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Coronavirus in Scotland: Who is dying and where? Coronavirus in Scotland: Who is dying and where?
(7 days later)
Weekly data published by National Records of Scotland (NRS) shows people in deprived areas are twice as likely to die from Covid-19. Weekly data published by National Records of Scotland (NRS) shows that deaths from Covid-19 in Scotland are continuing to fall, but excess deaths have risen slightly on last week and remain at above-average levels for the time of year.
The overall number of deaths has now reached 4,070, although the number of new deaths has declined for the seventh week in a row, with 70 deaths recorded between 8-14 June. The overall number of deaths has now reached 4,917, with 49 deaths registered between 15-21 June where the disease was mentioned on the death certificate.
The NRS used the Scottish Index of Multiple Depravation (SIMD) to calculate that people in the most deprived areas were 2.1 times more likely to die with Covid-19 than those living in the least deprived areas.
The next two charts show the zones in Edinburgh and Glasgow that had more than 10 Covid-19 deaths between March and May.
People in Scotland are still dying from Covid-19, but the number of new deaths has declined significantly in recent weeks.
Looking at the number of new deaths each day using NRS data, it is possible to see a peak of 108 on 9 April.Looking at the number of new deaths each day using NRS data, it is possible to see a peak of 108 on 9 April.
There was a second peak of 105 on 20 April, but new deaths per day have been mainly falling since then.There was a second peak of 105 on 20 April, but new deaths per day have been mainly falling since then.
Why is the total number of deaths higher than Scottish government figures?Why is the total number of deaths higher than Scottish government figures?
Overall, the number of deaths recorded by the NRS is far higher than daily figures reported by Public Health Scotland (PHS).Overall, the number of deaths recorded by the NRS is far higher than daily figures reported by Public Health Scotland (PHS).
This is because the NRS includes all cases where Covid-19 is mentioned on a death certificate, even if the patient had not been tested. The PHS figures are based on the deaths of those who had tested positive for the virus.This is because the NRS includes all cases where Covid-19 is mentioned on a death certificate, even if the patient had not been tested. The PHS figures are based on the deaths of those who had tested positive for the virus.
The graph below compares the NRS figures with the PHS daily figures.The graph below compares the NRS figures with the PHS daily figures.
Excess deathsExcess deaths
It is possible to measure deaths each week against an average death rate using NRS figures.It is possible to measure deaths each week against an average death rate using NRS figures.
The data shows that there have been 4,878 more deaths than would be expected since the outbreak hit Scotland, based on a five-year average. The data shows that there have been 4,917 more deaths than would be expected since the outbreak hit Scotland, based on a five-year average.
At its peak, there were 878 more deaths from all causes than average between 6-12 April. This fell to 32 between 8-14 June. At its peak, there were 878 more deaths than average from all causes between 6-12 April. This fell to 39 between 15-21 June.
This week, the NRS has also published data on excess deaths by location. Using NRS data, we can also see where the excess deaths have occurred.
The next chart shows the first peak in excess deaths was in hospitals and at home, followed by a much higher peak in care homes. The next chart shows the first peak in excess deaths was in hospitals and at home and other non-institutional settings, followed by a much higher peak in care homes.
Excess deaths from all causes at home remain at above average levels.Excess deaths from all causes at home remain at above average levels.
Almost every area of Scotland has seen a significant increase in excess deaths since the coronavirus outbreak started. Looking more closely at the non-Covid excess deaths at home and non-institutional settings since the outbreak began in Scotland, 784 were from cancer.
It is also possible to calculate the death rate per 10,000 people for each council area of Scotland, using NRS population estimates. Almost 550 were categorised as "other", which includes alcohol-related deaths, accidents and suicide.
Inverclyde has the worst death rate, at more than 14 deaths per 10,000 people. Where are people dying from Covid-19?
Where are people dying? More people have died in care homes (1,917) than hospitals (1,909) since the Covid-19 outbreak began in Scotland.
More people have died in care homes (1,896) than hospitals (1,882) since the Covid-19 outbreak began in Scotland.
The seven deaths classed as "other institution" by the NRS are thought to be the deaths of inmates in prison.The seven deaths classed as "other institution" by the NRS are thought to be the deaths of inmates in prison.
Between 8-14 June, most Covid-19 deaths were in care homes (50%), with 40% in hospitals and 10% in homes or other non-institutional settings. Between 15-21 June, there were more Covid-19 deaths in hospital (28) than care homes (20), for the first time in two months.
This chart shows where all Covid-19 deaths have been since the outbreak started.This chart shows where all Covid-19 deaths have been since the outbreak started.
Age and genderAge and gender
The NRS gives a breakdown of the age and gender of patients whose death was linked to Covid-19.The NRS gives a breakdown of the age and gender of patients whose death was linked to Covid-19.
More than 76% of all deaths involving Covid-19 up until 14 June were of people aged 75 or over. Almost 77% of all deaths involving Covid-19 up until 21 June were of people aged 75 or over.
The virus has caused the death of 27 people aged under 45, but no-one under 15 years old has died from Covid-19 in Scotland, according to the NRS.The virus has caused the death of 27 people aged under 45, but no-one under 15 years old has died from Covid-19 in Scotland, according to the NRS.
Of all deaths involving Covid-19 in Scotland, 50.1% were female (2,039) and 49.9% were male 2,031). Of all deaths involving Covid-19 in Scotland, 50.2% were female (2,068) and 49.8% were male (2,051).
Which part of Scotland has the worst death rate?
It is possible to calculate the death rate per 10,000 people for each council area of Scotland, using NRS population estimates.
Inverclyde has the worst death rate, at almost 15 deaths per 10,000 people.
Source for all graphs and figures: National Records of ScotlandSource for all graphs and figures: National Records of Scotland