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Coalition set to unveil a modest emissions reduction target – politics live Coalition set to unveil a modest emissions reduction target – politics live
(35 minutes later)
9.06am AEST00:06
Can’t beat snowy roos.
Aus target worse than Canada's 30% - prev'sly the worst industrialised nation. But here's some snowy roos (by Bernie) pic.twitter.com/L9EmCX7UT9
9.04am AEST00:04
Speaking of Lenore Taylor, she’s filed a news lead on the climate targets, with some initial reaction.
Conservationists and climate campaigners said the pledge, to be taken to the United Nations meeting in Paris in December, would be “pathetically inadequate”.
Business groups had been pushing for a promise closer to 30% below 2005 levels and have also been pleading with the Coalition to drop its opposition to buying emissions permits offshore, which would dramatically lower the cost of meeting the promise.
Modelling for the government by leading economist professor Warwick McKibbin is understood to have found the target would shave between 0.02% and 0.04% from GDP in 2030 if international permits were allowed, but at least twice that if they were not.
(The government is opposed to the use of international permits.)
8.57am AEST23:57
It being Tuesday, the Coalition party room and the Labor caucus will meet shortly.
The shadow environment minister Mark Butler has moved on to the Sky News studio. Butler was asked whether or not Labor will lend bipartisan support to the post 2020 target if it’s weak. Butler isn’t committing one way or another until we all see the details. Wise to wait for the details before pontificating. I’m trying to follow a similar strategy.
Speaking of details, enjoy this piece from my colleague Lenore Taylor about some of the absurdities that get uttered in the carbon debate. Scary numbers, that mean very little.
8.40am AEST23:40
Speaking of Mr Bowers, he’s been wandering about this morning to capture the traffic through the corridor.
Senate independent Jacqui Lambie revealed yesterday that her 21-year-old son is addicted to the drug ice.
Lambie raised the case of her son in a debate about welfare changes that would remove payments for people in psychiatric institutions who have been charged with a serious offence such as rape, manslaughter or murder.
It’s a gutsy thing to do, and Lambie has been in high demand to talk about an experience that, sadly, too many Australian families can relate to.
Lovely sequence from Mike.
8.26am AEST23:268.26am AEST23:26
Meet a couple of new bricksMeet a couple of new bricks
Politics Live regulars could have predicted that political events yesterday would have prompted Mikearoo to update our #BrickParliament.Politics Live regulars could have predicted that political events yesterday would have prompted Mikearoo to update our #BrickParliament.
Be assured, Mr Bowers worked throughout the night to ensure we were ready for whatever parliamentary Tuesday intended to deliver. Drum roll please. We are delighted to introduce #SpeakerSmith, who will face his first question time later today.Be assured, Mr Bowers worked throughout the night to ensure we were ready for whatever parliamentary Tuesday intended to deliver. Drum roll please. We are delighted to introduce #SpeakerSmith, who will face his first question time later today.
We are also delighted to welcome our good friends from #BrickFeed.We are also delighted to welcome our good friends from #BrickFeed.
In honour of BuzzFeed setting up shop in the parliamentary press gallery, we note here, Mark Di Stefano, hard at work in the gallery with a couple of Guardian Australia rogues, #BrickDaniel and #BrickMurpharoo.In honour of BuzzFeed setting up shop in the parliamentary press gallery, we note here, Mark Di Stefano, hard at work in the gallery with a couple of Guardian Australia rogues, #BrickDaniel and #BrickMurpharoo.
We are the ones not wearing a beret.We are the ones not wearing a beret.
Welcome, new bricks.Welcome, new bricks.
We salute you.We salute you.
8.13am AEST23:138.13am AEST23:13
Both the ABC and Sky News are now reporting the target will have a range from 26% to 28% – rather like the US construction.Both the ABC and Sky News are now reporting the target will have a range from 26% to 28% – rather like the US construction.
Anyone would think there was a tug of war going on in the spin stakes between folks in the government who would have preferred 30% and folks inside the government who would like it if they never had to utter the words climate change.Anyone would think there was a tug of war going on in the spin stakes between folks in the government who would have preferred 30% and folks inside the government who would like it if they never had to utter the words climate change.
Pure speculation on my part.Pure speculation on my part.
7.54am AEST22:547.54am AEST22:54
Good morningGood morning
Hello everyone and welcome to Canberra. Given how deflated the prime minister looked yesterday I hope he’s had a seaweed smoothie and a Monte Carlo biscuit in preparation for the parliamentary day ahead, which threatens to be largish. We expect the government to unveil its post 2020 emissions reductions targets for the UN-led climate talks in Paris later this year.Hello everyone and welcome to Canberra. Given how deflated the prime minister looked yesterday I hope he’s had a seaweed smoothie and a Monte Carlo biscuit in preparation for the parliamentary day ahead, which threatens to be largish. We expect the government to unveil its post 2020 emissions reductions targets for the UN-led climate talks in Paris later this year.
An officialish looking drop in The Australian this morning reports that Abbott “is set to defy US president Barack Obama and other world leaders by releasing a post-2020 target that is lower than that of most advanced economies, on the grounds that Australia must bear the burden of stronger population growth.” (Stop scratching your head, we need to move on.) “In one scenario gaining support last night, ministers considered a 26% reduction on today’s carbon emissions by 2030.”An officialish looking drop in The Australian this morning reports that Abbott “is set to defy US president Barack Obama and other world leaders by releasing a post-2020 target that is lower than that of most advanced economies, on the grounds that Australia must bear the burden of stronger population growth.” (Stop scratching your head, we need to move on.) “In one scenario gaining support last night, ministers considered a 26% reduction on today’s carbon emissions by 2030.”
The paper asserts a more ambitious proposal of 30% being sought by environment minister Greg Hunt and foreign minister Julie Bishop was walked back by the prime minister. (See Andrew (Bolt), I’m holding back those warmists! See!)The paper asserts a more ambitious proposal of 30% being sought by environment minister Greg Hunt and foreign minister Julie Bishop was walked back by the prime minister. (See Andrew (Bolt), I’m holding back those warmists! See!)
Moving forward.Moving forward.
So how does that target compare?So how does that target compare?
As well as being a more modest contribution than many of our trading partners, 26% is well below the Climate Change Authority’s advice that Australia adopt a 30% cut by 2025 and a 40%-60% cut by 2030.As well as being a more modest contribution than many of our trading partners, 26% is well below the Climate Change Authority’s advice that Australia adopt a 30% cut by 2025 and a 40%-60% cut by 2030.
Shadow environment minister Mark Butler has told the ABC this morning would put Australia at the back of the pack and we start from a very high polluting point. Butler says this target does not look consistent with the public policy objective to keep warming a 2 degrees.Shadow environment minister Mark Butler has told the ABC this morning would put Australia at the back of the pack and we start from a very high polluting point. Butler says this target does not look consistent with the public policy objective to keep warming a 2 degrees.
But ahead of today’s Coalition partyroom discussion, government MPs were forecasting a lively conversation about the post-2020 targets, however comparatively modest.But ahead of today’s Coalition partyroom discussion, government MPs were forecasting a lively conversation about the post-2020 targets, however comparatively modest.
Many government MPs question the science of global warming.Many government MPs question the science of global warming.
Let’s power on. The Politics Live comments thread is wide open and waiting for your business, and give Mikearoo and I a shout on the twits if that’s your thing: I’m @murpharoo, he’s @mpbowersLet’s power on. The Politics Live comments thread is wide open and waiting for your business, and give Mikearoo and I a shout on the twits if that’s your thing: I’m @murpharoo, he’s @mpbowers
Here comes Tuesday.Here comes Tuesday.
Updated at 7.56am AESTUpdated at 7.56am AEST