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Coronavirus in Scotland: Who is dying and where? Coronavirus in Scotland: Who is dying and where?
(7 days later)
Weekly data published by National Records of Scotland (NRS) shows that deaths from Covid-19 in Scotland are continuing to fall. Weekly data published by National Records of Scotland (NRS) shows that deaths from Covid-19 in Scotland now account for less than 1% of all deaths in Scotland.
The total number of coronavirus-linked deaths is now 4,187, with 13 deaths registered between 6 July and 12 July where the disease was mentioned on the death certificate. The total number of coronavirus-linked deaths is 4,193, with six deaths registered between 13 July and 19 July where the virus was mentioned on the death certificate.
At the height of the outbreak in April, 36% of all deaths in Scotland were caused by Covid-19. This figure has now fallen below 1% for the first time since the middle of March.
However, excess deaths from all causes have returned to above average levels.
Looking at the number of new deaths each day using NRS data, it is possible to see a peak of 108 on 9 April.Looking at the number of new deaths each day using NRS data, it is possible to see a peak of 108 on 9 April.
There was a second spike of 105 on 20 April, but new deaths per day have been mainly falling since then.There was a second spike of 105 on 20 April, but new deaths per day have been mainly falling since then.
On the 7 July, the NRS said no-one in Scotland died from Covid-19 - the first time this has happened since 13 March.
Why is the total number of deaths higher than Scottish government figures?Why is the total number of deaths higher than Scottish government figures?
Overall, the number of deaths recorded by the NRS is far higher than daily figures reported by Public Health Scotland (PHS).Overall, the number of deaths recorded by the NRS is far higher than daily figures reported by Public Health Scotland (PHS).
This is because the NRS includes all cases where Covid-19 is mentioned on a death certificate, even if the patient had not been tested. The PHS figures are based on the deaths of those who had tested positive for the virus.This is because the NRS includes all cases where Covid-19 is mentioned on a death certificate, even if the patient had not been tested. The PHS figures are based on the deaths of those who had tested positive for the virus.
Including excess deaths, there are three ways to count Covid-19 deaths in Scotland.Including excess deaths, there are three ways to count Covid-19 deaths in Scotland.
This chart shows how the proportion of Covid-19 deaths has reached its lowest level since the start of the outbreak.
Excess deathsExcess deaths
It is possible to measure deaths each week against an average death rate using NRS figures.It is possible to measure deaths each week against an average death rate using NRS figures.
The data shows that there have been 4,817 more deaths than would be expected since the outbreak hit Scotland, based on a five-year average. The data shows that there have been 4,856 more deaths than would be expected since the outbreak hit Scotland, based on a five-year average.
At its peak, there were 878 more deaths than average from all causes between 6-12 April.At its peak, there were 878 more deaths than average from all causes between 6-12 April.
However, excess deaths from all causes have now fallen below the five-year average and between 6 July - 12 July there were 56 fewer deaths than expected. Excess deaths dipped below average at the end of June and into the beginning of July, but have returned to above average levels, with 32 deaths more than expected between 13 July and 19 July.
The next chart shows the first peak in excess deaths was in hospitals and at home and other non-institutional settings, followed by a much higher peak in care homes.The next chart shows the first peak in excess deaths was in hospitals and at home and other non-institutional settings, followed by a much higher peak in care homes.
Excess deaths from all causes at home remain at above average levels.Excess deaths from all causes at home remain at above average levels.
Looking more closely at the non-Covid excess deaths at home since the start of the outbreak, most have been from cancer. Looking more closely at the excess deaths at home or other non-institutional settings since the start of the outbreak, only about 3% have been from Covid-19.
The most common cause of death is cancer (33.5%), followed by circulatory diseases like heart disease and stroke (27.3%).
Where are people dying from Covid-19?Where are people dying from Covid-19?
More people have died in care homes (1,947) than hospitals (1,942) since the Covid-19 outbreak began in Scotland. There have been 291 deaths at home or in other non-institutional settings. Marginally more people have died in care homes (1,950) than hospitals (1,945) since the Covid-19 outbreak began in Scotland. There have been 291 deaths at home or in other non-institutional settings.
The seven deaths classed as "other institution" by the NRS are thought to be the deaths of inmates in prison.The seven deaths classed as "other institution" by the NRS are thought to be the deaths of inmates in prison.
This chart shows a breakdown week-by-week of the location of Covid-19 deaths since the outbreak began.This chart shows a breakdown week-by-week of the location of Covid-19 deaths since the outbreak began.
Which part of Scotland has the worst death rate?Which part of Scotland has the worst death rate?
It is possible to calculate the death rate per 10,000 people for each council area of Scotland, using NRS population estimates.It is possible to calculate the death rate per 10,000 people for each council area of Scotland, using NRS population estimates.
Inverclyde has the worst death rate, at 15 deaths per 10,000 people. Inverclyde has the worst death rate, at almost 15 deaths per 10,000 people.
The NRS also publishes data on deaths by intermediate zone.
These zones are used for statistics that are deemed too sensitive to map at a more local level.
There are 1,235 intermediate zones across Scotland with a single zone containing up to 6,000 household residents.
These three maps show the areas with the highest overall death totals.
Age and genderAge and gender
The NRS gives a breakdown of the age and gender of patients whose death was linked to Covid-19.The NRS gives a breakdown of the age and gender of patients whose death was linked to Covid-19.
About 77% of all deaths involving Covid-19 up until 12 July were of people aged 75 or over. About 77% of all deaths involving Covid-19 up until 19 July were of people aged 75 or over.
The virus has caused the death of 28 people aged under 45, but no-one under 15 years old has died from Covid-19 in Scotland, according to the NRS.The virus has caused the death of 28 people aged under 45, but no-one under 15 years old has died from Covid-19 in Scotland, according to the NRS.
Of all deaths involving Covid-19 in Scotland, 50.3% were female (2,104) and 49.7% were male (2,083). Of all deaths involving Covid-19 in Scotland, 50.3% were female (2,108) and 49.7% were male (2,085).
Source for all graphs and figures: National Records of ScotlandSource for all graphs and figures: National Records of Scotland