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| Canning byelection: Labor's Matt Keogh concedes but says campaign succeeded in getting rid of Tony Abbott – live | |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| 1.53pm BST13:53 | |
| Andrew Hastie gives the first shout out for the federal Liberals to former prime minister Tony Abbott and thanks him for serving his country. | |
| I want to thank and honour the service of Tony Abbott. From day one, he wanted me to succeed. I was immensely proud to have him visit and support me and my family on this campaign and I’m grateful for his support and guidance. He served his country in the highest office in the land, and I want to acknowledge him and thank him for his service to the Australian people. | |
| He also thanks Malcolm Turnbull for his support first as communications minister, then as prime minister. | |
| We shared a train ride from the city to Mandurah, and I watched him walk the full length of the train and back talking to people. If that’s any guide to how he’s going to operate as the Prime Minister, the AFP security detail have a big job ahead of them. I thank him for his support and I look forward to working with him to deliver for the people of Canning. | |
| He also thanks foreign minister Julie Bishop and finance minister Mathias Cormann. | |
| 1.49pm BST13:49 | |
| Andrew Hastie names ice as the most important issue in his campaign and says he has spoken to “fathers, mothers, siblings, small business owners, neighbours and friends” and wants to tackle ice with them. | |
| I go to Canberra as someone with much to learn. I don’t understand every political process or issue and I won’t pretend to. But I’ll be guided by the values that have been tested in the defence of our nation and that I believe are essential to effective leadership - honour, integrity, compassion, humility, and service. I’llmake mistakes like any new member of Parliament, but I will always strive to do the right thing. I’m going into the Federal Parliament as the newest member who will need the support of my parliamentary colleagues to learn as much as I can, so I can best deliver for the people of Canning. | |
| He thanks his wife, his brand new baby son, his parents, his friends in the Australian Defence Force. | |
| I love this party and what it stands for. The belief in the innate worth of the individual. | |
| 1.45pm BST13:45 | |
| Andrew Hastie declares victory in speech to faithful | |
| Andrew Hastie is looking relaxed and serious. He has notes but is speaking to the crowd directly. He pays tribute to former member Don Randall and says many people have told him he has “big shoes to fill” and he has taken that to heart. | |
| He says he will continue Randall’s tradition of personalised notepads. | |
| I’m sure there is a lot of ladies out there who have had his face and name at the top of their shopping lists. | |
| He asks people to raise their drinks in toast “to Don”. | |
| Now he gets in to the victory speech and starts with a bollocking of Canberra, I don’t think anyone is left wondering what he is referring to. | |
| This campaign was always about the people of Canning and their concerns. It is quite clear that the people of Canning don’t care about Canberra politicking or tricky games and it is worth noting that London and Moscow are actually closer together than Perth and Canberra themselves. | |
| 1.42pm BST13:42 | |
| Julie Bishop introducing Andrew Hastie at his election party. | |
| She thanks people who voted for Hastie for ensuring Canberra has an outstanding new member of parliament, to the people who did not vote for him she says he will advocate on their behalf and look after their interests. | |
| She speaks about his SAS background. | |
| He’s already served his country. He was prepared to stand up for his values and his beliefs. He was prepared to fight for his values and beliefs, indeed he was prepared to die for them. Now he will serve the people of Canning, the people of Australia as a member of our Federal Parliament. | |
| Bishop says she spoke to prime minister Malcolm Turnbull earlier and he is “so proud” to have Hastie as part of his parliamentary team. | |
| 1.33pm BST13:33 | |
| Labor’s Matt Keogh says the Canning campaign got rid of Tony Abbott. | |
| Look, we may have lost the battle of Canning though we’ve had a great achievement in the swings we have achieved and the campaigns we have run through this campaign, but we did win the first war. We did get rid of Tony Abbott. | |
| Big, proper cheers at that point. | |
| With that momentous achievement that we have all had here, that we have been all been a key part of, we need to steel ourselves as a united front, a united front for the next war which will be the general election to make sure we can get behind Bill Shorten so we can advance Australia with a new Labor Government. | |
| Keogh says the voters “love” Bill Shorten. | |
| It has been great being out there with Bill Shorten, the voters love Bill despite what you might read in a newspaper, they have been coming up to him on the train stations, in the shopping centres, it has been fantastic to be able to campaign with Bill Shorten. | |
| He names the key issues as protecting gas reserves and penalty rates, the China free trade agreement, local ship building. | |
| 1.24pm BST13:24 | 1.24pm BST13:24 |
| Labor candidate Matt Keogh concedes | Labor candidate Matt Keogh concedes |
| Matt Keogh says he has rung Andrew Hastie and congratulated him on winning Canning. | Matt Keogh says he has rung Andrew Hastie and congratulated him on winning Canning. |
| He says thousands of people in Canning have voted for Labor for the first time today and that in itself is an achievment. | He says thousands of people in Canning have voted for Labor for the first time today and that in itself is an achievment. |
| Plenty of what I would describe as “muted applause”. | Plenty of what I would describe as “muted applause”. |
| Keogh does his thank yous, the party executive, the branches, the volunteers. | Keogh does his thank yous, the party executive, the branches, the volunteers. |
| I would like to say congratulations to Mr Hastie and to Mr Turnbull for their campaign. | I would like to say congratulations to Mr Hastie and to Mr Turnbull for their campaign. |
| During this campaign,I have to say now as I stand here, as I have been out on the polling booths today, the fire within me to fight for my local area, to fight for WA, to stand up in our national Parliament on behalf of all of those people is greater now than it’s ever been and I really wish to continue that fight into the future. | During this campaign,I have to say now as I stand here, as I have been out on the polling booths today, the fire within me to fight for my local area, to fight for WA, to stand up in our national Parliament on behalf of all of those people is greater now than it’s ever been and I really wish to continue that fight into the future. |
| Keogh is going with the average swing in a byelection caused by a deceased member -which is 2.5% - rather than the average swing in general which is about 5%. | Keogh is going with the average swing in a byelection caused by a deceased member -which is 2.5% - rather than the average swing in general which is about 5%. |
| Right now tonight, we have seen some massive swings in some of our booths. | Right now tonight, we have seen some massive swings in some of our booths. |
| 1.19pm BST13:19 | 1.19pm BST13:19 |
| While we are on stand by for speeches it is worth mentioning the result for the Palmer United Party, which has effectively been a collapse in the vote. | While we are on stand by for speeches it is worth mentioning the result for the Palmer United Party, which has effectively been a collapse in the vote. |
| In 2013 PUP picked up 6,088 votes, which was 6.88% of the vote. With 92% of the vote counted PUP has 1,436 votes, 2.99% of the total. In a touch over two years the party has seen its vote half in the electorate. This does not bode well for MP and leader Clive Palmer come the election next year. | In 2013 PUP picked up 6,088 votes, which was 6.88% of the vote. With 92% of the vote counted PUP has 1,436 votes, 2.99% of the total. In a touch over two years the party has seen its vote half in the electorate. This does not bode well for MP and leader Clive Palmer come the election next year. |
| 1.11pm BST13:11 | 1.11pm BST13:11 |
| As we noted earlier in the blog, almost 20% of the votes in the Canning byelection were cast before the change in prime ministership from Tony Abbott to Malcolm Turnbull, will be interesting to see how that affects the swing which is 6.14% against the Liberal party on current counting. | As we noted earlier in the blog, almost 20% of the votes in the Canning byelection were cast before the change in prime ministership from Tony Abbott to Malcolm Turnbull, will be interesting to see how that affects the swing which is 6.14% against the Liberal party on current counting. |
| 1.02pm BST13:02 | 1.02pm BST13:02 |
| Liberals win Canning byelection with swing of 6% against | Liberals win Canning byelection with swing of 6% against |
| We are edging ever so closer to concession and victor speeches. With more than 30% of the vote counted we are going to call it as a comfortable win for the Liberal Andrew Hastie, with a swing of about 6% against the party. On current 2PP it is a swing of 6.44%. | We are edging ever so closer to concession and victor speeches. With more than 30% of the vote counted we are going to call it as a comfortable win for the Liberal Andrew Hastie, with a swing of about 6% against the party. On current 2PP it is a swing of 6.44%. |
| A swing of 5% against the government is fairly stock standard for a by-election so as a verdict on the prime ministerial change it’s not a glowing endorsement for Malcolm Turnbull, nor a great result for the Labor party. A draw, really. | A swing of 5% against the government is fairly stock standard for a by-election so as a verdict on the prime ministerial change it’s not a glowing endorsement for Malcolm Turnbull, nor a great result for the Labor party. A draw, really. |
| Before Tony Abbott was despatched from the prime minister’s office polling had the seat as on track for a 10% swing against the Liberal party. | Before Tony Abbott was despatched from the prime minister’s office polling had the seat as on track for a 10% swing against the Liberal party. |
| 12.59pm BST12:59 | 12.59pm BST12:59 |
| Labor's Matt Keogh arrives at election party | Labor's Matt Keogh arrives at election party |
| Matt Keogh arrives at Mandurah Bowling Club to rousing applause from the faithful. #canningvotes7 pic.twitter.com/Q62GDkGj7o | Matt Keogh arrives at Mandurah Bowling Club to rousing applause from the faithful. #canningvotes7 pic.twitter.com/Q62GDkGj7o |
| 12.52pm BST12:52 | 12.52pm BST12:52 |
| Andrew Hastie arrives at election party | Andrew Hastie arrives at election party |
| Andrew Hastie has arrived to applause & congratulations. The Liberals claiming victory in #Canning @7NewsPerth pic.twitter.com/Q1x2nPqBna | Andrew Hastie has arrived to applause & congratulations. The Liberals claiming victory in #Canning @7NewsPerth pic.twitter.com/Q1x2nPqBna |
| 12.52pm BST12:52 | 12.52pm BST12:52 |
| Back to the counting, it is a swing of 6.59% against the Liberals at the moment. On two party preferred Liberal Andrew Hastie is on 55.22% of the vote and Labor’s Matt Keogh is on 44.78%, according to electoral commission numbers. | Back to the counting, it is a swing of 6.59% against the Liberals at the moment. On two party preferred Liberal Andrew Hastie is on 55.22% of the vote and Labor’s Matt Keogh is on 44.78%, according to electoral commission numbers. |
| 30.38% of the vote counted. | 30.38% of the vote counted. |
| Updated at 12.54pm BST | Updated at 12.54pm BST |
| 12.47pm BST12:47 | 12.47pm BST12:47 |
| Mathias Cormann says likely win is under Malcolm Turnbull | Mathias Cormann says likely win is under Malcolm Turnbull |
| Finance minister and Tony Abbott supporter Mathias Cormann says a win tonight is a win for the Liberal party under the prime minister Malcolm Turnbull. | Finance minister and Tony Abbott supporter Mathias Cormann says a win tonight is a win for the Liberal party under the prime minister Malcolm Turnbull. |
| He is being interviewed by ABC Perth on Periscope and while he starts of cautious he is pretty much talking like a winner by the end. | He is being interviewed by ABC Perth on Periscope and while he starts of cautious he is pretty much talking like a winner by the end. |
| Votes coming in are very encouraging I look forward to a successful outcome at the end of the night. | Votes coming in are very encouraging I look forward to a successful outcome at the end of the night. |
| Asked if Liberals would have had a win in Canning under the prime ministership of Tony Abbott, Cormann says “nobody will ever know”. | Asked if Liberals would have had a win in Canning under the prime ministership of Tony Abbott, Cormann says “nobody will ever know”. |
| We did change leader, we did change prime minister, that is obviously the context this campaign is finishing in and the result tonight is a result for the Liberal party under the leadership of Malcolm Turnbull. | We did change leader, we did change prime minister, that is obviously the context this campaign is finishing in and the result tonight is a result for the Liberal party under the leadership of Malcolm Turnbull. |
| Asked earlier how confident he is that Andrew Hastie has won Cormann said: | Asked earlier how confident he is that Andrew Hastie has won Cormann said: |
| I’m quietly confident, obviously been a hard fought campaign in last five to six weeks Andrew Hastie has done a great job..we haven’t taken anything for granted a long the way. | I’m quietly confident, obviously been a hard fought campaign in last five to six weeks Andrew Hastie has done a great job..we haven’t taken anything for granted a long the way. |
| Today it looks like they [the Canning voters] have provided him with support. | Today it looks like they [the Canning voters] have provided him with support. |
| 12.30pm BST12:30 | 12.30pm BST12:30 |
| LIBERALS UPBEAT: Mood at Liberal #Canning HQ is decidedly festive among party heavyweights and volunteers. pic.twitter.com/qhVhaLKnAd | LIBERALS UPBEAT: Mood at Liberal #Canning HQ is decidedly festive among party heavyweights and volunteers. pic.twitter.com/qhVhaLKnAd |
| 12.29pm BST12:29 | 12.29pm BST12:29 |
| Antony Green calls Canning for Liberal Andrew Hastie | Antony Green calls Canning for Liberal Andrew Hastie |
| ABC’s Antony Green has called the election for Liberal Andrew Hastie. | ABC’s Antony Green has called the election for Liberal Andrew Hastie. |
| Just to look at those raw figures at the top there again, Andrew Hastie has won that election and will win it with about a margin of about 6%. | Just to look at those raw figures at the top there again, Andrew Hastie has won that election and will win it with about a margin of about 6%. |
| What does it mean? | What does it mean? |
| I think this result will sort of be in that neutral territory of neither bad for the Government nor bad for the Opposition. It’s about par with a 5% is the average swing over the last 30 years at by-elections. | I think this result will sort of be in that neutral territory of neither bad for the Government nor bad for the Opposition. It’s about par with a 5% is the average swing over the last 30 years at by-elections. |
| Updated at 12.31pm BST | Updated at 12.31pm BST |
| 12.26pm BST12:26 | 12.26pm BST12:26 |
| From the ground in Canning, my colleague Calla Wahlquist reports from the Labor party, including a hilarious tidbit about a News Corp photographer: | From the ground in Canning, my colleague Calla Wahlquist reports from the Labor party, including a hilarious tidbit about a News Corp photographer: |
| Clutching pints of beer and nursing sunburn, the Labor volunteers have began filing into a function room at the Mandurah Bowls Club. | Clutching pints of beer and nursing sunburn, the Labor volunteers have began filing into a function room at the Mandurah Bowls Club. |
| They have spent the day handing out how-to-vote cards at Canning’s 53 polling booths, and now watch as the first results coming in reflect what the opinion polls predicted, but what they have feared - the Liberal’s candidate Andrew Hastie is ahead by about six points in the two-party-preferred vote. | They have spent the day handing out how-to-vote cards at Canning’s 53 polling booths, and now watch as the first results coming in reflect what the opinion polls predicted, but what they have feared - the Liberal’s candidate Andrew Hastie is ahead by about six points in the two-party-preferred vote. |
| A slight stir was caused by the appearance of Daniel Wilkins, a photographer with News Corp’s Perth masthead, The Sunday Times. Wilkins has been persistently mistaken for the Labor candidate, Matt Keogh for the past four weeks, including by Labor volunteers working polling booths today and, I’m told, by his own son. | A slight stir was caused by the appearance of Daniel Wilkins, a photographer with News Corp’s Perth masthead, The Sunday Times. Wilkins has been persistently mistaken for the Labor candidate, Matt Keogh for the past four weeks, including by Labor volunteers working polling booths today and, I’m told, by his own son. |
| The real Keogh is yet to make an appearance - he’s expected in the next half an hour. | The real Keogh is yet to make an appearance - he’s expected in the next half an hour. |
| Despite the reduced swing, which by early indication is not enough to beat the 11.8 margin left by the late Don Randall, Labor’s red-shirted army were upbeat. Kelly McManus, the field campaign manager for the by-election, said the reception from voters today was positive. | Despite the reduced swing, which by early indication is not enough to beat the 11.8 margin left by the late Don Randall, Labor’s red-shirted army were upbeat. Kelly McManus, the field campaign manager for the by-election, said the reception from voters today was positive. |
| No real personalities at Keogh's election night party. You'd think a few Labor pollies would pop down. #Canning pic.twitter.com/YjZP496wxI | No real personalities at Keogh's election night party. You'd think a few Labor pollies would pop down. #Canning pic.twitter.com/YjZP496wxI |
| Updated at 12.27pm BST | Updated at 12.27pm BST |
| 12.18pm BST12:18 | 12.18pm BST12:18 |
| It is looking increasingly like a Liberal win in the Canning byelection. Latest figures from ABC’s poll brainiac and election authority Antony Green is predicting a Liberal win with a 6% swing against the party. | It is looking increasingly like a Liberal win in the Canning byelection. Latest figures from ABC’s poll brainiac and election authority Antony Green is predicting a Liberal win with a 6% swing against the party. |
| His figures have Labor on 33.8% of the primary vote and Liberal on 47.9% | His figures have Labor on 33.8% of the primary vote and Liberal on 47.9% |
| That’s a swing of 5.8% to Labor but about half of the 11% swing required for the seat to change. | That’s a swing of 5.8% to Labor but about half of the 11% swing required for the seat to change. |
| Interestingly, Green notes that Palmer United Party is currently on about half of the vote it received in the 2013 election. | Interestingly, Green notes that Palmer United Party is currently on about half of the vote it received in the 2013 election. |
| Updated at 12.20pm BST | Updated at 12.20pm BST |
| 12.11pm BST12:11 | 12.11pm BST12:11 |
| Assistant immigration minister Michaelia Cash has told Sky News she is quietly confident about a Liberal win in Canning. | Assistant immigration minister Michaelia Cash has told Sky News she is quietly confident about a Liberal win in Canning. |
| We had a very, very positive mood all day. Our volunteers were quite literally out in force and certainly the atmosphere was a very good one. | We had a very, very positive mood all day. Our volunteers were quite literally out in force and certainly the atmosphere was a very good one. |
| Asked what she was hearing about results, Cash responded: | Asked what she was hearing about results, Cash responded: |
| We are quietly confident but again booths called out are a very, very small amount of votes counted. | We are quietly confident but again booths called out are a very, very small amount of votes counted. |
| 12.05pm BST12:05 | 12.05pm BST12:05 |
| An absence with apologies at Labor’s Matt Keogh party is federal MP Alannah MacTiernan. | An absence with apologies at Labor’s Matt Keogh party is federal MP Alannah MacTiernan. |
| She has explained: | She has explained: |
| @callapilla Had to make a mercy dash to Europe to look after an injured partner - but there in spirit! | @callapilla Had to make a mercy dash to Europe to look after an injured partner - but there in spirit! |
| 11.59am BST11:59 | 11.59am BST11:59 |
| Voting count update: | Voting count update: |
| 5,340 votes counted with Liberal Andrew Hastie on 2,456 and Labor’s Matt Keogh on 1,699. | 5,340 votes counted with Liberal Andrew Hastie on 2,456 and Labor’s Matt Keogh on 1,699. |
| With 1.3% of the primary vote counted there is a swing of 5.7% against the Liberals, 7.5% to Labor and 0.2% to Greens. | With 1.3% of the primary vote counted there is a swing of 5.7% against the Liberals, 7.5% to Labor and 0.2% to Greens. |
| 11.51am BST11:51 | 11.51am BST11:51 |
| Over at Andrew Hastie HQ: | Over at Andrew Hastie HQ: |
| Winners are grinners? @JulieBishopMP @SenatorCash #canningvotes pic.twitter.com/Fqp8oY2zmf (@davidlipson) | Winners are grinners? @JulieBishopMP @SenatorCash #canningvotes pic.twitter.com/Fqp8oY2zmf (@davidlipson) |
| 11.39am BST11:39 | 11.39am BST11:39 |
| ABC 24 have dusted off election brainiac Antony Green for the night and he’s on hand to tell us what it all means and when there’s a winner. Asked if he thinks this will be a verdict on the prime ministerial change, Green is thoughtful and cautious: | ABC 24 have dusted off election brainiac Antony Green for the night and he’s on hand to tell us what it all means and when there’s a winner. Asked if he thinks this will be a verdict on the prime ministerial change, Green is thoughtful and cautious: |
| I don’t think it should be viewed in that way. We have to wait and see what the results are. We tend to be speculating about what the results mean when we don’t know what the results are yet. Everyone afterwards will pour through the figures and compare them with past trends and decide whether they are or are not meaningful. I am not sure if it is useful trying to speculate on it now. | I don’t think it should be viewed in that way. We have to wait and see what the results are. We tend to be speculating about what the results mean when we don’t know what the results are yet. Everyone afterwards will pour through the figures and compare them with past trends and decide whether they are or are not meaningful. I am not sure if it is useful trying to speculate on it now. |
| 11.33am BST11:33 | 11.33am BST11:33 |
| We have 135 of the votes counted. Liberal Andrew Hastie is on 63 votes and Matt Keogh is on 51...which doesn’t really tell us anything at all. Much too early, but you can follow the voting live on the electoral commission’s website here. | We have 135 of the votes counted. Liberal Andrew Hastie is on 63 votes and Matt Keogh is on 51...which doesn’t really tell us anything at all. Much too early, but you can follow the voting live on the electoral commission’s website here. |
| 11.28am BST11:28 | 11.28am BST11:28 |
| Important update on the empty room hosting the Labor byelection party | Important update on the empty room hosting the Labor byelection party |
| People have started to arrive at Keogh's party. I know you were all concerned. #Canning pic.twitter.com/AC3ARSFvuD | People have started to arrive at Keogh's party. I know you were all concerned. #Canning pic.twitter.com/AC3ARSFvuD |
| 11.26am BST11:26 | 11.26am BST11:26 |
| Close to 20% in Canning cast vote before #Libspill | Close to 20% in Canning cast vote before #Libspill |
| More than 20,000 votes of 112,809 enrolments were cast in Canning before today and 17,000 of those were before Malcolm Turnbull became prime minister, my colleague on the ground in Perth Calla Wahlquist tells me. | More than 20,000 votes of 112,809 enrolments were cast in Canning before today and 17,000 of those were before Malcolm Turnbull became prime minister, my colleague on the ground in Perth Calla Wahlquist tells me. |
| 11,000 of those were postal votes and 11,000 were in pre-polling booths with about 6,000 of the pre-polls before Tuesday. Turnbull won the Liberal party leadership ballot on Monday night. | 11,000 of those were postal votes and 11,000 were in pre-polling booths with about 6,000 of the pre-polls before Tuesday. Turnbull won the Liberal party leadership ballot on Monday night. |
| 11.18am BST11:18 | 11.18am BST11:18 |
| Ah, the traditional rooms empty of a party early on an election night. | Ah, the traditional rooms empty of a party early on an election night. |
| I'm told this will fill up and look less like a deserted school formal soon. Volunteers still on booths. #Canning pic.twitter.com/OM5u6pPIGv | I'm told this will fill up and look less like a deserted school formal soon. Volunteers still on booths. #Canning pic.twitter.com/OM5u6pPIGv |
| 11.13am BST11:13 | 11.13am BST11:13 |
| Prime minister Malcolm Turnbull has been tracked down by reporters in Sydney as he left an event and was asked what result he is expecting in Canning, ABC 24 reports: | Prime minister Malcolm Turnbull has been tracked down by reporters in Sydney as he left an event and was asked what result he is expecting in Canning, ABC 24 reports: |
| A good one, what a great candidate. | A good one, what a great candidate. |
| 11.10am BST11:10 | 11.10am BST11:10 |
| Polls have officially closed in Canning. Politicians are fond of saying the only poll that matters is an actual vote by the people - whether they mean it or not - but this week that is actually true. | Polls have officially closed in Canning. Politicians are fond of saying the only poll that matters is an actual vote by the people - whether they mean it or not - but this week that is actually true. |
| The last poll done of voters was before Malcolm Turnbull became prime minister and so is basically useless as an indication of voters intentions. | The last poll done of voters was before Malcolm Turnbull became prime minister and so is basically useless as an indication of voters intentions. |
| My colleague Calla Wahlquist has done an excellent piece on how the meaning of the byelection has changed, which you can read here. In it she gives us a rundown of what the polls have been saying and what we can expect tonight - which is quite hazy. | My colleague Calla Wahlquist has done an excellent piece on how the meaning of the byelection has changed, which you can read here. In it she gives us a rundown of what the polls have been saying and what we can expect tonight - which is quite hazy. |
| A week ago, the race was hard to call. The latest official poll, conducted by Galaxy for the News Corp-owned tabloid the Sunday Times, predicted Hastie would win the two-party-preferred vote 52 to 48. | A week ago, the race was hard to call. The latest official poll, conducted by Galaxy for the News Corp-owned tabloid the Sunday Times, predicted Hastie would win the two-party-preferred vote 52 to 48. |
| But that 10% swing toward Labor, away from the comfortable 11.8% margin held by the late Don Randall, was based on phone polling conducted before the change of Liberal leadership and is now a week old. Snap polling conducted since Turnbull was installed as prime minister suggested as much as a 5% bump for theLiberal party in Canning. | But that 10% swing toward Labor, away from the comfortable 11.8% margin held by the late Don Randall, was based on phone polling conducted before the change of Liberal leadership and is now a week old. Snap polling conducted since Turnbull was installed as prime minister suggested as much as a 5% bump for theLiberal party in Canning. |
| 10.47am BST10:47 | 10.47am BST10:47 |
| Good evening, welcome to a rollicking Saturday night as we cheer on the voters in Canning to the end of a byelection campaign in the Western Australia seat. | Good evening, welcome to a rollicking Saturday night as we cheer on the voters in Canning to the end of a byelection campaign in the Western Australia seat. |
| The poll was seen as a potentially devastating verdict on Tony Abbott’s prime ministership but the federal Liberal party has delivered his premature ejection at the beginning of the week. | The poll was seen as a potentially devastating verdict on Tony Abbott’s prime ministership but the federal Liberal party has delivered his premature ejection at the beginning of the week. |
| Swings of 10% were expected but now Malcolm Turnbull has assumed office it is expected to be much smaller and will be a very early voters’ verdict on the leadership change. | Swings of 10% were expected but now Malcolm Turnbull has assumed office it is expected to be much smaller and will be a very early voters’ verdict on the leadership change. |
| Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie was joined by foreign minister Julie Bishop today with some cheeky protesters getting in for a photo opp. | Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie was joined by foreign minister Julie Bishop today with some cheeky protesters getting in for a photo opp. |
| One wonders if that is a Bill Shorten endorsed tactic. Would be pretty brazen example of the pot calling the kettle a tad hypocritical. | One wonders if that is a Bill Shorten endorsed tactic. Would be pretty brazen example of the pot calling the kettle a tad hypocritical. |
| In Labor’s corner we have Matt Keogh who will give Hastie the biggest fight for the seat out of all the candidates, a full list of which you can peruse here. | In Labor’s corner we have Matt Keogh who will give Hastie the biggest fight for the seat out of all the candidates, a full list of which you can peruse here. |
| The seat was made vacant after sitting Liberal member Don Randall died in July. | The seat was made vacant after sitting Liberal member Don Randall died in July. |
| Updated at 10.48am BST | Updated at 10.48am BST |