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| Version 8 | Version 9 |
|---|---|
| Primary live: Trump and Clinton win big as Kasich takes Ohio and Rubio quits | Primary live: Trump and Clinton win big as Kasich takes Ohio and Rubio quits |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| 3.20am GMT | |
| 03:20 | |
| Trump agrees with early-March Marco Rubio that the Florida victor will be the Republican nominee: | |
| Thank you Marco, I agree! pic.twitter.com/PTfFzFno9p | |
| 3.18am GMT | |
| 03:18 | |
| Hold the phone. This represents people getting really excited about a close race, more than anything. But with some models showing Trump just missing a majority of delegates, and the prospect of a brokered convention (sort of) looming.... Paul Ryan? Why not. | |
| Interesting news to emerge tonight: "Paul Ryan won't categorically rule out accepting GOP nom" https://t.co/aw5btQbjge | |
| I'm old enough to remember when Paul Ryan refused the possibility of becoming Speaker of the House. https://t.co/GJs9TpQHfh | |
| Updated | |
| at 3.24am GMT | |
| 3.14am GMT | |
| 03:14 | |
| Sanders does not mention results | |
| Dan Roberts | |
| Bernie Sanders did not mention the night’s dismal results during a rally for 7,200 supporters in Phoenix, Arizona, writes Guardian Washington bureau chief Dan Roberts: | |
| It felt like a surreal end to a surreal few months for a campaign that has gone further than any expected – yet may finally have run out of road. | |
| “Don’t let people tell you that you can’t think big,” the Vermont senator told the crowd in what proved to be a standard rendition of his stump speech. | |
| The only difference was far fewer mentions of Hillary Clinton than usual – a figure Sanders mainly referred to as “his opponent” – rather than the more direct attacks of recent days. | |
| Shortly after bad news from the east started flooding in, the campaign showed its determination to keep running by announcing a new rally on Friday in Idaho, another small state (delegates-wise) that has a primary election next week. | |
| In the meantime, the senator and his exhausted team is planning a couple of days of recuperation in Sedona – a resort town in the desert north of Phoenix famous as a New Age hang out. | |
| There is likely to be much reflection on why the momentum this campaign felt after Michigan failed to translate into success in Ohio or Illinois. | |
| A win in Missouri would buoy some spirits, but there is no doubt that the campaign is moving slowly to the next phase: finding ways to capture the undoubted energy and passion of its supporters into something longer lasting rather than the in the increasingly thankless job of counting delegates. | |
| 3.10am GMT | |
| 03:10 | |
| Delegates snapshot | |
| How is the delegates dust settling? Be advised that Missouri is still unresolved – and that’s important on the Republican side especially, since Trump looks like he may turn a narrow victory or even loss into a delegates win, thanks to strong leads in most congressional districts. | |
| But here’s a snapshot of both races: | |
| 3.01am GMT | |
| 03:01 | |
| Many members of the media noticed Trump’s awarding pride of place tonight to campaign manager Corey Lewandowski, following a week in which past alleged abusive behavior by Lewandowski surfaced and in which he was the object of a criminal battery complaint in Florida for allegedly bruising a reporter. | |
| It appears that reporting on Lewandowski’s past does not win friends with the Trump camp: | |
| The reporter who dug into Trump's campaign manager's iffy background was denied access to Trump's event tonight. https://t.co/62UHvuViYu | |
| 2.59am GMT | |
| 02:59 | |
| Cruz wraps his speech. He’s angling to make the race a one-on-one contest with Trump. | |
| It would help if Cruz can get past Trump in Missouri, but so far – not. | |
| 2.58am GMT | |
| 02:58 | |
| This is a serious squeaker on the Republican side in Missouri, where the statewide winner gets 12 delegates all his own. | |
| Our comprehensive results page is here. Only 305 votes separate Trump and Cruz, with 70.8% reporting. | |
| 2.54am GMT | |
| 02:54 | |
| “We will take the boot of the federal government off the backs of the necks of small businesses all across this country,” Cruz says. | |
| He promises to make the government less relevant. He promises higher wages and a better standard of life. | |
| New argument from @tedcruz: "Together, we will make Washington less relevant in all of our lives." | |
| “Two debates ago, Donald Trump promised all of us that he would compromise... on replacing Antonin Scalia. | |
| “I will not compromise away your religious liberty. And I will not compromise away your second-amendment right to bear arms.” | |
| 2.49am GMT | 2.49am GMT |
| 02:49 | 02:49 |
| Cruz paints picture of two-candidate race | Cruz paints picture of two-candidate race |
| “Only two campaigns have a plausible path to the nomination. Ours, and Donald Trump’s,” Cruz says. | “Only two campaigns have a plausible path to the nomination. Ours, and Donald Trump’s,” Cruz says. |
| “Only one campaign has beaten Donald Trump over, and over, and over again.” | “Only one campaign has beaten Donald Trump over, and over, and over again.” |
| Cruz says the choice is “straightforward” – between a candidate who “shares your values” or “opposes your values.” | Cruz says the choice is “straightforward” – between a candidate who “shares your values” or “opposes your values.” |
| 2.47am GMT | 2.47am GMT |
| 02:47 | 02:47 |
| Cruz: 'America now has a clear choice' | Cruz: 'America now has a clear choice' |
| Here’s the last candidate to speak tonight, Ted Cruz (we have a report on Bernie Sanders’ speech in the works). | Here’s the last candidate to speak tonight, Ted Cruz (we have a report on Bernie Sanders’ speech in the works). |
| Cruz is in Texas. He starts in immediately on Clinton, after thanking Carly Fiorina who warmed up the crowd for him. | Cruz is in Texas. He starts in immediately on Clinton, after thanking Carly Fiorina who warmed up the crowd for him. |
| “Hillary tosses and turns in her jail cell thinking about [Fiorina].” Huh. | “Hillary tosses and turns in her jail cell thinking about [Fiorina].” Huh. |
| “After tonight, America now has a clear choice, going forward.” | “After tonight, America now has a clear choice, going forward.” |
| “Let me now say a word about Marco Rubio. Marco is a prince.” | “Let me now say a word about Marco Rubio. Marco is a prince.” |
| Cruz says he welcomes Rubio supporters. | Cruz says he welcomes Rubio supporters. |
| Cruz says "tonight was a good night" | Cruz says "tonight was a good night" |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 2.48am GMT | at 2.48am GMT |
| 2.38am GMT | 2.38am GMT |
| 02:38 | 02:38 |
| Contests still open | Contests still open |
| Still out are Missouri, both sides, and the Illinois Democrats. All three contests are close. | Still out are Missouri, both sides, and the Illinois Democrats. All three contests are close. |
| HUGE stakes in MO: Trump currently ahead of Cruz by just 3,366 votes (0.6%). Statewide winner wins 12 delegates. Stay tuned. | HUGE stakes in MO: Trump currently ahead of Cruz by just 3,366 votes (0.6%). Statewide winner wins 12 delegates. Stay tuned. |
| The tally otherwise sees Clinton and Trump with three wins apiece, and John Kasich with a win in Ohio. | The tally otherwise sees Clinton and Trump with three wins apiece, and John Kasich with a win in Ohio. |
| But where did Kasich finish otherwise? He’s third in Illinois, North Carolina and Missouri – and fourth in Florida. | But where did Kasich finish otherwise? He’s third in Illinois, North Carolina and Missouri – and fourth in Florida. |
| Marco Rubio, who suspended his campaign this evening, finished second in Florida and last everywhere else. | Marco Rubio, who suspended his campaign this evening, finished second in Florida and last everywhere else. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 2.39am GMT | at 2.39am GMT |
| 2.35am GMT | 2.35am GMT |
| 02:35 | 02:35 |
| Mona Chalabi | Mona Chalabi |
| As ever, trawling through the raw data of actual votes is revealing. Sure, Trump has won Florida with 46% of votes there but did you know that Jeb Bush got 2% of votes and Ben Carson got 1%? | As ever, trawling through the raw data of actual votes is revealing. Sure, Trump has won Florida with 46% of votes there but did you know that Jeb Bush got 2% of votes and Ben Carson got 1%? |
| In many states, ballot papers are printed far in advance and so voters are still presented with the names of some candidates who have dropped out of the race. That means that 79,924 Republican votes were essentially wasted in Florida – as well as 38,593 Democratic ballot papers that checked the name Martin O’Malley. | In many states, ballot papers are printed far in advance and so voters are still presented with the names of some candidates who have dropped out of the race. That means that 79,924 Republican votes were essentially wasted in Florida – as well as 38,593 Democratic ballot papers that checked the name Martin O’Malley. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 2.38am GMT | at 2.38am GMT |
| 2.31am GMT | 2.31am GMT |
| 02:31 | 02:31 |
| Missouri delivers suspense on the Democratic side, too. 84 delegates awarded on a proportional basis are at stake. | Missouri delivers suspense on the Democratic side, too. 84 delegates awarded on a proportional basis are at stake. |
| 2.28am GMT | 2.28am GMT |
| 02:28 | 02:28 |
| What’s at stake for Republicans in Missouri? It awards 52 total delegates, with 12 to the winner statewide and the rest per congressional district. If a candidate clears 50% that candidate takes all – but with a truly neck-and-neck race between Cruz and Trump, no such majority will likely materialize. | What’s at stake for Republicans in Missouri? It awards 52 total delegates, with 12 to the winner statewide and the rest per congressional district. If a candidate clears 50% that candidate takes all – but with a truly neck-and-neck race between Cruz and Trump, no such majority will likely materialize. |
| Missouri on the GOP side is going to be very tight. Cruz is barely winning the KC metro, has closed in St. Louis County, & winning Columbia. | Missouri on the GOP side is going to be very tight. Cruz is barely winning the KC metro, has closed in St. Louis County, & winning Columbia. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 2.29am GMT | at 2.29am GMT |
| 2.22am GMT | 2.22am GMT |
| 02:22 | 02:22 |
| Mona Chalabi | Mona Chalabi |
| Trump claims he has been a victim of bad press. The Republican candidate seems to have conveniently overlooked the fact that political elections are perhaps the only time when the expression “all publicity is good publicity” actually holds true. | Trump claims he has been a victim of bad press. The Republican candidate seems to have conveniently overlooked the fact that political elections are perhaps the only time when the expression “all publicity is good publicity” actually holds true. |
| Polls have a feedback loop. When a candidate is ahead in the polls, they are more likely to stay ahead in the polls. And simple name recognition can help them to get that early lead. As a household name, Trump already had that recognizability which undoubtedly worked in his favor early on but the media emphasized that by relentlessly covering every word and every move of the billionaire. | Polls have a feedback loop. When a candidate is ahead in the polls, they are more likely to stay ahead in the polls. And simple name recognition can help them to get that early lead. As a household name, Trump already had that recognizability which undoubtedly worked in his favor early on but the media emphasized that by relentlessly covering every word and every move of the billionaire. |
| As the New York Times showed earlier on today, Trump was essentially given free publicity. He spent far less on presidential ads than other candidates ($10m compared to Jeb Bush’s $82m) but earned $1,898m in media exposure from free coverage of his campaign. No other candidate comes close to that. | As the New York Times showed earlier on today, Trump was essentially given free publicity. He spent far less on presidential ads than other candidates ($10m compared to Jeb Bush’s $82m) but earned $1,898m in media exposure from free coverage of his campaign. No other candidate comes close to that. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 2.33am GMT | at 2.33am GMT |
| 2.21am GMT | 2.21am GMT |
| 02:21 | 02:21 |
| In his rambling victory speech, Trump mentioned the Australian pro golfer Adam Scott winning a tournament at his Florida golf course. | In his rambling victory speech, Trump mentioned the Australian pro golfer Adam Scott winning a tournament at his Florida golf course. |
| And the Parks and Recreation actor by the same name is forced to Twitter to beg for mentions mercy: | And the Parks and Recreation actor by the same name is forced to Twitter to beg for mentions mercy: |
| I'd like Trump to stop talking about me right now please. | I'd like Trump to stop talking about me right now please. |
| (h/t @claire_phipps) | (h/t @claire_phipps) |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 2.22am GMT | at 2.22am GMT |
| 2.18am GMT | 2.18am GMT |
| 02:18 | 02:18 |
| There’s one Republican race left to call – Missouri. Here’s how it looks with 32.2% reporting: | There’s one Republican race left to call – Missouri. Here’s how it looks with 32.2% reporting: |