchdog groups, the Campaign Legal Center and Democracy 21, said they will lodge a complaint with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) alleging that Trump’s campaign has violated federal law by soliciting donations from politicians in Scotland, Australia and Iceland, among others. | On Wednesday, two campaign finance watchdog groups, the Campaign Legal Center and Democracy 21, said they will lodge a complaint with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) alleging that Trump’s campaign has violated federal law by soliciting donations from politicians in Scotland, Australia and Iceland, among others. |
“Donald Trump should have known better,” said Paul S Ryan, deputy executive director of Campaign Legal Center. “It is a no-brainer that it violates the law to send fundraising emails to members of a foreign government on their official foreign government email accounts, and yet, that’s exactly what Trump has done repeatedly.” | “Donald Trump should have known better,” said Paul S Ryan, deputy executive director of Campaign Legal Center. “It is a no-brainer that it violates the law to send fundraising emails to members of a foreign government on their official foreign government email accounts, and yet, that’s exactly what Trump has done repeatedly.” |
Related: Trump campaign may have broken law by seeking foreign political donations | Related: Trump campaign may have broken law by seeking foreign political donations |
Romney says family wants him to run | Romney says family wants him to run |
Two-time Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney told an audience at the Aspen Ideas Festival Wednesday that members of his family are still pushing for him to enter the race a third time as a third-party candidate, if only to thwart the accession of presumptive Republican presidential nominee Trump to the presidency. | Two-time Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney told an audience at the Aspen Ideas Festival Wednesday that members of his family are still pushing for him to enter the race a third time as a third-party candidate, if only to thwart the accession of presumptive Republican presidential nominee Trump to the presidency. |
“My wife and kids wanted me to run again this time,” Romney said. “I got an email from one of my sons yesterday, saying ‘You gotta get in, Dad. You gotta get in.’” | “My wife and kids wanted me to run again this time,” Romney said. “I got an email from one of my sons yesterday, saying ‘You gotta get in, Dad. You gotta get in.’” |
But Romney said a third-party candidate could not win and he did not sound like he was going to try. | But Romney said a third-party candidate could not win and he did not sound like he was going to try. |
Trump has a news conference scheduled for this afternoon in Manchester, New Hampshire. He will talk more about trade, his campaign advises. Here’s Lauren Gambino’s fact check of his last trade speeches. It’s not open to the public. | Trump has a news conference scheduled for this afternoon in Manchester, New Hampshire. He will talk more about trade, his campaign advises. Here’s Lauren Gambino’s fact check of his last trade speeches. It’s not open to the public. |
Thank you for reading and please join us in the comments. | Thank you for reading and please join us in the comments. |
Updated | Updated |
at 1.50pm BST | at 1.50pm BST |